Leganes vs Granada CF Result & Analysis

Leganés are the clear favorites, with a 51% chance of triumph, a 27% chance of a draw and 22% for Granada to win. The model predicts a 2.7-goal average, most likely a single-goal total of 2, and the most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 12.8%. Leganés, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, have scored 1.43 goals and conceded 1.43 on average, while Granada, on the road, average 0.86 goals scored and 3.0 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls (97.4%), Over 21.5 fouls (93.6%), Over 2.5 cards (92.7%), Over 23.5 fouls (86.8%), Over 3.5 cards (82.8%), Under 11.5 corners (80.1%), Over 25.5 fouls (76.7%) and Over 1.5 (76.0%). Leganés have been on a two-game winning streak, most recently beating Eldense 1-0, while Granada also enjoy a two-game run, having edged Córdoba 3-1. The match is expected to be tight, with Leganés’ home form and Granada’s defensive frailties suggesting a narrow win for the hosts.

The Pythia model’s prediction proved spot on as Leganes secured a 1-0 win, extending their two-game winning streak at home. The model had picked a home win with a 51% probability, and the result matched that forecast. Every suggested selection was settled: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 97.4%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 93.6%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 92.7%, Over 23.5 fouls hit at 86.8%, Over 3.5 cards hit at 82.8%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 80.1%, Over 25.5 fouls hit at 76.7%, and Over 1.5 missed at 76.0%. The model’s overall accuracy was confirmed by the final score and the home victory.