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Lernayin Artsakh vs BKMA II Result & Analysis

Date: 31/08/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 1-3
Lernayin Artsakh
Lernayin Artsakh
Vs
21%
26%
53%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
BKMA II
BKMA II
Armenia: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Lernayin Artsakh win✗ Miss
21.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
BKMA II win✓ Hit
53.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L04L02L03L00D01L11D02L20W21WA·BKM09/05H·FC 17/05A·PYU21/05H·ARA25/05A·ARA01/06H·SHI05/06H·BAN05/08A·PYU15/08H·GAN21/08A·ONO25/08← Premier LeagueFirst League →
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.371.770.402.000.331.53
vs Stronger (18)0.332.060.502.200.121.88
vs Similar (12)0.421.330.201.600.571.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (BKMA II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BKMA IIBKMA II

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-620W21W10W60W21W20W11D40W10W41WA·SHI17/04H·ALA22/04A·SYU28/04A·ARA04/05H·GAN10/05A·MIK15/05H·WES19/05A·ARA23/05A·ONO15/08H·MIK26/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.301.002.131.332.470.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.501.501.331.671.671.33
vs Weaker (24)2.500.882.331.252.670.50
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.1%
Under 1.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.2%
Under 2.5
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.0%
Under 3.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.9%
No
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
0-1
9.5%
0-2
9.3%
0-0
7.1%
2-1
5.8%
1-3 ✓
5.7%
0-3
5.5%
Lernayin Artsakh goals ↓
BKMA II goals →
01234
07.1%9.5%9.3%5.5%2.4%
15.2%12%9.8%5.7%2.5%
23.3%5.8%5.1%3.0%1.3%
31.2%2.0%1.8%1.1%0.5%
40.3%0.5%0.5%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lernayin Artsakh goals (down), columns = BKMA II goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Gandzasar
2.64
BKMA II
2.25
Syunik
2.22
Lernayin Artsakh
2.07
Banants II
1.50
Andranik
1.46
Noah II
1.39
Ararat-Armenia II
1.39
Alashkert II
1.32
Shirak II
1.18
Ararat II
1.14
Pyunik II
1.07
Mika
0.61
Onor
0.59
Nikarm
0.43
Lernayin Artsakh is 0.18 points worse than BKMA II in terms of average points per game (2.07 vs 2.25).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
BKMA II
2.89
Gandzasar
2.46
Lernayin Artsakh
2.21
Syunik
2.19
Noah II
1.89
Ararat II
1.86
Banants II
1.82
Pyunik II
1.79
Ararat-Armenia II
1.71
Alashkert II
1.64
Shirak II
1.46
Andranik
1.32
Nikarm
0.96
Onor
0.85
Mika
0.75
Lernayin Artsakh is 0.68 goals worse than BKMA II in terms of goals scored per game (2.21 vs 2.89).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Gandzasar
0.61
Syunik
0.89
Lernayin Artsakh
0.96
BKMA II
1.11
Banants II
1.21
Noah II
1.36
Ararat-Armenia II
1.46
Andranik
1.46
Ararat II
1.68
Alashkert II
1.75
Shirak II
1.79
Pyunik II
2.04
Mika
2.14
Onor
3.04
Nikarm
4.36
Lernayin Artsakh is 0.14 goals better than BKMA II in terms of goals conceded per game (0.96 vs 1.11).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D02L01L02L00D00D01L01L10W10WA·BKM09/05H·FC 17/05A·PYU21/05H·ARA25/05A·ARA01/06H·SHI05/06H·BAN05/08A·PYU15/08H·GAN21/08A·ONO25/08← Premier LeagueFirst League →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.170.830.200.930.130.73
vs Stronger (18)0.170.940.300.900.001.00
vs Similar (12)0.170.670.001.000.290.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (BKMA II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BKMA IIBKMA II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W11D10W40W10W00D11D10W00D41WA·SHI17/04H·ALA22/04A·SYU28/04A·ARA04/05H·GAN10/05A·MIK15/05H·WES19/05A·ARA23/05A·ONO15/08H·MIK26/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.531.070.601.130.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.801.001.001.000.501.00
vs Weaker (25)1.160.441.080.501.230.38
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L01L01L00D01L10W01L10W11DA·BKM09/05H·FC 17/05A·PYU21/05H·ARA25/05A·ARA01/06H·SHI05/06H·BAN05/08A·PYU15/08H·GAN21/08A·ONO25/08← Premier LeagueFirst League →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.200.930.201.070.200.80
vs Stronger (18)0.171.110.201.300.120.88
vs Similar (12)0.250.670.200.600.290.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (BKMA II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BKMA IIBKMA II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W00D20W11D20W00D30W10W00DA·SHI17/04H·ALA22/04A·SYU28/04A·ARA04/05H·GAN10/05A·MIK15/05H·WES19/05A·ARA23/05A·ONO15/08H·MIK26/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.431.070.731.470.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.800.400.330.671.500.00
vs Weaker (25)1.360.441.250.751.460.15
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (25)
€3m
SYU (23)
€2m
AND (29)
€1m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
LA (8)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
Lernayin Artsakh and BKMA II have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (8)
€1m
SYU (9)
€1m
AND (10)
€1m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
Lernayin Artsakh and BKMA II have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (5)
€1m
SYU (6)
€0m
AND (8)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
Lernayin Artsakh and BKMA II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (12)
€1m
SYU (8)
€0m
AND (11)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
LA (3)
€0m
Lernayin Artsakh and BKMA II have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
LA wins
0
Draws
0
BI wins

Head-to-head

Lernayin Artsakh vs BKMA II · H/A from LA
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/08/23AOnor Vs LA1-2
21/08/23HLA Vs Gandzasar2-0
15/08/23APyunik II Vs LA2-0
05/08/23HLA Vs Banants II1-1
05/06/23HLA Vs Shirak0-1
01/06/23AArarat-Armenia Vs LA0-0
25/05/23HLA Vs Ararat0-3
21/05/23APyunik Yerevan Vs LA2-0
17/05/23HLA Vs FC Urartu0-4
09/05/23ABKMA Vs LA2-1

BKMA IIBKMA II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/08/23HBI Vs Mika4-1
15/08/23AOnor Vs BI0-1
23/05/23AArarat II Vs BI0-4
19/05/23HBI Vs West Armenia1-1
15/05/23AMika Vs BI0-2
10/05/23HBI Vs Gandzasar2-1
04/05/23AArarat-Armenia II Vs BI0-6
28/04/23ASyunik Vs BI0-1
22/04/23HBI Vs Alashkert II2-1
17/04/23AShirak II Vs BI0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lernayin Artsakh
Lernayin Artsakh
Armenia: First League
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWW0.72
HomeLLLDW0.55
AwayLLDLW0.90
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%10%25%
AVG goals2.102.202.00
Over 1.5 %65%70%60%
Over 2.5 %35%35%35%
Over 3.5 %12%15%10%
Scored0.530.450.60
Conceded1.571.751.40
BTTS30%30%30%
Clean Sheet18%15%20%
Corners---
Cards---
BKMA II
BKMA II
Armenia: First League
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWW2.18
HomeLWWDW2.00
AwayWWWWW2.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %70%62%76%
AVG goals3.363.623.12
Over 1.5 %85%88%82%
Over 2.5 %58%69%47%
Over 3.5 %42%44%41%
Scored2.422.382.47
Conceded0.941.250.65
BTTS55%69%41%
Clean Sheet36%25%47%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1GandzasarGandzasar2874
86%
2.6
6917+52
3.1
82%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.50.6
-
2BKMA IIBKMA II2863
71%
2.2
8131+50
4.0
93%
79%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.91.1
-
3SyunikSyunik2760
70%
2.2
5924+35
3.1
70%
52%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1002.20.9
-
4Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh2858
64%
2.1
6227+35
3.2
86%
57%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
5Banants IIBanants II2842
36%
1.5
5134+17
3.0
75%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.2
-
6AndranikAndranik2841
43%
1.5
3741-4
2.8
75%
54%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.5
-
7Noah IINoah II2839
39%
1.4
5338+15
3.2
79%
50%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.4
-
8Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II2839
39%
1.4
4841+7
3.2
82%
57%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.5
-
9Alashkert IIAlashkert II2837
36%
1.3
4649-3
3.4
75%
71%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.8
-
10Shirak IIShirak II2833
36%
1.2
4150-9
3.2
71%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
11Ararat IIArarat II2832
32%
1.1
5247+5
3.5
79%
71%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.7
-
12Pyunik IIPyunik II2830
32%
1.1
5057-7
3.8
82%
68%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.0
-
13MikaMika2817
14%
0.6
2160-39
2.9
71%
61%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.1
-
14OnorOnor2716
15%
0.6
2382-59
3.9
78%
67%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.93.0
-
15NikarmNikarm2812
14%
0.4
27122-95
5.3
86%
79%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.04.4
-
Armenia: First League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

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