This opponent (Botev Vratsa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Botev Vratsa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.70
0.81
1.06
0.50
2.43
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
3.00
0.50
2.25
0.50
3.50
vs Similar (20)
0.75
1.05
0.92
0.67
0.50
1.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Levski Krumovgrad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
82.5%
Under 1.5
17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.1%
Under 2.5
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.7%
Under 3.5
62.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.6%
No
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.7%
1-0 ✓
9.0%
3-0
8.1%
3-1
7.2%
0-0
5.4%
4-0
4.5%
Levski Krumovgrad goals ↓
Botev Vratsa goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.4%
3.1%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
1
9.0%
9.7%
4.0%
1.2%
0.3%
2
11%
9.8%
4.4%
1.3%
0.3%
3
8.1%
7.2%
3.2%
1.0%
0.2%
4
4.5%
4.0%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Levski Krumovgrad goals (down), columns = Botev Vratsa goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ludogorets
2.34
Cherno More Varna
2.14
CSKA Sofia
1.86
Levski Sofia
1.83
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.66
CSKA 1948
1.49
Arda Kardzhali
1.42
Levski Krumovgrad
1.40
Botev Plovdiv
1.25
Beroe
1.20
Slavia Sofia
1.19
Lokomotiv Sofia
1.11
Marek
1.00
Hebar 1918
0.97
Botev Vratsa
0.94
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.91
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
0.49
Levski Krumovgrad is 0.46 points better than Botev Vratsa in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 0.94).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ludogorets
2.49
Cherno More Varna
1.60
CSKA Sofia
1.56
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.51
Levski Sofia
1.43
Botev Plovdiv
1.39
Levski Krumovgrad
1.29
Arda Kardzhali
1.08
Marek
1.00
CSKA 1948
1.00
Hebar 1918
1.00
Slavia Sofia
0.97
Beroe
0.86
Lokomotiv Sofia
0.86
Botev Vratsa
0.81
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.74
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
0.63
Levski Krumovgrad is 0.48 goals better than Botev Vratsa in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 0.81).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ludogorets
0.69
Cherno More Varna
0.74
CSKA Sofia
0.81
CSKA 1948
0.81
Levski Sofia
0.86
Arda Kardzhali
0.97
Marek
1.00
Botev Plovdiv
1.17
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.26
Levski Krumovgrad
1.29
Beroe
1.31
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.37
Hebar 1918
1.40
Slavia Sofia
1.42
Botev Vratsa
1.58
Lokomotiv Sofia
1.66
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.89
Levski Krumovgrad is 0.30 goals better than Botev Vratsa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 1.58).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Levski Sofia
61%
Ludogorets
58%
Botev Plovdiv
55%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
54%
CSKA Sofia
54%
Cherno More Varna
52%
CSKA 1948
52%
Hebar 1918
50%
Arda Kardzhali
49%
Slavia Sofia
49%
Levski Krumovgrad
46%
Lokomotiv Sofia
44%
Botev Vratsa
44%
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
43%
Beroe
43%
Pirin Blagoevgrad
42%
Levski Krumovgrad is 2.7 percentage points better than Botev Vratsa in terms of average possession (46% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Levski Krumovgrad
For 2.8 · Against 6.3 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.1 · Against 11.7 · Total 27.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Botev Vratsa
For 0.0 · Against 0.6 · Total 0.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 1.9 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 13.1 · Total 27.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Levski Krumovgrad
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (46)
9.2
8.7
9.7
1.2
1.0
1.5
26.2
25.0
27.5
vs Stronger (4)
8.8
8.3
10.0
4.2
4.0
5.0
24.8
26.3
20.0
vs Similar (36)
9.4
9.0
9.6
1.1
0.6
1.5
27.0
23.7
29.0
vs Weaker (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
33%
17%
50%
20%
22%
17%
67%
67%
67%
% under line
67%
83%
50%
80%
78%
83%
33%
33%
33%
This opponent (Botev Vratsa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Botev Vratsa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (47)
4.5
4.1
5.1
3.8
4.2
3.3
27.8
30.6
25.0
vs Stronger (15)
4.7
2.8
5.9
3.2
2.4
4.1
23.0
24.0
22.7
vs Similar (32)
4.4
4.4
4.5
4.1
5.2
3.0
29.4
31.6
26.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
25%
21%
29%
47%
50%
43%
94%
100%
88%
% under line
75%
79%
71%
53%
50%
57%
6%
0%
12%
This opponent (Levski Krumovgrad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
11.9
Ludogorets
10.0
Levski Sofia
9.8
CSKA 1948
9.7
Lokomotiv Sofia
9.6
Botev Plovdiv
9.4
Arda Kardzhali
9.2
Levski Krumovgrad
9.2
Hebar 1918
8.9
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
8.6
Beroe
8.5
Pirin Blagoevgrad
8.5
Slavia Sofia
8.3
CSKA Sofia
8.0
Cherno More Varna
7.8
Botev Vratsa
4.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ludogorets
6.3
CSKA Sofia
6.1
Beroe
6.1
Pirin Blagoevgrad
5.9
Levski Sofia
5.9
Botev Plovdiv
5.4
Arda Kardzhali
5.4
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
5.4
Slavia Sofia
5.3
Hebar 1918
5.2
CSKA 1948
5.2
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
5.1
Cherno More Varna
5.1
Lokomotiv Sofia
5.0
Botev Vratsa
5.0
Levski Krumovgrad
4.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Botev Vratsa
27.8
Levski Sofia
27.1
CSKA 1948
27.1
Beroe
26.8
Levski Krumovgrad
26.2
Cherno More Varna
26.2
Hebar 1918
25.8
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
25.7
Pirin Blagoevgrad
25.4
CSKA Sofia
24.9
Slavia Sofia
24.6
Ludogorets
24.4
Lokomotiv Sofia
24.2
Botev Plovdiv
24.1
Arda Kardzhali
23.8
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
22.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
12.7%
Under 9.5
87.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
67.2%
Under 3.5
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
74.8%
Under 21.5
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Levski Krumovgrad
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.73
0.75
0.56
0.14
0.93
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.48
0.74
0.75
0.50
0.18
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Botev Vratsa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Botev Vratsa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.13
0.60
0.25
0.25
0.00
1.00
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
1.20
0.50
0.75
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (20)
0.10
0.30
0.17
0.08
0.00
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Levski Krumovgrad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Botev Vratsa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Botev Vratsa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Botev Vratsa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Levski Krumovgrad
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.40
0.69
0.38
0.79
0.43
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.48
0.67
0.50
0.64
0.45
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.33
0.00
0.00
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Botev Vratsa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Botev Vratsa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.10
0.56
0.81
0.50
1.43
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
1.80
0.00
1.50
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.75
0.75
0.58
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Levski Krumovgrad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Botev Vratsa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Botev Vratsa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Botev Vratsa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 11.5 corners
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 9.5 corners
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 8.5 corners
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Levski Krumovgrad
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aleksandar Kolev43%
Daniel Miljanovic33%
Patrick17%
Dimitar Tonev15%
Serkan Ussein14%
Dzuniet Ali14%
Matej Šimić14%
Diego Raposo11%
Bozhidar Katsarov8%
Vyacheslav Velev7%
Renan Areias7%
Kitan Vasilev0%
Jacques Ivanov Pehlivanov0%
Momchil Tsvetanov0%
Oktay Yusein0%
Yanko Georgiev0%
Blagoy Makendzhiev0%
Rayan Senhadji0%
Lucas Santana Dos Santos0%
Klaidher Macedo0%
Kaloyan Pehlivanov0%
Jefferson Granado0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lucas Santana Dos Santos50%
Vyacheslav Velev43%
Jefferson Granado40%
Klaidher Macedo36%
Serkan Ussein36%
Bozhidar Katsarov33%
Kaloyan Pehlivanov33%
Momchil Tsvetanov29%
Aleksandar Kolev29%
Renan Areias29%
Patrick25%
Dimitar Tonev23%
Dzuniet Ali21%
Matej Šimić21%
Rayan Senhadji20%
Yanko Georgiev17%
Diego Raposo11%
Jacques Ivanov Pehlivanov8%
Oktay Yusein8%
Kitan Vasilev0%
Blagoy Makendzhiev0%
Daniel Miljanovic0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aleksandar Kolev21%
Dimitar Tonev15%
Serkan Ussein14%
Bozhidar Katsarov8%
Patrick8%
Vyacheslav Velev7%
Matej Šimić7%
Renan Areias7%
Kitan Vasilev0%
Jacques Ivanov Pehlivanov0%
Dzuniet Ali0%
Momchil Tsvetanov0%
Oktay Yusein0%
Yanko Georgiev0%
Blagoy Makendzhiev0%
Rayan Senhadji0%
Daniel Miljanovic0%
Diego Raposo0%
Lucas Santana Dos Santos0%
Klaidher Macedo0%
Kaloyan Pehlivanov0%
Jefferson Granado0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aleksandar Kolev57%
Dimitar Tonev8%
Vyacheslav Velev7%
Serkan Ussein0%
Bozhidar Katsarov0%
Kitan Vasilev0%
Jacques Ivanov Pehlivanov0%
Dzuniet Ali0%
Momchil Tsvetanov0%
Oktay Yusein0%
Yanko Georgiev0%
Blagoy Makendzhiev0%
Rayan Senhadji0%
Daniel Miljanovic0%
Patrick0%
Diego Raposo0%
Lucas Santana Dos Santos0%
Matej Šimić0%
Renan Areias0%
Klaidher Macedo0%
Kaloyan Pehlivanov0%
Jefferson Granado0%
Botev Vratsa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Brayan Perea30%
Marco Ludivin Majouga20%
Kleri Serber17%
Spas Georgiev10%
Diogo Barbosa10%
Daniel Genov9%
Lassana N'Diaye0%
Boubacar Traorè0%
Eduardo Kunde0%
Petko Ganev0%
Martin Achkov0%
Martin Smolenski0%
Krasimir Kostov0%
Mario Jason Kikonda0%
Stefan Velev0%
Bryan Mendoza0%
Federico Barrios0%
Jean-Pierre Da Sylva0%
Messie Biatoumoussoka0%
Miroslav Marinov0%
Krasimir Todorov0%
Martin Hristov0%
Luiz Felipe de Souza Soares0%
Martin Bachev0%
Ivan Neshkov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Eduardo Kunde100%
Kleri Serber50%
Martin Smolenski44%
Mario Jason Kikonda33%
Messie Biatoumoussoka33%
Luiz Felipe de Souza Soares33%
Diogo Barbosa30%
Martin Achkov29%
Krasimir Kostov25%
Bryan Mendoza25%
Spas Georgiev20%
Daniel Genov18%
Martin Bachev17%
Brayan Perea10%
Stefan Velev10%
Marco Ludivin Majouga10%
Lassana N'Diaye0%
Boubacar Traorè0%
Petko Ganev0%
Federico Barrios0%
Jean-Pierre Da Sylva0%
Miroslav Marinov0%
Krasimir Todorov0%
Martin Hristov0%
Ivan Neshkov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Martin Smolenski22%
Kleri Serber17%
Lassana N'Diaye0%
Boubacar Traorè0%
Eduardo Kunde0%
Spas Georgiev0%
Petko Ganev0%
Martin Achkov0%
Krasimir Kostov0%
Daniel Genov0%
Brayan Perea0%
Mario Jason Kikonda0%
Stefan Velev0%
Bryan Mendoza0%
Federico Barrios0%
Jean-Pierre Da Sylva0%
Messie Biatoumoussoka0%
Marco Ludivin Majouga0%
Miroslav Marinov0%
Diogo Barbosa0%
Krasimir Todorov0%
Martin Hristov0%
Luiz Felipe de Souza Soares0%
Martin Bachev0%
Ivan Neshkov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lassana N'Diaye20%
Daniel Genov18%
Miroslav Marinov17%
Marco Ludivin Majouga10%
Boubacar Traorè0%
Eduardo Kunde0%
Spas Georgiev0%
Petko Ganev0%
Martin Achkov0%
Martin Smolenski0%
Krasimir Kostov0%
Brayan Perea0%
Mario Jason Kikonda0%
Stefan Velev0%
Bryan Mendoza0%
Federico Barrios0%
Jean-Pierre Da Sylva0%
Messie Biatoumoussoka0%
Kleri Serber0%
Diogo Barbosa0%
Krasimir Todorov0%
Martin Hristov0%
Luiz Felipe de Souza Soares0%
Martin Bachev0%
Ivan Neshkov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Bulgaria: First League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: First League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ludogorets
Cherno More Varna
CSKA Sofia
Levski Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
CSKA 1948
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Plovdiv
Slavia Sofia
Beroe
Lokomotiv Sofia
Hebar 1918
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Marek