The contest between Levante and Real Betis is finely balanced, with the model favouring an away win. The probabilities are 33% for a home victory, 28% for a draw and 39% for Betis to lift the trophy. The average goal tally is 2.7, but the most likely total is two, a 1-1 scoreline carrying a 13.4% chance. Levante, playing at home against a similarly-ranked side, averages 1.73 goals scored and 1.09 conceded, while Betis, on the road, averages 1.12 goals scored and 1.38 conceded against similar opposition. The suggested picks are: Under 7.5 goals 99.2%, Home under 2.5 HT goals98.6% (edge 6%), Away under 2.5 HT goals97.8% (edge 6%), Under 6.5 goals 97.5% (edge 2%), Home under 2.5 2H goals96.3% (edge 5%), Away under 2.5 2H goals96.1% (edge 6%), Home under 3.5 goals96.0% (edge 3%), and Under 5.5 goals 93.3% (edge 1%). The match remains open, with Betis slightly ahead but Levante’s home form and recent draw keeping the outcome uncertain.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, an away win, fell short as Levante triumphed 5-2, extending their recent win streak. The model’s call was wrong, despite a 40% probability for the away side. The final score of 5-2 confirmed a home win, a surprise given the 32% home-win probability. The model’s selections performed unevenly: Under 7.5 hit at 99.2%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.4%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.0%, and Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.8%. The other picks - Under 6.5, Home under 2.5 2H goals, Home under 3.5 goals, and Under 5.5 - missed, with probabilities of 97.5%, 96.2%, 96.0% and 93.3% respectively.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Levante win✓ Hit
32.4%
Avg Implied 28.8% · @ 3.30
Edge
+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.45
1xBet
3.45
Betfair
3.40
Betano
3.40
Pinnacle
3.35
Draw✗ Miss
28.0%
Avg Implied 28.5% · @ 3.33
Edge
-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
3.50
1xBet
3.49
Pinnacle
3.44
Marathonbet
3.42
Superbet
3.35
Real Betis win✗ Miss
39.6%
Avg Implied 42.7% · @ 2.23
Edge
-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.28
Pinnacle
2.28
Marathonbet
2.27
Dafabet
2.26
Bet365
2.25
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Levante
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.40
1.43
1.00
0.75
1.75
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
2.00
0.33
0.67
0.25
3.00
vs Similar (21)
1.38
1.29
1.73
1.09
1.00
1.50
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
-
-
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Betis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Real Betis
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.30
1.69
1.19
1.07
1.43
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.33
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (20)
1.50
1.15
1.75
1.00
1.12
1.38
vs Weaker (5)
1.40
1.20
3.00
0.00
1.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Levante) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.7%
@ 1.29+3.8%
Under 1.5
23.3%
@ 3.48-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.31
Betfair
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Under
Pinnacle
3.88
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
Betano
3.45
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.2%
@ 1.95+2.2%
Under 2.5
48.8%
@ 1.87-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.00
Unibet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
SBO
1.99
Superbet
1.97
Under
Pinnacle
1.98
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.91
Bet365
1.91
Betano
1.90
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.1%
@ 3.27+0.4%
Under 3.5
70.9%
@ 1.32-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Superbet
3.40
10Bet
3.35
1xBet
3.24
Under
Pinnacle
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.3%
@ 1.72+2.0%
No
43.7%
@ 2.04-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.77
William Hil
1.75
Unibet
1.74
10Bet
1.73
Betfair
1.73
No
Betano
2.12
Marathonbet
2.06
Betfair
2.05
William Hil
2.05
10Bet
2.05
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%@ 6.03+5.8%
1-2
8.7%@ 8.37+3.3%
0-1
8.3%@ 7.53+2.2%
0-0
7.8%@ 9.86+3.2%
2-1
7.8%@ 10.54+3.5%
1-0
7.2%@ 9.53+2.4%
0-2
6.8%@ 10.29+2.4%
2-2
5.6%@ 12.60+2.0%
Levante goals ↓
Real Betis goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.8%
8.3%
6.8%
3.3%
1.2%
1
7.2%
13%
8.7%
4.2%
1.5%
2
5.4%
7.8%
5.6%
2.7%
1.0%
3
2.3%
3.3%
2.4%
1.1%
0.4%
4
0.7%
1.1%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Levante goals (down), columns = Real Betis goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barcelona
2.47
Real Madrid
2.26
Villarreal
1.89
Atletico Madrid
1.82
Real Betis
1.58
Celta Vigo
1.42
Getafe
1.34
Rayo Vallecano
1.32
Valencia
1.29
Real Sociedad
1.21
Espanyol
1.21
Athletic Club
1.18
Sevilla
1.13
Elche
1.13
Alaves
1.13
Levante
1.11
Osasuna
1.11
Malaga
1.10
Racing Santander
1.10
Deportivo La Coruna
1.08
Levante is 0.47 points worse than Real Betis in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 1.58).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Barcelona
2.50
Real Madrid
2.03
Villarreal
1.89
Atletico Madrid
1.63
Real Sociedad
1.55
Real Betis
1.55
Celta Vigo
1.39
Elche
1.29
Levante
1.24
Sevilla
1.21
Valencia
1.21
Osasuna
1.16
Alaves
1.16
Athletic Club
1.13
Espanyol
1.13
Rayo Vallecano
1.08
Malaga
1.08
Racing Santander
1.08
Deportivo La Coruna
1.06
Getafe
0.84
Levante is 0.32 goals worse than Real Betis in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.55).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Real Madrid
0.92
Barcelona
0.95
Getafe
1.00
Atletico Madrid
1.16
Rayo Vallecano
1.16
Villarreal
1.21
Real Betis
1.26
Celta Vigo
1.26
Osasuna
1.32
Valencia
1.45
Espanyol
1.45
Alaves
1.47
Elche
1.50
Athletic Club
1.53
Sevilla
1.58
Levante
1.61
Real Sociedad
1.61
Malaga
1.69
Racing Santander
1.69
Deportivo La Coruna
1.72
Levante is 0.34 goals worse than Real Betis in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.26).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Barcelona
69%
Real Madrid
59%
Elche
58%
Rayo Vallecano
53%
Atletico Madrid
53%
Real Sociedad
51%
Sevilla
51%
Celta Vigo
50%
Real Betis
50%
Athletic Club
49%
Alaves
48%
Valencia
48%
Osasuna
47%
Villarreal
45%
Levante
43%
Espanyol
42%
Getafe
40%
Levante is 7.4 percentage points worse than Real Betis in terms of average possession (43% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Levante
For 5.4 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 13.8 · Total 24.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Real Betis
For 4.3 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 10.0 · Total 21.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Levante
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.9
10.2
4.6
5.0
4.3
24.6
25.9
23.5
vs Stronger (10)
13.0
10.4
15.6
4.3
4.8
3.8
23.5
25.8
21.2
vs Similar (35)
9.2
9.9
8.7
4.7
4.8
4.7
25.1
26.4
23.9
vs Weaker (5)
9.5
8.5
10.5
4.4
7.0
2.7
23.5
22.0
25.0
% over line
49%
52%
46%
62%
70%
56%
69%
78%
62%
% under line
51%
48%
54%
38%
30%
44%
31%
22%
38%
This opponent (Real Betis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Real Betis
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
8.3
9.7
4.3
4.4
4.3
23.3
23.2
23.4
vs Stronger (8)
10.1
9.6
11.0
3.4
4.0
2.3
21.0
23.2
17.3
vs Similar (32)
8.5
7.6
9.4
5.2
5.1
5.2
24.1
24.1
24.1
vs Weaker (10)
9.9
10.0
9.8
2.5
1.3
3.0
22.4
18.3
24.8
% over line
44%
21%
67%
64%
62%
65%
69%
71%
67%
% under line
56%
79%
33%
36%
38%
35%
31%
29%
33%
This opponent (Levante) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rayo Vallecano
10.8
Atletico Madrid
10.8
Racing Santander
10.8
Barcelona
10.8
Real Madrid
10.6
Alaves
10.6
Real Sociedad
10.2
Levante
10.0
Valencia
9.8
Espanyol
9.7
Athletic Club
9.7
Sevilla
9.3
Villarreal
9.2
Osasuna
9.1
Deportivo La Coruna
9.1
Malaga
9.0
Real Betis
8.9
Getafe
8.8
Elche
8.3
Celta Vigo
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Racing Santander
6.3
Rayo Vallecano
5.7
Getafe
5.5
Malaga
5.3
Sevilla
5.3
Deportivo La Coruna
5.1
Real Sociedad
5.0
Real Madrid
4.9
Espanyol
4.9
Osasuna
4.8
Alaves
4.8
Celta Vigo
4.7
Real Betis
4.7
Levante
4.7
Elche
4.7
Athletic Club
4.7
Valencia
4.6
Villarreal
4.4
Barcelona
4.4
Atletico Madrid
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Getafe
29.3
Alaves
28.7
Elche
28.1
Sevilla
27.6
Racing Santander
26.8
Real Sociedad
26.3
Espanyol
25.9
Rayo Vallecano
25.8
Athletic Club
25.3
Celta Vigo
25.0
Osasuna
24.9
Villarreal
24.8
Malaga
24.8
Levante
24.6
Valencia
24.2
Real Madrid
23.9
Deportivo La Coruna
23.6
Real Betis
23.5
Barcelona
21.8
Atletico Madrid
20.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.2%
@ 1.84+1.6%
Under 9.5
47.8%
@ 1.89-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
Unibet
1.86
1xBet
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Betfair
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.96
Superbet
1.92
Betano
1.91
Bet365
1.91
1xBet
1.89
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
71.2%
@ 1.66+14.7%
Under 3.5
28.8%
@ 2.15-14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.83
Bet365
1.73
1xBet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.65
Betano
1.62
Under
Superbet
2.52
Betano
2.22
Pinnacle
2.22
1xBet
2.10
Bet365
2.00
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
78.0%
Under 21.5
22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Levante or Draw✓ Hit
57.4%
Avg Implied 57.1% · @ 1.65
Edge
+0.3%
32%
28%
40%
covers Levante + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.71
Unibet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.68
Superbet
1.67
Betano
1.67
Levante or Real Betis✓ Hit
72.7%
Avg Implied 71.8% · @ 1.31
Edge
+1.0%
32%
28%
40%
covers Levante + Real Betis
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.33
Draw or Real Betis✗ Miss
69.9%
Avg Implied 71.1% · @ 1.33
Edge
-1.3%
32%
28%
40%
covers Draw + Real Betis
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.34
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Levante over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
71.9%
@ 1.37+3.9%
Under
28.1%
@ 2.92-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Superbet
1.38
Unibet
1.38
10Bet
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.23
Marathonbet
3.02
Betano
3.00
1xBet
2.89
BetVictor
2.88
Levante over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
36.3%
@ 2.84+3.3%
Under
63.7%
@ 1.40-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
Unibet
2.90
BetVictor
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.84
Under
Pinnacle
1.46
Marathonbet
1.44
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.41
Superbet
1.40
Levante over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
13.6%
@ 7.26+0.8%
Under
86.4%
@ 1.07-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
8.00
1xBet
7.80
Marathonbet
7.20
BetVictor
7.00
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Unibet
1.07
Levante over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
4.0%
@ 15.88-2.0%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.02+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
23.00
Superbet
19.00
Betano
11.50
1xBet
10.00
Under
1xBet
1.03
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Real Betis over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.7%
@ 1.23+2.7%
Under
21.3%
@ 3.89-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
4.29
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.82
Real Betis over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
45.8%
@ 2.14+1.9%
Under
54.2%
@ 1.67-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.20
Pinnacle
2.17
Superbet
2.17
10Bet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.15
Under
Pinnacle
1.73
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Real Betis over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.3%
@ 4.73+0.6%
Under
79.7%
@ 1.16-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
4.75
10Bet
4.75
BetVictor
4.75
1xBet
4.70
Under
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
Real Betis over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.2%
@ 11.17-1.3%
Under
92.8%
@ 1.03+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
1xBet
12.00
Marathonbet
11.50
Superbet
11.00
Unibet
11.00
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Unibet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Levante, so a minus line means Levante give that many goals of a start and Real Betis receive them. At -1, Levante must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Levante win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Levante)Actual: Levante
Levante -2
4.5%
@ 17.40-0.7%
Draw -2
8.9%
@ 9.32-0.9%
Real Betis +2
86.6%
@ 1.08+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
21.00
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
17.00
Unibet
15.00
10Bet
15.00
Draw
Betfair
11.00
Bet365
10.00
Superbet
9.10
Unibet
9.00
10Bet
7.50
Away
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Unibet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Handicap -1 (Levante)Actual: Levante
Levante -1
13.4%
@ 7.29+1.0%
Draw -1
16.8%
@ 4.77-2.2%
Real Betis +1
69.9%
@ 1.32+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
8.00
Unibet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.95
10Bet
6.50
Draw
Marathonbet
5.05
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
4.80
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Away
Marathonbet
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Unibet
1.29
Handicap +1 (Levante)Actual: Levante
Levante +1
57.4%
@ 1.66+2.8%
Draw +1
20.7%
@ 3.87-2.8%
Real Betis -1
21.9%
@ 4.13-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.68
Unibet
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.66
10Bet
1.65
Draw
Marathonbet
4.05
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
4.00
10Bet
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Away
Betfair
4.50
Superbet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.15
10Bet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Handicap +2 (Levante)Actual: Levante
Levante +2
78.1%
@ 1.19+1.9%
Draw +2
13.1%
@ 6.30-1.2%
Real Betis -2
8.8%
@ 9.53-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
Draw
Marathonbet
6.70
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Superbet
6.30
10Bet
6.00
Away
Betfair
11.00
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
9.10
Superbet
9.10
10Bet
9.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Levante
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.70
0.43
0.57
0.25
0.81
vs Stronger (7)
0.00
0.71
0.00
0.33
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.71
0.55
0.64
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.50
-
-
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Betis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Real Betis
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.63
0.88
0.62
0.43
0.64
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.00
0.67
1.33
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.55
0.83
0.50
0.38
0.62
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.60
2.00
0.00
0.50
0.75
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Levante) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
70.6%
@ 1.40+3.4%
Under 0.5
29.4%
@ 2.85-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.42
Superbet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
3.06
William Hil
3.00
Superbet
2.92
Marathonbet
2.89
Betfair
2.88
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
34.0%
@ 2.80+0.6%
Under 1.5
66.0%
@ 1.40-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.91
Betano
2.90
Unibet
2.90
1xBet
2.89
Betfair
2.88
Under
Marathonbet
1.43
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.42
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.42
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
11.4%
@ 7.33-1.4%
Under 2.5
88.6%
@ 1.07+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
8.50
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
7.60
Marathonbet
7.30
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Levante over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
44.4%
@ 2.29+3.8%
Under
55.6%
@ 1.57-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.35
Pinnacle
2.34
Betano
2.32
1xBet
2.32
Marathonbet
2.27
Under
10Bet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
Superbet
1.57
Betano
1.57
Marathonbet
1.56
Levante over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
9.9%
@ 7.90-1.8%
Under
90.1%
@ 1.05+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.00
Marathonbet
8.60
Unibet
8.00
Superbet
7.50
Betano
7.30
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Levante over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.6%
@ 20.75-3.1%
Under
98.4%
@ 1.01+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
28.00
Betano
13.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Real Betis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
48.1%
@ 1.94+0.2%
Under
51.9%
@ 1.79-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.00
Betano
1.95
Marathonbet
1.94
1xBet
1.94
Unibet
1.94
Under
10Bet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.83
Superbet
1.80
Betano
1.78
Marathonbet
1.77
Real Betis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
13.3%
@ 5.81-2.6%
Under
86.7%
@ 1.10+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.30
Marathonbet
6.20
Unibet
5.80
Superbet
5.65
10Bet
5.50
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Real Betis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 14.75-4.4%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Levante
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.70
1.00
0.43
0.50
0.94
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.29
0.33
0.33
0.25
2.00
vs Similar (21)
0.90
0.57
1.18
0.45
0.60
0.70
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
-
-
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Betis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Real Betis
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.67
0.81
0.56
0.64
0.79
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.85
0.60
0.92
0.50
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.60
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.75
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Levante) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.3%
@ 1.24+2.8%
Under 0.5
21.7%
@ 3.82-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.23
Under
Marathonbet
4.05
1xBet
3.94
Betano
3.90
Superbet
3.85
Unibet
3.75
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
45.6%
@ 2.12+1.3%
Under 1.5
54.4%
@ 1.69-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.20
1xBet
2.16
William Hil
2.15
10Bet
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Under
Marathonbet
1.76
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.72
Superbet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
19.2%
@ 4.56-1.3%
Under 2.5
80.8%
@ 1.18+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.85
1xBet
4.70
William Hil
4.60
Unibet
4.60
Marathonbet
4.55
Under
Betano
1.22
Marathonbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
William Hil
1.17
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Levante over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
52.2%
@ 1.90+3.3%
Under
47.8%
@ 1.81-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.96
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.87
Betano
1.85
Under
Betano
1.88
Marathonbet
1.83
Superbet
1.78
1xBet
1.77
Levante over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
16.6%
@ 5.59-0.0%
Under
83.4%
@ 1.11+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.90
Marathonbet
5.85
Superbet
5.60
10Bet
5.50
Betano
5.10
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Levante over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
3.8%
@ 14.50-2.8%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.01+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Real Betis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
56.8%
@ 1.65+0.5%
Under
43.2%
@ 2.12-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.67
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.63
Under
1xBet
2.16
Betano
2.15
Marathonbet
2.12
Superbet
2.07
Real Betis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.8%
@ 4.14-4.6%
Under
82.2%
@ 1.19+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
Superbet
4.20
1xBet
4.00
Betano
3.90
Under
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Real Betis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.2%
@ 11.00-4.3%
Under
95.8%
@ 1.03+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.4%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
+1.4%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.8%
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
96.0%
1.02
1xBet
1.03
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
+2.0%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.8%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.3%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Unibet
1.01
+0.6%
✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals
92.8%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Unibet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
90.1%
1.05
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
+1.8%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.6%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
+1.4%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
88.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
86.7%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
+2.6%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
86.6%
1.08
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Unibet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
+1.7%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
86.4%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Unibet
1.07
-0.8%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
86.1%
1.27
Unibet
1.36
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.17
-
-
+13.0%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
84.5%
1.09
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Unibet
1.08
-1.3%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
83.4%
1.11
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
+0.0%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
82.2%
1.19
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.8%
1.18
Betano
1.22
Marathonbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
William Hil
1.17
+1.3%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
79.7%
1.16
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
-0.6%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
78.7%
1.23
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.3%
1.24
Superbet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.23
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
78.1%
1.19
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
76.7%
1.29
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.31
Betfair
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
Unibet
1.30
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
72.7%
1.31
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.33
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
71.9%
1.37
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Superbet
1.38
Unibet
1.38
10Bet
1.36
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.5%
1.31
Superbet
1.39
Betano
1.32
Unibet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
1xBet
1.28
+1.4%
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
71.2%
1.66
Unibet
1.83
Bet365
1.73
1xBet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.65
Betano
1.62
+14.7%
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
70.9%
1.32
Pinnacle
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
-0.4%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.6%
1.40
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.42
Superbet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
+3.4%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Levante
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adrián de la Fuente33%
Enzo Bardeli33%
Jon Ander Olasagasti33%
Jeremy Toljan0%
Aïssa Mandi0%
Mathew Ryan0%
Víctor García0%
Manuel Sánchez0%
Oriol Rey0%
Iván Romero0%
Etta Eyong0%
Nacho Pérez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jeremy Toljan33%
Iván Romero33%
Adrián de la Fuente0%
Aïssa Mandi0%
Mathew Ryan0%
Víctor García0%
Manuel Sánchez0%
Oriol Rey0%
Enzo Bardeli0%
Jon Ander Olasagasti0%
Etta Eyong0%
Nacho Pérez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Enzo Bardeli33%
Jon Ander Olasagasti33%
Etta Eyong33%
Adrián de la Fuente0%
Jeremy Toljan0%
Aïssa Mandi0%
Mathew Ryan0%
Víctor García0%
Manuel Sánchez0%
Oriol Rey0%
Iván Romero0%
Nacho Pérez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adrián de la Fuente33%
Iván Romero33%
Jeremy Toljan0%
Aïssa Mandi0%
Mathew Ryan0%
Víctor García0%
Manuel Sánchez0%
Oriol Rey0%
Enzo Bardeli0%
Jon Ander Olasagasti0%
Etta Eyong0%
Nacho Pérez0%
Real Betis
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rodrigo Riquelme67%
Pablo García33%
Fran García0%
Isco0%
Héctor Bellerín0%
Pablo Fornals0%
Antony0%
Álvaro Valles0%
Cucho Hernández0%
Nelson Deossa0%
Facundo Bernal0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Fran García33%
Héctor Bellerín33%
Pablo García33%
Isco0%
Pablo Fornals0%
Antony0%
Álvaro Valles0%
Cucho Hernández0%
Rodrigo Riquelme0%
Nelson Deossa0%
Facundo Bernal0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fran García33%
Cucho Hernández33%
Isco0%
Héctor Bellerín0%
Pablo Fornals0%
Antony0%
Álvaro Valles0%
Rodrigo Riquelme0%
Nelson Deossa0%
Facundo Bernal0%
Pablo García0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Antony67%
Rodrigo Riquelme33%
Nelson Deossa33%
Fran García0%
Isco0%
Héctor Bellerín0%
Pablo Fornals0%
Álvaro Valles0%
Cucho Hernández0%
Facundo Bernal0%
Pablo García0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (27)
€1456m
BAR (30)
€1282m
AM (25)
€653m
VIL (24)
€325m
RS (24)
€247m
AC (29)
€241m
RB (25)
€235m
CV (24)
€163m
SEV (25)
€134m
VAL (27)
€125m
ESP (24)
€119m
GET (24)
€90m
LEV (26)
€89m
RS (20)
€89m
DLC (29)
€84m
ELC (27)
€79m
RV (23)
€76m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALA (25)
€68m
MAL (27)
€41m
Levante's squad is €146m less valuable than Real Betis's (€89m vs €235m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
BAR (10)
€590m
AM (9)
€290m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
RS (10)
€110m
AC (10)
€106m
CV (9)
€57m
LEV (10)
€51m
DLC (9)
€49m
SEV (8)
€45m
VAL (10)
€40m
ESP (9)
€39m
GET (5)
€36m
ELC (13)
€34m
RS (7)
€34m
RV (10)
€30m
MAL (11)
€26m
OSA (8)
€25m
ALA (8)
€24m
Levante's attack is €80m less valuable than Real Betis's (€51m vs €131m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (8)
€324m
RM (5)
€238m
AM (6)
€155m
RS (5)
€58m
AC (7)
€57m
VIL (4)
€52m
VAL (5)
€46m
CV (3)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
ESP (5)
€31m
GET (6)
€28m
RS (5)
€28m
SEV (5)
€23m
ALA (8)
€22m
LEV (5)
€16m
DLC (7)
€13m
OSA (4)
€12m
ELC (5)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€6m
Levante's midfield is €17m less valuable than Real Betis's (€16m vs €33m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
AM (10)
€208m
VIL (12)
€148m
RS (9)
€79m
AC (12)
€77m
CV (12)
€71m
RB (10)
€70m
SEV (12)
€65m
ESP (10)
€48m
VAL (12)
€39m
RV (9)
€36m
OSA (10)
€33m
ELC (9)
€33m
RS (8)
€28m
GET (13)
€26m
DLC (13)
€22m
LEV (11)
€22m
ALA (9)
€22m
MAL (11)
€9m
Levante's defence is €49m less valuable than Real Betis's (€22m vs €70m).
Spain: La Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →
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Barcelona
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
Osasuna
Sevilla
Deportivo La Coruna
Racing Santander
Real Sociedad
Espanyol
Athletic Club
Getafe
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
Malaga