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Lille vs Paris Saint Germain Result & Analysis

Date: 05/10/2025
Time: 18:45
Final 1-1
Lille
Lille
Vs
23%
24%
53%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
France: Ligue 1
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lille win✗ Miss
22.6%
Avg Implied 21.7% · @ 4.33
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
24.3%
Avg Implied 24.1% · @ 3.89
Edge
+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Paris Saint Germain win✗ Miss
53.1%
Avg Implied 54.2% · @ 1.73
Edge
-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LilleLille

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-702L21W33D10W71W21W03L21W01L10WA·STA10/05H·REI17/05A·STA17/08H·MON24/08A·LOR30/08H·TOU14/09A·LEN20/09H·BRA25/09H·LYO28/09A·AS 02/10
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.231.880.941.571.57
vs Stronger (2)1.003.00--1.003.00
vs Similar (15)1.471.071.780.891.001.33
vs Weaker (13)2.151.152.001.002.331.33
Clean sheet %20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Paris Saint Germain) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-630W50W10W10W63W20W40W01L20W21WH·REI24/05H·INT31/05A·NAN17/08H·ANG22/08A·TOU30/08H·LEN14/09H·ATA17/09A·MAR22/09H·AUX27/09A·BAR01/10
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.630.932.400.672.871.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.830.502.330.671.330.33
vs Weaker (24)2.831.042.420.673.251.42
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Lille) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%5%012%123%222%317%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.7%
Under 1.5
17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.1%
@ 1.66+3.8%
Under 2.5
39.9%
@ 2.14-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.7%
Under 3.5
62.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.5%
No
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.2%
0-1
7.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-1
6.1%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.5%
Lille goals ↓
Paris Saint Germain goals →
01234
05.5%7.5%8.2%5.2%2.5%
14.3%11%9.8%6.2%3.0%
23.2%6.1%5.8%3.7%1.8%
31.3%2.4%2.3%1.5%0.7%
40.4%0.7%0.7%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lille goals (down), columns = Paris Saint Germain goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.24
Lens
2.06
Rodez
2.00
Lille
1.79
Lyon
1.76
Rennes
1.74
Marseille
1.74
Monaco
1.59
Strasbourg
1.56
Toulouse
1.33
Lorient
1.32
Paris FC
1.29
Stade Brestois 29
1.15
Angers
1.06
Le Havre
1.03
Auxerre
1.00
Nice
1.00
Nantes
0.70
Saint Etienne
0.67
Metz
0.50
RED Star FC 93
0.00
Lille is 0.44 points worse than Paris Saint Germain in terms of average points per game (1.79 vs 2.24).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.18
RED Star FC 93
2.00
Lens
1.94
Marseille
1.85
Monaco
1.76
Rennes
1.74
Strasbourg
1.71
Lyon
1.56
Lille
1.53
Rodez
1.50
Toulouse
1.42
Lorient
1.41
Paris FC
1.38
Stade Brestois 29
1.26
Nice
1.14
Auxerre
1.00
Metz
0.94
Le Havre
0.94
Nantes
0.88
Angers
0.85
Saint Etienne
0.33
Lille is 0.65 goals worse than Paris Saint Germain in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 2.18).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Paris Saint Germain
0.85
Rodez
1.00
Lens
1.03
Lille
1.09
Lyon
1.18
Auxerre
1.29
Le Havre
1.29
Marseille
1.32
Saint Etienne
1.33
Strasbourg
1.38
Toulouse
1.39
Angers
1.41
Rennes
1.47
Paris FC
1.47
Lorient
1.50
Nantes
1.58
Monaco
1.59
Stade Brestois 29
1.62
Nice
1.69
Metz
2.24
RED Star FC 93
3.00
Lille is 0.24 goals worse than Paris Saint Germain in terms of goals conceded per game (1.09 vs 0.85).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Paris Saint Germain
69%
RED Star FC 93
63%
Marseille
57%
Lille
56%
Lyon
55%
Monaco
54%
Strasbourg
54%
Rennes
54%
Saint Etienne
52%
Lens
51%
Paris FC
50%
Metz
49%
Le Havre
47%
Nice
47%
Lorient
45%
Auxerre
44%
Stade Brestois 29
43%
Toulouse
42%
Nantes
42%
Angers
42%
Rodez
38%
Lille is 12.9 percentage points worse than Paris Saint Germain in terms of average possession (56% vs 69%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

LilleLille

For 6.9 · Against 3.8 · Total 10.7

🚩 Corners

1503634114104768383221037397151413111141310A·AS H·LYOH·BRAA·LENH·TOUA·LORH·MONA·STAH·REIA·STA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

804441231253312121114834763312A·AS H·LYOH·BRAA·LENH·TOUA·LORH·MONA·STAH·REIA·STA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 13.4 · Total 26.0

⚠️ Fouls

44013192024712111712101814714131111714632441928223221241820A·AS H·LYOH·BRAA·LENH·TOUA·LORH·MONA·STAH·REIA·STA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain

For 6.7 · Against 3.2 · Total 9.9

🚩 Corners

1309455356143751272461011310877121291011A·BARH·AUXA·MARH·ATAH·LENA·TOUH·ANGA·NANH·INTH·REI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.0

🟨 Cards

602412131121112312116341312532A·BARH·AUXA·MARH·ATAH·LENA·TOUA·NANH·INTH·AUXA·MON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 8.8 · Total 18.6

⚠️ Fouls

27014121710716511108117396613712226272316181812122014A·BARH·AUXA·MARH·ATAH·LENA·TOUH·ANGA·NANH·INTH·REI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LilleLille

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.39.69.04.33.94.623.823.524.0
vs Stronger (5)8.05.59.74.44.54.320.422.519.0
vs Similar (25)9.510.09.04.44.24.825.024.825.2
vs Weaker (20)9.39.98.84.03.44.623.122.024.2
% over line47%50%43%62%56%68%57%58%57%
% under line53%50%57%38%44%32%43%42%43%
This opponent (Paris Saint Germain) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.910.09.72.42.32.419.118.319.9
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (8)11.612.810.54.53.85.221.418.024.8
vs Weaker (42)9.59.59.52.02.12.018.618.418.9
% over line50%61%39%22%22%22%26%22%30%
% under line50%39%61%78%78%78%74%78%70%
This opponent (Lille) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Rodez
10.2
Nantes
10.2
Nice
10.2
Saint Etienne
10.0
Lyon
9.9
Paris Saint Germain
9.8
Auxerre
9.6
Metz
9.5
Lorient
9.3
RED Star FC 93
9.3
Lens
9.2
Stade Brestois 29
9.2
Paris FC
9.1
Lille
9.1
Le Havre
9.0
Monaco
8.9
Toulouse
8.9
Angers
8.8
Rennes
8.8
Marseille
8.8
Strasbourg
8.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lens
4.9
Rennes
4.7
Lyon
4.6
Lille
4.6
Monaco
4.5
Strasbourg
4.4
Auxerre
4.4
Lorient
4.3
Nice
4.2
Toulouse
4.2
Le Havre
4.2
Nantes
4.2
Marseille
4.1
Saint Etienne
4.1
Paris FC
4.0
Stade Brestois 29
3.9
Rodez
3.8
Metz
3.8
Angers
3.7
RED Star FC 93
3.5
Paris Saint Germain
2.9

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Toulouse
26.5
Rennes
26.1
Monaco
26.1
Lens
26.0
Saint Etienne
25.7
Stade Brestois 29
25.2
RED Star FC 93
25.0
Lorient
24.9
Lyon
24.8
Paris FC
24.7
Nantes
24.6
Metz
24.5
Strasbourg
24.3
Le Havre
24.2
Rodez
23.9
Lille
23.8
Nice
23.8
Auxerre
23.8
Angers
23.2
Marseille
23.0
Paris Saint Germain
19.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
50.8%
Under 9.5
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
51.2%
Under 3.5
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
60.6%
Under 21.5
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LilleLille

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W21W00D00D00D02L00D01L10WA·STA10/05H·REI17/05A·STA17/08H·MON24/08A·LOR30/08H·TOU14/09A·LEN20/09H·BRA25/09H·LYO28/09A·AS 02/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.600.620.380.570.86
vs Stronger (2)0.002.50--0.002.50
vs Similar (15)0.670.530.780.440.500.67
vs Weaker (13)0.620.380.430.290.830.50
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Paris Saint Germain) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W20W00D00D41W10W20W01L10W11DH·REI24/05H·INT31/05A·NAN17/08H·ANG22/08A·TOU30/08H·LEN14/09H·ATA17/09A·MAR22/09H·AUX27/09A·BAR01/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.401.270.201.070.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.000.171.000.001.000.33
vs Weaker (24)1.210.461.330.251.080.67
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Lille) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lille over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lille over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lille over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris Saint Germain over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris Saint Germain over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris Saint Germain over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LilleLille

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
70-701L11D12L10W71W21W01L21W00D00DA·STA10/05H·REI17/05A·STA17/08H·MON24/08A·LOR30/08H·TOU14/09A·LEN20/09H·BRA25/09H·LYO28/09A·AS 02/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.631.250.561.000.71
vs Stronger (2)1.000.50--1.000.50
vs Similar (15)0.800.531.000.440.500.67
vs Weaker (13)1.540.771.570.711.500.83
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Paris Saint Germain) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W10W10W22D10W20W00D10W10WH·REI24/05H·INT31/05A·NAN17/08H·ANG22/08A·TOU30/08H·LEN14/09H·ATA17/09A·MAR22/09H·AUX27/09A·BAR01/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.470.531.130.471.800.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.830.331.330.670.330.00
vs Weaker (24)1.620.581.080.422.170.75
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Lille) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lille over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lille over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lille over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris Saint Germain over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris Saint Germain over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris Saint Germain over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards82.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls75.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners72.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards72.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls71.2%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Lille
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Hamza Igamane39%
Olivier Giroud23%
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson20%
Matías Fernández-Pardo17%
Marius Sivertsen Broholm14%
Ethan Mbappé14%
Benjamin André11%
Félix Correia8%
Nathan Ngoy8%
Romain Perraud7%
Gaëtan Perrin7%
Soriba Diaoune6%
Thomas Meunier6%
Nabil Bentaleb5%
Ngal'ayel Mukau5%
Osame Sahraoui4%
Aïssa Mandi2%
Chancel Mbemba0%
Berke Özer0%
Arnaud Bodart0%
Calvin Verdonk0%
Alexsandro Ribeiro0%
Tiago Santos0%
Noah Edjouma0%
Ayyoub Bouaddi0%
Maxima Goffi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Benjamin André30%
Nathan Ngoy29%
Aïssa Mandi22%
Ayyoub Bouaddi21%
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson20%
Hamza Igamane17%
Calvin Verdonk15%
Romain Perraud15%
Chancel Mbemba14%
Berke Özer14%
Gaëtan Perrin13%
Nabil Bentaleb11%
Matías Fernández-Pardo10%
Thomas Meunier9%
Félix Correia8%
Ngal'ayel Mukau7%
Olivier Giroud7%
Ethan Mbappé5%
Arnaud Bodart0%
Osame Sahraoui0%
Alexsandro Ribeiro0%
Marius Sivertsen Broholm0%
Tiago Santos0%
Noah Edjouma0%
Soriba Diaoune0%
Maxima Goffi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matías Fernández-Pardo12%
Soriba Diaoune12%
Hamza Igamane11%
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson11%
Félix Correia10%
Romain Perraud10%
Thomas Meunier9%
Benjamin André8%
Osame Sahraoui8%
Marius Sivertsen Broholm7%
Nabil Bentaleb5%
Nathan Ngoy5%
Chancel Mbemba5%
Ethan Mbappé5%
Calvin Verdonk4%
Tiago Santos4%
Ayyoub Bouaddi2%
Berke Özer2%
Olivier Giroud2%
Aïssa Mandi0%
Arnaud Bodart0%
Gaëtan Perrin0%
Alexsandro Ribeiro0%
Ngal'ayel Mukau0%
Noah Edjouma0%
Maxima Goffi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Hamza Igamane44%
Matías Fernández-Pardo17%
Olivier Giroud11%
Alexsandro Ribeiro9%
Ethan Mbappé9%
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson9%
Tiago Santos7%
Gaëtan Perrin7%
Félix Correia6%
Soriba Diaoune6%
Benjamin André3%
Nathan Ngoy3%
Aïssa Mandi2%
Romain Perraud2%
Thomas Meunier0%
Chancel Mbemba0%
Nabil Bentaleb0%
Berke Özer0%
Arnaud Bodart0%
Calvin Verdonk0%
Osame Sahraoui0%
Marius Sivertsen Broholm0%
Ngal'ayel Mukau0%
Noah Edjouma0%
Ayyoub Bouaddi0%
Maxima Goffi0%
Paris Saint Germain
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ousmane Dembélé35%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia31%
Désiré Doué29%
Bradley Barcola26%
Gonçalo Ramos21%
Nuno Mendes16%
Senny Mayulu15%
João Neves14%
Ibrahim Mbaye11%
Vitinha11%
Kang-in Lee8%
Lucas Beraldo8%
Dro Fernández8%
Quentin Ndjantou7%
Marquinhos7%
Achraf Hakimi6%
Fabián Ruiz6%
Warren Zaïre-Emery6%
Willian Pacho5%
Ilya Zabarnyi3%
Lucas Hernández0%
Matvey Safonov0%
Lucas Chevalier0%
Renato Marin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ilya Zabarnyi19%
Achraf Hakimi16%
Nuno Mendes13%
Lucas Hernández11%
Fabián Ruiz10%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia9%
Kang-in Lee8%
Lucas Beraldo8%
Quentin Ndjantou7%
Gonçalo Ramos7%
Marquinhos7%
Bradley Barcola7%
Warren Zaïre-Emery6%
Senny Mayulu5%
Matvey Safonov4%
João Neves3%
Désiré Doué3%
Vitinha2%
Ousmane Dembélé0%
Willian Pacho0%
Lucas Chevalier0%
Renato Marin0%
Ibrahim Mbaye0%
Dro Fernández0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ousmane Dembélé27%
Achraf Hakimi26%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia22%
Nuno Mendes18%
Désiré Doué18%
Fabián Ruiz16%
Quentin Ndjantou14%
Vitinha13%
João Neves11%
Bradley Barcola11%
Kang-in Lee11%
Senny Mayulu10%
Warren Zaïre-Emery10%
Lucas Hernández8%
Lucas Beraldo4%
Ibrahim Mbaye4%
Willian Pacho2%
Gonçalo Ramos2%
Marquinhos0%
Matvey Safonov0%
Ilya Zabarnyi0%
Lucas Chevalier0%
Renato Marin0%
Dro Fernández0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ousmane Dembélé35%
Désiré Doué26%
Gonçalo Ramos26%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia24%
Bradley Barcola20%
Senny Mayulu15%
Vitinha15%
Nuno Mendes11%
Fabián Ruiz10%
Kang-in Lee8%
Ibrahim Mbaye7%
Achraf Hakimi6%
João Neves6%
Lucas Beraldo4%
Warren Zaïre-Emery2%
Lucas Hernández0%
Marquinhos0%
Matvey Safonov0%
Willian Pacho0%
Ilya Zabarnyi0%
Lucas Chevalier0%
Renato Marin0%
Quentin Ndjantou0%
Dro Fernández0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (26)
€1477m
MON (26)
€326m
LIL (27)
€312m
STR (32)
€304m
LYO (32)
€293m
REN (26)
€241m
MAR (22)
€225m
LEN (27)
€187m
PF (37)
€176m
NIC (28)
€152m
TOU (24)
€115m
SE (30)
€93m
LOR (24)
€87m
AUX (29)
€84m
NAN (25)
€82m
ANG (23)
€73m
SB2 (20)
€64m
LH (25)
€55m
MET (26)
€43m
ROD (23)
€15m
RSF (22)
€15m
Lille's squad is €1166m less valuable than Paris Saint Germain's (€312m vs €1477m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (10)
€638m
MON (9)
€148m
LIL (13)
€133m
LYO (9)
€122m
STR (13)
€112m
MAR (9)
€91m
REN (8)
€87m
NIC (8)
€62m
PF (13)
€59m
SE (10)
€54m
LEN (8)
€52m
NAN (8)
€31m
ANG (9)
€30m
TOU (7)
€30m
SB2 (6)
€25m
AUX (11)
€23m
LOR (8)
€20m
MET (11)
€17m
LH (10)
€9m
RSF (6)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
Lille's attack is €505m less valuable than Paris Saint Germain's (€133m vs €638m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (5)
€430m
LIL (4)
€102m
MON (5)
€84m
LYO (8)
€82m
MAR (5)
€68m
STR (6)
€56m
PF (7)
€54m
REN (5)
€44m
TOU (7)
€39m
LOR (5)
€32m
NIC (9)
€31m
AUX (5)
€28m
LEN (5)
€24m
LH (5)
€23m
SB2 (6)
€20m
MET (5)
€18m
NAN (7)
€16m
ANG (3)
€11m
SE (7)
€11m
ROD (6)
€4m
RSF (5)
€3m
Lille's midfield is €328m less valuable than Paris Saint Germain's (€102m vs €430m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (11)
€409m
STR (13)
€136m
LEN (14)
€112m
REN (13)
€109m
MON (12)
€93m
LYO (15)
€89m
LIL (10)
€76m
MAR (8)
€66m
PF (17)
€62m
NIC (11)
€60m
TOU (10)
€46m
LOR (11)
€35m
NAN (10)
€34m
AUX (13)
€33m
ANG (11)
€32m
SE (13)
€28m
LH (10)
€23m
SB2 (8)
€19m
MET (10)
€8m
ROD (10)
€7m
RSF (11)
€7m
Lille's defence is €333m less valuable than Paris Saint Germain's (€76m vs €409m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
LIL wins
1
Draws
7
PSG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lille vs Paris Saint Germain · H/A from LIL
DateH/AGameScore
01/03/25AParis Saint Germain Vs LIL4-1
01/09/24HLIL Vs Paris Saint Germain1-3
10/02/24AParis Saint Germain Vs LIL3-1
17/12/23HLIL Vs Paris Saint Germain1-1
19/02/23AParis Saint Germain Vs LIL4-3
21/08/22HLIL Vs Paris Saint Germain1-7
06/02/22HLIL Vs Paris Saint Germain1-5
29/10/21AParis Saint Germain Vs LIL2-1

LilleLille

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/10/25AAS Roma Vs LIL0-1
28/09/25HLIL Vs Lyon0-1
25/09/25HLIL Vs Brann2-1
20/09/25ALens Vs LIL3-0
14/09/25HLIL Vs Toulouse2-1
30/08/25ALorient Vs LIL1-7
24/08/25HLIL Vs Monaco1-0
17/08/25AStade Brestois 29 Vs LIL3-3
17/05/25HLIL Vs Reims2-1
10/05/25AStade Brestois 29 Vs LIL2-0

Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/10/25ABarcelona Vs PSG1-2
27/09/25HPSG Vs Auxerre2-0
22/09/25AMarseille Vs PSG1-0
17/09/25HPSG Vs Atalanta4-0
14/09/25HPSG Vs Lens2-0
30/08/25AToulouse Vs PSG3-6
22/08/25HPSG Vs Angers1-0
17/08/25ANantes Vs PSG0-1
31/05/25HPSG Vs Inter5-0
24/05/25HPSG Vs Reims3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lille
Lille
France: Ligue 1
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLW1.84
HomeWWWWL2.16
AwayLDWLW1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%64%40%
AVG goals2.802.842.76
Over 1.5 %78%76%80%
Over 2.5 %54%56%52%
Over 3.5 %24%24%24%
Scored1.701.841.56
Conceded1.101.001.20
BTTS66%76%56%
Clean Sheet26%20%32%
Corners9.309.589.00
Cards4.534.045.04
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
France: Ligue 1
Recent: 9 Wins / 0 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW2.44
HomeWWWWW2.57
AwayWWWLW2.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %78%83%74%
AVG goals3.563.393.70
Over 1.5 %80%87%74%
Over 2.5 %66%70%63%
Over 3.5 %46%48%44%
Scored2.662.652.67
Conceded0.900.741.04
BTTS58%57%59%
Clean Sheet36%39%33%
Corners9.8710.049.70
Cards2.862.842.87

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain3476
71%
2.2
7429+45
3.0
76%
62%
32%
9.5
41%
2.9
26%
18.6
26%
1477
6384304092.20.9
69%
2LensLens3470
65%
2.1
6635+31
3.0
82%
65%
29%
10.4
53%
4.6
70%
24.7
59%
187
52241121.91.0
51%
3LilleLille3461
53%
1.8
5237+15
2.6
65%
38%
21%
9.5
44%
4.5
68%
24.2
68%
312
133102761.51.1
56%
4LyonLyon3460
53%
1.8
5340+13
2.7
65%
56%
32%
10.9
50%
4.8
71%
26.4
79%
293
12282891.61.2
55%
5MarseilleMarseille3459
53%
1.7
6345+18
3.2
74%
62%
41%
8.8
38%
4.4
73%
23.7
56%
225
9168661.91.3
57%
6RennesRennes3459
50%
1.7
5950+9
3.2
82%
71%
50%
10.6
62%
4.3
66%
24.4
71%
241
87441091.71.5
54%
7MonacoMonaco3454
47%
1.6
6054+6
3.4
74%
65%
53%
9.4
47%
4.2
62%
23.8
65%
326
14884931.81.6
54%
8StrasbourgStrasbourg3453
44%
1.6
5847+11
3.1
76%
65%
35%
8.9
44%
3.8
56%
24.1
74%
304
112561361.71.4
54%
9LorientLorient3445
32%
1.3
4851-3
2.9
88%
44%
35%
8.9
47%
4.1
55%
22.8
50%
87
2032351.41.5
45%
10ToulouseToulouse3344
36%
1.3
4746+1
2.8
67%
55%
33%
9.6
55%
4.5
70%
25.5
82%
115
3039461.41.4
42%
11Paris FCParis FC3444
32%
1.3
4750-3
2.9
74%
56%
32%
9.9
59%
3.9
47%
21.4
50%
176
5954621.41.5
50%
12Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 293439
29%
1.1
4355-12
2.9
82%
50%
29%
9.7
47%
3.8
55%
24.4
65%
64
2520191.31.6
43%
13AngersAngers3436
26%
1.1
2948-19
2.3
65%
29%
18%
8.8
41%
3.2
45%
22.4
53%
73
3011320.91.4
42%
14NiceNice3636
22%
1.0
4161-20
2.8
75%
50%
42%
10.8
67%
4.0
56%
23.6
53%
152
6231601.11.7
47%
15Le HavreLe Havre3435
21%
1.0
3244-12
2.2
62%
32%
18%
9.1
44%
4.2
65%
27.8
94%
55
923230.91.3
47%
16AuxerreAuxerre3434
24%
1.0
3444-10
2.3
62%
44%
26%
9.5
41%
4.9
74%
27.2
85%
84
2328331.01.3
44%
17NantesNantes3323
15%
0.7
2952-23
2.5
67%
45%
21%
9.4
48%
4.7
73%
26.8
85%
82
3116340.91.6
42%
18MetzMetz3417
9%
0.5
3276-44
3.2
74%
62%
41%
9.5
41%
3.5
53%
22.6
59%
43
171880.92.2
49%
19RodezRodez24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
8.0
50%
3.5
50%
24.5
100%
15
4471.51.0
38%
20Saint EtienneSaint Etienne32
0%
0.7
14-3
1.7
33%
33%
33%
11.0
100%
1.7
0%
19.3
33%
93
5411280.31.3
52%
21RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 9310
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
5.0
0%
5.0
100%
23.0
100%
15
4372.03.0
63%
France: Ligue 1 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 1 stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches