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Leiknir R. vs Fjolnir Result & Analysis

Date: 11/07/2024
Time: 19:15
Final 0-1
Leiknir R.
Leiknir R.
Vs
37%
26%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Fjolnir
Fjolnir
Iceland: 1. Deild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiknir R. win✗ Miss
36.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir win✓ Hit
37.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Leiknir R.Leiknir R.

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L10W34L01L05L23L21W31W10W01LA·FJO10/05H·IR 18/05A·GRO25/05H·AFT31/05A·KEF05/06H·GRI15/06A·THO22/06H·THR26/06A·DAL30/06A·IBV06/07
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.731.291.792.311.69
vs Stronger (20)1.602.001.302.001.902.00
vs Similar (9)2.001.331.251.252.601.40
vs Weaker (1)5.000.00--5.000.00
Clean sheet %20% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Fjolnir) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FjolnirFjolnir

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L00D31W22D42W10W13L10W52W00DH·THO14/05A·DAL18/05H·THR23/05A·IBV01/06H·NJA06/06H·THO15/06A·IR 20/06A·AFT26/06H·GRO30/06H·KEF04/07
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.031.432.291.471.691.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.711.571.801.901.500.75
vs Weaker (16)2.311.313.000.861.781.67
Clean sheet %30% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Leiknir R.) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
82.0%
Under 1.5
18.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.0%
Under 2.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.6%
Under 3.5
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
62.4%
No
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
2-2
6.4%
0-1 ✓
6.1%
1-0
6.1%
0-0
5.8%
0-2
5.5%
Leiknir R. goals ↓
Fjolnir goals →
01234
05.8%6.1%5.5%2.8%1.1%
16.1%12%8.4%4.3%1.7%
25.5%8.4%6.4%3.3%1.3%
32.8%4.3%3.3%1.7%0.6%
41.1%1.6%1.2%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Leiknir R. goals (down), columns = Fjolnir goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.77
Afturelding
1.72
Keflavik
1.64
IR Reykjavik
1.58
Fjolnir
1.58
Njardvik
1.50
Throttur Reykjavik
1.36
Leiknir R.
1.27
Thor Akureyri
1.18
Grindavik
1.18
Grotta
0.73
Dalvík / Reynir
0.59
Leiknir R. is 0.31 points worse than Fjolnir in terms of average points per game (1.27 vs 1.58).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2.27
Grindavik
1.82
Keflavik
1.72
Afturelding
1.72
Throttur Reykjavik
1.68
Njardvik
1.55
Leiknir R.
1.50
Fjolnir
1.46
Thor Akureyri
1.45
IR Reykjavik
1.42
Grotta
1.41
Dalvík / Reynir
1.05
Leiknir R. is 0.04 goals better than Fjolnir in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.46).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Keflavik
1.16
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.23
Fjolnir
1.29
Njardvik
1.32
Throttur Reykjavik
1.41
IR Reykjavik
1.42
Afturelding
1.48
Leiknir R.
1.55
Thor Akureyri
1.73
Grindavik
2.09
Dalvík / Reynir
2.23
Grotta
2.27
Leiknir R. is 0.25 goals worse than Fjolnir in terms of goals conceded per game (1.55 vs 1.29).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Leiknir R.Leiknir R.

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L10W21W00D05L11D00D20W00D01LA·FJO10/05H·IR 18/05A·GRO25/05H·AFT31/05A·KEF05/06H·GRI15/06A·THO22/06H·THR26/06A·DAL30/06A·IBV06/07
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.000.600.800.931.20
vs Stronger (20)0.751.150.700.800.801.50
vs Similar (8)0.620.620.250.501.000.75
vs Weaker (2)1.501.001.002.002.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Fjolnir) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FjolnirFjolnir

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D00D12L31W00D00D10W11D00DH·THO14/05A·DAL18/05H·THR23/05A·IBV01/06H·NJA06/06H·THO15/06A·IR 20/06A·AFT26/06H·GRO30/06H·KEF04/07
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.600.880.590.690.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.710.570.700.700.750.25
vs Weaker (16)0.880.621.140.430.670.78
Clean sheet %53% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Leiknir R.) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Leiknir R. over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Leiknir R.Leiknir R.

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D13L01L00D12L21W11D10W00DA·FJO10/05H·IR 18/05A·GRO25/05H·AFT31/05A·KEF05/06H·GRI15/06A·THO22/06H·THR26/06A·DAL30/06A·IBV06/07
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.800.801.001.200.60
vs Stronger (20)0.850.850.601.201.100.50
vs Similar (8)1.000.881.000.751.001.00
vs Weaker (2)2.500.002.000.003.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Fjolnir) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FjolnirFjolnir

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L00D31W10W11D10W13L00D41W00DH·THO14/05A·DAL18/05H·THR23/05A·IBV01/06H·NJA06/06H·THO15/06A·IR 20/06A·AFT26/06H·GRO30/06H·KEF04/07
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.831.410.881.000.77
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.001.001.101.200.750.50
vs Weaker (16)1.440.691.860.431.110.89
Clean sheet %50% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Leiknir R.) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Leiknir R. over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IV (18)
€2m
TA (21)
€2m
KEF (18)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
GRO (17)
€1m
IR (17)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (7)
€1m
KEF (6)
€1m
AFT (5)
€1m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
GRO (5)
€0m
IV (6)
€0m
IR (6)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IV (6)
€1m
TR (6)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
KEF (5)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
IR (4)
€0m
GRO (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IV (6)
€1m
KEF (7)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
AFT (7)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
GRO (9)
€0m
IR (7)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
LR wins
0
Draws
3
FJO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Leiknir R. vs Fjolnir · H/A from LR
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/24AFjolnir Vs LR1-0
09/09/23HLR Vs Fjolnir1-2
06/07/23AFjolnir Vs LR4-1

Leiknir R.Leiknir R.

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/07/24AIBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs LR1-0
30/06/24ADalvík / Reynir Vs LR0-1
26/06/24HLR Vs Throttur Reykjavik3-1
22/06/24AThor Akureyri Vs LR1-2
15/06/24HLR Vs Grindavik2-3
05/06/24AKeflavik Vs LR5-0
31/05/24HLR Vs Afturelding0-1
25/05/24AGrotta Vs LR4-3
18/05/24HLR Vs IR Reykjavik1-0
10/05/24AFjolnir Vs LR1-0

FjolnirFjolnir

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/07/24HFJO Vs Keflavik0-0
30/06/24HFJO Vs Grotta5-2
26/06/24AAfturelding Vs FJO0-1
20/06/24AIR Reykjavik Vs FJO3-1
15/06/24HFJO Vs Thor Akureyri1-0
06/06/24HFJO Vs Njardvik4-2
01/06/24AIBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs FJO2-2
23/05/24HFJO Vs Throttur Reykjavik3-1
18/05/24ADalvík / Reynir Vs FJO0-0
14/05/24HFJO Vs Thor Akureyri0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Leiknir R.
Leiknir R.
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWL1.20
HomeLWLLW1.17
AwayLLWWL1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%33%38%
AVG goals3.743.424.04
Over 1.5 %76%79%73%
Over 2.5 %74%79%69%
Over 3.5 %52%46%58%
Scored1.681.501.85
Conceded2.061.922.19
BTTS60%71%50%
Clean Sheet18%21%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Fjolnir
Fjolnir
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWD1.86
HomeWWWWD1.96
AwayWDDLW1.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%58%50%
AVG goals3.744.083.38
Over 1.5 %78%81%75%
Over 2.5 %66%65%67%
Over 3.5 %56%62%50%
Scored2.262.621.88
Conceded1.481.461.50
BTTS68%65%71%
Clean Sheet24%23%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AftureldingAfturelding2543
52%
1.7
4337+6
3.2
80%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.71.5
-
2KeflavikKeflavik2541
44%
1.6
4329+14
2.9
72%
60%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.71.2
-
3IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar2239
50%
1.8
5027+23
3.5
86%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.31.2
-
4FjolnirFjolnir2438
42%
1.6
3531+4
2.8
62%
50%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
5IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik2438
42%
1.6
3434+0
2.8
83%
58%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.4
-
6NjardvikNjardvik2233
36%
1.5
3429+5
2.9
68%
55%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.3
-
7Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik2230
36%
1.4
3731+6
3.1
73%
55%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.4
-
8Leiknir R.Leiknir R.2228
36%
1.3
3334-1
3.0
64%
55%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.5
-
9GrindavikGrindavik2226
27%
1.2
4046-6
3.9
91%
82%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.1
-
10Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri2226
27%
1.2
3238-6
3.2
91%
59%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.7
-
11GrottaGrotta2216
18%
0.7
3150-19
3.7
91%
82%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.3
-
12Dalvík / ReynirDalvík / Reynir2213
9%
0.6
2349-26
3.3
77%
59%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

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