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Lernayin Artsakh vs Alashkert II Result & Analysis

Date: 31/10/2023
Time: 11:00
Final 1-0
Lernayin Artsakh
Lernayin Artsakh
Vs
74%
15%
11%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Alashkert II
Alashkert II
Armenia: First League
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Lernayin Artsakh win✓ Hit
74.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
14.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Alashkert II win✗ Miss
11.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L11D02L20W21W13L03L41W61W32WH·SHI05/06H·BAN05/08A·PYU15/08H·GAN21/08A·ONO25/08H·BKM31/08A·MIK14/09A·SHI02/10H·AND18/10A·SYU23/10← Premier LeagueFirst League →
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.930.792.210.621.69
vs Stronger (17)0.762.241.112.560.381.88
vs Similar (12)0.671.420.201.601.001.29
vs Weaker (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Alashkert II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Alashkert IIAlashkert II

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-515L22D05L41W01L10W13L00D23L21WA·SYU06/08H·ARA21/08A·ARA26/08H·NOA01/09A·BAN16/09H·PYU22/09A·GAN26/09H·ONO30/09A·BKM22/10H·MIK26/10
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.433.001.732.401.133.60
vs Stronger (3)1.332.671.003.001.502.50
vs Similar (19)1.323.531.782.670.904.30
vs Weaker (8)1.751.881.801.801.672.00
Clean sheet %10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%2%05%113%218%319%417%527%6+
The model estimates around 4.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
93.5%
Under 1.5
6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
80.8%
Under 2.5
19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
63.0%
Under 3.5
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
68.2%
No
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
3-1
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-0
6.5%
2-0
6.3%
4-1
6.3%
1-1
5.5%
4-0
5.1%
3-2
5.0%
Lernayin Artsakh goals ↓
Alashkert II goals →
01234
01.8%1.1%1.0%0.4%0.1%
13.6%5.5%3.1%1.3%0.4%
26.3%7.8%4.8%2.0%0.6%
36.5%8.1%5.0%2.0%0.6%
45.1%6.3%3.9%1.6%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lernayin Artsakh goals (down), columns = Alashkert II goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Gandzasar
2.64
BKMA II
2.25
Syunik
2.22
Lernayin Artsakh
2.07
Banants II
1.50
Andranik
1.46
Noah II
1.39
Ararat-Armenia II
1.39
Alashkert II
1.32
Shirak II
1.18
Ararat II
1.14
Pyunik II
1.07
Mika
0.61
Onor
0.59
Nikarm
0.43
Lernayin Artsakh is 0.75 points better than Alashkert II in terms of average points per game (2.07 vs 1.32).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
BKMA II
2.89
Gandzasar
2.46
Lernayin Artsakh
2.21
Syunik
2.19
Noah II
1.89
Ararat II
1.86
Banants II
1.82
Pyunik II
1.79
Ararat-Armenia II
1.71
Alashkert II
1.64
Shirak II
1.46
Andranik
1.32
Nikarm
0.96
Onor
0.85
Mika
0.75
Lernayin Artsakh is 0.57 goals better than Alashkert II in terms of goals scored per game (2.21 vs 1.64).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Gandzasar
0.61
Syunik
0.89
Lernayin Artsakh
0.96
BKMA II
1.11
Banants II
1.21
Noah II
1.36
Ararat-Armenia II
1.46
Andranik
1.46
Ararat II
1.68
Alashkert II
1.75
Shirak II
1.79
Pyunik II
2.04
Mika
2.14
Onor
3.04
Nikarm
4.36
Lernayin Artsakh is 0.79 goals better than Alashkert II in terms of goals conceded per game (0.96 vs 1.75).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D01L01L10W10W11D00D41W11DA·ARA01/06H·SHI05/06H·BAN05/08A·PYU15/08H·GAN21/08A·ONO25/08H·BKM31/08A·MIK14/09H·AND18/10A·SYU23/10← Premier LeagueFirst League →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.800.470.930.200.67
vs Stronger (18)0.440.890.700.900.120.88
vs Similar (11)0.180.730.001.000.330.50
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Alashkert II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Alashkert IIAlashkert II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L03L12L03L10W00D11D00D11D11DH·BAN28/05A·SYU06/08H·ARA21/08A·ARA26/08H·NOA01/09H·PYU22/09A·GAN26/09H·ONO30/09A·BKM22/10H·MIK26/10
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.270.621.380.641.14
vs Stronger (4)1.001.001.002.001.000.67
vs Similar (19)0.471.470.501.600.441.33
vs Weaker (7)0.860.860.800.801.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alashkert II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alashkert II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alashkert II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L10W01L10W11D02L03L20W21WA·ARA01/06H·SHI05/06H·BAN05/08A·PYU15/08H·GAN21/08A·ONO25/08H·BKM31/08A·MIK14/09H·AND18/10A·SYU23/10← Premier LeagueFirst League →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.271.130.331.200.201.07
vs Stronger (18)0.331.280.401.500.251.00
vs Similar (11)0.180.730.200.600.170.83
vs Weaker (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Alashkert II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Alashkert IIAlashkert II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W12L10W02L31W10W02L00D12L10WH·BAN28/05A·SYU06/08H·ARA21/08A·ARA26/08H·NOA01/09H·PYU22/09A·GAN26/09H·ONO30/09A·BKM22/10H·MIK26/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.871.001.310.712.50
vs Stronger (4)0.251.500.001.000.331.67
vs Similar (19)0.952.161.101.500.782.89
vs Weaker (7)1.001.291.001.001.002.00
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alashkert II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alashkert II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alashkert II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.593.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.580.8%-------✗ Miss
Home win74.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (25)
€3m
SYU (23)
€2m
AND (29)
€1m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
LA (8)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (8)
€1m
SYU (9)
€1m
AND (10)
€1m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (5)
€1m
SYU (6)
€0m
AND (8)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (12)
€1m
SYU (8)
€0m
AND (11)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
LA (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
LA wins
0
Draws
0
AI wins

Head-to-head

Lernayin Artsakh vs Alashkert II · H/A from LA
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/10/23ASyunik Vs LA2-3
18/10/23HLA Vs Andranik6-1
02/10/23AShirak II Vs LA1-4
14/09/23AMika Vs LA3-0
31/08/23HLA Vs BKMA II1-3
25/08/23AOnor Vs LA1-2
21/08/23HLA Vs Gandzasar2-0
15/08/23APyunik II Vs LA2-0
05/08/23HLA Vs Banants II1-1
05/06/23HLA Vs Shirak0-1

Alashkert IIAlashkert II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/10/23HAI Vs Mika2-1
22/10/23ABKMA II Vs AI3-2
30/09/23HAI Vs Onor0-0
26/09/23AGandzasar Vs AI3-1
22/09/23HAI Vs Pyunik II1-0
16/09/23ABanants II Vs AI1-0
01/09/23HAI Vs Noah II4-1
26/08/23AArarat II Vs AI5-0
21/08/23HAI Vs Ararat-Armenia II2-2
06/08/23ASyunik Vs AI5-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lernayin Artsakh
Lernayin Artsakh
Armenia: First League
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWW0.84
HomeLDWLW0.64
AwayLWLWW1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%14%30%
AVG goals2.402.502.30
Over 1.5 %69%73%65%
Over 2.5 %42%41%43%
Over 3.5 %20%23%17%
Scored0.780.730.83
Conceded1.621.771.48
BTTS36%36%35%
Clean Sheet16%14%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Alashkert II
Alashkert II
Armenia: First League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLW0.76
HomeDWWDW1.10
AwayLLLLL0.43
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%30%14%
AVG goals4.244.104.38
Over 1.5 %88%85%90%
Over 2.5 %80%75%86%
Over 3.5 %61%60%62%
Scored1.321.551.10
Conceded2.932.553.29
BTTS61%60%62%
Clean Sheet10%15%5%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1GandzasarGandzasar2874
86%
2.6
6917+52
3.1
82%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.50.6
-
2BKMA IIBKMA II2863
71%
2.2
8131+50
4.0
93%
79%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.91.1
-
3SyunikSyunik2760
70%
2.2
5924+35
3.1
70%
52%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1002.20.9
-
4Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh2858
64%
2.1
6227+35
3.2
86%
57%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
5Banants IIBanants II2842
36%
1.5
5134+17
3.0
75%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.2
-
6AndranikAndranik2841
43%
1.5
3741-4
2.8
75%
54%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.5
-
7Noah IINoah II2839
39%
1.4
5338+15
3.2
79%
50%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.4
-
8Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II2839
39%
1.4
4841+7
3.2
82%
57%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.5
-
9Alashkert IIAlashkert II2837
36%
1.3
4649-3
3.4
75%
71%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.8
-
10Shirak IIShirak II2833
36%
1.2
4150-9
3.2
71%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
11Ararat IIArarat II2832
32%
1.1
5247+5
3.5
79%
71%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.7
-
12Pyunik IIPyunik II2830
32%
1.1
5057-7
3.8
82%
68%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.0
-
13MikaMika2817
14%
0.6
2160-39
2.9
71%
61%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.1
-
14OnorOnor2716
15%
0.6
2382-59
3.9
78%
67%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.93.0
-
15NikarmNikarm2812
14%
0.4
27122-95
5.3
86%
79%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.04.4
-
Armenia: First League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

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