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Lernayin Artsakh vs Andranik Result & Analysis

Date: 14/05/2025
Time: 12:00
Final 3-1
Lernayin Artsakh
Lernayin Artsakh
Vs
49%
23%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Andranik
Andranik
Armenia: First League
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Lernayin Artsakh win✓ Hit
48.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Andranik win✗ Miss
28.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-613L24L40W60W11D11D01L21W13L03LA·PYU17/11A·NOA22/11H·MIK12/03A·NIK18/03H·ARA25/03A·SHI05/04A·SYU21/04H·BAN26/04H·BEN30/04A·BKM07/05
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.431.332.861.002.061.62
vs Stronger (12)1.421.421.751.251.251.50
vs Similar (15)2.801.533.251.122.292.00
vs Weaker (3)4.670.003.500.007.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Andranik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AndranikAndranik

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-611D02L61W22D22D22D20W22D21W31WH·BEN16/11H·BKM23/11A·ARA15/03H·PYU24/03A·NOA31/03H·MIK09/04H·ARA22/04A·SHI30/04H·BAN05/05A·NIK10/05
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.401.201.532.131.27
vs Stronger (3)0.332.000.002.001.002.00
vs Similar (10)1.501.401.251.251.671.50
vs Weaker (17)2.001.291.441.562.621.00
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%08%119%221%319%414%515%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.2%
Under 1.5
11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
69.6%
Under 2.5
30.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
48.3%
Under 3.5
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
69.3%
No
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
3-1 ✓
6.1%
2-0
5.8%
1-0
4.8%
3-2
4.7%
Lernayin Artsakh goals ↓
Andranik goals →
01234
03.6%3.4%3.2%1.7%0.6%
14.8%9.6%6.7%3.4%1.3%
25.8%8.9%6.9%3.5%1.4%
34.0%6.1%4.7%2.4%0.9%
42.1%3.2%2.4%1.2%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lernayin Artsakh goals (down), columns = Andranik goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
BKMA II
2.62
Syunik
2.54
Noah II
1.92
Lernayin Artsakh
1.75
Banants II
1.58
Pyunik II
1.54
Andranik
1.42
Shirak II
1.33
Ararat II
1.21
Bentonit Ijevan
1.00
Ararat-Armenia II
0.79
Mika
0.67
Nikarm
0.04
Lernayin Artsakh is 0.33 points better than Andranik in terms of average points per game (1.75 vs 1.42).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
BKMA II
3.21
Syunik
2.67
Lernayin Artsakh
2.50
Banants II
1.96
Noah II
1.96
Pyunik II
1.96
Ararat II
1.83
Shirak II
1.79
Andranik
1.71
Bentonit Ijevan
1.58
Ararat-Armenia II
1.25
Mika
1.04
Nikarm
0.71
Lernayin Artsakh is 0.79 goals better than Andranik in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 1.71).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Syunik
0.54
BKMA II
0.71
Noah II
1.21
Banants II
1.38
Lernayin Artsakh
1.42
Pyunik II
1.54
Andranik
1.67
Shirak II
1.96
Ararat II
2.00
Bentonit Ijevan
2.21
Ararat-Armenia II
2.29
Mika
2.96
Nikarm
4.29
Lernayin Artsakh is 0.25 goals better than Andranik in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 1.67).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L03L20W30W00D00D00D10W10W00DA·PYU17/11A·NOA22/11H·MIK12/03A·NIK18/03H·ARA25/03A·SHI05/04A·SYU21/04H·BAN26/04H·BEN30/04A·BKM07/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.531.130.330.800.73
vs Stronger (12)0.670.420.750.750.620.25
vs Similar (15)1.000.731.220.220.671.50
vs Weaker (3)2.000.001.500.003.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Andranik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AndranikAndranik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L12L10W01L10W12L20W10W11D10WH·LER04/11A·SYU09/11H·BEN16/11H·BKM23/11H·PYU24/03A·NOA31/03H·MIK09/04H·ARA22/04A·SHI30/04A·NIK10/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.600.750.500.860.71
vs Stronger (3)0.001.330.001.500.001.00
vs Similar (12)0.670.670.400.200.861.00
vs Weaker (15)1.070.401.110.441.000.33
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D21W20W30W11D11D01L11D03L03LA·PYU17/11A·NOA22/11H·MIK12/03A·NIK18/03H·ARA25/03A·SHI05/04A·SYU21/04H·BAN26/04H·BEN30/04A·BKM07/05
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.500.731.730.601.270.87
vs Stronger (12)0.750.831.000.500.621.00
vs Similar (15)1.870.802.000.781.670.83
vs Weaker (3)2.670.002.000.004.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Andranik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AndranikAndranik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L01L01L12L10W02L10W11D21WH·LER04/11A·SYU09/11H·BEN16/11H·BKM23/11H·PYU24/03A·NOA31/03H·MIK09/04H·ARA22/04A·SHI30/04A·NIK10/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.900.311.120.930.64
vs Stronger (3)0.330.670.000.501.001.00
vs Similar (12)0.670.830.401.400.860.43
vs Weaker (15)0.601.000.331.111.000.83
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.588.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SYU (23)
€2m
AND (29)
€1m
BI (16)
€0m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
LA (8)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
Lernayin Artsakh's squad is €1m less valuable than Andranik's (€0m vs €1m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SYU (9)
€1m
AND (10)
€1m
BI (3)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
Lernayin Artsakh and Andranik have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SYU (6)
€0m
AND (8)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
BI (5)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
Lernayin Artsakh and Andranik have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SYU (8)
€0m
AND (11)
€0m
BI (8)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
LA (3)
€0m
Lernayin Artsakh and Andranik have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
3
LA wins
0
Draws
0
AND wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lernayin Artsakh vs Andranik · H/A from LA
DateH/AGameScore
04/11/24AAndranik Vs LA0-2
04/05/24AAndranik Vs LA0-2
18/10/23HLA Vs Andranik6-1

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/05/25ABKMA II Vs LA3-0
30/04/25HLA Vs Bentonit Ijevan1-3
26/04/25HLA Vs Banants II2-1
21/04/25ASyunik Vs LA1-0
05/04/25AShirak II Vs LA1-1
25/03/25HLA Vs Ararat II1-1
18/03/25ANikarm Vs LA0-6
12/03/25HLA Vs Mika4-0
22/11/24ANoah II Vs LA4-2
17/11/24APyunik II Vs LA3-1

AndranikAndranik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/25ANikarm Vs AND1-3
05/05/25HAND Vs Banants II2-1
30/04/25AShirak II Vs AND2-2
22/04/25HAND Vs Ararat II2-0
09/04/25HAND Vs Mika2-2
31/03/25ANoah II Vs AND2-2
24/03/25HAND Vs Pyunik II2-2
15/03/25AArarat-Armenia II Vs AND1-6
23/11/24HAND Vs BKMA II0-2
16/11/24HAND Vs Bentonit Ijevan1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lernayin Artsakh
Lernayin Artsakh
Armenia: First League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLL1.82
HomeWWDWL2.28
AwayLWDLL1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%72%40%
AVG goals3.443.563.32
Over 1.5 %86%88%84%
Over 2.5 %62%68%56%
Over 3.5 %40%40%40%
Scored2.262.721.80
Conceded1.180.841.52
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet34%44%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Andranik
Andranik
Armenia: First League
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWW1.45
HomeLDDWW1.20
AwayLWDDW1.71
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %41%32%50%
AVG goals3.062.963.17
Over 1.5 %84%88%79%
Over 2.5 %61%52%71%
Over 3.5 %35%32%38%
Scored1.511.361.67
Conceded1.551.601.50
BTTS49%44%54%
Clean Sheet27%20%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BKMA IIBKMA II2463
83%
2.6
7717+60
3.9
92%
58%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.20.7
-
2SyunikSyunik2461
79%
2.5
6413+51
3.2
79%
54%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1002.70.5
-
3Noah IINoah II2446
58%
1.9
4729+18
3.2
79%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.2
-
4Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh2442
54%
1.8
6034+26
3.9
92%
75%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.51.4
-
5Banants IIBanants II2438
46%
1.6
4733+14
3.3
92%
67%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.4
-
6Pyunik IIPyunik II2437
46%
1.5
4737+10
3.5
88%
62%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.5
-
7AndranikAndranik2434
38%
1.4
4140+1
3.4
92%
71%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.71.7
-
8Shirak IIShirak II2432
33%
1.3
4347-4
3.8
92%
62%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.0
-
9Ararat IIArarat II2429
38%
1.2
4448-4
3.8
83%
71%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.0
-
10Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan2424
25%
1.0
3853-15
3.8
100%
71%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.2
-
11Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II2419
25%
0.8
3055-25
3.5
88%
67%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.3
-
12MikaMika2416
17%
0.7
2571-46
4.0
92%
79%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
13NikarmNikarm241
0%
0.0
17103-86
5.0
92%
88%
79%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.74.3
-
Armenia: First League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

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