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Lernayin Artsakh vs Ararat II Result & Analysis

Date: 11/09/2025
Time: 12:00
Final 2-1
Lernayin Artsakh
Lernayin Artsakh
Vs
59%
21%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ararat II
Ararat II
Armenia: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lernayin Artsakh win✓ Hit
58.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ararat II win✗ Miss
20.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L31W30W32W10W20W00D10W12L13LA·BKM07/05H·AND14/05A·ARA20/05H·PYU24/05A·SHI06/08H·NOA12/08A·BKM19/08A·MIK24/08H·PYU28/08A·SAR03/09
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.201.302.641.211.811.38
vs Stronger (10)0.901.301.501.250.501.33
vs Similar (17)2.651.533.001.332.251.75
vs Weaker (3)4.000.004.000.004.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ararat IIArarat II

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L01L04L01L22D41W21W20W01L35LA·AND22/04H·ARA28/04A·PYU07/05H·NOA13/05A·MIK19/05H·NIK27/05A·BEN05/08H·VAN13/08A·BAN19/08A·NOA29/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.971.932.001.621.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.572.291.001.750.003.00
vs Weaker (23)2.131.872.302.102.001.69
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%3%08%118%221%319%414%516%6+
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.8%
Under 1.5
11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
70.7%
Under 2.5
29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
49.6%
Under 3.5
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
67.1%
No
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1 ✓
9.3%
1-1
8.8%
3-1
7.2%
2-0
7.0%
2-2
6.2%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
1-0
5.2%
Lernayin Artsakh goals ↓
Ararat II goals →
01234
03.4%2.6%2.3%1.0%0.3%
15.2%8.8%5.3%2.4%0.8%
27.0%9.3%6.2%2.7%0.9%
35.4%7.2%4.8%2.1%0.7%
43.2%4.2%2.8%1.2%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lernayin Artsakh goals (down), columns = Ararat II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sardarapat
2.53
BKMA II
2.37
Hayq
2.27
Syunik
2.21
Andranik
2.20
Pyunik II
1.47
Ararat II
1.27
Araks Ararat
1.23
Banants II
1.20
Noah II
1.03
Bentonit Ijevan
0.97
Mika
0.93
Ararat-Armenia II
0.80
Van II
0.80
Lernayin Artsakh
0.79
Shirak II
0.60
Lernayin Artsakh is 0.47 points worse than Ararat II in terms of average points per game (0.79 vs 1.27).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Syunik
2.76
Sardarapat
2.70
BKMA II
2.57
Andranik
2.53
Hayq
1.97
Banants II
1.53
Ararat-Armenia II
1.53
Ararat II
1.43
Pyunik II
1.43
Noah II
1.30
Araks Ararat
1.27
Shirak II
1.13
Bentonit Ijevan
1.10
Van II
1.10
Mika
1.07
Lernayin Artsakh
0.76
Lernayin Artsakh is 0.67 goals worse than Ararat II in terms of goals scored per game (0.76 vs 1.43).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sardarapat
0.60
Hayq
0.80
Syunik
0.90
Andranik
1.00
BKMA II
1.03
Pyunik II
1.43
Bentonit Ijevan
1.63
Araks Ararat
1.70
Banants II
1.80
Ararat II
1.93
Noah II
1.93
Van II
1.93
Mika
2.00
Ararat-Armenia II
2.07
Lernayin Artsakh
2.45
Shirak II
2.97
Lernayin Artsakh is 0.51 goals worse than Ararat II in terms of goals conceded per game (2.45 vs 1.93).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W21W10W00D00D10W11D02LH·BEN30/04A·BKM07/05A·ARA20/05H·PYU24/05A·SHI06/08H·NOA12/08A·BKM19/08A·MIK24/08H·PYU28/08A·SAR03/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.571.080.460.820.65
vs Stronger (10)0.400.400.000.670.570.29
vs Similar (17)1.060.761.330.440.751.12
vs Weaker (3)2.000.002.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ararat IIArarat II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D03L01L11D21W11D20W01L22DA·AND22/04H·ARA28/04A·PYU07/05H·NOA13/05A·MIK19/05H·NIK27/05A·BEN05/08H·VAN13/08A·BAN19/08A·NOA29/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.030.860.930.881.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.431.290.751.250.001.33
vs Weaker (23)1.000.960.900.801.081.08
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L03L20W11D00D20W00D00D01L11DH·BEN30/04A·BKM07/05A·ARA20/05H·PYU24/05A·SHI06/08H·NOA12/08A·BKM19/08A·MIK24/08H·PYU28/08A·SAR03/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.300.771.540.771.120.76
vs Stronger (10)0.601.001.000.670.431.14
vs Similar (17)1.590.761.670.891.500.62
vs Weaker (3)2.000.002.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ararat IIArarat II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L01L00D11D20W10W00D00D13LA·AND22/04H·ARA28/04A·PYU07/05H·NOA13/05A·MIK19/05H·NIK27/05A·BEN05/08H·VAN13/08A·BAN19/08A·NOA29/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.931.071.070.750.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.141.000.250.500.001.67
vs Weaker (23)1.130.911.401.300.920.62
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.588.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.570.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAR (23)
€2m
SYU (23)
€2m
AND (29)
€1m
HAY (13)
€1m
BI (16)
€0m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
LA (8)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SYU (9)
€1m
SAR (7)
€1m
AND (10)
€1m
HAY (8)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SYU (6)
€0m
AND (8)
€0m
SAR (4)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
BI (5)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
HAY (1)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAR (12)
€1m
SYU (8)
€0m
AND (11)
€0m
HAY (4)
€0m
BI (8)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
LA (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
LA wins
2
Draws
1
AI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lernayin Artsakh vs Ararat II · H/A from LA
DateH/AGameScore
25/03/25HLA Vs Ararat II1-1
13/09/24AArarat II Vs LA1-0
27/05/24AArarat II Vs LA2-4
07/11/23HLA Vs Ararat II0-0

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/09/25ASardarapat Vs LA3-1
28/08/25HLA Vs Pyunik II1-2
24/08/25AMika Vs LA0-1
19/08/25ABKMA II Vs LA0-0
12/08/25HLA Vs Noah II2-0
06/08/25AShirak II Vs LA0-1
24/05/25HLA Vs Pyunik II3-2
20/05/25AArarat-Armenia II Vs LA0-3
14/05/25HLA Vs Andranik3-1
07/05/25ABKMA II Vs LA3-0

Ararat IIArarat II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/25ANoah II Vs AI5-3
19/08/25ABanants II Vs AI1-0
13/08/25HAI Vs Van II2-0
05/08/25ABentonit Ijevan Vs AI1-2
27/05/25HAI Vs Nikarm4-1
19/05/25AMika Vs AI2-2
13/05/25HAI Vs Noah II0-1
07/05/25APyunik II Vs AI4-0
28/04/25HAI Vs Ararat-Armenia II0-1
22/04/25AAndranik Vs AI2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lernayin Artsakh
Lernayin Artsakh
Armenia: First League
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLL1.94
HomeLWWWL2.46
AwayWWDWL1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%79%42%
AVG goals3.323.623.04
Over 1.5 %82%92%73%
Over 2.5 %62%75%50%
Over 3.5 %40%42%38%
Scored2.242.791.73
Conceded1.080.831.31
BTTS48%50%46%
Clean Sheet42%46%38%
Corners---
Cards---
Ararat II
Ararat II
Armenia: First League
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLL1.20
HomeLLLWW1.17
AwayLDWLL1.22
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%39%33%
AVG goals3.724.093.41
Over 1.5 %82%83%81%
Over 2.5 %72%74%70%
Over 3.5 %50%61%41%
Scored1.862.091.67
Conceded1.862.001.74
BTTS58%61%56%
Clean Sheet18%17%19%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SardarapatSardarapat3076
80%
2.5
8118+63
3.3
87%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.70.6
-
2BKMA IIBKMA II3071
73%
2.4
7731+46
3.6
80%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.0
-
3HayqHayq3068
73%
2.3
5924+35
2.8
67%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.00.8
-
4AndranikAndranik3066
70%
2.2
7630+46
3.5
73%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.51.0
-
5SyunikSyunik2964
72%
2.2
8026+54
3.7
83%
79%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1002.80.9
-
6Pyunik IIPyunik II3044
40%
1.5
4343+0
2.9
77%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
7Ararat IIArarat II3038
40%
1.3
4358-15
3.4
87%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.9
-
8Araks AraratAraks Ararat3037
37%
1.2
3851-13
3.0
73%
50%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
9Banants IIBanants II3036
30%
1.2
4654-8
3.3
77%
57%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
10Noah IINoah II3031
27%
1.0
3958-19
3.2
73%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.9
-
11Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan3029
23%
1.0
3349-16
2.7
77%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
12MikaMika3028
23%
0.9
3260-28
3.1
80%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
13Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II3024
20%
0.8
4662-16
3.6
87%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.1
-
14Van IIVan II3024
20%
0.8
3358-25
3.0
70%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
15Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh2923
24%
0.8
2271-49
3.2
76%
62%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.4
-
16Shirak IIShirak II3018
13%
0.6
3489-55
4.1
80%
70%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.13.0
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Armenia: First League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

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