Leeds vs Sunderland Result & Analysis

Leeds are tipped to win, the model’s favourite result, with a 53% chance of a home victory, 27% for a draw and 21% for Sunderland to triumph. The match is expected to see 2.6 goals on average, and the single most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, which carries a 12.7% probability. Leeds, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded, while Sunderland, on the road, averages 1.0 goal for and 1.0 against. The model’s selections include Under 25.5 fouls at 85.6%, Under 5.5 cards at 79.2%, Over 2.5 cards at 75.6%, Over 1.5 goals at 75.1%, Under 23.5 fouls at 74.2%, Under 3.5 goals at 72.8%, and Over 8.5 corners at 70.1%. Leeds entered the game after a 1-1 draw with Brentford, while Sunderland came off a 1-0 win over Fulham.

Leeds’ recent form, ending a draw, set the tone for a home win that the model predicted correctly. The final score was 2-1, confirming the favoured outcome. The model had a 53% probability of a Leeds victory, and the 2-1 result matched that expectation. The suggested selections performed largely as forecast: Under 25.5 fouls hit at 85.6%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 75.6%, Over 1.5 hit at 75.1%, Under 23.5 fouls hit at 74.2%, Under 3.5 hit at 72.8%, and Over 8.5 corners hit at 70.1%. Only Under 5.5 cards missed, at 79.2%. Overall, the model’s predictions were largely accurate.