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Leiknir R. vs IR Reykjavik Result & Analysis

Date: 23/08/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 1-1
Leiknir R.
Leiknir R.
Vs
28%
28%
44%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
IR Reykjavik
IR Reykjavik
Iceland: 1. Deild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiknir R. win✗ Miss
27.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik win✗ Miss
44.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Leiknir R.Leiknir R.

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D22D01L02L11D01L02L23L10W21WH·NJA20/06A·SEL27/06H·FJO04/07A·THO12/07H·THR18/07A·HK 25/07H·KEF29/07A·GRI08/08H·FYL13/08A·VÖL17/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.672.131.621.881.712.43
vs Stronger (18)1.722.891.382.752.003.00
vs Similar (12)1.581.001.881.001.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-600D61W21W12L32W22D10W33D13L01LA·KEF22/06H·GRI27/06A·FYL04/07H·HK 11/07A·VÖL19/07H·NJA25/07A·SEL30/07H·FJO08/08A·THR13/08H·THO17/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.272.001.331.501.22
vs Stronger (4)3.251.253.003.003.330.67
vs Similar (24)1.421.292.001.301.001.29
vs Weaker (2)2.001.001.000.003.002.00
Clean sheet %27% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Leiknir R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.5%
Under 1.5
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.5%
Under 2.5
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.6%
Under 3.5
72.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.4%
No
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.4%
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
8.3%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
7.0%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
5.3%
Leiknir R. goals ↓
IR Reykjavik goals →
01234
08.3%9.4%7.9%4.0%1.5%
16.9%13%9.1%4.6%1.7%
24.7%7.0%5.3%2.6%1.0%
31.8%2.7%2.0%1.0%0.4%
40.5%0.8%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Leiknir R. goals (down), columns = IR Reykjavik goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Thor Akureyri
2.05
Njardvik
1.92
HK Kopavogur
1.84
Keflavik
1.72
Throttur Reykjavik
1.71
IR Reykjavik
1.68
Völsungur
1.14
Leiknir R.
1.05
Fylkir
1.05
Grindavik
0.95
Selfoss
0.86
Fjolnir
0.68
Leiknir R. is 0.64 points worse than IR Reykjavik in terms of average points per game (1.05 vs 1.68).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Keflavik
2.44
Thor Akureyri
2.32
Njardvik
2.17
HK Kopavogur
2.12
Throttur Reykjavik
2.00
Grindavik
1.73
IR Reykjavik
1.73
Völsungur
1.64
Fylkir
1.55
Fjolnir
1.45
Selfoss
1.14
Leiknir R.
1.09
Leiknir R. is 0.64 goals worse than IR Reykjavik in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.73).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Njardvik
1.21
IR Reykjavik
1.23
Thor Akureyri
1.41
Fylkir
1.45
HK Kopavogur
1.52
Keflavik
1.64
Leiknir R.
1.82
Throttur Reykjavik
1.83
Selfoss
2.00
Völsungur
2.36
Fjolnir
2.41
Grindavik
2.77
Leiknir R. is 0.59 goals worse than IR Reykjavik in terms of goals conceded per game (1.82 vs 1.23).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Leiknir R.Leiknir R.

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L01L02L01L01L01L22D00D10WH·NJA20/06A·SEL27/06H·FJO04/07A·THO12/07H·THR18/07A·HK 25/07H·KEF29/07A·GRI08/08H·FYL13/08A·VÖL17/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.070.500.940.861.21
vs Stronger (18)0.671.560.251.621.001.50
vs Similar (12)0.670.330.750.250.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W00D01L31W01L10W11D00D00DA·KEF22/06H·GRI27/06A·FYL04/07H·HK 11/07A·VÖL19/07H·NJA25/07A·SEL30/07H·FJO08/08A·THR13/08H·THO17/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.400.750.500.890.33
vs Stronger (4)1.250.251.001.001.330.00
vs Similar (24)0.670.420.700.500.640.36
vs Weaker (2)2.000.501.000.003.001.00
Clean sheet %73% (+55pp vs league)
This opponent (Leiknir R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Leiknir R. over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Leiknir R.Leiknir R.

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W21W00D00D10W00D01L01L10W11DH·NJA20/06A·SEL27/06H·FJO04/07A·THO12/07H·THR18/07A·HK 25/07H·KEF29/07A·GRI08/08H·FYL13/08A·VÖL17/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.071.120.940.861.21
vs Stronger (18)1.061.331.121.121.001.50
vs Similar (12)0.920.671.120.750.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D51W21W11D01L21W00D22D13L01LA·KEF22/06H·GRI27/06A·FYL04/07H·HK 11/07A·VÖL19/07H·NJA25/07A·SEL30/07H·FJO08/08A·THR13/08H·THO17/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.871.250.830.610.89
vs Stronger (4)2.001.002.002.002.000.67
vs Similar (24)0.750.881.300.800.360.93
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Leiknir R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Leiknir R. over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (21)
€2m
KEF (18)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
FYL (17)
€1m
HK (19)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
IR (17)
€1m
VÖL (19)
€1m
Leiknir R. and IR Reykjavik have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (7)
€1m
KEF (6)
€1m
HK (8)
€0m
FYL (7)
€0m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
IR (6)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
VÖL (4)
€0m
Leiknir R. and IR Reykjavik have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TR (6)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
KEF (5)
€0m
FYL (4)
€0m
VÖL (6)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
IR (4)
€0m
HK (3)
€0m
Leiknir R. and IR Reykjavik have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KEF (7)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
FYL (6)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
IR (7)
€0m
VÖL (9)
€0m
Leiknir R. and IR Reykjavik have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
LR wins
0
Draws
2
IR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Leiknir R. vs IR Reykjavik · H/A from LR
DateH/AGameScore
13/06/25AIR Reykjavik Vs LR1-0
25/07/24AIR Reykjavik Vs LR1-0
18/05/24HLR Vs IR Reykjavik1-0

Leiknir R.Leiknir R.

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/08/25AVölsungur Vs LR1-2
13/08/25HLR Vs Fylkir1-0
08/08/25AGrindavik Vs LR3-2
29/07/25HLR Vs Keflavik0-2
25/07/25AHK Kopavogur Vs LR1-0
18/07/25HLR Vs Throttur Reykjavik1-1
12/07/25AThor Akureyri Vs LR2-0
04/07/25HLR Vs Fjolnir0-1
27/06/25ASelfoss Vs LR2-2
20/06/25HLR Vs Njardvik1-1

IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/08/25HIR Vs Thor Akureyri0-1
13/08/25AThrottur Reykjavik Vs IR3-1
08/08/25HIR Vs Fjolnir3-3
30/07/25ASelfoss Vs IR0-1
25/07/25HIR Vs Njardvik2-2
19/07/25AVölsungur Vs IR2-3
11/07/25HIR Vs HK Kopavogur1-2
04/07/25AFylkir Vs IR1-2
27/06/25HIR Vs Grindavik6-1
22/06/25AKeflavik Vs IR0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Leiknir R.
Leiknir R.
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWW0.98
HomeDLDLW1.07
AwayDLLLW0.87
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%30%22%
AVG goals3.403.193.65
Over 1.5 %72%74%70%
Over 2.5 %56%56%57%
Over 3.5 %42%41%43%
Scored1.421.411.43
Conceded1.981.782.22
BTTS60%63%57%
Clean Sheet10%15%4%
Corners---
Cards---
IR Reykjavik
IR Reykjavik
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLL1.66
HomeWLDDL1.91
AwayDWWWL1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%55%36%
AVG goals2.822.862.79
Over 1.5 %78%73%82%
Over 2.5 %54%55%54%
Over 3.5 %32%32%32%
Scored1.581.821.39
Conceded1.241.051.39
BTTS62%59%64%
Clean Sheet24%32%18%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1NjardvikNjardvik2446
54%
1.9
5229+23
3.4
96%
75%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.21.2
-
2HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur2546
56%
1.8
5338+15
3.6
92%
80%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.11.5
-
3Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri2245
64%
2.0
5131+20
3.7
95%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.31.4
-
4KeflavikKeflavik2543
52%
1.7
6141+20
4.1
92%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1012.41.6
-
5Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik2441
50%
1.7
4844+4
3.8
96%
83%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.8
-
6IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik2237
45%
1.7
3827+11
3.0
77%
55%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.2
-
7VölsungurVölsungur2225
32%
1.1
3652-16
4.0
95%
77%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.4
-
8FylkirFylkir2223
27%
1.0
3432+2
3.0
91%
64%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.5
-
9Leiknir R.Leiknir R.2223
27%
1.0
2440-16
2.9
77%
45%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.8
-
10GrindavikGrindavik2221
27%
1.0
3861-23
4.5
100%
82%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.8
-
11SelfossSelfoss2219
27%
0.9
2544-19
3.1
95%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
12FjolnirFjolnir2215
14%
0.7
3253-21
3.9
95%
77%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.4
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

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