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Lida vs Baranovichi Result & Analysis

Date: 16/07/2022
Time: 14:00
Final 5-2
Lida
Lida
Vs
44%
25%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Baranovichi
Baranovichi
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Lida win✓ Hit
44.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Baranovichi win✗ Miss
30.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

LidaLida

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L11D12L02L42W04L11D22D10W12LH·NAF16/04A·OSI22/04H·ORS01/05A·SMO07/05H·ML 15/05A·OST22/05H·MOL05/06A·VOL12/06H·SLO02/07A·LOK10/07
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.901.401.600.802.20
vs Stronger (2)2.502.004.002.001.002.00
vs Similar (6)0.672.330.672.000.672.67
vs Weaker (2)1.000.501.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Baranovichi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BaranovichiBaranovichi

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W21W03L01L02L33D11D40W05L15LA·OSI10/04H·ORS15/04A·SMO22/04H·ML 01/05A·OST07/05H·MOL15/05H·VOL20/05A·SLO04/06A·LOK12/06H·SHA10/07
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.402.101.402.201.402.00
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (6)0.833.171.673.000.003.33
vs Weaker (3)3.000.332.001.003.500.00
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Lida) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.1%
Under 1.5
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.3%
Under 2.5
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.1%
Under 3.5
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
64.5%
No
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
1-0
6.0%
3-1
5.3%
0-0
5.0%
Lida goals ↓
Baranovichi goals →
01234
05.0%4.8%4.2%2.1%0.7%
16.0%11%7.5%3.6%1.3%
26.2%9.1%6.6%3.2%1.2%
33.7%5.3%3.9%1.9%0.7%
41.6%2.3%1.7%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lida goals (down), columns = Baranovichi goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Naftan
2.21
Smorgon
2.17
Shakhtyor Petrikov
1.88
ML Vitebsk
1.71
Ostrovets FC
1.67
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.62
Volna
1.50
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.21
Orsha
1.12
Lida
1.08
Slonim
0.75
Osipovichy
0.54
Baranovichi
0.50
Lida is 0.58 points better than Baranovichi in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 0.50).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Shakhtyor Petrikov
2.88
Naftan
2.29
Smorgon
1.92
ML Vitebsk
1.88
Volna
1.83
Ostrovets FC
1.75
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.62
Lida
1.46
Orsha
1.38
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.25
Baranovichi
1.04
Slonim
1.00
Osipovichy
0.88
Lida is 0.42 goals better than Baranovichi in terms of goals scored per game (1.46 vs 1.04).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Naftan
0.79
Shakhtyor Petrikov
0.83
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.00
Smorgon
1.12
ML Vitebsk
1.42
Ostrovets FC
1.42
Volna
1.46
Lida
1.79
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.88
Orsha
2.17
Slonim
2.21
Osipovichy
2.21
Baranovichi
2.88
Lida is 1.08 goals better than Baranovichi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.79 vs 2.88).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LidaLida

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D10W01L31W02L10W10W10W11DH·NAF16/04A·OSI22/04H·ORS01/05A·SMO07/05H·ML 15/05A·OST22/05H·MOL05/06A·VOL12/06H·SLO02/07A·LOK10/07
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.601.200.200.601.00
vs Stronger (2)2.001.003.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (6)0.500.500.670.000.331.00
vs Weaker (2)1.000.501.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Baranovichi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BaranovichiBaranovichi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W10W00D00D01L02L01L10W03L14LA·OSI10/04H·ORS15/04A·SMO22/04H·ML 01/05A·OST07/05H·MOL15/05H·VOL20/05A·SLO04/06A·LOK12/06H·SHA10/07
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.401.100.401.400.400.80
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (6)0.171.830.332.330.001.33
vs Weaker (3)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Lida) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lida over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lida over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lida over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baranovichi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baranovichi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baranovichi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LidaLida

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D02L01L11D02L01L12L00D01LH·NAF16/04A·OSI22/04H·ORS01/05A·SMO07/05H·ML 15/05A·OST22/05H·MOL05/06A·VOL12/06H·SLO02/07A·LOK10/07
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.201.300.201.400.201.20
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (6)0.171.830.002.000.331.67
vs Weaker (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Baranovichi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BaranovichiBaranovichi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W11D03L01L01L31W10W30W02L01LA·OSI10/04H·ORS15/04A·SMO22/04H·ML 01/05A·OST07/05H·MOL15/05H·VOL20/05A·SLO04/06A·LOK12/06H·SHA10/07
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.001.000.801.001.20
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (6)0.671.331.330.670.002.00
vs Weaker (3)2.000.331.001.002.500.00
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Lida) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lida over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lida over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lida over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baranovichi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baranovichi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baranovichi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
BAR (21)
€2m
NAF (21)
€2m
SMO (25)
€2m
M4 (22)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
OSI (20)
€1m
Lida's squad is €1m less valuable than Baranovichi's (€1m vs €2m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
BAR (8)
€1m
SMO (9)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
NAF (4)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
M4 (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
OSI (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
Lida and Baranovichi have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
NAF (9)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
BAR (4)
€0m
M4 (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
SMO (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
Lida and Baranovichi have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
BAR (9)
€1m
SMO (9)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
M4 (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
Lida and Baranovichi have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
LID wins
0
Draws
0
BAR wins

Head-to-head

Lida vs Baranovichi · H/A from LID
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

LidaLida

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/07/22ALokomotiv Gomel Vs LID2-1
02/07/22HLID Vs Slonim1-0
12/06/22AVolna Vs LID2-2
05/06/22HLID Vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 41-1
22/05/22AOstrovets FC Vs LID4-0
15/05/22HLID Vs ML Vitebsk4-2
07/05/22ASmorgon Vs LID2-0
01/05/22HLID Vs Orsha1-2
22/04/22AOsipovichy Vs LID1-1
16/04/22HLID Vs Naftan0-3

BaranovichiBaranovichi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/07/22HBAR Vs Shakhtyor Petrikov1-5
12/06/22ALokomotiv Gomel Vs BAR5-0
04/06/22ASlonim Vs BAR0-4
20/05/22HBAR Vs Volna1-1
15/05/22HBAR Vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 43-3
07/05/22AOstrovets FC Vs BAR2-0
01/05/22HBAR Vs ML Vitebsk0-1
22/04/22ASmorgon Vs BAR3-0
15/04/22HBAR Vs Orsha2-1
10/04/22AOsipovichy Vs BAR0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lida
Lida
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWL0.90
HomeLLWDW1.40
AwayDLLDL0.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%40%0%
AVG goals3.003.003.00
Over 1.5 %90%80%100%
Over 2.5 %60%60%60%
Over 3.5 %30%20%40%
Scored1.101.400.80
Conceded1.901.602.20
BTTS60%60%60%
Clean Sheet10%20%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Baranovichi
Baranovichi
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWLL1.10
HomeWLDDL1.00
AwayWLLWL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%20%40%
AVG goals3.503.603.40
Over 1.5 %90%80%100%
Over 2.5 %70%60%80%
Over 3.5 %40%40%40%
Scored1.401.401.40
Conceded2.102.202.00
BTTS40%80%0%
Clean Sheet20%0%40%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1NaftanNaftan2453
67%
2.2
5519+36
3.1
79%
62%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.30.8
-
2SmorgonSmorgon2452
67%
2.2
4627+19
3.0
83%
58%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.91.1
-
3Shakhtyor PetrikovShakhtyor Petrikov2445
54%
1.9
6920+49
3.7
79%
71%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.90.8
-
4ML VitebskML Vitebsk2441
50%
1.7
4534+11
3.3
71%
67%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
6351.91.4
-
5Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC2440
46%
1.7
4234+8
3.2
83%
67%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.81.4
-
6Lokomotiv GomelLokomotiv Gomel2439
42%
1.6
3924+15
2.6
71%
54%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.0
-
7VolnaVolna2436
42%
1.5
4435+9
3.3
88%
62%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.81.5
-
8Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 42429
29%
1.2
3045-15
3.1
88%
62%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.9
-
9OrshaOrsha2427
29%
1.1
3352-19
3.5
83%
71%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.2
-
10LidaLida2426
25%
1.1
3543-8
3.2
83%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.51.8
-
11SlonimSlonim2418
21%
0.8
2453-29
3.2
83%
58%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.2
-
12OsipovichyOsipovichy2413
12%
0.5
2153-32
3.1
79%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.2
-
13BaranovichiBaranovichi2412
12%
0.5
2569-44
3.9
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.02.9
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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