This opponent (FC Luzern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Luzern
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
1.73
2.00
2.00
1.67
1.47
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
1.96
1.75
2.27
2.00
1.69
1.54
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
1.50
1.33
2.00
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Lausanne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
81.4%
Under 1.5
18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
58.0%
Under 2.5
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
35.6%
Under 3.5
64.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
61.7%
No
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-2
6.3%
1-0
6.3%
0-1
6.3%
0-0
6.0%
2-0
5.6%
Lausanne goals ↓
FC Luzern goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.0%
6.3%
5.6%
2.8%
1.1%
1
6.3%
12%
8.4%
4.2%
1.6%
2
5.6%
8.4%
6.3%
3.2%
1.2%
3
2.8%
4.2%
3.2%
1.6%
0.6%
4
1.1%
1.6%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lausanne goals (down), columns = FC Luzern goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Lugano
3.00
BSC Young Boys
2.33
FC Sion
1.80
FC Basel 1893
1.67
FC Thun
1.40
FC ST. Gallen
1.40
FC Luzern
1.33
FC Zurich
1.00
Lausanne
1.00
Grasshoppers
0.80
Servette FC
0.80
FC Vaduz
0.50
Lausanne is 0.33 points worse than FC Luzern in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
BSC Young Boys
3.83
FC Lugano
2.80
FC Sion
2.20
FC Vaduz
2.17
FC ST. Gallen
2.00
FC Basel 1893
1.83
FC Thun
1.80
FC Zurich
1.50
Grasshoppers
1.40
FC Luzern
1.17
Lausanne
1.00
Servette FC
0.80
Lausanne is 0.17 goals worse than FC Luzern in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Lugano
0.60
Lausanne
1.17
Servette FC
1.20
FC Basel 1893
1.50
FC Luzern
1.67
FC Sion
1.80
BSC Young Boys
1.83
FC ST. Gallen
2.20
Grasshoppers
2.40
FC Zurich
2.67
FC Vaduz
2.67
FC Thun
2.80
Lausanne is 0.50 goals better than FC Luzern in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Sion
57%
FC ST. Gallen
56%
FC Lugano
55%
FC Vaduz
53%
Servette FC
53%
Lausanne
51%
FC Basel 1893
49%
BSC Young Boys
49%
FC Thun
46%
Grasshoppers
45%
FC Zurich
44%
FC Luzern
44%
Lausanne is 7.7 percentage points better than FC Luzern in terms of average possession (51% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Lausanne
For 4.2 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 2.7 · Total 6.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 15.1 · Total 28.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Luzern
For 6.3 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 10.0 · Total 22.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lausanne
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.1
10.4
3.3
3.2
3.4
24.6
24.4
24.7
vs Stronger (1)
13.0
13.0
-
3.0
3.0
-
26.0
26.0
-
vs Similar (39)
10.1
10.3
9.9
3.2
3.1
3.4
24.6
24.0
25.1
vs Weaker (10)
10.6
8.5
13.3
3.7
4.0
3.4
24.1
25.2
22.7
% over line
63%
59%
67%
54%
46%
62%
71%
71%
72%
% under line
37%
41%
33%
46%
54%
38%
29%
29%
28%
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Luzern
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
11.2
10.1
3.2
3.2
3.2
23.2
24.0
22.4
vs Stronger (4)
11.0
15.0
7.0
1.5
2.5
0.5
16.5
16.0
17.0
vs Similar (40)
10.9
11.3
10.6
3.1
2.8
3.5
23.6
24.4
23.0
vs Weaker (6)
8.6
9.3
7.5
4.8
6.7
3.0
23.4
25.0
21.0
% over line
54%
59%
50%
52%
52%
52%
57%
59%
56%
% under line
46%
41%
50%
48%
48%
48%
43%
41%
44%
This opponent (Lausanne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC ST. Gallen
10.8
FC Zurich
10.7
Lausanne
10.6
FC Luzern
10.5
Servette FC
10.4
FC Basel 1893
10.2
FC Thun
10.2
Grasshoppers
10.0
FC Vaduz
9.9
FC Sion
9.6
BSC Young Boys
9.4
FC Lugano
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC ST. Gallen
5.8
Grasshoppers
5.2
Lausanne
5.1
FC Vaduz
5.0
FC Thun
4.9
FC Zurich
4.9
FC Basel 1893
4.8
FC Luzern
4.7
FC Lugano
4.7
Servette FC
4.6
FC Sion
4.5
BSC Young Boys
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC ST. Gallen
30.1
FC Thun
28.0
FC Zurich
27.5
FC Sion
26.6
FC Basel 1893
26.5
FC Lugano
25.3
Grasshoppers
25.0
Lausanne
24.7
FC Vaduz
24.4
FC Luzern
24.0
BSC Young Boys
23.7
Servette FC
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
57.5%
Under 9.5
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
68.4%
Under 3.5
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
72.7%
Under 21.5
27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Lausanne or Draw
61.9%
Avg Implied -
37%
26%
37%
covers Lausanne + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lausanne or FC Luzern
75.2%
Avg Implied -
37%
26%
37%
covers Lausanne + FC Luzern
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or FC Luzern
62.8%
Avg Implied -
37%
26%
37%
covers Draw + FC Luzern
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Lausanne over/under 0.5
Over
81.2%
Under
18.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lausanne over/under 1.5
Over
49.7%
Under
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lausanne over/under 2.5
Over
23.5%
Under
76.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lausanne over/under 3.5
Over
8.9%
Under
91.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 0.5
Over
81.6%
Under
18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 1.5
Over
50.4%
Under
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 2.5
Over
24.0%
Under
76.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 3.5
Over
9.2%
Under
90.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Lausanne, so a minus line means Lausanne give that many goals of a start and FC Luzern receive them. At -1, Lausanne must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Lausanne win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Lausanne)
Lausanne -2
7.9%
Draw -2
11.3%
FC Luzern +2
80.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Lausanne)
Lausanne -1
19.3%
Draw -1
17.9%
FC Luzern +1
62.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Lausanne)
Lausanne +1
61.9%
Draw +1
18.1%
FC Luzern -1
19.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Lausanne)
Lausanne +2
80.1%
Draw +2
11.6%
FC Luzern -2
8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lausanne
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.63
0.73
0.60
0.40
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.59
0.90
0.60
0.42
0.58
vs Weaker (7)
0.43
0.86
0.50
0.75
0.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Luzern
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.87
0.73
0.87
0.47
0.87
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.62
0.92
0.82
0.91
0.46
0.92
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.75
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Lausanne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lausanne over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lausanne over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lausanne over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lausanne
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.17
0.60
1.27
0.60
1.07
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.45
1.32
0.50
1.60
0.42
1.08
vs Weaker (7)
1.00
0.86
0.75
0.75
1.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Luzern
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.87
1.27
1.13
1.20
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
1.33
0.83
1.45
1.09
1.23
0.62
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.75
0.67
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Lausanne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lausanne over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lausanne over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lausanne over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
94.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
91.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Lausanne
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
F. Mollet33%
Enzo Molebe33%
Ibrahim Bah Mendes33%
N. Butler-Oyedeji17%
Omar Janneh17%
M. Poaty0%
Kevin Mouanga0%
Olivier Custodio0%
B. Soppy0%
Jamie Roche0%
Alban Ajdini0%
M. Mastil0%
K. Sow0%
Theo Bergvall0%
S. Koné0%
S. Traore0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Olivier Custodio50%
K. Sow50%
M. Poaty33%
F. Mollet33%
Ibrahim Bah Mendes33%
Theo Bergvall25%
N. Butler-Oyedeji17%
B. Soppy17%
S. Koné17%
Omar Janneh17%
Kevin Mouanga0%
Jamie Roche0%
Alban Ajdini0%
M. Mastil0%
S. Traore0%
Enzo Molebe0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
S. Traore25%
K. Sow17%
S. Koné17%
Omar Janneh17%
M. Poaty0%
Kevin Mouanga0%
F. Mollet0%
Olivier Custodio0%
N. Butler-Oyedeji0%
B. Soppy0%
Jamie Roche0%
Alban Ajdini0%
M. Mastil0%
Theo Bergvall0%
Enzo Molebe0%
Ibrahim Bah Mendes0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Omar Janneh17%
M. Poaty0%
Kevin Mouanga0%
F. Mollet0%
Olivier Custodio0%
N. Butler-Oyedeji0%
B. Soppy0%
Jamie Roche0%
Alban Ajdini0%
M. Mastil0%
K. Sow0%
Theo Bergvall0%
S. Koné0%
S. Traore0%
Enzo Molebe0%
Ibrahim Bah Mendes0%
FC Luzern
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
M. Di Giusto33%
N. Toggenburger33%
Stefan Knežević25%
D. Mikołajewski25%
Andrejs Cigaņiks17%
K. Letica0%
S. Simoni0%
Pius Dorn0%
Leonardo Bertone0%
Tyron Owusu0%
Aurelio Oehlers0%
Loïc Lüthi0%
Rúben Dantas0%
Sascha Meyer0%
Bung Hua Freimann0%
Mio Zimmermann0%
Lucas Silva0%
Sandro Wyss0%
Oscar Kabwit0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Andrejs Cigaņiks50%
Bung Hua Freimann40%
Leonardo Bertone33%
N. Toggenburger33%
Mio Zimmermann33%
D. Mikołajewski25%
Pius Dorn20%
Tyron Owusu20%
Lucas Silva17%
K. Letica0%
S. Simoni0%
Stefan Knežević0%
M. Di Giusto0%
Aurelio Oehlers0%
Loïc Lüthi0%
Rúben Dantas0%
Sascha Meyer0%
Sandro Wyss0%
Oscar Kabwit0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aurelio Oehlers33%
D. Mikołajewski25%
Oscar Kabwit20%
M. Di Giusto17%
K. Letica0%
S. Simoni0%
Pius Dorn0%
Andrejs Cigaņiks0%
Stefan Knežević0%
Leonardo Bertone0%
Tyron Owusu0%
N. Toggenburger0%
Loïc Lüthi0%
Rúben Dantas0%
Sascha Meyer0%
Bung Hua Freimann0%
Mio Zimmermann0%
Lucas Silva0%
Sandro Wyss0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
D. Mikołajewski50%
M. Di Giusto33%
Oscar Kabwit20%
K. Letica0%
S. Simoni0%
Pius Dorn0%
Andrejs Cigaņiks0%
Stefan Knežević0%
Leonardo Bertone0%
Tyron Owusu0%
Aurelio Oehlers0%
N. Toggenburger0%
Loïc Lüthi0%
Rúben Dantas0%
Sascha Meyer0%
Bung Hua Freimann0%
Mio Zimmermann0%
Lucas Silva0%
Sandro Wyss0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (28)
€66m
FB1 (26)
€49m
FL (26)
€39m
FSG (28)
€32m
FS (28)
€30m
LAU (23)
€27m
FL (28)
€26m
SF (27)
€21m
FT (25)
€17m
GRA (35)
€16m
FZ (27)
€15m
FV (26)
€6m
Lausanne and FC Luzern have a similar squad value (both €27m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (11)
€16m
FL (11)
€15m
BYB (4)
€15m
FS (10)
€15m
FSG (11)
€12m
LAU (8)
€9m
FL (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€7m
FZ (7)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
FT (7)
€4m
FV (9)
€2m
Lausanne's attack is €6m less valuable than FC Luzern's (€9m vs €15m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (8)
€18m
FB1 (5)
€16m
SF (9)
€7m
FL (5)
€7m
FSG (6)
€6m
FS (6)
€6m
LAU (5)
€5m
FT (8)
€5m
GRA (10)
€4m
FL (5)
€3m
FZ (6)
€3m
FV (8)
€2m
Lausanne's midfield is €3m more valuable than FC Luzern's (€5m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (16)
€33m
FL (14)
€24m
FB1 (10)
€16m
FSG (11)
€14m
LAU (10)
€13m
FS (12)
€9m
SF (12)
€8m
FL (12)
€8m
FT (10)
€8m
GRA (15)
€7m
FZ (14)
€6m
FV (9)
€2m
Lausanne's defence is €5m more valuable than FC Luzern's (€13m vs €8m).
Switzerland: Super League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Super League stats & trends →