PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Leiknir R. vs Njardvik Result & Analysis

Date: 29/08/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 2-0
Leiknir R.
Leiknir R.
Vs
40%
23%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Njardvik
Njardvik
Iceland: 1. Deild
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Leiknir R. are poised for a high-scoring outing, with an expected 3.7 goals and the model predicting a 3-goal total with a 21 % chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 9.1 % probability, while the home side’s recent form shows 1.75 goals scored and 0.88 conceded against similar opposition. Njardvik, on the road, averages 1.91 goals for and 2.45 against, and they come off a 4-0 win. The model favours a home win, with a 40 % chance, a draw at 23 %, and an away win at 37 %. Suggested picks include Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.9 %, Under 7.5 at 96.3 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 94.4 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 93.6 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 92.6 %, Under 6.5 at 91.5 %, Over 1.5 at 89.6 %, and Away under 3.5 goals at 88.7 %. These selections reflect the model’s assessment of a balanced, goal-rich contest.

Results analysis

Leiknir R. extended their winning run with a 2-0 triumph over Njardvik, confirming the model’s predicted home victory. The favourite, Home win, was chosen with a 40% probability, and the model’s call proved correct. The match produced two goals, matching the most likely 1-1 scoreline probability of 9.1% and the predicted total of 3.7 goals. Every suggested selection hit: Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.2%, Under 7.5 at 96.3%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.2%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 94.6%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 93.3%, Under 6.5 at 91.5%, Over 1.5 at 89.6%, and Away under 3.5 goals at 88.7%. The outcome matched the model’s expectations across the board.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiknir R. win✓ Hit
40.1%
Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.37
Edge
+13.2%
Best 5 market prices
SBO
3.54
BetVictor
3.50
Unibet
3.50
Bet365
3.40
Dafabet
3.40
Draw✗ Miss
23.1%
Avg Implied 23.8% · @ 3.80
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.23
Dafabet
4.00
BetVictor
3.90
Betano
3.85
Betfair
3.80
Njardvik win✗ Miss
36.8%
Avg Implied 49.3% · @ 1.83
Edge
-12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.90
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Dafabet
1.86
Superbet
1.85

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Leiknir R.Leiknir R.

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-621W30W01L23L15L01L30W12L61W02LH·FH 03/03H·SMÁ28/03A·VES11/04A·AFT16/07H·THR23/07A·GRI29/07H·FYL07/08A·HK 13/08H·ÆGI17/08A·VES22/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.631.671.401.071.87
vs Stronger (14)1.292.001.002.001.572.00
vs Similar (15)1.131.331.710.860.621.75
vs Weaker (1)6.001.006.001.00--
Clean sheet %13% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Njardvik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NjardvikNjardvik

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W25L54W14L32W10W31W41W13L40WA·TIN03/04A·AFT13/05H·GRI10/07A·FYL17/07H·HK 24/07A·ÆGI28/07H·VES08/08A·GRO13/08A·IR 17/08H·VÖL22/08
Avg total
4.5
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.201.672.791.431.691.88
vs Stronger (5)2.000.803.001.001.330.67
vs Similar (22)2.272.052.641.641.912.45
vs Weaker (3)2.000.334.000.001.000.50
Clean sheet %23% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Leiknir R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%16%21%3%07%117%221%319%414%518%6+
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
89.6%
@ 1.12+7.4%
Under 1.5
10.4%
@ 5.17-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
Under
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.85
Marathonbet
4.85
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
72.1%
@ 1.47+9.6%
Under 2.5
27.9%
@ 2.45-9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
Unibet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.48
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.47
Under
Betfair
2.60
BetVictor
2.55
Pinnacle
2.53
Bet365
2.50
Superbet
2.42
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
51.4%
@ 2.19+9.3%
Under 3.5
48.6%
@ 1.59-9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.24
Unibet
2.20
BetVictor
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Under
Betfair
1.65
Bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
1.60
BetVictor
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
72.3%
@ 1.45+9.2%
No
27.7%
@ 2.50-9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.48
Betano
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
No
Betfair
2.63
BetVictor
2.55
1xBet
2.53
Bet365
2.50
Marathonbet
2.47

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.1%@ 7.17+3.1%
2-1
7.9%@ 10.82+4.0%
1-2
7.6%@ 7.62+2.0%
2-2
7.3%@ 10.42+3.1%
3-1
5.1%@ 22.34+3.1%
1-3
4.6%@ 11.32+0.8%
3-2
4.6%@ 21.98+2.7%
2-3
4.4%@ 15.76+1.7%
Leiknir R. goals ↓
Njardvik goals →
01234
03.2%3.5%4.0%2.4%1.1%
13.7%9.1%7.6%4.6%2.1%
24.3%7.9%7.3%4.4%2.0%
32.8%5.1%4.6%2.8%1.3%
41.3%2.4%2.2%1.3%0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Leiknir R. goals (down), columns = Njardvik goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Afturelding
2.22
Throttur Reykjavik
2.00
Njardvik
2.00
Fylkir
1.78
Völsungur
1.67
IR Reykjavik
1.62
HK Kopavogur
1.62
Grindavik
1.40
Leiknir R.
1.12
Grotta
0.89
Vestri
0.75
Ægir
0.00
Leiknir R. is 0.88 points worse than Njardvik in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Afturelding
3.33
HK Kopavogur
3.12
Fylkir
2.78
Throttur Reykjavik
2.75
Njardvik
2.44
Leiknir R.
1.88
IR Reykjavik
1.62
Grotta
1.56
Völsungur
1.56
Grindavik
1.50
Vestri
1.00
Ægir
0.86
Leiknir R. is 0.57 goals worse than Njardvik in terms of goals scored per game (1.88 vs 2.44).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Throttur Reykjavik
1.38
Afturelding
1.44
IR Reykjavik
1.62
Leiknir R.
1.75
Grotta
1.78
Fylkir
1.89
Njardvik
1.89
Völsungur
1.89
HK Kopavogur
2.00
Grindavik
2.20
Vestri
2.62
Ægir
4.57
Leiknir R. is 0.14 goals better than Njardvik in terms of goals conceded per game (1.75 vs 1.89).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Leiknir R. or Draw✓ Hit
63.2%
Avg Implied 50.4% · @ 1.81
Edge
+12.8%
40%
23%
37%
covers Leiknir R. + Draw
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.90
Betano
1.88
William Hil
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Leiknir R. or Njardvik✓ Hit
76.9%
Avg Implied 76.2% · @ 1.20
Edge
+0.7%
40%
23%
37%
covers Leiknir R. + Njardvik
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.23
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Draw or Njardvik✗ Miss
59.9%
Avg Implied 73.4% · @ 1.24
Edge
-13.5%
40%
23%
37%
covers Draw + Njardvik
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Leiknir R. over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
85.2%
@ 1.27+12.4%
Under
14.8%
@ 3.39-12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.25
Under
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.34
Marathonbet
3.34
Leiknir R. over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
56.9%
@ 2.30+17.0%
Under
43.1%
@ 1.53-17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.38
Unibet
2.33
Betano
2.30
Marathonbet
2.27
1xBet
2.27
Under
Pinnacle
1.62
Betano
1.55
Marathonbet
1.55
Bet365
1.53
1xBet
1.47
Leiknir R. over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
29.9%
@ 5.02+11.7%
Under
70.1%
@ 1.12-11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.10
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
Under
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Leiknir R. over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
12.7%
@ 10.00+3.4%
Under
87.3%
@ 1.03-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Under
Bet365
1.03
Njardvik over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
83.9%
@ 1.11+1.0%
Under
16.1%
@ 5.40-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Under
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.30
Njardvik over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
54.6%
@ 1.64-1.9%
Under
45.4%
@ 2.12+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.69
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.64
Bet365
1.62
Under
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.12
Pinnacle
2.12
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.10
Njardvik over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
27.7%
@ 2.88-4.1%
Under
72.3%
@ 1.34+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
Marathonbet
2.93
1xBet
2.85
Unibet
2.75
Under
1xBet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Unibet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
Njardvik over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
11.3%
@ 5.60-5.2%
Under
88.7%
@ 1.11+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
5.20
Under
1xBet
1.11
Bet365
1.11

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Leiknir R., so a minus line means Leiknir R. give that many goals of a start and Njardvik receive them. At -1, Leiknir R. must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Leiknir R. win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Leiknir R.)Actual: Draw
Leiknir R. -2
10.0%
@ 19.00+5.1%
Draw -2
12.2%
@ 12.00+4.4%
Njardvik +2
77.8%
@ 1.07-9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
19.00
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Away
Bet365
1.07
Handicap -1 (Leiknir R.)Actual: Leiknir R.
Leiknir R. -1
22.2%
@ 6.95+9.7%
Draw -1
17.9%
@ 5.15+1.0%
Njardvik +1
59.9%
@ 1.23-10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
6.35
Unibet
5.50
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.05
Unibet
4.40
Away
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Unibet
1.19
Handicap +1 (Leiknir R.)Actual: Leiknir R.
Leiknir R. +1
63.2%
@ 1.79+14.8%
Draw +1
17.1%
@ 3.74-6.1%
Njardvik -1
19.7%
@ 3.05-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.80
Unibet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.75
Draw
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.75
Unibet
3.20
Away
Betfair
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.08
Unibet
2.63
Handicap +2 (Leiknir R.)Actual: Leiknir R.
Leiknir R. +2
80.3%
@ 1.32+14.6%
Draw +2
11.2%
@ 4.80-6.9%
Njardvik -2
8.6%
@ 5.32-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Draw
Marathonbet
5.30
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
4.10
Away
Marathonbet
5.85
Bet365
5.50
Unibet
4.60

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Leiknir R.Leiknir R.

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D00D00D12L02L00D10W00D41W02LH·FH 03/03H·SMÁ28/03A·VES11/04A·AFT16/07H·THR23/07A·GRI29/07H·FYL07/08A·HK 13/08H·ÆGI17/08A·VES22/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.730.530.600.470.87
vs Stronger (14)0.570.930.430.860.711.00
vs Similar (15)0.200.530.140.290.250.75
vs Weaker (1)4.001.004.001.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Njardvik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NjardvikNjardvik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D01L33D04L11D10W11D41W01L20WA·TIN03/04A·AFT13/05H·GRI10/07A·FYL17/07H·HK 24/07A·ÆGI28/07H·VES08/08A·GRO13/08A·IR 17/08H·VÖL22/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.701.570.710.940.69
vs Stronger (5)1.200.002.500.000.330.00
vs Similar (22)1.230.951.360.911.091.00
vs Weaker (3)1.330.002.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Leiknir R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
71.7%
@ 1.23-3.3%
Under 0.5
28.3%
@ 3.67+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.22
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Under
BetVictor
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
William Hil
3.75
Marathonbet
3.50
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
40.1%
@ 2.13-3.0%
Under 1.5
59.9%
@ 1.62+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.19
1xBet
2.15
William Hil
2.15
Marathonbet
2.15
Betano
2.12
Under
Bet365
1.67
Pinnacle
1.65
BetVictor
1.63
William Hil
1.62
Betfair
1.62
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.4%
@ 4.64-3.5%
Under 2.5
83.6%
@ 1.15+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.00
William Hil
4.75
1xBet
4.55
Marathonbet
4.55
Betfair
4.50
Under
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
BetVictor
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Leiknir R. over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
43.2%
@ 2.01-3.0%
Under
56.8%
@ 1.72+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.07
Pinnacle
2.03
Marathonbet
1.99
1xBet
1.94
Under
1xBet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.75
Marathonbet
1.68
Betano
1.67
Leiknir R. over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.7%
@ 5.97-2.6%
Under
87.3%
@ 1.08+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.15
1xBet
5.80
Under
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
Leiknir R. over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Njardvik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
53.4%
@ 1.65-2.6%
Under
46.6%
@ 2.10+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.67
Pinnacle
1.67
1xBet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.61
Under
Pinnacle
2.15
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.09
Betano
2.07
Njardvik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
17.8%
@ 4.15-4.2%
Under
82.2%
@ 1.18+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.10
Under
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
Njardvik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.4%
@ 10.50-3.4%
Under
94.6%
@ 1.01+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.50
Under
1xBet
1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Leiknir R.Leiknir R.

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W30W01L11D13L01L20W12L20W00DH·FH 03/03H·SMÁ28/03A·VES11/04A·AFT16/07H·THR23/07A·GRI29/07H·FYL07/08A·HK 13/08H·ÆGI17/08A·VES22/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.901.130.800.601.00
vs Stronger (14)0.711.070.571.140.861.00
vs Similar (15)0.930.801.570.570.381.00
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %47% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Njardvik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NjardvikNjardvik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W24L21W10W21W00D20W00D12L20WA·TIN03/04A·AFT13/05H·GRI10/07A·FYL17/07H·HK 24/07A·ÆGI28/07H·VES08/08A·GRO13/08A·IR 17/08H·VÖL22/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.971.210.710.751.19
vs Stronger (5)0.800.800.501.001.000.67
vs Similar (22)1.051.091.270.730.821.45
vs Weaker (3)0.670.332.000.000.000.50
Clean sheet %40% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Leiknir R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
81.6%
@ 1.13-0.1%
Under 0.5
18.4%
@ 5.03+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
Under
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
4.90
1xBet
4.90
William Hil
4.80
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
52.5%
@ 1.68-2.3%
Under 1.5
47.5%
@ 2.04+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.69
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Under
Bet365
2.10
Betano
2.05
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.02
William Hil
2.00
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
23.6%
@ 3.15-5.6%
Under 2.5
76.4%
@ 1.30+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.25
Bet365
3.25
1xBet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.05
Under
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.30
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Leiknir R. over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
53.1%
@ 1.69-1.4%
Under
46.9%
@ 2.02+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.67
Under
1xBet
2.08
Marathonbet
1.96
Leiknir R. over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.7%
@ 4.35-1.3%
Under
80.3%
@ 1.16+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.50
1xBet
4.20
Under
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
Leiknir R. over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.8%
Under
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Njardvik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
57.5%
@ 1.45-6.2%
Under
42.5%
@ 2.55+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.45
Under
1xBet
2.55
Njardvik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
22.4%
@ 3.04-7.8%
Under
77.6%
@ 1.31+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.10
Marathonbet
2.97
Under
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Njardvik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.7%
@ 8.30-4.4%
Under
93.3%
@ 1.03+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.30
Under
1xBet
1.03

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 7.596.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
---+2.6%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals96.2%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals94.6%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+3.4%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals93.3%1.03
1xBet
1.03
----+4.4%✓ Hit
Under 6.591.5%1.03
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
---+0.8%✓ Hit
Over 1.589.6%1.12
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
-+7.4%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals88.7%1.11
1xBet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
---+5.2%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals87.3%1.08
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
---+2.6%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals87.3%1.03
Bet365
1.03
-----3.4%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals85.2%1.27
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.25
--+12.4%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals83.9%1.11
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.11
---+1.0%✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals83.6%1.15
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
BetVictor
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
+3.5%✓ Hit
Under 5.582.4%1.07
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
--3.2%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals82.2%1.18
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
---+4.2%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals81.6%1.13
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
--0.1%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals80.3%1.16
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
---+1.3%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap80.3%1.32
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.28
Unibet
1.27
--+14.6%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap77.8%1.07
Bet365
1.07
-----9.5%✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals77.6%1.31
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
---+7.8%✓ Hit
Home or Away76.9%1.20
Betano
1.23
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
Betfair
1.20
+0.7%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals76.4%1.30
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.30
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
-+5.6%✓ Hit
BTTS Yes72.3%1.45
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.48
Betano
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
+9.2%✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals72.3%1.34
1xBet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Unibet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
-+4.1%✓ Hit
Over 2.572.1%1.47
Bet365
1.50
Unibet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.48
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.47
+9.6%✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals71.7%1.23
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.22
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
-3.3%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals70.1%1.12
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
---11.7%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VES (19)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
FYL (17)
€1m
HK (19)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
GRO (17)
€1m
IR (17)
€1m
VÖL (19)
€1m
ÆGI (14)
€0m
Leiknir R. and Njardvik have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AFT (5)
€1m
VES (7)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
FYL (7)
€0m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
GRO (5)
€0m
IR (6)
€0m
ÆGI (3)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
VÖL (4)
€0m
Leiknir R. and Njardvik have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VES (6)
€0m
TR (6)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
FYL (4)
€0m
VÖL (6)
€0m
ÆGI (5)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
IR (4)
€0m
GRO (3)
€0m
HK (3)
€0m
Leiknir R. and Njardvik have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
AFT (7)
€0m
FYL (6)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
GRO (9)
€0m
IR (7)
€0m
VÖL (9)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
ÆGI (6)
€0m
Leiknir R. and Njardvik have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
2
LR wins
1
Draws
3
NJA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Leiknir R. vs Njardvik · H/A from LR
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/25ANjardvik Vs LR3-1
20/06/25HLR Vs Njardvik1-1
18/07/24ANjardvik Vs LR3-2
03/05/24HLR Vs Njardvik1-2
02/09/23ANjardvik Vs LR2-4
02/07/23HLR Vs Njardvik3-0

Leiknir R.Leiknir R.

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/26AVestri Vs LR2-0
17/08/26HLR Vs Ægir6-1
13/08/26AHK Kopavogur Vs LR2-1
07/08/26HLR Vs Fylkir3-0
29/07/26AGrindavik Vs LR1-0
23/07/26HLR Vs Throttur Reykjavik1-5
16/07/26AAfturelding Vs LR3-2
11/04/26AVestri Vs LR1-0
28/03/26HLR Vs Smári3-0
03/03/26HLR Vs FH hafnarfjordur2-1

NjardvikNjardvik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/26HNJA Vs Völsungur4-0
17/08/26AIR Reykjavik Vs NJA3-1
13/08/26AGrotta Vs NJA1-4
08/08/26HNJA Vs Vestri3-1
28/07/26AÆgir Vs NJA0-1
24/07/26HNJA Vs HK Kopavogur3-2
17/07/26AFylkir Vs NJA4-1
10/07/26HNJA Vs Grindavik5-4
13/05/26AAfturelding Vs NJA5-2
03/04/26ATindastóll Vs NJA0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Leiknir R.
Leiknir R.
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWL1.12
HomeWWLWW1.38
AwayLLLLL0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%38%21%
AVG goals3.563.463.67
Over 1.5 %82%85%79%
Over 2.5 %60%58%62%
Over 3.5 %42%38%46%
Scored1.601.731.46
Conceded1.961.732.21
BTTS64%62%67%
Clean Sheet12%23%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Njardvik
Njardvik
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLW1.76
HomeWWWWW2.08
AwayLLWWL1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%62%38%
AVG goals3.683.753.62
Over 1.5 %88%88%88%
Over 2.5 %74%75%73%
Over 3.5 %56%58%54%
Scored2.122.501.77
Conceded1.561.251.85
BTTS74%67%81%
Clean Sheet20%25%15%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AftureldingAfturelding920
67%
2.2
3013+17
4.8
100%
78%
78%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1003.31.4
-
2NjardvikNjardvik918
67%
2.0
2217+5
4.3
89%
78%
78%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.41.9
-
3Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik816
62%
2.0
2211+11
4.1
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.81.4
-
4FylkirFylkir916
56%
1.8
2517+8
4.7
100%
89%
78%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.81.9
-
5VölsungurVölsungur915
56%
1.7
1417-3
3.4
89%
56%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.9
-
6GrindavikGrindavik1014
40%
1.4
1522-7
3.7
70%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.2
-
7HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur813
50%
1.6
2516+9
5.1
100%
100%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0003.12.0
-
8IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik813
50%
1.6
1313+0
3.2
75%
62%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.6
-
9Leiknir R.Leiknir R.89
38%
1.1
1514+1
3.6
88%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.91.8
-
10GrottaGrotta98
22%
0.9
1416-2
3.3
89%
67%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.8
-
11VestriVestri86
25%
0.8
821-13
3.6
88%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.6
-
12ÆgirÆgir70
0%
0.0
632-26
5.4
86%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.94.6
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

← all matches