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Lernayin Artsakh vs Onor Result & Analysis

Date: 16/03/2024
Time: 11:00
Final 6-1
Lernayin Artsakh
Lernayin Artsakh
Vs
78%
15%
7%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Onor
Onor
Armenia: First League
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Lernayin Artsakh win✓ Hit
78.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
14.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Onor win✗ Miss
7.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-661W32W10W11D00D01L20W11D60W30WH·AND18/10A·SYU23/10H·ALA31/10A·ARA03/11H·ARA07/11A·NOA12/11H·NOA27/11A·BAN03/12H·NIK22/02H·PYU03/03
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.571.471.530.801.60
vs Stronger (14)0.931.931.112.000.601.80
vs Similar (15)1.401.132.000.831.001.33
vs Weaker (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Onor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OnorOnor

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-800D11D21W01L15L13L02L01L08L14LA·ALA30/09H·ARA19/10A·ARA25/10H·NOA29/10A·BAN04/11H·PYU08/11A·GAN12/11H·GAN29/11A·BKM04/03H·MIK10/03
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.882.121.002.110.752.12
vs Stronger (6)0.332.830.002.000.673.67
vs Similar (8)1.251.621.752.000.751.25
vs Weaker (3)1.002.001.002.501.001.00
Clean sheet %18% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%119%222%319%413%515%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.4%
Under 1.5
12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
68.6%
Under 2.5
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
47.1%
Under 3.5
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.3%
No
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.1%
3-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-1
7.9%
1-0
7.4%
4-0
7.0%
1-1
6.9%
4-1
5.5%
Lernayin Artsakh goals ↓
Onor goals →
01234
03.5%1.6%0.9%0.2%0.0%
17.4%6.9%2.4%0.6%0.1%
211%8.6%3.4%0.9%0.2%
310%7.9%3.1%0.8%0.2%
47.0%5.5%2.1%0.6%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lernayin Artsakh goals (down), columns = Onor goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Gandzasar
2.64
BKMA II
2.25
Syunik
2.22
Lernayin Artsakh
2.07
Banants II
1.50
Andranik
1.46
Noah II
1.39
Ararat-Armenia II
1.39
Alashkert II
1.32
Shirak II
1.18
Ararat II
1.14
Pyunik II
1.07
Mika
0.61
Onor
0.59
Nikarm
0.43
Lernayin Artsakh is 1.48 points better than Onor in terms of average points per game (2.07 vs 0.59).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
BKMA II
2.89
Gandzasar
2.46
Lernayin Artsakh
2.21
Syunik
2.19
Noah II
1.89
Ararat II
1.86
Banants II
1.82
Pyunik II
1.79
Ararat-Armenia II
1.71
Alashkert II
1.64
Shirak II
1.46
Andranik
1.32
Nikarm
0.96
Onor
0.85
Mika
0.75
Lernayin Artsakh is 1.36 goals better than Onor in terms of goals scored per game (2.21 vs 0.85).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Gandzasar
0.61
Syunik
0.89
Lernayin Artsakh
0.96
BKMA II
1.11
Banants II
1.21
Noah II
1.36
Andranik
1.46
Ararat-Armenia II
1.46
Ararat II
1.68
Alashkert II
1.75
Shirak II
1.79
Pyunik II
2.04
Mika
2.14
Onor
3.04
Nikarm
4.36
Lernayin Artsakh is 2.07 goals better than Onor in terms of goals conceded per game (0.96 vs 3.04).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D41W11D10W00D00D00D11D20W10WA·MIK14/09H·AND18/10A·SYU23/10H·ALA31/10A·ARA03/11H·ARA07/11H·NOA27/11A·BAN03/12H·NIK22/02H·PYU03/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.730.620.810.290.64
vs Stronger (15)0.530.870.780.890.170.83
vs Similar (14)0.430.640.430.710.430.57
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Onor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OnorOnor

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L00D11D00D00D03L01L02L03LA·AND22/09H·SYU26/09A·ALA30/09A·ARA25/10H·NOA29/10A·BAN04/11H·PYU08/11H·GAN29/11A·BKM04/03H·MIK10/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.870.251.250.570.43
vs Stronger (5)0.201.000.000.670.501.50
vs Similar (8)0.500.620.501.250.500.00
vs Weaker (2)0.501.500.003.001.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Onor over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Onor over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Onor over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L20W21W00D11D00D20W00D40W20WA·MIK14/09H·AND18/10A·SYU23/10H·ALA31/10A·ARA03/11H·ARA07/11H·NOA27/11A·BAN03/12H·NIK22/02H·PYU03/03
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.970.750.810.291.14
vs Stronger (15)0.331.130.331.110.331.17
vs Similar (14)0.790.641.290.430.290.86
vs Weaker (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Onor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OnorOnor

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-600D03L00D10W01L15L10W00D06L11DA·AND22/09H·SYU26/09A·ALA30/09A·ARA25/10H·NOA29/10A·BAN04/11H·PYU08/11H·GAN29/11A·BKM04/03H·MIK10/03
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.330.751.000.291.71
vs Stronger (5)0.202.000.001.330.503.00
vs Similar (8)0.751.001.250.750.251.25
vs Weaker (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Onor over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Onor over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Onor over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.4%-------✓ Hit
Home win78.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (25)
€3m
SYU (23)
€2m
AND (29)
€1m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
LA (8)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (8)
€1m
SYU (9)
€1m
AND (10)
€1m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (5)
€1m
SYU (6)
€0m
AND (8)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (12)
€1m
SYU (8)
€0m
AND (11)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
LA (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
LA wins
0
Draws
0
ONO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lernayin Artsakh vs Onor · H/A from LA
DateH/AGameScore
25/08/23AOnor Vs LA1-2

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/03/24HLA Vs Pyunik II3-0
22/02/24HLA Vs Nikarm6-0
03/12/23ABanants II Vs LA1-1
27/11/23HLA Vs Noah II2-0
12/11/23ANoah II Vs LA1-0
07/11/23HLA Vs Ararat II0-0
03/11/23AArarat-Armenia II Vs LA1-1
31/10/23HLA Vs Alashkert II1-0
23/10/23ASyunik Vs LA2-3
18/10/23HLA Vs Andranik6-1

OnorOnor

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/03/24HONO Vs Mika1-4
04/03/24ABKMA II Vs ONO8-0
29/11/23HONO Vs Gandzasar0-1
12/11/23AGandzasar Vs ONO2-0
08/11/23HONO Vs Pyunik II1-3
04/11/23ABanants II Vs ONO5-1
29/10/23HONO Vs Noah II0-1
25/10/23AArarat II Vs ONO1-2
19/10/23HONO Vs Ararat-Armenia II1-1
30/09/23AAlashkert II Vs ONO0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lernayin Artsakh
Lernayin Artsakh
Armenia: First League
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWW1.00
HomeWDWWW1.08
AwayWWDLD0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%28%24%
AVG goals2.442.602.28
Over 1.5 %72%76%68%
Over 2.5 %42%44%40%
Over 3.5 %20%24%16%
Scored0.961.120.80
Conceded1.481.481.48
BTTS36%32%40%
Clean Sheet22%32%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Onor
Onor
Armenia: First League
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.88
HomeDLLLL0.44
AwayDWLLL1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%11%38%
AVG goals3.003.112.88
Over 1.5 %65%67%62%
Over 2.5 %47%56%38%
Over 3.5 %35%44%25%
Scored0.881.000.75
Conceded2.122.112.12
BTTS47%56%38%
Clean Sheet18%0%38%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1GandzasarGandzasar2874
86%
2.6
6917+52
3.1
82%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.50.6
-
2BKMA IIBKMA II2863
71%
2.2
8131+50
4.0
93%
79%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.91.1
-
3SyunikSyunik2760
70%
2.2
5924+35
3.1
70%
52%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1002.20.9
-
4Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh2858
64%
2.1
6227+35
3.2
86%
57%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
5Banants IIBanants II2842
36%
1.5
5134+17
3.0
75%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.2
-
6AndranikAndranik2841
43%
1.5
3741-4
2.8
75%
54%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.5
-
7Noah IINoah II2839
39%
1.4
5338+15
3.2
79%
50%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.4
-
8Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II2839
39%
1.4
4841+7
3.2
82%
57%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.5
-
9Alashkert IIAlashkert II2837
36%
1.3
4649-3
3.4
75%
71%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.8
-
10Shirak IIShirak II2833
36%
1.2
4150-9
3.2
71%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
11Ararat IIArarat II2832
32%
1.1
5247+5
3.5
79%
71%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.7
-
12Pyunik IIPyunik II2830
32%
1.1
5057-7
3.8
82%
68%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.0
-
13MikaMika2817
14%
0.6
2160-39
2.9
71%
61%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.1
-
14OnorOnor2716
15%
0.6
2382-59
3.9
78%
67%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.93.0
-
15NikarmNikarm2812
14%
0.4
27122-95
5.3
86%
79%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.04.4
-
Armenia: First League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

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