Laval are tipped to win in a tightly contested Ligue 2 clash, with the model favouring a home victory. The expected goal tally sits at 2.7, centring on a 2-goal total that carries a 26 % probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13.3 % chance. Laval’s home form shows they average 1.18 goals for and 1.27 against against similar opposition, while Grenoble’s away record is 1.0 for and 1.57 against the same tier. The home win probability is 43 %, the draw 28 %, and the away win 29 %. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.4 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.3 %), Under 6.5 (98.0 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.7 % with a 5 % edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.6 % with a 4 % edge), Away under 3.5 goals (96.7 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (94.9 % with a 4 % edge) and Under 5.5 (94.4 % with a 1 % edge). Laval’s recent draw against Metz and Grenoble’s heavy defeat to Saint Étienne set the stage for a cautious, low-scoring affair.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Laval, failed to deliver as the model predicted a home win with a 45% chance. Instead Grenoble triumphed 3-0, a result that marked the end of Laval’s recent defeat and the continuation of Grenoble’s winning streak. The model’s call was wrong. The final score was 0-3, an away win. The model’s other selections all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.4%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.4%, Under 6.5 at 98.0%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.7%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.6%, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.0%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 95.3%, and Under 5.5 at 94.4%. The match delivered a low-scoring, defensive display that matched the model’s predictions for a tight game.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Laval win✗ Miss
44.8%
Avg Implied 45.1% · @ 2.07
Edge
-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.15
Dafabet
2.14
Pinnacle
2.13
10Bet
2.10
Betano
2.10
Draw✗ Miss
27.8%
Avg Implied 29.4% · @ 3.17
Edge
-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
3.40
1xBet
3.40
BetVictor
3.30
Betfair
3.25
Superbet
3.20
Grenoble win✓ Hit
27.5%
Avg Implied 25.5% · @ 3.66
Edge
+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.93
Betano
3.85
Dafabet
3.75
Unibet
3.75
10Bet
3.70
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Laval
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.33
1.69
1.23
0.76
1.41
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
2.25
2.00
1.50
0.33
2.50
vs Similar (22)
1.32
1.00
1.64
1.18
1.00
0.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Grenoble) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grenoble
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.27
0.73
0.87
1.27
1.67
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
4.00
vs Similar (26)
1.04
1.31
0.85
1.00
1.23
1.62
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Laval) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.1%
@ 1.34+6.5%
Under 1.5
23.9%
@ 3.09-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
Superbet
1.37
Betfair
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.25
Pinnacle
3.17
Superbet
3.15
Betano
3.10
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.4%
@ 2.12+5.8%
Under 2.5
49.6%
@ 1.70-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.20
Betano
2.18
SBO
2.16
10Bet
2.15
Superbet
2.15
Under
Betfair
1.73
1xBet
1.72
Betano
1.72
Pinnacle
1.71
Superbet
1.71
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.3%
@ 3.77+3.6%
Under 3.5
71.7%
@ 1.24-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.97
BetVictor
3.90
10Bet
3.85
Superbet
3.85
Betfair
3.80
Under
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.9%
@ 1.84+4.6%
No
45.1%
@ 1.86-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
William Hil
1.85
Superbet
1.85
1xBet
1.84
No
Betano
1.91
Betfair
1.90
Superbet
1.88
1xBet
1.86
Unibet
1.86
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%@ 5.81+5.6%
2-1
9.2%@ 8.17+3.8%
1-0
9.2%@ 6.34+2.2%
0-0
8.0%@ 8.34+2.7%
2-0
8.0%@ 9.01+3.1%
1-2
7.0%@ 11.53+3.1%
0-1
6.7%@ 8.99+1.7%
2-2
5.3%@ 13.74+2.1%
Laval goals ↓
Grenoble goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.0%
6.7%
4.5%
1.7%
0.5%
1
9.2%
13%
7.0%
2.7%
0.8%
2
8.0%
9.2%
5.3%
2.1%
0.6%
3
4.1%
4.7%
2.7%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.6%
1.8%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Laval goals (down), columns = Grenoble goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Nantes
1.92
Saint Etienne
1.75
Rodez
1.67
Reims
1.67
RED Star FC 93
1.67
Metz
1.64
Annecy
1.53
Montpellier
1.47
PAU
1.33
Dunkerque
1.28
Sochaux
1.11
Guingamp
1.11
Grenoble
1.08
Clermont Foot
1.06
Dijon
1.03
Nancy
1.03
Boulogne
1.03
Laval
0.97
Laval is 0.11 points worse than Grenoble in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 1.08).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nantes
1.80
Saint Etienne
1.72
Dunkerque
1.56
Reims
1.56
Metz
1.54
PAU
1.42
Annecy
1.42
RED Star FC 93
1.36
Rodez
1.31
Guingamp
1.22
Montpellier
1.19
Clermont Foot
1.11
Sochaux
1.05
Boulogne
1.03
Nancy
1.00
Dijon
0.97
Grenoble
0.92
Laval
0.84
Laval is 0.07 goals worse than Grenoble in terms of goals scored per game (0.84 vs 0.92).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Nantes
0.85
Montpellier
0.92
Metz
1.00
Reims
1.03
Saint Etienne
1.11
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.14
Annecy
1.14
Grenoble
1.19
Dunkerque
1.28
Clermont Foot
1.31
Laval
1.32
Sochaux
1.47
Boulogne
1.47
Nancy
1.53
Guingamp
1.56
Dijon
1.58
PAU
1.81
Laval is 0.12 goals worse than Grenoble in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 1.19).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Saint Etienne
59%
Reims
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Guingamp
56%
RED Star FC 93
54%
Montpellier
52%
PAU
51%
Clermont Foot
50%
Laval
47%
Boulogne
46%
Annecy
45%
Grenoble
44%
Nancy
42%
Rodez
40%
Laval is 2.6 percentage points better than Grenoble in terms of average possession (47% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Laval
For 4.3 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 13.8 · Total 26.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Grenoble
For 1.8 · Against 6.3 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 13.1 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Laval
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
11.7
9.2
3.8
4.0
3.7
28.5
28.4
28.6
vs Stronger (12)
10.7
11.3
10.0
3.7
3.8
3.5
26.7
25.8
27.5
vs Similar (37)
10.2
11.8
8.9
3.9
4.0
3.9
29.1
29.4
28.9
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
58%
74%
44%
48%
38%
58%
92%
91%
92%
% under line
42%
26%
56%
52%
62%
42%
8%
9%
8%
This opponent (Grenoble) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grenoble
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.5
9.4
3.5
3.0
3.9
26.0
26.7
25.2
vs Stronger (7)
9.7
10.8
8.3
3.1
2.5
4.0
26.0
25.0
27.3
vs Similar (42)
9.4
9.2
9.5
3.6
3.2
4.0
26.0
27.1
25.0
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
52%
48%
56%
48%
43%
52%
77%
83%
72%
% under line
48%
52%
44%
52%
57%
48%
23%
17%
28%
This opponent (Laval) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Laval
10.4
Rodez
9.9
Grenoble
9.7
Montpellier
9.6
Nancy
9.5
Saint Etienne
9.5
Metz
9.5
PAU
9.4
Nantes
9.3
Dijon
9.3
Sochaux
9.2
Clermont Foot
9.1
Guingamp
9.1
Reims
8.7
Boulogne
8.6
Dunkerque
8.6
Annecy
8.5
RED Star FC 93
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Guingamp
4.7
PAU
4.5
Nantes
4.5
Boulogne
4.4
Sochaux
4.3
Annecy
4.2
Montpellier
4.2
Rodez
4.1
Reims
4.1
Laval
4.0
Nancy
4.0
Dunkerque
4.0
Clermont Foot
3.9
RED Star FC 93
3.9
Metz
3.8
Saint Etienne
3.8
Grenoble
3.8
Dijon
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Montpellier
29.8
Nancy
29.1
Annecy
28.5
Boulogne
28.4
Laval
28.2
Guingamp
27.7
Dijon
27.6
RED Star FC 93
26.7
Clermont Foot
26.7
Nantes
26.7
Saint Etienne
26.4
Sochaux
26.2
PAU
25.9
Dunkerque
25.9
Grenoble
25.8
Rodez
25.8
Reims
24.7
Metz
23.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
52.6%
@ 1.80+0.9%
Under 9.5
47.4%
@ 1.93-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.93
1xBet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.88
Betano
1.82
10Bet
1.73
Under
Superbet
2.05
10Bet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Unibet
1.98
Betano
1.91
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
59.8%
@ 1.70+6.1%
Under 3.5
40.2%
@ 1.97-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.70
Under
Superbet
1.97
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
87.0%
Under 21.5
13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Laval or Draw✗ Miss
72.5%
Avg Implied 74.2% · @ 1.26
Edge
-1.7%
45%
28%
27%
covers Laval + Draw
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
Laval or Grenoble✓ Hit
72.2%
Avg Implied 71.3% · @ 1.31
Edge
+0.9%
45%
28%
27%
covers Laval + Grenoble
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.36
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Unibet
1.32
Draw or Grenoble✓ Hit
55.2%
Avg Implied 54.4% · @ 1.72
Edge
+0.8%
45%
28%
27%
covers Draw + Grenoble
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.76
SBO
1.75
Betano
1.75
Betfair
1.73
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Laval over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
78.4%
@ 1.23+3.2%
Under
21.6%
@ 3.74-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Under
Pinnacle
4.02
Marathonbet
3.84
BetVictor
3.80
1xBet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Laval over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
45.3%
@ 2.19+2.7%
Under
54.7%
@ 1.63-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.30
10Bet
2.25
Superbet
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Under
1xBet
1.66
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
Bet365
1.62
Laval over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.9%
@ 4.83+0.7%
Under
80.1%
@ 1.15-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.90
Under
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
10Bet
1.14
Laval over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.0%
@ 11.25-1.5%
Under
93.0%
@ 1.04+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
12.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Grenoble over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
68.5%
@ 1.46+5.0%
Under
31.5%
@ 2.55-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.47
Under
Pinnacle
2.69
Betfair
2.63
Superbet
2.57
Betano
2.57
BetVictor
2.55
Grenoble over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
32.1%
@ 3.32+4.1%
Under
67.9%
@ 1.29-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.52
Marathonbet
3.44
1xBet
3.42
Bet365
3.40
10Bet
3.30
Under
Superbet
1.31
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Grenoble over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
11.1%
@ 9.08+0.8%
Under
88.9%
@ 1.04-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.00
Bet365
10.00
1xBet
9.80
Betfair
8.50
Superbet
8.30
Under
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Betano
1.06
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Grenoble over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.0%
@ 20.83-1.6%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.01+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
26.00
Superbet
24.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Laval, so a minus line means Laval give that many goals of a start and Grenoble receive them. At -1, Laval must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Laval win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Laval)Actual: Grenoble
Laval -2
9.3%
@ 8.82-0.9%
Draw -2
13.9%
@ 5.84-1.5%
Grenoble +2
76.8%
@ 1.21+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
10.00
10Bet
9.00
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
8.70
Superbet
8.20
Draw
Marathonbet
6.10
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Superbet
5.70
Away
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Handicap -1 (Laval)Actual: Grenoble
Laval -1
23.2%
@ 3.91+0.4%
Draw -1
21.6%
@ 3.61-3.1%
Grenoble +1
55.2%
@ 1.70+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Superbet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.82
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.65
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
Away
Marathonbet
1.76
10Bet
1.70
Superbet
1.70
Unibet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Handicap +1 (Laval)Actual: Grenoble
Laval +1
72.5%
@ 1.25+1.0%
Draw +1
16.0%
@ 5.14-1.4%
Grenoble -1
11.5%
@ 8.17+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.25
Superbet
5.10
10Bet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Away
Marathonbet
8.70
Bet365
8.50
Betfair
8.50
10Bet
8.50
Unibet
7.50
Handicap +2 (Laval)Actual: Grenoble
Laval +2
88.5%
@ 1.06+1.5%
Draw +2
7.9%
@ 10.80-0.6%
Grenoble -2
3.6%
@ 20.67-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Betfair
11.00
Superbet
9.40
Away
Betfair
23.00
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
18.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Laval
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.40
0.77
0.31
0.29
0.47
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.17
1.17
vs Similar (22)
0.55
0.18
0.73
0.27
0.36
0.09
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Grenoble) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grenoble
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.43
0.40
0.27
0.53
0.60
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (26)
0.46
0.38
0.46
0.31
0.46
0.46
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Laval) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
67.7%
@ 1.43+2.5%
Under 0.5
32.3%
@ 2.67-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.53
Pinnacle
1.45
Superbet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
Under
Betfair
2.88
William Hil
2.75
Pinnacle
2.74
Superbet
2.72
1xBet
2.69
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
30.3%
@ 3.04-0.3%
Under 1.5
69.7%
@ 1.34+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.22
Betano
3.20
Marathonbet
3.10
1xBet
3.04
Under
Superbet
1.37
William Hil
1.36
10Bet
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
Betano
1.35
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.3%
@ 8.09-1.3%
Under 2.5
89.7%
@ 1.05+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
8.20
1xBet
8.10
Betfair
8.00
William Hil
8.00
Under
Betano
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Laval over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
46.6%
@ 1.95-0.9%
Under
53.4%
@ 1.77+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.03
Betano
2.00
Superbet
1.95
10Bet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.93
Under
Pinnacle
1.78
1xBet
1.77
Superbet
1.77
10Bet
1.77
Unibet
1.76
Laval over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.0%
@ 5.94-3.6%
Under
88.0%
@ 1.10+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.40
1xBet
6.30
10Bet
5.75
Superbet
5.65
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
Laval over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 16.50-3.4%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.01+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
19.00
10Bet
19.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Grenoble over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
37.1%
@ 2.52+0.3%
Under
62.9%
@ 1.46-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.64
Betano
2.60
Marathonbet
2.53
1xBet
2.51
Superbet
2.50
Under
10Bet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.45
Unibet
1.45
Grenoble over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
8.8%
@ 9.35-1.2%
Under
91.2%
@ 1.04+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.75
1xBet
10.70
Superbet
8.80
Betano
8.50
10Bet
8.00
Under
10Bet
1.05
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Grenoble over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.6%
@ 37.00-98.4%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
37.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Laval
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.93
0.92
0.92
0.47
0.94
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
1.25
1.00
1.00
0.17
1.33
vs Similar (22)
0.77
0.82
0.91
0.91
0.64
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Grenoble) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grenoble
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.83
0.33
0.60
0.73
1.07
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.58
0.92
0.38
0.69
0.77
1.15
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Laval) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.4%
@ 1.27+2.2%
Under 0.5
24.6%
@ 3.48-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.24
Under
Betano
3.50
Superbet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
42.3%
@ 2.27+1.4%
Under 1.5
57.7%
@ 1.58-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.32
Marathonbet
2.31
1xBet
2.29
Betano
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Under
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.59
1xBet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.57
William Hil
1.57
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.0%
@ 5.17-0.1%
Under 2.5
82.0%
@ 1.14+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.30
Marathonbet
5.30
1xBet
5.20
William Hil
5.00
Under
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Laval over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
56.0%
@ 1.68+0.8%
Under
44.0%
@ 2.07-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
1xBet
1.65
Under
1xBet
2.10
Betano
2.10
Marathonbet
2.06
10Bet
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Laval over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
20.0%
@ 4.31-1.5%
Under
80.0%
@ 1.18+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Superbet
4.40
1xBet
4.10
Betano
4.05
Under
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Laval over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.7%
@ 11.42-3.6%
Under
95.3%
@ 1.03+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
10Bet
12.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Grenoble over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
47.0%
@ 2.09+2.6%
Under
53.0%
@ 1.67-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Superbet
2.07
Betano
2.05
Under
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.67
1xBet
1.66
10Bet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.63
Grenoble over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.1%
@ 6.78-1.6%
Under
87.9%
@ 1.07+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.60
10Bet
7.00
1xBet
6.80
Superbet
6.50
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
Grenoble over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 17.00-3.3%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.01+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
22.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.0%
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.7%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.0%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.3%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.0%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.03
-
-
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.2%
1.04
10Bet
1.05
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
+1.2%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.7%
1.05
Betano
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.05
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
88.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Betano
1.06
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.02
-0.8%
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
88.5%
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
-
-
+1.5%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.0%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.9%
1.07
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
86.5%
1.06
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
10Bet
1.07
-1.3%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.0%
1.14
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
+0.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
80.1%
1.15
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
10Bet
1.14
-0.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.0%
1.18
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
78.5%
1.28
Superbet
1.28
-
-
-
-
+8.4%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
78.4%
1.23
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
+3.2%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
76.8%
1.21
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Unibet
1.20
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.1%
1.34
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
Superbet
1.37
Betfair
1.33
+6.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.4%
1.27
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.24
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
72.5%
1.26
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
-1.7%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
72.5%
1.25
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+1.0%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
72.2%
1.31
Superbet
1.36
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Unibet
1.32
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
71.7%
1.24
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
-3.6%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.1%
1.33
Superbet
1.44
Unibet
1.38
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
+2.4%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Laval
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Julien Maggiotti33%
Ethan Clavreul33%
Trévis Dago25%
Mathis Houdayer25%
Mamadou Samassa0%
Cyril Mandouki0%
William Bianda0%
Aboubacar Lô0%
Sam Sanna0%
Jules Gaudin0%
Chafik Gourichy0%
Esteban Mouton0%
Mamadou Sidibé0%
Yanis Court0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Julien Maggiotti67%
Mamadou Sidibé33%
Jules Gaudin25%
Trévis Dago25%
Mamadou Samassa0%
Cyril Mandouki0%
William Bianda0%
Aboubacar Lô0%
Sam Sanna0%
Chafik Gourichy0%
Esteban Mouton0%
Ethan Clavreul0%
Mathis Houdayer0%
Yanis Court0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Esteban Mouton33%
Ethan Clavreul33%
Mamadou Samassa0%
Cyril Mandouki0%
William Bianda0%
Julien Maggiotti0%
Aboubacar Lô0%
Sam Sanna0%
Jules Gaudin0%
Chafik Gourichy0%
Trévis Dago0%
Mathis Houdayer0%
Mamadou Sidibé0%
Yanis Court0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mathis Houdayer25%
Mamadou Samassa0%
Cyril Mandouki0%
William Bianda0%
Julien Maggiotti0%
Aboubacar Lô0%
Sam Sanna0%
Jules Gaudin0%
Chafik Gourichy0%
Trévis Dago0%
Esteban Mouton0%
Ethan Clavreul0%
Mamadou Sidibé0%
Yanis Court0%
Grenoble
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Baptiste Mouazan33%
Yadaly Diaby33%
Samba Diba33%
Kyliann Fofana25%
Yohann Magnin0%
Alexandre Olliero0%
Clément Vidal0%
Ugo Bonnet0%
Mael Corboz0%
Lucas Bernadou0%
Matthéo Xantippe0%
Leonardo Cerri0%
Nesta Zahui0%
Jean-Guy Akpa Akpro0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yohann Magnin50%
Clément Vidal50%
Jean-Guy Akpa Akpro50%
Baptiste Mouazan33%
Samba Diba33%
Matthéo Xantippe25%
Kyliann Fofana25%
Alexandre Olliero0%
Ugo Bonnet0%
Mael Corboz0%
Lucas Bernadou0%
Yadaly Diaby0%
Leonardo Cerri0%
Nesta Zahui0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Yohann Magnin25%
Matthéo Xantippe25%
Alexandre Olliero0%
Clément Vidal0%
Ugo Bonnet0%
Mael Corboz0%
Lucas Bernadou0%
Baptiste Mouazan0%
Yadaly Diaby0%
Leonardo Cerri0%
Nesta Zahui0%
Samba Diba0%
Jean-Guy Akpa Akpro0%
Kyliann Fofana0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yadaly Diaby33%
Yohann Magnin0%
Alexandre Olliero0%
Clément Vidal0%
Ugo Bonnet0%
Mael Corboz0%
Lucas Bernadou0%
Baptiste Mouazan0%
Matthéo Xantippe0%
Leonardo Cerri0%
Nesta Zahui0%
Samba Diba0%
Jean-Guy Akpa Akpro0%
Kyliann Fofana0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SE (30)
€93m
NAN (25)
€82m
REI (30)
€72m
MET (26)
€43m
MON (24)
€29m
ROD (23)
€15m
CF (21)
€15m
RSF (22)
€15m
PAU (20)
€14m
NAN (26)
€13m
GRE (27)
€12m
GUI (20)
€11m
DUN (21)
€11m
ANN (21)
€10m
LAV (24)
€9m
BOU (23)
€8m
SOC (20)
€7m
DIJ (20)
€5m
Laval's squad is €3m less valuable than Grenoble's (€9m vs €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SE (10)
€54m
REI (12)
€38m
NAN (8)
€31m
MET (11)
€17m
MON (9)
€11m
PAU (6)
€6m
GRE (12)
€5m
NAN (9)
€5m
DUN (7)
€4m
RSF (6)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
GUI (4)
€3m
ANN (7)
€3m
SOC (8)
€3m
BOU (6)
€2m
CF (5)
€2m
LAV (7)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€1m
Laval's attack is €3m less valuable than Grenoble's (€2m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MET (5)
€18m
NAN (7)
€16m
REI (6)
€13m
SE (7)
€11m
MON (5)
€6m
GUI (8)
€4m
ROD (6)
€4m
RSF (5)
€3m
ANN (6)
€3m
LAV (7)
€3m
GRE (5)
€3m
CF (4)
€3m
BOU (6)
€3m
NAN (6)
€2m
PAU (4)
€2m
DIJ (6)
€2m
DUN (5)
€1m
SOC (3)
€1m
Laval and Grenoble have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAN (10)
€34m
SE (13)
€28m
REI (12)
€21m
MON (10)
€12m
CF (12)
€10m
MET (10)
€8m
ROD (10)
€7m
RSF (11)
€7m
NAN (11)
€6m
PAU (10)
€6m
DUN (9)
€5m
LAV (10)
€4m
ANN (8)
€4m
GRE (10)
€4m
SOC (9)
€3m
BOU (11)
€3m
GUI (8)
€3m
DIJ (7)
€2m
Laval and Grenoble have a similar defence value (both €4m).
France: Ligue 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Saint Etienne
Reims
Montpellier
Rodez
Nancy
Annecy
Metz
RED Star FC 93
Sochaux
Dunkerque
Guingamp
PAU
Boulogne
Clermont Foot
Dijon
Nantes