This opponent (Nieciecza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nieciecza
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.43
1.44
1.44
1.71
1.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.54
1.42
1.43
1.43
1.67
1.42
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
1.50
1.50
1.50
2.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Lechia Gdansk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.2%
Under 1.5
19.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.5%
Under 2.5
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.1%
Under 3.5
65.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.1%
No
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.6%
1-0
10.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.2%
3-1 ✓
7.0%
0-0
6.1%
4-0
5.0%
Lechia Gdansk goals ↓
Nieciecza goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.1%
3.1%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
1
11%
9.6%
3.3%
0.8%
0.2%
2
13%
9.5%
3.6%
0.9%
0.2%
3
9.2%
7.0%
2.6%
0.7%
0.1%
4
5.0%
3.8%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lechia Gdansk goals (down), columns = Nieciecza goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lechia Gdansk
2.00
GKS Katowice
1.82
Arka Gdynia
1.81
Motor Lublin
1.67
Górnik Łęczna
1.60
Odra Opole
1.51
Miedz Legnica
1.50
Tychy 71
1.50
Wisla Plock
1.50
Wisla Krakow
1.47
Stal Rzeszów
1.41
Chrobry Głogów
1.24
Znicz Pruszków
1.24
Nieciecza
1.21
Polonia Warszawa
1.03
Resovia Rzeszów
1.00
Podbeskidzie
0.68
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0.47
Lechia Gdansk is 0.79 points better than Nieciecza in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
GKS Katowice
2.00
Wisla Krakow
1.82
Lechia Gdansk
1.76
Nieciecza
1.65
Arka Gdynia
1.58
Stal Rzeszów
1.56
Miedz Legnica
1.53
Motor Lublin
1.42
Wisla Plock
1.35
Tychy 71
1.26
Odra Opole
1.26
Polonia Warszawa
1.21
Resovia Rzeszów
1.15
Chrobry Głogów
1.03
Górnik Łęczna
1.00
Znicz Pruszków
1.00
Podbeskidzie
0.76
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0.62
Lechia Gdansk is 0.12 goals better than Nieciecza in terms of goals scored per game (1.76 vs 1.65).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Górnik Łęczna
0.83
Lechia Gdansk
1.00
Odra Opole
1.03
GKS Katowice
1.03
Arka Gdynia
1.06
Miedz Legnica
1.06
Motor Lublin
1.19
Znicz Pruszków
1.29
Wisla Plock
1.35
Tychy 71
1.38
Chrobry Głogów
1.44
Polonia Warszawa
1.47
Wisla Krakow
1.47
Nieciecza
1.53
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1.62
Podbeskidzie
1.74
Stal Rzeszów
1.76
Resovia Rzeszów
1.76
Lechia Gdansk is 0.53 goals better than Nieciecza in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.53).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lechia Gdansk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.33
1.00
0.27
0.47
0.40
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.57
0.21
0.71
0.43
0.43
0.00
vs Weaker (15)
0.93
0.47
1.43
0.14
0.50
0.75
Clean sheet %
73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Nieciecza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nieciecza
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.47
0.69
0.50
0.71
0.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.69
0.42
0.71
0.43
0.67
0.42
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.75
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Lechia Gdansk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lechia Gdansk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lechia Gdansk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lechia Gdansk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nieciecza over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nieciecza over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nieciecza over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lechia Gdansk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.47
1.00
0.33
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.50
0.57
1.00
0.57
0.00
0.57
vs Weaker (15)
1.07
0.40
1.00
0.14
1.12
0.62
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Nieciecza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nieciecza
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.97
0.75
0.94
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.85
1.00
0.71
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.75
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Lechia Gdansk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lechia Gdansk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lechia Gdansk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lechia Gdansk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nieciecza over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nieciecza over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nieciecza over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Lechia Gdansk · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tomáš Bobček47%
Ivan Zhelyzko23%
Rifet Kapić16%
Dawid Kurminowski13%
Camilo Mena13%
Kacper Sezonienko13%
Aleksandar Ćirković12%
Mohamed Awadalla12%
Bogdan Viunnyk12%
Tomasz Neugebauer9%
Bujar Pllana6%
Matej Rodin4%
Maksym Diachuk4%
Matúš Vojtko3%
Miłosz Kałahur0%
Alvis Jaunzems0%
Alex Paulsen0%
Elias Olsson0%
Bartłomiej Kłudka0%
Szymon Weirauch0%
Tomasz Wójtowicz0%
Anton Tsarenko0%
Michal Głogowski0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Miłosz Kałahur33%
Ivan Zhelyzko30%
Rifet Kapić25%
Elias Olsson25%
Mohamed Awadalla25%
Bujar Pllana24%
Camilo Mena19%
Matúš Vojtko19%
Tomasz Neugebauer19%
Tomáš Bobček17%
Maksym Diachuk15%
Kacper Sezonienko13%
Aleksandar Ćirković12%
Matej Rodin12%
Tomasz Wójtowicz9%
Dawid Kurminowski9%
Alex Paulsen8%
Bogdan Viunnyk8%
Bartłomiej Kłudka6%
Alvis Jaunzems0%
Szymon Weirauch0%
Anton Tsarenko0%
Michal Głogowski0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Camilo Mena23%
Tomáš Bobček17%
Aleksandar Ćirković17%
Ivan Zhelyzko17%
Anton Tsarenko14%
Elias Olsson12%
Matej Rodin12%
Alvis Jaunzems11%
Matúš Vojtko10%
Rifet Kapić9%
Kacper Sezonienko6%
Tomasz Neugebauer6%
Dawid Kurminowski4%
Maksym Diachuk4%
Miłosz Kałahur0%
Alex Paulsen0%
Bogdan Viunnyk0%
Bujar Pllana0%
Bartłomiej Kłudka0%
Szymon Weirauch0%
Tomasz Wójtowicz0%
Michal Głogowski0%
Mohamed Awadalla0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tomáš Bobček57%
Aleksandar Ćirković21%
Camilo Mena13%
Ivan Zhelyzko10%
Bogdan Viunnyk8%
Matej Rodin8%
Bujar Pllana6%
Dawid Kurminowski4%
Miłosz Kałahur0%
Matúš Vojtko0%
Alvis Jaunzems0%
Rifet Kapić0%
Alex Paulsen0%
Maksym Diachuk0%
Elias Olsson0%
Kacper Sezonienko0%
Bartłomiej Kłudka0%
Szymon Weirauch0%
Tomasz Neugebauer0%
Tomasz Wójtowicz0%
Anton Tsarenko0%
Michal Głogowski0%
Mohamed Awadalla0%
Nieciecza · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kamil Zapolnik23%
Ivan Durdov19%
Rafał Kurzawa17%
Jesús Jiménez16%
Krzysztof Kubica16%
Damian Hilbrycht15%
Morgan Fassbender10%
Andrzej Trubeha10%
Arkadiusz Kasperkiewicz7%
Artem Putivtsev6%
Sergio Guerrero4%
Igor Strzałek4%
Isik Gabriel3%
Maciej Ambrosiewicz3%
Lucas Masoero0%
Bartosz Kopacz0%
Maciej Wolski0%
Miłosz Mleczko0%
Radu Boboc0%
Adrián Chovan0%
Dominik Biniek0%
Miłosz Matysik0%
Wojciech Jakubik0%
Diego Deisadze0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Artem Putivtsev33%
Krzysztof Kubica28%
Maciej Ambrosiewicz21%
Bartosz Kopacz21%
Rafał Kurzawa21%
Arkadiusz Kasperkiewicz21%
Dominik Biniek20%
Kamil Zapolnik19%
Damian Hilbrycht18%
Miłosz Matysik18%
Maciej Wolski16%
Sergio Guerrero14%
Isik Gabriel14%
Andrzej Trubeha10%
Wojciech Jakubik9%
Lucas Masoero5%
Radu Boboc4%
Igor Strzałek4%
Jesús Jiménez3%
Ivan Durdov0%
Miłosz Mleczko0%
Adrián Chovan0%
Morgan Fassbender0%
Diego Deisadze0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Damian Hilbrycht12%
Radu Boboc7%
Sergio Guerrero7%
Jesús Jiménez6%
Ivan Durdov6%
Maciej Ambrosiewicz6%
Lucas Masoero5%
Maciej Wolski5%
Wojciech Jakubik4%
Krzysztof Kubica4%
Igor Strzałek4%
Arkadiusz Kasperkiewicz3%
Isik Gabriel3%
Morgan Fassbender3%
Rafał Kurzawa0%
Kamil Zapolnik0%
Bartosz Kopacz0%
Artem Putivtsev0%
Miłosz Mleczko0%
Adrián Chovan0%
Andrzej Trubeha0%
Dominik Biniek0%
Miłosz Matysik0%
Diego Deisadze0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Krzysztof Kubica24%
Kamil Zapolnik19%
Morgan Fassbender14%
Ivan Durdov12%
Bartosz Kopacz11%
Isik Gabriel7%
Andrzej Trubeha5%
Rafał Kurzawa4%
Igor Strzałek4%
Damian Hilbrycht3%
Lucas Masoero0%
Maciej Ambrosiewicz0%
Jesús Jiménez0%
Arkadiusz Kasperkiewicz0%
Maciej Wolski0%
Artem Putivtsev0%
Miłosz Mleczko0%
Radu Boboc0%
Adrián Chovan0%
Sergio Guerrero0%
Dominik Biniek0%
Miłosz Matysik0%
Wojciech Jakubik0%
Diego Deisadze0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (20)
€22m
ML (20)
€19m
WK (24)
€13m
GK (26)
€13m
WP (25)
€12m
AG (23)
€5m
PW (25)
€5m
ML (24)
€4m
OO (24)
€4m
NIE (16)
€4m
SR (18)
€3m
CG (20)
€3m
POD (5)
€1m
Lechia Gdansk's squad is €19m more valuable than Nieciecza's (€22m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (8)
€15m
ML (10)
€10m
WK (8)
€6m
WP (7)
€4m
GK (7)
€3m
PW (13)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
OO (8)
€2m
NIE (7)
€2m
ML (7)
€1m
SR (9)
€1m
CG (7)
€1m
POD (1)
€0m
Lechia Gdansk's attack is €13m more valuable than Nieciecza's (€15m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GK (10)
€6m
LG (3)
€5m
WP (9)
€3m
ML (2)
€2m
WK (4)
€2m
ML (10)
€2m
NIE (5)
€2m
OO (8)
€1m
AG (5)
€1m
CG (6)
€1m
PW (2)
€0m
SR (2)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
Lechia Gdansk's midfield is €4m more valuable than Nieciecza's (€5m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ML (8)
€6m
WP (9)
€6m
WK (12)
€5m
GK (9)
€4m
LG (9)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
PW (10)
€2m
CG (7)
€1m
SR (7)
€1m
ML (7)
€1m
OO (8)
€1m
NIE (4)
€1m
POD (2)
€0m
Lechia Gdansk's defence is €2m more valuable than Nieciecza's (€3m vs €1m).
Poland: I Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →