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Lille vs Toulouse Result & Analysis

Date: 14/09/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 2-1
Lille
Lille
Vs
46%
28%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Toulouse
Toulouse
France: Ligue 1
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lille win✓ Hit
45.8%
Avg Implied 53.3% · @ 1.76
Edge
-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.1%
Avg Implied 24.6% · @ 3.81
Edge
+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Toulouse win✗ Miss
26.1%
Avg Implied 22.1% · @ 4.25
Edge
+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LilleLille

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-712L21W31W20W11D02L21W33D10W71WA·LYO05/04A·TOU12/04H·AUX20/04A·ANG27/04H·MAR04/05A·STA10/05H·REI17/05A·STA17/08H·MON24/08A·LOR30/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.131.930.931.501.31
vs Stronger (2)1.003.00--1.003.00
vs Similar (14)1.641.002.000.881.171.17
vs Weaker (14)1.861.001.831.001.881.00
Clean sheet %23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Toulouse) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ToulouseToulouse

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-623L12L01L00D21W11D32W10W20W36LA·MAR06/04H·LIL12/04A·REI20/04A·NAN27/04H·REN03/05H·LEN10/05A·SAI17/05A·NIC16/08H·STA24/08H·PAR30/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.371.401.671.331.07
vs Stronger (8)0.882.251.252.500.502.00
vs Similar (19)1.681.051.561.331.800.80
vs Weaker (3)0.671.001.001.500.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Lille) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.7%
Under 1.5
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.4%
@ 1.78-4.3%
Under 2.5
51.6%
@ 1.98+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.6%
Under 3.5
73.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.1%
No
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1 ✓
9.2%
0-0
8.6%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
5.1%
Lille goals ↓
Toulouse goals →
01234
08.6%6.8%4.4%1.6%0.4%
19.9%13%6.7%2.4%0.7%
28.5%9.2%5.1%1.8%0.5%
34.3%4.7%2.6%0.9%0.3%
41.6%1.8%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lille goals (down), columns = Toulouse goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.24
Lens
2.06
Rodez
2.00
Lille
1.79
Lyon
1.76
Rennes
1.74
Marseille
1.74
Monaco
1.59
Strasbourg
1.56
Toulouse
1.33
Lorient
1.32
Paris FC
1.29
Stade Brestois 29
1.15
Angers
1.06
Le Havre
1.03
Auxerre
1.00
Nice
1.00
Nantes
0.70
Saint Etienne
0.67
Metz
0.50
RED Star FC 93
0.00
Lille is 0.46 points better than Toulouse in terms of average points per game (1.79 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.18
RED Star FC 93
2.00
Lens
1.94
Marseille
1.85
Monaco
1.76
Rennes
1.74
Strasbourg
1.71
Lyon
1.56
Lille
1.53
Rodez
1.50
Toulouse
1.42
Lorient
1.41
Paris FC
1.38
Stade Brestois 29
1.26
Nice
1.14
Auxerre
1.00
Metz
0.94
Le Havre
0.94
Nantes
0.88
Angers
0.85
Saint Etienne
0.33
Lille is 0.11 goals better than Toulouse in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.42).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Paris Saint Germain
0.85
Rodez
1.00
Lens
1.03
Lille
1.09
Lyon
1.18
Auxerre
1.29
Le Havre
1.29
Marseille
1.32
Saint Etienne
1.33
Strasbourg
1.38
Toulouse
1.39
Angers
1.41
Rennes
1.47
Paris FC
1.47
Lorient
1.50
Nantes
1.58
Monaco
1.59
Stade Brestois 29
1.62
Nice
1.69
Metz
2.24
RED Star FC 93
3.00
Lille is 0.31 goals better than Toulouse in terms of goals conceded per game (1.09 vs 1.39).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Paris Saint Germain
69%
RED Star FC 93
63%
Marseille
57%
Lille
56%
Lyon
55%
Monaco
54%
Strasbourg
54%
Rennes
54%
Saint Etienne
52%
Lens
51%
Paris FC
50%
Metz
49%
Le Havre
47%
Nice
47%
Lorient
45%
Auxerre
44%
Stade Brestois 29
43%
Toulouse
42%
Nantes
42%
Angers
42%
Rodez
38%
Lille is 13.6 percentage points better than Toulouse in terms of average possession (56% vs 42%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

LilleLille

For 5.2 · Against 3.5 · Total 8.7

🚩 Corners

130838322103732527842431111141310791264A·LORH·MONA·STAH·REIA·STAH·MARA·ANGH·AUXA·TOUA·LYO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

7033121211122611221236331247335A·LORH·MONA·STAH·REIA·STAH·MARA·ANGH·AUXA·TOUA·LYO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 12.0 · Total 23.5

⚠️ Fouls

320181471413111171469810178131115141532212418201727212629A·LORH·MONA·STAH·REIA·STAH·MARA·ANGH·AUXA·TOUA·LYO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ToulouseToulouse

For 4.5 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.3

🚩 Corners

1305739496721655394215121213133118966H·PARH·STAA·NICA·SAIH·LENH·RENA·NANA·REIH·LILA·MAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

701132232522421112321155746235H·PARH·STAA·NICA·SAIH·LENH·RENA·NANA·REIH·LILA·MAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 11.6 · Total 23.4

⚠️ Fouls

290711141013127101712715111312111511151118242517292224232626H·PARH·STAA·NICA·SAIH·LENH·RENA·NANA·REIH·LILA·MAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LilleLille

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.78.98.54.23.64.723.522.824.2
vs Stronger (7)7.05.08.55.04.75.222.121.023.0
vs Similar (23)9.410.28.34.33.84.923.923.224.8
vs Weaker (20)8.68.28.83.83.04.423.623.024.0
% over line40%43%38%60%54%65%57%57%58%
% under line60%57%62%40%46%35%43%43%42%
This opponent (Toulouse) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ToulouseToulouse

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.98.89.13.63.53.826.426.626.1
vs Stronger (14)8.68.09.33.33.53.024.124.823.2
vs Similar (32)8.99.18.64.14.04.227.327.527.2
vs Weaker (4)15.0-15.01.00.02.027.0-27.0
% over line38%38%39%54%50%58%81%83%78%
% under line62%62%61%46%50%42%19%17%22%
This opponent (Lille) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Nantes
10.3
Saint Etienne
10.3
Rodez
10.3
Nice
10.2
Lyon
10.1
Paris Saint Germain
10.1
Auxerre
10.0
Lorient
9.7
Metz
9.4
RED Star FC 93
9.4
Lens
9.2
Toulouse
9.1
Paris FC
9.1
Strasbourg
9.0
Marseille
8.9
Le Havre
8.9
Lille
8.8
Stade Brestois 29
8.8
Rennes
8.8
Monaco
8.7
Angers
8.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lens
4.8
Rennes
4.7
Lille
4.6
Lyon
4.5
Monaco
4.4
Nice
4.4
Strasbourg
4.3
Lorient
4.2
Le Havre
4.2
Nantes
4.2
Auxerre
4.1
Marseille
4.1
Stade Brestois 29
4.0
Saint Etienne
4.0
Toulouse
4.0
Paris FC
4.0
Metz
3.9
Angers
3.7
Rodez
3.7
RED Star FC 93
3.5
Paris Saint Germain
2.9

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Monaco
26.8
Toulouse
26.3
Lens
25.9
Rennes
25.8
Saint Etienne
25.7
Stade Brestois 29
25.1
Metz
25.0
Paris FC
24.8
RED Star FC 93
24.7
Lorient
24.6
Strasbourg
24.6
Nantes
24.3
Le Havre
24.2
Lyon
23.9
Lille
23.7
Auxerre
23.6
Nice
23.6
Rodez
23.6
Marseille
23.1
Angers
22.9
Paris Saint Germain
18.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
47.5%
Under 9.5
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
56.7%
Under 3.5
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
69.9%
Under 21.5
30.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LilleLille

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D21W20W10W00D01L10W21W00D00DA·LYO05/04A·TOU12/04H·AUX20/04A·ANG27/04H·MAR04/05A·STA10/05H·REI17/05A·STA17/08H·MON24/08A·LOR30/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.530.790.360.500.69
vs Stronger (2)0.002.50--0.002.50
vs Similar (14)0.640.430.880.380.330.50
vs Weaker (14)0.710.360.670.330.750.38
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Toulouse) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ToulouseToulouse

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D12L01L00D10W00D21W00D00D14LA·MAR06/04H·LIL12/04A·REI20/04A·NAN27/04H·REN03/05H·LEN10/05A·SAI17/05A·NIC16/08H·STA24/08H·PAR30/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.530.530.800.470.27
vs Stronger (8)0.381.120.501.750.250.50
vs Similar (19)0.530.370.440.560.600.20
vs Weaker (3)0.670.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Lille) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lille over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lille over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lille over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LilleLille

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
70-701L00D11D10W11D01L11D12L10W71WA·LYO05/04A·TOU12/04H·AUX20/04A·ANG27/04H·MAR04/05A·STA10/05H·REI17/05A·STA17/08H·MON24/08A·LOR30/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.601.140.571.000.62
vs Stronger (2)1.000.50--1.000.50
vs Similar (14)1.000.571.120.500.830.67
vs Weaker (14)1.140.641.170.671.120.62
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Toulouse) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ToulouseToulouse

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D00D00D11D11D11D10W20W22DA·MAR06/04H·LIL12/04A·REI20/04A·NAN27/04H·REN03/05H·LEN10/05A·SAI17/05A·NIC16/08H·STA24/08H·PAR30/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.830.870.870.870.80
vs Stronger (8)0.501.120.750.750.251.50
vs Similar (19)1.160.681.110.781.200.60
vs Weaker (3)0.001.000.001.500.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Lille) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lille over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lille over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lille over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls82.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards78.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards76.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners75.4%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.574.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.4%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Lille
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Hamza Igamane39%
Olivier Giroud23%
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson20%
Matías Fernández-Pardo17%
Marius Sivertsen Broholm14%
Ethan Mbappé14%
Benjamin André11%
Félix Correia8%
Nathan Ngoy8%
Romain Perraud7%
Gaëtan Perrin7%
Soriba Diaoune6%
Thomas Meunier6%
Nabil Bentaleb5%
Ngal'ayel Mukau5%
Osame Sahraoui4%
Aïssa Mandi2%
Chancel Mbemba0%
Berke Özer0%
Arnaud Bodart0%
Calvin Verdonk0%
Alexsandro Ribeiro0%
Tiago Santos0%
Noah Edjouma0%
Ayyoub Bouaddi0%
Maxima Goffi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Benjamin André30%
Nathan Ngoy29%
Aïssa Mandi22%
Ayyoub Bouaddi21%
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson20%
Hamza Igamane17%
Calvin Verdonk15%
Romain Perraud15%
Chancel Mbemba14%
Berke Özer14%
Gaëtan Perrin13%
Nabil Bentaleb11%
Matías Fernández-Pardo10%
Thomas Meunier9%
Félix Correia8%
Ngal'ayel Mukau7%
Olivier Giroud7%
Ethan Mbappé5%
Arnaud Bodart0%
Osame Sahraoui0%
Alexsandro Ribeiro0%
Marius Sivertsen Broholm0%
Tiago Santos0%
Noah Edjouma0%
Soriba Diaoune0%
Maxima Goffi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matías Fernández-Pardo12%
Soriba Diaoune12%
Hamza Igamane11%
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson11%
Félix Correia10%
Romain Perraud10%
Thomas Meunier9%
Benjamin André8%
Osame Sahraoui8%
Marius Sivertsen Broholm7%
Nabil Bentaleb5%
Nathan Ngoy5%
Chancel Mbemba5%
Ethan Mbappé5%
Calvin Verdonk4%
Tiago Santos4%
Ayyoub Bouaddi2%
Berke Özer2%
Olivier Giroud2%
Aïssa Mandi0%
Arnaud Bodart0%
Gaëtan Perrin0%
Alexsandro Ribeiro0%
Ngal'ayel Mukau0%
Noah Edjouma0%
Maxima Goffi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Hamza Igamane44%
Matías Fernández-Pardo17%
Olivier Giroud11%
Alexsandro Ribeiro9%
Ethan Mbappé9%
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson9%
Tiago Santos7%
Gaëtan Perrin7%
Félix Correia6%
Soriba Diaoune6%
Benjamin André3%
Nathan Ngoy3%
Aïssa Mandi2%
Romain Perraud2%
Thomas Meunier0%
Chancel Mbemba0%
Nabil Bentaleb0%
Berke Özer0%
Arnaud Bodart0%
Calvin Verdonk0%
Osame Sahraoui0%
Marius Sivertsen Broholm0%
Ngal'ayel Mukau0%
Noah Edjouma0%
Ayyoub Bouaddi0%
Maxima Goffi0%
Toulouse
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Frank Magri24%
Yann Gboho23%
Emersonn23%
Aron Dønnum16%
Santiago Hidalgo16%
Julian Vignolo13%
Charlie Cresswell12%
Djibril Sidibé9%
Seny Koumbassa8%
Jacen Russell-Rowe7%
Dayann Methalie7%
Cristian Cásseres Jr.6%
Pape Diop5%
Alexis Vossah4%
Warren Kamanzi4%
Mario Sauer3%
Rasmus Nicolaisen3%
Kjetil Haug0%
Mark McKenzie0%
Abu Francis0%
Guillaume Restes0%
Rafik Messali0%
Noah Edjouma0%
Ilyas Azizi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kjetil Haug33%
Dayann Methalie33%
Aron Dønnum28%
Cristian Cásseres Jr.26%
Abu Francis25%
Charlie Cresswell25%
Rafik Messali21%
Mark McKenzie21%
Pape Diop21%
Alexis Vossah20%
Emersonn19%
Frank Magri18%
Mario Sauer17%
Santiago Hidalgo16%
Rasmus Nicolaisen11%
Guillaume Restes9%
Seny Koumbassa8%
Warren Kamanzi4%
Djibril Sidibé3%
Yann Gboho3%
Jacen Russell-Rowe0%
Noah Edjouma0%
Julian Vignolo0%
Ilyas Azizi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Santiago Hidalgo19%
Aron Dønnum16%
Pape Diop11%
Emersonn10%
Charlie Cresswell9%
Cristian Cásseres Jr.9%
Djibril Sidibé9%
Yann Gboho9%
Mark McKenzie6%
Frank Magri6%
Alexis Vossah4%
Warren Kamanzi4%
Dayann Methalie3%
Rasmus Nicolaisen3%
Kjetil Haug0%
Abu Francis0%
Jacen Russell-Rowe0%
Mario Sauer0%
Guillaume Restes0%
Rafik Messali0%
Noah Edjouma0%
Julian Vignolo0%
Ilyas Azizi0%
Seny Koumbassa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Emersonn26%
Frank Magri18%
Pape Diop16%
Santiago Hidalgo12%
Aron Dønnum9%
Charlie Cresswell9%
Yann Gboho9%
Noah Edjouma8%
Jacen Russell-Rowe7%
Dayann Methalie3%
Cristian Cásseres Jr.3%
Rasmus Nicolaisen3%
Djibril Sidibé0%
Kjetil Haug0%
Mark McKenzie0%
Abu Francis0%
Warren Kamanzi0%
Mario Sauer0%
Guillaume Restes0%
Rafik Messali0%
Julian Vignolo0%
Ilyas Azizi0%
Seny Koumbassa0%
Alexis Vossah0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (26)
€1477m
MON (26)
€326m
LIL (27)
€312m
STR (32)
€304m
LYO (32)
€293m
REN (26)
€241m
MAR (22)
€225m
LEN (27)
€187m
PF (37)
€176m
NIC (28)
€152m
TOU (24)
€115m
SE (30)
€93m
LOR (24)
€87m
AUX (29)
€84m
NAN (25)
€82m
ANG (23)
€73m
SB2 (20)
€64m
LH (25)
€55m
MET (26)
€43m
ROD (23)
€15m
RSF (22)
€15m
Lille's squad is €197m more valuable than Toulouse's (€312m vs €115m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (10)
€638m
MON (9)
€148m
LIL (13)
€133m
LYO (9)
€122m
STR (13)
€112m
MAR (9)
€91m
REN (8)
€87m
NIC (8)
€62m
PF (13)
€59m
SE (10)
€54m
LEN (8)
€52m
NAN (8)
€31m
ANG (9)
€30m
TOU (7)
€30m
SB2 (6)
€25m
AUX (11)
€23m
LOR (8)
€20m
MET (11)
€17m
LH (10)
€9m
RSF (6)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
Lille's attack is €104m more valuable than Toulouse's (€133m vs €30m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (5)
€430m
LIL (4)
€102m
MON (5)
€84m
LYO (8)
€82m
MAR (5)
€68m
STR (6)
€56m
PF (7)
€54m
REN (5)
€44m
TOU (7)
€39m
LOR (5)
€32m
NIC (9)
€31m
AUX (5)
€28m
LEN (5)
€24m
LH (5)
€23m
SB2 (6)
€20m
MET (5)
€18m
NAN (7)
€16m
ANG (3)
€11m
SE (7)
€11m
ROD (6)
€4m
RSF (5)
€3m
Lille's midfield is €64m more valuable than Toulouse's (€102m vs €39m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (11)
€409m
STR (13)
€136m
LEN (14)
€112m
REN (13)
€109m
MON (12)
€93m
LYO (15)
€89m
LIL (10)
€76m
MAR (8)
€66m
PF (17)
€62m
NIC (11)
€60m
TOU (10)
€46m
LOR (11)
€35m
NAN (10)
€34m
AUX (13)
€33m
ANG (11)
€32m
SE (13)
€28m
LH (10)
€23m
SB2 (8)
€19m
MET (10)
€8m
ROD (10)
€7m
RSF (11)
€7m
Lille's defence is €30m more valuable than Toulouse's (€76m vs €46m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
LIL wins
1
Draws
2
TOU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lille vs Toulouse · H/A from LIL
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/25AToulouse Vs LIL1-2
05/10/24HLIL Vs Toulouse2-1
25/02/24AToulouse Vs LIL3-1
12/11/23HLIL Vs Toulouse1-1
18/03/23AToulouse Vs LIL0-2
17/09/22HLIL Vs Toulouse2-1
22/02/20HLIL Vs Toulouse3-0
19/10/19AToulouse Vs LIL2-1

LilleLille

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/25ALorient Vs LIL1-7
24/08/25HLIL Vs Monaco1-0
17/08/25AStade Brestois 29 Vs LIL3-3
17/05/25HLIL Vs Reims2-1
10/05/25AStade Brestois 29 Vs LIL2-0
04/05/25HLIL Vs Marseille1-1
27/04/25AAngers Vs LIL0-2
20/04/25HLIL Vs Auxerre3-1
12/04/25AToulouse Vs LIL1-2
05/04/25ALyon Vs LIL2-1

ToulouseToulouse

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/25HTOU Vs Paris Saint Germain3-6
24/08/25HTOU Vs Stade Brestois 292-0
16/08/25ANice Vs TOU0-1
17/05/25ASaint Etienne Vs TOU2-3
10/05/25HTOU Vs Lens1-1
03/05/25HTOU Vs Rennes2-1
27/04/25ANantes Vs TOU0-0
20/04/25AReims Vs TOU1-0
12/04/25HTOU Vs Lille1-2
06/04/25AMarseille Vs TOU3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lille
Lille
France: Ligue 1
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWW1.72
HomeWWDWW2.12
AwayWWLDW1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%62%35%
AVG goals2.822.922.73
Over 1.5 %80%79%81%
Over 2.5 %52%54%50%
Over 3.5 %26%29%23%
Scored1.681.881.50
Conceded1.141.041.23
BTTS66%75%58%
Clean Sheet26%25%27%
Corners8.708.878.54
Cards4.473.785.12
Toulouse
Toulouse
France: Ligue 1
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWL1.32
HomeLWDWL1.08
AwayLLDWW1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%27%46%
AVG goals2.662.812.50
Over 1.5 %78%85%71%
Over 2.5 %54%54%54%
Over 3.5 %22%19%25%
Scored1.341.231.46
Conceded1.321.581.04
BTTS54%65%42%
Clean Sheet30%23%38%
Corners8.918.759.09
Cards4.044.004.09

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain3476
71%
2.2
7429+45
3.0
76%
62%
32%
9.5
41%
2.9
26%
18.6
26%
1477
6384304092.20.9
69%
2LensLens3470
65%
2.1
6635+31
3.0
82%
65%
29%
10.4
53%
4.6
70%
24.7
59%
187
52241121.91.0
51%
3LilleLille3461
53%
1.8
5237+15
2.6
65%
38%
21%
9.5
44%
4.5
68%
24.2
68%
312
133102761.51.1
56%
4LyonLyon3460
53%
1.8
5340+13
2.7
65%
56%
32%
10.9
50%
4.8
71%
26.4
79%
293
12282891.61.2
55%
5MarseilleMarseille3459
53%
1.7
6345+18
3.2
74%
62%
41%
8.8
38%
4.4
73%
23.7
56%
225
9168661.91.3
57%
6RennesRennes3459
50%
1.7
5950+9
3.2
82%
71%
50%
10.6
62%
4.3
66%
24.4
71%
241
87441091.71.5
54%
7MonacoMonaco3454
47%
1.6
6054+6
3.4
74%
65%
53%
9.4
47%
4.2
62%
23.8
65%
326
14884931.81.6
54%
8StrasbourgStrasbourg3453
44%
1.6
5847+11
3.1
76%
65%
35%
8.9
44%
3.8
56%
24.1
74%
304
112561361.71.4
54%
9LorientLorient3445
32%
1.3
4851-3
2.9
88%
44%
35%
8.9
47%
4.1
55%
22.8
50%
87
2032351.41.5
45%
10ToulouseToulouse3344
36%
1.3
4746+1
2.8
67%
55%
33%
9.6
55%
4.5
70%
25.5
82%
115
3039461.41.4
42%
11Paris FCParis FC3444
32%
1.3
4750-3
2.9
74%
56%
32%
9.9
59%
3.9
47%
21.4
50%
176
5954621.41.5
50%
12Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 293439
29%
1.1
4355-12
2.9
82%
50%
29%
9.7
47%
3.8
55%
24.4
65%
64
2520191.31.6
43%
13AngersAngers3436
26%
1.1
2948-19
2.3
65%
29%
18%
8.8
41%
3.2
45%
22.4
53%
73
3011320.91.4
42%
14NiceNice3636
22%
1.0
4161-20
2.8
75%
50%
42%
10.8
67%
4.0
56%
23.6
53%
152
6231601.11.7
47%
15Le HavreLe Havre3435
21%
1.0
3244-12
2.2
62%
32%
18%
9.1
44%
4.2
65%
27.8
94%
55
923230.91.3
47%
16AuxerreAuxerre3434
24%
1.0
3444-10
2.3
62%
44%
26%
9.5
41%
4.9
74%
27.2
85%
84
2328331.01.3
44%
17NantesNantes3323
15%
0.7
2952-23
2.5
67%
45%
21%
9.4
48%
4.7
73%
26.8
85%
82
3116340.91.6
42%
18MetzMetz3417
9%
0.5
3276-44
3.2
74%
62%
41%
9.5
41%
3.5
53%
22.6
59%
43
171880.92.2
49%
19RodezRodez24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
8.0
50%
3.5
50%
24.5
100%
15
4471.51.0
38%
20Saint EtienneSaint Etienne32
0%
0.7
14-3
1.7
33%
33%
33%
11.0
100%
1.7
0%
19.3
33%
93
5411280.31.3
52%
21RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 9310
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
5.0
0%
5.0
100%
23.0
100%
15
4372.03.0
63%
France: Ligue 1 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 1 stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches