Lernayin Artsakh vs Bentonit Ijevan Result & Analysis

The model projects a high-scoring encounter with an average of 3.3 goals, suggesting a 52% chance of a home win, a 24% chance of a draw and a 24% chance of an away win, with the home side the clear favourite. The most likely final scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10.6% probability, a figure that sits comfortably within the predicted total-goals range. Lernayin Artsakh, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.83 goals scored and 1.5 conceded, while Bentonit Ijevan, on the road, averages 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded against comparable opposition. The model’s single selection is an Over 1.5 goal outcome, with an 85.1% probability. The recent form narrative notes Lernayin Artsakh emerging from a defeat and Bentonit Ijevan from a draw, both against teams of similar strength, hinting at a potentially open match. All probabilities are expressed as percentages, and every selection is listed with its exact figure.

The upset came early as Lernayin Artsakh, the pre-match favourite with a 52% chance of victory, failed to deliver, losing 0-6 to Bentonit Ijevan. The model’s call was wrong, and the final result was an away win. The only other selection was Over 1.5 goals, which hit, confirming the high 85.1% probability of a goal-rich game. The match delivered a total of six goals, far above the expected 3.3 and the most likely 3-goal outcome. Lernayin’s recent form, a string of four losses after a defeat to Mika, contrasted sharply with Bentonit’s five-game run of one draw, one win and three losses, which included a 3-3 draw at Pyunik II.