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Leiknir R. vs IR Reykjavik Result & Analysis

Date: 18/05/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 1-0
Leiknir R.
Leiknir R.
Vs
38%
25%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
IR Reykjavik
IR Reykjavik
Iceland: 1. Deild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiknir R. win✓ Hit
38.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik win✗ Miss
36.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Leiknir R.Leiknir R.

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L03L33D50W33D12L03L14L12L01LH·AFT20/09A·AFT24/09A·VIK11/02A·DAL17/02A·AFT23/02H·IA 03/03H·KA 09/03H·AFT13/04H·NJA03/05A·FJO10/05
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.901.871.601.932.201.80
vs Stronger (20)1.602.051.402.201.801.90
vs Similar (8)2.121.621.751.252.502.00
vs Weaker (2)4.001.003.002.005.000.00
Clean sheet %17% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-742W21W10W36L25L71W11D21W11DH·THR11/02A·FRA16/02A·FYL24/02H·VAL01/03H·IBV09/03A·KV13/04A·KA 25/04A·KEF03/05A·GRI10/05
Avg total
4.6
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.562.003.004.332.330.83
vs Stronger (2)2.003.503.006.001.001.00
vs Similar (7)2.711.573.003.502.600.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %11% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Leiknir R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
84.8%
Under 1.5
15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
63.4%
Under 2.5
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.3%
Under 3.5
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
65.8%
No
34.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
1-0 ✓
5.3%
2-0
5.2%
0-1
5.1%
0-2
5.0%
Leiknir R. goals ↓
IR Reykjavik goals →
01234
04.8%5.1%5.0%2.7%1.1%
15.3%11%8.2%4.4%1.8%
25.2%8.4%6.8%3.6%1.5%
32.9%4.6%3.7%2.0%0.8%
41.2%1.9%1.5%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Leiknir R. goals (down), columns = IR Reykjavik goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.77
Afturelding
1.72
Keflavik
1.64
IR Reykjavik
1.58
Fjolnir
1.58
Njardvik
1.50
Throttur Reykjavik
1.36
Leiknir R.
1.27
Thor Akureyri
1.18
Grindavik
1.18
Grotta
0.73
Dalvík / Reynir
0.59
Leiknir R. is 0.31 points worse than IR Reykjavik in terms of average points per game (1.27 vs 1.58).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2.27
Grindavik
1.82
Keflavik
1.72
Afturelding
1.72
Throttur Reykjavik
1.68
Njardvik
1.55
Leiknir R.
1.50
Fjolnir
1.46
Thor Akureyri
1.45
IR Reykjavik
1.42
Grotta
1.41
Dalvík / Reynir
1.05
Leiknir R. is 0.08 goals better than IR Reykjavik in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.42).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Keflavik
1.16
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.23
Fjolnir
1.29
Njardvik
1.32
Throttur Reykjavik
1.41
IR Reykjavik
1.42
Afturelding
1.48
Leiknir R.
1.55
Thor Akureyri
1.73
Grindavik
2.09
Dalvík / Reynir
2.23
Grotta
2.27
Leiknir R. is 0.13 goals worse than IR Reykjavik in terms of goals conceded per game (1.55 vs 1.42).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Leiknir R.Leiknir R.

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L03L21W22D11D00D02L02L01LA·ÆGI16/09H·AFT20/09A·AFT24/09A·VIK11/02A·AFT23/02H·IA 03/03H·KA 09/03H·AFT13/04H·NJA03/05A·FJO10/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.000.500.880.931.14
vs Stronger (21)0.711.050.640.910.801.20
vs Similar (7)0.430.860.000.501.001.33
vs Weaker (2)1.501.001.002.002.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D00D10W22D23L51W00D21W01LH·THR11/02A·FRA16/02A·FYL24/02H·VAL01/03H·IBV09/03A·KV13/04A·KA 25/04A·KEF03/05A·GRI10/05
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.441.001.672.001.330.50
vs Stronger (2)1.001.002.002.000.000.00
vs Similar (7)1.571.001.502.001.600.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Leiknir R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Leiknir R. over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Leiknir R.Leiknir R.

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W11D00D12L11D01L03L12L10W00DA·ÆGI16/09H·AFT20/09A·AFT24/09A·VIK11/02A·AFT23/02H·IA 03/03H·KA 09/03H·AFT13/04H·NJA03/05A·FJO10/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.971.121.121.070.79
vs Stronger (21)0.901.050.821.361.000.70
vs Similar (7)1.291.001.750.750.671.33
vs Weaker (2)2.500.002.000.003.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W21W00D14L02L20W11D00D10WH·THR11/02A·FRA16/02A·FYL24/02H·VAL01/03H·IBV09/03A·KV13/04A·KA 25/04A·KEF03/05A·GRI10/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.111.001.332.331.000.33
vs Stronger (2)1.002.501.004.001.001.00
vs Similar (7)1.140.571.501.501.000.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %44% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Leiknir R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Leiknir R. over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.8%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IV (18)
€2m
TA (21)
€2m
KEF (18)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
GRO (17)
€1m
IR (17)
€1m
Leiknir R. and IR Reykjavik have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (7)
€1m
KEF (6)
€1m
AFT (5)
€1m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
GRO (5)
€0m
IV (6)
€0m
IR (6)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
Leiknir R. and IR Reykjavik have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IV (6)
€1m
TR (6)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
KEF (5)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
IR (4)
€0m
GRO (3)
€0m
Leiknir R. and IR Reykjavik have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IV (6)
€1m
KEF (7)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
AFT (7)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
GRO (9)
€0m
IR (7)
€0m
Leiknir R. and IR Reykjavik have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
LR wins
0
Draws
0
IR wins

Head-to-head

Leiknir R. vs IR Reykjavik · H/A from LR
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Leiknir R.Leiknir R.

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/24AFjolnir Vs LR1-0
03/05/24HLR Vs Njardvik1-2
13/04/24HLR Vs Afturelding1-4
09/03/24HLR Vs KA Akureyri0-3
03/03/24HLR Vs IA Akranes1-2
23/02/24AAfturelding Vs LR3-3
17/02/24ADalvík / Reynir Vs LR0-5
11/02/24AVikingur Reykjavik Vs LR3-3
24/09/23AAfturelding Vs LR3-0
20/09/23HLR Vs Afturelding1-2

IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/24AGrindavik Vs IR1-1
03/05/24AKeflavik Vs IR1-2
25/04/24AKA Akureyri Vs IR1-1
13/04/24AKV Vs IR1-7
09/03/24HIR Vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar2-5
01/03/24HIR Vs Valur Reykjavik3-6
24/02/24AFylkir Vs IR0-1
16/02/24AFram Reykjavik Vs IR1-2
11/02/24HIR Vs Throttur Reykjavik4-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Leiknir R.
Leiknir R.
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL1.14
HomeLLLLL1.12
AwayLDWDL1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%32%36%
AVG goals3.903.684.12
Over 1.5 %82%84%80%
Over 2.5 %80%84%76%
Over 3.5 %54%48%60%
Scored1.681.481.88
Conceded2.222.202.24
BTTS62%72%52%
Clean Sheet18%20%16%
Corners---
Cards---
IR Reykjavik
IR Reykjavik
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWD1.89
HomeWLL1.00
AwayWWDWD2.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%33%67%
AVG goals4.567.333.17
Over 1.5 %89%100%83%
Over 2.5 %67%100%50%
Over 3.5 %44%100%17%
Scored2.563.002.33
Conceded2.004.330.83
BTTS89%100%83%
Clean Sheet11%0%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AftureldingAfturelding2543
52%
1.7
4337+6
3.2
80%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.71.5
-
2KeflavikKeflavik2541
44%
1.6
4329+14
2.9
72%
60%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.71.2
-
3IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar2239
50%
1.8
5027+23
3.5
86%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.31.2
-
4FjolnirFjolnir2438
42%
1.6
3531+4
2.8
62%
50%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
5IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik2438
42%
1.6
3434+0
2.8
83%
58%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.4
-
6NjardvikNjardvik2233
36%
1.5
3429+5
2.9
68%
55%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.3
-
7Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik2230
36%
1.4
3731+6
3.1
73%
55%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.4
-
8Leiknir R.Leiknir R.2228
36%
1.3
3334-1
3.0
64%
55%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.5
-
9GrindavikGrindavik2226
27%
1.2
4046-6
3.9
91%
82%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.1
-
10Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri2226
27%
1.2
3238-6
3.2
91%
59%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.7
-
11GrottaGrotta2216
18%
0.7
3150-19
3.7
91%
82%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.3
-
12Dalvík / ReynirDalvík / Reynir2213
9%
0.6
2349-26
3.3
77%
59%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

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