Lausanne are tipped to win, with a 49 % chance of triumph, a 27 % chance of a draw and a 24 % chance of FC Zurich taking the victory. The model expects 2.8 goals on average, with the most likely total of 2 goals at 25 %. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.7 % probability. Lausanne’s home form shows an average of 1.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded against similarly ranked opponents, while FC Zurich’s away record against similar teams averages 1.11 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.3 %), Under 7.5 (98.3 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.3 % with a 4 % edge), Away under 3.5 goals (96.4 % with a 5 % edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.1 % with a 6 % edge), Under 6.5 (95.5 % with a 5 % edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (93.5 % with a 7 % edge) and Over 19.5 fouls (92.3 %). Lausanne are coming off a defeat to FC Luzern, while FC Zurich are after two straight losses to FC Basel.
Results analysis
The upset came as Lausanne’s recent form - two straight defeats - failed to carry the pre-match favourite to victory. The final score was 2-3, an away win that left the model’s pick of a home win incorrect. The model had assigned a 49% probability to a Lausanne win, 26% to a draw and 24% to an FC Zurich win. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 98.3%; Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.1%; Away under 2.5 2H goals missed at 97.4%; Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.3%; Away under 3.5 goals hit at 96.2%; Under 6.5 hit at 95.4%; Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 94.2%; and Over 19.5 fouls hit at 92.3%. The model’s overall prediction was therefore wrong, but most of its secondary selections proved accurate.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Lausanne win✗ Miss
49.3%
Avg Implied 50.1% · @ 1.86
Edge
-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.93
Dafabet
1.91
Bet365
1.90
Superbet
1.90
Betfair
1.90
Draw✗ Miss
26.4%
Avg Implied 25.4% · @ 3.68
Edge
+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.90
Unibet
3.85
Betfair
3.80
Dafabet
3.80
10Bet
3.80
FC Zurich win✓ Hit
24.3%
Avg Implied 24.6% · @ 3.79
Edge
-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.27
10Bet
4.20
1xBet
4.03
Marathonbet
3.94
Unibet
3.85
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Lausanne
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.70
1.29
1.79
0.94
1.62
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.00
1.77
1.33
2.11
0.77
1.54
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
1.71
1.25
1.50
1.67
2.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Zurich) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Zurich
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.97
1.47
1.67
1.00
2.27
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (25)
1.20
1.96
1.31
1.77
1.08
2.17
vs Weaker (3)
2.33
1.33
2.50
1.00
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
7% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Lausanne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.2%
@ 1.17-1.7%
Under 1.5
21.8%
@ 4.64+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.19
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Under
Betfair
5.00
Pinnacle
4.95
BetVictor
4.75
10Bet
4.75
Superbet
4.70
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.3%
@ 1.57-6.0%
Under 2.5
46.7%
@ 2.29+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.65
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.60
Betfair
1.57
BetVictor
1.57
Under
10Bet
2.40
Betfair
2.38
Pinnacle
2.33
Superbet
2.32
Betano
2.32
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.0%
@ 2.43-7.6%
Under 3.5
69.0%
@ 1.53+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.55
Pinnacle
2.53
Bet365
2.50
Marathonbet
2.45
1xBet
2.45
Under
10Bet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Betano
1.55
Superbet
1.54
1xBet
1.53
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.2%
@ 1.51-4.9%
No
43.8%
@ 2.38+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.53
William Hil
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
Superbet
1.52
No
Betfair
2.45
BetVictor
2.40
Betano
2.40
William Hil
2.38
Bet365
2.38
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%@ 7.02+6.1%
2-1
9.6%@ 7.84+3.9%
1-0
9.0%@ 9.06+4.0%
2-0
8.5%@ 10.09+4.1%
0-0
7.2%@ 13.51+3.8%
1-2
6.4%@ 11.58+2.5%
0-1
5.6%@ 13.32+2.3%
2-2
5.4%@ 11.20+1.4%
Lausanne goals ↓
FC Zurich goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.2%
5.6%
3.8%
1.4%
0.4%
1
9.0%
13%
6.4%
2.4%
0.7%
2
8.5%
9.6%
5.4%
2.0%
0.6%
3
4.8%
5.4%
3.0%
1.1%
0.3%
4
2.0%
2.3%
1.3%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lausanne goals (down), columns = FC Zurich goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Lugano
3.00
BSC Young Boys
2.33
FC Sion
1.80
FC Basel 1893
1.67
FC Thun
1.40
FC ST. Gallen
1.40
FC Luzern
1.33
FC Zurich
1.00
Lausanne
1.00
Grasshoppers
0.80
Servette FC
0.80
FC Vaduz
0.50
Lausanne and FC Zurich are level in average points per game (both 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
BSC Young Boys
3.83
FC Lugano
2.80
FC Sion
2.20
FC Vaduz
2.17
FC ST. Gallen
2.00
FC Basel 1893
1.83
FC Thun
1.80
FC Zurich
1.50
Grasshoppers
1.40
FC Luzern
1.17
Lausanne
1.00
Servette FC
0.80
Lausanne is 0.50 goals worse than FC Zurich in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Lugano
0.60
Lausanne
1.17
Servette FC
1.20
FC Basel 1893
1.50
FC Luzern
1.67
FC Sion
1.80
BSC Young Boys
1.83
FC ST. Gallen
2.20
Grasshoppers
2.40
FC Zurich
2.67
FC Vaduz
2.67
FC Thun
2.80
Lausanne is 1.50 goals better than FC Zurich in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 2.67).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Sion
57%
FC ST. Gallen
56%
FC Lugano
55%
FC Vaduz
53%
Servette FC
53%
Lausanne
51%
FC Basel 1893
49%
BSC Young Boys
49%
FC Thun
46%
Grasshoppers
45%
FC Zurich
44%
FC Luzern
44%
Lausanne is 7.2 percentage points better than FC Zurich in terms of average possession (51% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Lausanne
For 4.3 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.6 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 14.6 · Total 28.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Zurich
For 3.8 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.7 · Against 11.9 · Total 26.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lausanne
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.1
11.0
5.1
4.5
5.6
24.5
23.8
25.2
vs Stronger (3)
11.0
10.5
12.0
4.3
3.0
7.0
26.7
24.5
31.0
vs Similar (39)
10.6
10.4
10.7
5.0
4.6
5.4
24.4
23.3
25.3
vs Weaker (8)
10.4
8.5
12.2
5.6
5.0
6.2
24.4
25.2
23.5
% over line
66%
54%
77%
78%
62%
92%
76%
71%
81%
% under line
34%
46%
23%
22%
38%
8%
24%
29%
19%
This opponent (FC Zurich) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Zurich
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
10.5
11.0
4.9
5.4
4.5
27.5
26.5
28.5
vs Stronger (4)
12.5
10.0
13.3
2.2
2.0
2.3
24.0
25.0
23.7
vs Similar (40)
10.7
10.8
10.6
5.2
5.7
4.7
28.1
26.4
29.9
vs Weaker (6)
10.5
9.0
12.0
5.2
4.7
5.7
25.5
27.7
23.3
% over line
64%
67%
62%
72%
83%
62%
84%
79%
88%
% under line
36%
33%
38%
28%
17%
38%
16%
21%
12%
This opponent (Lausanne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC Zurich
10.8
Lausanne
10.6
FC ST. Gallen
10.5
FC Luzern
10.4
Servette FC
10.4
FC Basel 1893
10.3
FC Thun
10.3
FC Vaduz
9.8
Grasshoppers
9.7
BSC Young Boys
9.6
FC Sion
9.5
FC Lugano
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC ST. Gallen
5.9
Grasshoppers
5.2
Lausanne
5.1
FC Thun
5.0
FC Zurich
4.9
FC Basel 1893
4.9
FC Vaduz
4.9
FC Lugano
4.6
Servette FC
4.6
FC Luzern
4.6
FC Sion
4.5
BSC Young Boys
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC ST. Gallen
30.3
FC Thun
28.0
FC Zurich
27.5
FC Basel 1893
26.6
FC Sion
26.5
FC Lugano
25.2
Grasshoppers
25.0
Lausanne
24.5
FC Vaduz
24.4
BSC Young Boys
24.1
FC Luzern
24.0
Servette FC
23.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
57.9%
@ 1.90+8.9%
Under 9.5
42.1%
@ 1.82-8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.92
Betano
1.90
Under
Unibet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.89
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.87
Betano
1.83
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
69.2%
@ 1.37+3.7%
Under 3.5
30.8%
@ 2.60-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.37
Under
Superbet
2.60
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
84.2%
Under 21.5
15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Lausanne or Draw✗ Miss
77.0%
Avg Implied 75.6% · @ 1.24
Edge
+1.5%
49%
26%
24%
covers Lausanne + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Lausanne or FC Zurich✓ Hit
76.2%
Avg Implied 75.2% · @ 1.24
Edge
+1.0%
49%
26%
24%
covers Lausanne + FC Zurich
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Betano
1.27
Betfair
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Draw or FC Zurich✓ Hit
46.7%
Avg Implied 49.2% · @ 1.90
Edge
-2.5%
49%
26%
24%
covers Draw + FC Zurich
Best 5 market prices
SBO
2.01
10Bet
2.00
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.93
Unibet
1.90
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Lausanne over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
86.1%
@ 1.12+3.4%
Under
13.9%
@ 5.39-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Under
Bet365
6.00
10Bet
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Superbet
5.35
BetVictor
5.25
Lausanne over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
58.6%
@ 1.68+3.1%
Under
41.4%
@ 2.10-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.75
Marathonbet
1.72
1xBet
1.71
BetVictor
1.70
Betano
1.70
Under
10Bet
2.20
Pinnacle
2.14
Bet365
2.10
Superbet
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Lausanne over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
31.6%
@ 3.11+1.6%
Under
68.4%
@ 1.33-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.35
BetVictor
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Marathonbet
3.16
Superbet
3.10
Under
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
Lausanne over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
13.8%
@ 6.53-0.4%
Under
86.2%
@ 1.08+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.00
Marathonbet
6.65
1xBet
6.55
Superbet
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
FC Zurich over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
71.3%
@ 1.32+0.9%
Under
28.7%
@ 3.14-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Under
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.24
Betfair
3.20
Superbet
3.20
BetVictor
3.20
FC Zurich over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
35.4%
@ 2.59-0.6%
Under
64.6%
@ 1.46+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.80
1xBet
2.68
Marathonbet
2.66
Bet365
2.62
10Bet
2.62
Under
Betano
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Superbet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.47
BetVictor
1.47
FC Zurich over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
13.1%
@ 6.12-2.1%
Under
86.9%
@ 1.09+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.75
Marathonbet
6.65
Bet365
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Betfair
6.00
Under
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
FC Zurich over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.8%
@ 14.83-2.7%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.02+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
15.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Lausanne, so a minus line means Lausanne give that many goals of a start and FC Zurich receive them. At -1, Lausanne must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Lausanne win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Lausanne)Actual: FC Zurich
Lausanne -2
15.3%
@ 5.94+0.2%
Draw -2
16.5%
@ 5.23-0.7%
FC Zurich +2
68.2%
@ 1.32+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.05
Superbet
5.90
Unibet
5.75
10Bet
5.50
Draw
Marathonbet
5.75
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.20
10Bet
5.00
Unibet
4.70
Away
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.33
Unibet
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.28
Handicap -1 (Lausanne)Actual: FC Zurich
Lausanne -1
31.8%
@ 3.10+2.7%
Draw -1
21.5%
@ 3.80-2.2%
FC Zurich +1
46.7%
@ 1.90-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.30
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.12
Superbet
3.10
10Bet
2.90
Draw
Marathonbet
4.05
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.65
Away
10Bet
2.00
Unibet
1.94
Bet365
1.91
Marathonbet
1.87
Superbet
1.87
Handicap +1 (Lausanne)Actual: Draw
Lausanne +1
77.0%
@ 1.24+4.8%
Draw +1
13.2%
@ 5.63-2.7%
FC Zurich -1
9.7%
@ 7.64-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.23
Unibet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Draw
Marathonbet
6.05
10Bet
5.75
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.45
Unibet
5.40
Away
Marathonbet
8.30
10Bet
8.00
Unibet
7.50
Bet365
7.50
Superbet
6.90
Handicap +2 (Lausanne)Actual: Lausanne
Lausanne +2
90.3%
@ 1.07+3.6%
Draw +2
6.6%
@ 11.00-1.8%
FC Zurich -2
3.1%
@ 19.00-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.07
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Away
Bet365
19.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lausanne
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.63
0.71
0.64
0.38
0.62
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.59
0.59
0.89
0.67
0.38
0.54
vs Weaker (7)
0.43
0.86
0.50
0.75
0.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Zurich) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Zurich
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.80
0.53
0.73
0.67
0.87
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
-
-
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (25)
0.60
0.84
0.46
0.77
0.75
0.92
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Lausanne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
69.9%
@ 1.28-2.5%
Under 0.5
30.1%
@ 3.37+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
BetVictor
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Under
Betfair
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.50
William Hil
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
33.9%
@ 2.29-6.7%
Under 1.5
66.1%
@ 1.57+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.43
Betano
2.37
Marathonbet
2.32
1xBet
2.32
William Hil
2.30
Under
10Bet
1.60
Superbet
1.60
Betfair
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.9%
@ 5.26-4.6%
Under 2.5
87.1%
@ 1.12+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.30
Marathonbet
5.30
Under
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.15
William Hil
1.14
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lausanne over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
51.2%
@ 1.66-4.9%
Under
48.8%
@ 2.12+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.71
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.68
1xBet
1.65
Superbet
1.65
Under
10Bet
2.20
Pinnacle
2.16
Unibet
2.14
Superbet
2.12
1xBet
2.10
Lausanne over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
17.5%
@ 4.20-4.5%
Under
82.5%
@ 1.19+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.50
Betano
4.25
1xBet
4.20
Superbet
4.10
10Bet
3.95
Under
Superbet
1.20
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
Lausanne over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.7%
@ 10.58-5.1%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.03+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.75
Under
10Bet
1.03
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
FC Zurich over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
37.8%
@ 2.19-4.5%
Under
62.2%
@ 1.61+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.29
Marathonbet
2.22
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.20
Unibet
2.15
Under
Pinnacle
1.63
Superbet
1.63
10Bet
1.62
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.60
FC Zurich over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.1%
@ 7.20-2.7%
Under
89.9%
@ 1.06+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.10
1xBet
7.50
10Bet
7.00
Superbet
6.80
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
FC Zurich over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 20.83-2.8%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
24.00
Betano
12.50
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lausanne
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
1.07
0.57
1.14
0.56
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.41
1.18
0.44
1.44
0.38
1.00
vs Weaker (7)
1.00
0.86
0.75
0.75
1.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Zurich) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Zurich
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.17
0.93
0.93
0.33
1.40
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.50
-
-
0.00
2.50
vs Similar (25)
0.60
1.12
0.85
1.00
0.33
1.25
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.67
1.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Lausanne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.2%
@ 1.16-0.4%
Under 0.5
19.8%
@ 4.81+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.13
Under
Bet365
5.00
Betano
4.85
Superbet
4.80
Marathonbet
4.80
1xBet
4.80
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
46.7%
@ 1.78-5.6%
Under 1.5
53.3%
@ 1.96+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.79
Unibet
1.77
Under
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
1.96
1xBet
1.96
William Hil
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
20.8%
@ 3.40-6.6%
Under 2.5
79.2%
@ 1.28+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
Marathonbet
3.42
1xBet
3.42
William Hil
3.40
Superbet
3.40
Under
Betano
1.33
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lausanne over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
63.6%
@ 1.44-1.0%
Under
36.4%
@ 2.62+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.46
1xBet
1.45
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.40
Under
10Bet
2.75
Betano
2.65
Superbet
2.55
1xBet
2.55
Lausanne over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
22.4%
@ 3.03-8.1%
Under
77.6%
@ 1.33+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.15
Marathonbet
3.14
1xBet
3.00
Betano
3.00
10Bet
2.88
Under
Betano
1.36
10Bet
1.36
1xBet
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
Lausanne over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.8%
@ 7.47-6.6%
Under
94.2%
@ 1.06+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.10
Superbet
7.90
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.90
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
FC Zurich over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
45.5%
@ 1.82-5.5%
Under
54.5%
@ 1.89+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.83
Superbet
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Betano
1.78
Under
Betano
1.95
Superbet
1.90
10Bet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.83
FC Zurich over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
13.4%
@ 5.12-4.6%
Under
86.6%
@ 1.13+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.55
1xBet
5.40
10Bet
5.00
Superbet
5.00
Betano
4.65
Under
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
FC Zurich over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
2.6%
@ 14.17-4.1%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.02+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Superbet
15.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.1%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+4.1%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.3%
1.03
10Bet
1.03
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.2%
1.06
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
-
+6.6%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
92.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
90.3%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.9%
1.06
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
89.2%
1.06
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Unibet
1.06
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.1%
1.12
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.15
William Hil
1.14
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.11
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
86.9%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
+2.1%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.6%
1.13
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
+4.6%
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
86.2%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
86.1%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
82.5%
1.19
Superbet
1.20
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.2%
1.16
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.13
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.2%
1.28
Betano
1.33
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
+6.6%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
78.2%
1.17
Pinnacle
1.19
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
-1.7%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
77.7%
1.20
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
-0.3%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
77.6%
1.33
Betano
1.36
10Bet
1.36
1xBet
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
+8.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
77.0%
1.24
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
William Hil
1.25
+1.5%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
77.0%
1.24
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.23
Unibet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
+4.8%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
76.2%
1.24
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Betano
1.27
Betfair
1.25
William Hil
1.25
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
71.3%
1.32
Pinnacle
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.32
+0.9%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Lausanne
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
F. Mollet33%
Enzo Molebe33%
Ibrahim Bah Mendes33%
N. Butler-Oyedeji17%
Omar Janneh17%
M. Poaty0%
Kevin Mouanga0%
Olivier Custodio0%
B. Soppy0%
Jamie Roche0%
Alban Ajdini0%
M. Mastil0%
K. Sow0%
Theo Bergvall0%
S. Koné0%
S. Traore0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Olivier Custodio50%
K. Sow50%
M. Poaty33%
F. Mollet33%
Ibrahim Bah Mendes33%
Theo Bergvall25%
N. Butler-Oyedeji17%
B. Soppy17%
S. Koné17%
Omar Janneh17%
Kevin Mouanga0%
Jamie Roche0%
Alban Ajdini0%
M. Mastil0%
S. Traore0%
Enzo Molebe0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
S. Traore25%
K. Sow17%
S. Koné17%
Omar Janneh17%
M. Poaty0%
Kevin Mouanga0%
F. Mollet0%
Olivier Custodio0%
N. Butler-Oyedeji0%
B. Soppy0%
Jamie Roche0%
Alban Ajdini0%
M. Mastil0%
Theo Bergvall0%
Enzo Molebe0%
Ibrahim Bah Mendes0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Omar Janneh17%
M. Poaty0%
Kevin Mouanga0%
F. Mollet0%
Olivier Custodio0%
N. Butler-Oyedeji0%
B. Soppy0%
Jamie Roche0%
Alban Ajdini0%
M. Mastil0%
K. Sow0%
Theo Bergvall0%
S. Koné0%
S. Traore0%
Enzo Molebe0%
Ibrahim Bah Mendes0%
FC Zurich
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
V. Berisha33%
L. Kamberi33%
Umeh Emmanuel33%
M. Reichmuth20%
Bledian Krasniqi17%
P. Keny17%
Mohamed Bangoura17%
Alexander Hack0%
H. Lindner0%
Ilan Sauter0%
K. Spadanuda0%
Livano Comenencia0%
Selmin Hodza0%
N. Volken0%
L. Schodler0%
S. Walker0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
V. Berisha67%
Livano Comenencia50%
Alexander Hack40%
Selmin Hodza40%
K. Spadanuda33%
N. Volken33%
S. Walker25%
P. Keny17%
L. Kamberi17%
Umeh Emmanuel17%
L. Schodler17%
Bledian Krasniqi0%
H. Lindner0%
Ilan Sauter0%
M. Reichmuth0%
Mohamed Bangoura0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
V. Berisha33%
M. Reichmuth20%
Selmin Hodza20%
P. Keny17%
Umeh Emmanuel17%
L. Schodler17%
Bledian Krasniqi0%
Alexander Hack0%
H. Lindner0%
Ilan Sauter0%
L. Kamberi0%
K. Spadanuda0%
Livano Comenencia0%
N. Volken0%
Mohamed Bangoura0%
S. Walker0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
P. Keny17%
Bledian Krasniqi0%
V. Berisha0%
Alexander Hack0%
H. Lindner0%
Ilan Sauter0%
L. Kamberi0%
K. Spadanuda0%
Livano Comenencia0%
M. Reichmuth0%
Selmin Hodza0%
Umeh Emmanuel0%
N. Volken0%
Mohamed Bangoura0%
L. Schodler0%
S. Walker0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (28)
€66m
FB1 (26)
€49m
FL (26)
€39m
FSG (28)
€32m
FS (28)
€30m
LAU (23)
€27m
FL (28)
€26m
SF (27)
€21m
FT (25)
€17m
GRA (35)
€16m
FZ (27)
€15m
FV (26)
€6m
Lausanne's squad is €12m more valuable than FC Zurich's (€27m vs €15m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (11)
€16m
FL (11)
€15m
BYB (4)
€15m
FS (10)
€15m
FSG (11)
€12m
LAU (8)
€9m
FL (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€7m
FZ (7)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
FT (7)
€4m
FV (9)
€2m
Lausanne's attack is €2m more valuable than FC Zurich's (€9m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (8)
€18m
FB1 (5)
€16m
SF (9)
€7m
FL (5)
€7m
FSG (6)
€6m
FS (6)
€6m
LAU (5)
€5m
FT (8)
€5m
GRA (10)
€4m
FL (5)
€3m
FZ (6)
€3m
FV (8)
€2m
Lausanne's midfield is €3m more valuable than FC Zurich's (€5m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (16)
€33m
FL (14)
€24m
FB1 (10)
€16m
FSG (11)
€14m
LAU (10)
€13m
FS (12)
€9m
SF (12)
€8m
FL (12)
€8m
FT (10)
€8m
GRA (15)
€7m
FZ (14)
€6m
FV (9)
€2m
Lausanne's defence is €7m more valuable than FC Zurich's (€13m vs €6m).
Switzerland: Super League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Super League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Lugano
BSC Young Boys
FC Basel 1893
FC Sion
FC Luzern
FC ST. Gallen
FC Thun
Servette FC
Grasshoppers
FC Vaduz