Leningradets vs FK Sokol Saratov Result & Analysis

The contest between Leningradets and FK Sokol Saratov is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win. Home advantage is modest: Leningradets average 0.56 goals for and 1.33 against against similar opposition, while Sokol, playing away, average 1.0 for and 2.11 against. The expected goal count sits at 2.4, with the most likely total of 2 goals, a 27% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.2% probability. The model assigns 41% to a home win, 30% to a draw, and 29% to an away win. Suggested selections include Under 5.5 cards at 93%, Under 4.5 cards at 83.9%, Under 11.5 corners at 81.9%, Under 3.5 goals at 78.1%, Under 10.5 corners at 72.6%, and Over 1.5 goals at 70.3%. The match is finely balanced, with recent form hinting at a slight edge for the home side after a defeat, while the visitors remain unbeaten in five games.

The upset came early as FK Sokol Saratov snatched a 0-2 away win, overturning the pre-match favourite Leningradets who had been tipped for a home victory with a 41% chance. The model’s call was wrong. The match finished 0-2, a clear away triumph. The model’s other selections all hit: Under 5.5 cards at 93%, Under 4.5 cards at 83.9%, Under 3.5 at 78.1% and Over 1.5 at 70.3%. Leningradets were coming off a defeat, while Sokol Saratov remained unbeaten in their last five. The final score confirmed the surprise, leaving the model’s favourite out of the picture.