Levante vs Athletic Club Result & Analysis

Levante and Athletic Club face a finely balanced contest, with the model favouring an away win. The probabilities are 34% for a home victory, 29% for a draw and 37% for an Athletic win, making the latter the most likely outcome. The expected total of goals is 2.6, with the single most probable scoreline being 1-1 at 13.9%. Levante, at home against a similarly strong opponent, averages 1.36 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Athletic, away from home, scores 1.33 and concedes 0.83 against similar opposition. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 92.9%, Over 19.5 fouls at 91.6%, Over 1.5 goals at 74.0%, and Under 3.5 goals at 74.1%. Other picks such as Over 21.5 fouls, Over 3.5 cards, Under 11.5 corners, and Over 23.5 fouls have lower probabilities of 83.1%, 83.1%, 71.1%, and 70.9% respectively. This balanced picture suggests a tight match where a 1-1 draw or a narrow away win are the most plausible outcomes.

The final score of 2-2 left the pre-match favourite, an away win, disappointed, as the match ended in a draw. The model had given the away side a 37% chance of victory, but the result was a draw, so the model’s call was wrong. The match saw a 92.9% probability for over 2.5 cards, which hit, and a 91.6% probability for over 19.5 fouls, also hit. The over 21.5 fouls pick missed, as did the over 3.5 cards, under 3.5, under 11.5 corners, and over 23.5 fouls, each with probabilities of 83.1%, 74.1%, 71.1%, and 70.9% respectively. The over 1.5 goals pick, with a 74.0% probability, also hit. The game was a surprise, with both sides coming off recent wins, yet the result was a stalemate.