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Lillestrom vs Kristiansund BK Result & Analysis

Date: 09/07/2025
Time: 16:00
Final 2-0
Lillestrom
Lillestrom
Vs
20%
20%
61%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kristiansund BK
Kristiansund BK
Norway: NM Cupen
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lillestrom win✓ Hit
19.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
19.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kristiansund BK win✗ Miss
60.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LillestromLillestrom

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-611D20W11D60W10W22D22D40W20W00DA·SKE12/05H·KON16/05H·FRE21/05A·MJO24/05H·EGE31/05A·HOD14/06H·ASA18/06A·RAN21/06H·KFU25/06H·SOG28/06
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.231.201.002.071.47
vs Stronger (2)1.504.501.004.002.005.00
vs Similar (14)1.290.931.140.711.431.14
vs Weaker (14)2.001.071.290.862.711.29
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Kristiansund BK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W01L10W22D01L24L41W22D00D11DA·ALT07/05H·FRE11/05A·MOL16/05A·MOL21/05H·VIK25/05A·BRA01/06H·ROS22/06A·STA25/06A·HAU29/06H·BOD05/07
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.430.751.421.831.44
vs Stronger (13)1.152.150.832.001.432.29
vs Similar (15)1.200.870.670.831.560.89
vs Weaker (2)4.501.00--4.501.00
Clean sheet %20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Lillestrom) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%20%3%06%116%220%320%415%520%6+
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
91.0%
Under 1.5
9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
75.1%
Under 2.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
55.2%
Under 3.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
70.3%
No
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
8.8%
1-1
7.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-2
6.2%
0-2
6.2%
2-3
5.2%
0-3
5.2%
2-1
5.0%
Lillestrom goals ↓
Kristiansund BK goals →
01234
02.7%4.2%6.2%5.2%3.3%
12.1%7.7%8.8%7.4%4.6%
22.0%5.0%6.2%5.2%3.3%
30.9%2.3%2.9%2.5%1.5%
40.3%0.8%1.0%0.9%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lillestrom goals (down), columns = Kristiansund BK goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Molde
2.71
Lysekloster
2.50
Ham-Kam
2.50
Stromsgodset
2.50
Viking
2.50
Sandnes ULF
2.50
Stabaek
2.40
Tromso
2.33
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.25
Eidsvold
2.25
Raufoss
2.25
Bryne
2.25
Fredrikstad
2.14
Lillestrom
2.00
KFUM Oslo
2.00
Tromsdalen Uil
2.00
Levanger
2.00
Brann
2.00
Arendal
2.00
Alta
2.00
Råde
2.00
Kjelsås
2.00
Bodo/Glimt
2.00
Kristiansund BK
2.00
Ranheim
2.00
Rosenborg
2.00
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Asane
2.00
Egersund
2.00
hodd
2.00
Valerenga
1.80
Sogndal
1.67
Træff
1.50
Bjarg
1.50
Junkeren
1.50
Pors Grenland
1.50
Skjervøy
1.50
Vard
1.50
Fram
1.50
Oppsal
1.50
Melhus
1.50
Mjondalen
1.50
jerv
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Frigg
1.50
Fløya
1.50
Strindheim
1.50
Hønefoss
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Elverum
1.50
Bærum
1.50
Flekkerøy
1.50
Ull/Kisa
1.50
Eik-Tønsberg
1.50
Aalesund
1.50
Lyn
1.50
Moss
1.50
Kongsvinger
1.50
Strommen
1.50
Djerv
1.00
Sotra
1.00
Start
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Innstranden
0.91
Varegg
0.91
Harstad
0.91
Nord
0.91
Våg
0.91
Eiger
0.91
Hana
0.91
Rindal
0.91
Teie
0.91
Hamna
0.91
Skedsmo
0.91
Verdal
0.91
Skjetten
0.91
Lillehammer
0.91
Melbo IL
0.91
Gneist
0.91
Vindbjart
0.91
SF Grei
0.91
Elnesvågen
0.91
IF Ready
0.91
Åssiden IF
0.91
Brumunddal
0.91
Ulfstind
0.91
Bjørnevatn
0.91
Kvik Trondheim
0.91
Konnerud
0.91
Rollon
0.91
NHHI
0.91
Askøy
0.50
Torvastad
0.50
Kvik Halden
0.00
Ørn Horten
0.00
Gjøvik-Lyn
0.00
Varhaug
0.00
Rana
0.00
Sortland
0.00
Asker
0.00
Trygg/Lade
0.00
Sverresborg
0.00
Lørenskog
0.00
Vidar
0.00
Mosjøen
0.00
Gamle Oslo
0.00
Bjørkelangen
0.00
Grorud
0.00
Brattvåg
0.00
Notodden
0.00
Brodd
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
Sarpsborg
0.00
Nardo
0.00
Union Carl Berner
0.00
Ridabu
0.00
Sprint-Jeløy
0.00
Fjøra
0.00
Sandviken (Norway)
0.00
Flint
0.00
Volda
0.00
Follo
0.00
Nordstrand
0.00
Os
0.00
Sandefjord
0.00
Byåsen
0.00
Fana
0.00
Ullern
0.00
Lillestrom and Kristiansund BK are level in average points per game (both 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Alta
5.00
Kongsvinger
5.00
Bryne
4.75
Stromsgodset
4.25
Lillestrom
4.00
Djerv
4.00
Brann
4.00
Sotra
4.00
Sandviken (Norway)
4.00
Eik-Tønsberg
4.00
Tromso
4.00
Strommen
4.00
Viking
3.75
Stabaek
3.60
Ham-Kam
3.50
Raufoss
3.50
Bodo/Glimt
3.33
Sandnes ULF
3.17
Træff
3.00
Bjarg
3.00
Tromsdalen Uil
3.00
Hønefoss
3.00
Askøy
3.00
Ranheim
3.00
Rosenborg
3.00
Asane
3.00
Sogndal
3.00
Fredrikstad
2.71
ODD Ballklubb
2.67
hodd
2.67
Molde
2.57
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.50
Vard
2.50
Strindheim
2.50
Elverum
2.50
Lysekloster
2.50
Trygg/Lade
2.00
Eidsvold
2.00
Nardo
2.00
Fjøra
2.00
Torvastad
2.00
Moss
2.00
KFUM Oslo
1.83
Valerenga
1.80
Arendal
1.67
Kjelsås
1.67
Levanger
1.60
Innstranden
1.53
Varegg
1.53
Harstad
1.53
Nord
1.53
Våg
1.53
Eiger
1.53
Hana
1.53
Rindal
1.53
Teie
1.53
Hamna
1.53
Skedsmo
1.53
Verdal
1.53
Skjetten
1.53
Lillehammer
1.53
Melbo IL
1.53
Gneist
1.53
Vindbjart
1.53
SF Grei
1.53
Elnesvågen
1.53
IF Ready
1.53
Åssiden IF
1.53
Brumunddal
1.53
Ulfstind
1.53
Bjørnevatn
1.53
Kvik Trondheim
1.53
Konnerud
1.53
Rollon
1.53
NHHI
1.53
Junkeren
1.50
Skjervøy
1.50
Oppsal
1.50
Mjondalen
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Frigg
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Ull/Kisa
1.50
Lyn
1.50
Råde
1.33
Kristiansund BK
1.33
Lørenskog
1.00
Fram
1.00
Melhus
1.00
Grorud
1.00
Brattvåg
1.00
jerv
1.00
Notodden
1.00
Fløya
1.00
Brodd
1.00
Sarpsborg
1.00
Bærum
1.00
Volda
1.00
Follo
1.00
Aalesund
1.00
Start
1.00
Egersund
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Pors Grenland
0.50
Flekkerøy
0.50
Kvik Halden
0.00
Ørn Horten
0.00
Gjøvik-Lyn
0.00
Varhaug
0.00
Rana
0.00
Sortland
0.00
Asker
0.00
Sverresborg
0.00
Vidar
0.00
Mosjøen
0.00
Gamle Oslo
0.00
Bjørkelangen
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
Union Carl Berner
0.00
Ridabu
0.00
Sprint-Jeløy
0.00
Flint
0.00
Nordstrand
0.00
Os
0.00
Sandefjord
0.00
Byåsen
0.00
Fana
0.00
Ullern
0.00
Lillestrom is 2.67 goals better than Kristiansund BK in terms of goals scored per game (4.00 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tromso
0.00
Valerenga
0.40
Pors Grenland
0.50
Mjondalen
0.50
Flekkerøy
0.50
Aalesund
0.50
Fredrikstad
0.57
Arendal
0.67
Råde
0.67
Rosenborg
0.67
Molde
0.71
Lysekloster
0.75
Stromsgodset
0.75
Levanger
0.80
KFUM Oslo
0.83
Junkeren
1.00
Skjervøy
1.00
Vidar
1.00
Hønefoss
1.00
Skeid
1.00
Nordstrand
1.00
Sandefjord
1.00
Ranheim
1.00
Start
1.00
Moss
1.00
Egersund
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Byåsen
1.00
Ham-Kam
1.25
Viking
1.25
Raufoss
1.25
Bryne
1.25
Brann
1.33
Alta
1.33
Kjelsås
1.33
Bodo/Glimt
1.33
Asane
1.33
hodd
1.33
Stabaek
1.40
Træff
1.50
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.50
jerv
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Eidsvold
1.50
Lyn
1.50
Kongsvinger
1.50
Sogndal
1.67
Sandnes ULF
1.67
Kvik Halden
2.00
Asker
2.00
Lørenskog
2.00
Fram
2.00
Gamle Oslo
2.00
Tromsdalen Uil
2.00
Brattvåg
2.00
Frigg
2.00
Notodden
2.00
Spjelkavik
2.00
Strindheim
2.00
Ull/Kisa
2.00
Os
2.00
Kristiansund BK
2.00
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Fana
2.00
Ullern
2.00
Lillestrom
2.20
Oppsal
2.50
Melhus
2.50
Elverum
2.50
Bærum
2.50
Torvastad
2.50
Eik-Tønsberg
2.50
Innstranden
2.76
Varegg
2.76
Harstad
2.76
Nord
2.76
Våg
2.76
Eiger
2.76
Hana
2.76
Rindal
2.76
Teie
2.76
Hamna
2.76
Skedsmo
2.76
Verdal
2.76
Skjetten
2.76
Lillehammer
2.76
Melbo IL
2.76
Gneist
2.76
Vindbjart
2.76
SF Grei
2.76
Elnesvågen
2.76
IF Ready
2.76
Åssiden IF
2.76
Brumunddal
2.76
Ulfstind
2.76
Bjørnevatn
2.76
Kvik Trondheim
2.76
Konnerud
2.76
Rollon
2.76
NHHI
2.76
Ørn Horten
3.00
Rana
3.00
Trygg/Lade
3.00
Grorud
3.00
Brodd
3.00
Union Carl Berner
3.00
Sprint-Jeløy
3.00
Follo
3.00
Bjarg
3.50
Vard
3.50
Fløya
3.50
Strommen
3.50
Djerv
4.00
Mosjøen
4.00
Sotra
4.00
Nardo
4.00
Askøy
4.50
Gjøvik-Lyn
5.00
Varhaug
5.00
Sarpsborg
5.00
Ridabu
5.00
Fjøra
5.00
Sortland
6.00
Sverresborg
6.00
Sandviken (Norway)
6.00
Flint
6.00
Volda
6.00
Bjørkelangen
7.00
Lillestrom is 0.20 goals worse than Kristiansund BK in terms of goals conceded per game (2.20 vs 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Lillestrom or Draw✓ Hit
39.4%
Avg Implied -
20%
20%
61%
covers Lillestrom + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lillestrom or Kristiansund BK✓ Hit
80.3%
Avg Implied -
20%
20%
61%
covers Lillestrom + Kristiansund BK
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Kristiansund BK✗ Miss
80.3%
Avg Implied -
20%
20%
61%
covers Draw + Kristiansund BK
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Lillestrom over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
75.8%
Under
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lillestrom over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
41.4%
Under
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lillestrom over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.1%
Under
82.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lillestrom over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.6%
Under
94.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kristiansund BK over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
91.9%
Under
8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kristiansund BK over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
71.5%
Under
28.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kristiansund BK over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
45.9%
Under
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kristiansund BK over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
24.5%
Under
75.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Lillestrom, so a minus line means Lillestrom give that many goals of a start and Kristiansund BK receive them. At -1, Lillestrom must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Lillestrom win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Lillestrom)Actual: Draw
Lillestrom -2
3.0%
Draw -2
5.7%
Kristiansund BK +2
91.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Lillestrom)Actual: Lillestrom
Lillestrom -1
8.6%
Draw -1
11.0%
Kristiansund BK +1
80.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Lillestrom)Actual: Lillestrom
Lillestrom +1
39.4%
Draw +1
20.1%
Kristiansund BK -1
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Lillestrom)Actual: Lillestrom
Lillestrom +2
59.5%
Draw +2
17.7%
Kristiansund BK -2
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LillestromLillestrom

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D20W10W40W10W02L21W30W00D00DA·SKE12/05H·KON16/05H·FRE21/05A·MJO24/05H·EGE31/05A·HOD14/06H·ASA18/06A·RAN21/06H·KFU25/06H·SOG28/06
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.600.730.400.930.80
vs Stronger (2)0.501.500.001.001.002.00
vs Similar (14)0.710.430.710.430.710.43
vs Weaker (14)1.000.640.860.291.141.00
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Kristiansund BK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W00D10W02L00D24L31W11D00D01LA·ALT07/05H·FRE11/05A·MOL16/05A·MOL21/05H·VIK25/05A·BRA01/06H·ROS22/06A·STA25/06A·HAU29/06H·BOD05/07
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.700.420.580.830.78
vs Stronger (13)0.541.230.501.000.571.43
vs Similar (15)0.470.330.330.170.560.44
vs Weaker (2)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Lillestrom) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lillestrom over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lillestrom over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lillestrom over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kristiansund BK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kristiansund BK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kristiansund BK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LillestromLillestrom

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D01L20W00D20W01L10W20W00DA·SKE12/05H·KON16/05H·FRE21/05A·MJO24/05H·EGE31/05A·HOD14/06H·ASA18/06A·RAN21/06H·KFU25/06H·SOG28/06
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.630.470.601.130.67
vs Stronger (2)1.003.001.003.001.003.00
vs Similar (14)0.570.500.430.290.710.71
vs Weaker (14)1.000.430.430.571.570.29
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Kristiansund BK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L00D20W01L00D10W11D00D10WA·ALT07/05H·FRE11/05A·MOL16/05A·MOL21/05H·VIK25/05A·BRA01/06H·ROS22/06A·STA25/06A·HAU29/06H·BOD05/07
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.730.330.831.000.67
vs Stronger (13)0.620.920.331.000.860.86
vs Similar (15)0.730.530.330.671.000.44
vs Weaker (2)1.501.00--1.501.00
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Lillestrom) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lillestrom over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lillestrom over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lillestrom over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kristiansund BK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kristiansund BK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kristiansund BK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.595.3%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals94.4%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals91.9%-------✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap91.4%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.591.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.589.7%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals82.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards82.2%--------
Over 19.5 fouls81.3%--------
Draw or Away80.3%-------✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap80.3%-------✗ Miss
Home or Away80.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.579.6%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals75.8%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals75.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.575.1%-------✗ Miss
Away over 1.5 goals71.5%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards70.9%--------
BTTS Yes70.3%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Lillestrom · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Thomas Lehne Olsen25%
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim24%
Felix Vá22%
Markus Karlsbakk20%
Fredrik Gulbrandsen17%
Salieu Drammeh17%
Lars Ranger12%
Camil Jebara9%
Karl Linus Alperud9%
Kparobo Arierhi9%
Ulrik Jenssen0%
Pontus Dahlberg0%
Ruben Gabrielsen0%
Ylldren Ibrahimaj0%
Kevin Martin Krygard0%
Sander Moen Foss0%
Espen Bjørnsen Garnås0%
Eric Kitolano0%
Sturla Ottesen0%
Yaw Paintsil0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Frederik Elkær0%
Stian Kristiansen0%
Harald Woxen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ylldren Ibrahimaj35%
Harald Woxen27%
Stian Kristiansen25%
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim24%
Frederik Elkær20%
Fredrik Gulbrandsen17%
Markus Karlsbakk13%
Kevin Martin Krygard12%
Lars Ranger12%
Pontus Dahlberg11%
Sander Moen Foss11%
Ulrik Jenssen10%
Camil Jebara9%
Yaw Paintsil8%
Ruben Gabrielsen7%
Felix Vá6%
Thomas Lehne Olsen0%
Espen Bjørnsen Garnås0%
Eric Kitolano0%
Sturla Ottesen0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Salieu Drammeh0%
Karl Linus Alperud0%
Kparobo Arierhi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Felix Vá22%
Fredrik Gulbrandsen17%
Ylldren Ibrahimaj12%
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim12%
Frederik Elkær10%
Thomas Lehne Olsen8%
Yaw Paintsil8%
Salieu Drammeh8%
Lars Ranger6%
Ulrik Jenssen0%
Pontus Dahlberg0%
Ruben Gabrielsen0%
Kevin Martin Krygard0%
Markus Karlsbakk0%
Sander Moen Foss0%
Espen Bjørnsen Garnås0%
Eric Kitolano0%
Sturla Ottesen0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Camil Jebara0%
Stian Kristiansen0%
Karl Linus Alperud0%
Harald Woxen0%
Kparobo Arierhi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Thomas Lehne Olsen33%
Salieu Drammeh17%
Markus Karlsbakk13%
Lars Ranger6%
Felix Vá6%
Fredrik Gulbrandsen0%
Ulrik Jenssen0%
Pontus Dahlberg0%
Ruben Gabrielsen0%
Ylldren Ibrahimaj0%
Kevin Martin Krygard0%
Sander Moen Foss0%
Espen Bjørnsen Garnås0%
Eric Kitolano0%
Sturla Ottesen0%
Yaw Paintsil0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Frederik Elkær0%
Camil Jebara0%
Stian Kristiansen0%
Karl Linus Alperud0%
Harald Woxen0%
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim0%
Kparobo Arierhi0%
Kristiansund BK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ruben Alte20%
Leander Alvheim20%
Rezan Corlu15%
Mustapha Isah14%
David Tufekcic14%
Alioune Ndour12%
Haakon Haugen10%
Sander Hestetun Kilen7%
Wilfred George Igor4%
Marius Olsen4%
Dan Peter Ulvestad3%
Michael Lansing0%
Max Normann Williamsen0%
Igor Jeličić0%
Knut Andre Skjaerstein0%
Axel Kryger0%
Henry Sletsjoe0%
Ian Hoffmann0%
Mikkel Rakneberg0%
Syver Skeide0%
Adrian Sæther0%
Niklas Odegard0%
Axel Guessand0%
Adrian Kurd Rønning0%
Frederik Flex0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Axel Kryger25%
Ian Hoffmann25%
David Tufekcic21%
Wilfred George Igor21%
Ruben Alte20%
Henry Sletsjoe18%
Syver Skeide17%
Rezan Corlu12%
Sander Hestetun Kilen10%
Leander Alvheim10%
Alioune Ndour8%
Marius Olsen8%
Niklas Odegard7%
Mustapha Isah7%
Frederik Flex5%
Adrian Sæther5%
Mikkel Rakneberg4%
Dan Peter Ulvestad3%
Michael Lansing0%
Max Normann Williamsen0%
Igor Jeličić0%
Knut Andre Skjaerstein0%
Axel Guessand0%
Adrian Kurd Rønning0%
Haakon Haugen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Axel Kryger50%
Frederik Flex16%
Ruben Alte13%
Niklas Odegard11%
Sander Hestetun Kilen10%
Henry Sletsjoe9%
Ian Hoffmann8%
David Tufekcic7%
Wilfred George Igor4%
Mikkel Rakneberg4%
Rezan Corlu4%
Mustapha Isah4%
Michael Lansing0%
Dan Peter Ulvestad0%
Max Normann Williamsen0%
Igor Jeličić0%
Knut Andre Skjaerstein0%
Alioune Ndour0%
Marius Olsen0%
Syver Skeide0%
Adrian Sæther0%
Axel Guessand0%
Leander Alvheim0%
Adrian Kurd Rønning0%
Haakon Haugen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Leander Alvheim15%
Sander Hestetun Kilen14%
Mustapha Isah11%
David Tufekcic7%
Ruben Alte7%
Alioune Ndour4%
Rezan Corlu4%
Michael Lansing0%
Dan Peter Ulvestad0%
Max Normann Williamsen0%
Igor Jeličić0%
Knut Andre Skjaerstein0%
Axel Kryger0%
Henry Sletsjoe0%
Ian Hoffmann0%
Marius Olsen0%
Mikkel Rakneberg0%
Syver Skeide0%
Adrian Sæther0%
Niklas Odegard0%
Axel Guessand0%
Adrian Kurd Rønning0%
Wilfred George Igor0%
Haakon Haugen0%
Frederik Flex0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (24)
€75m
VIK (27)
€47m
MOL (26)
€35m
BRA (25)
€27m
ROS (23)
€23m
S0F (24)
€16m
VAL (22)
€16m
FRE (25)
€15m
TRO (22)
€15m
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
KB (21)
€13m
SAN (23)
€12m
HAM (24)
€10m
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
HAU (24)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
STR (22)
€7m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
STR (19)
€2m
Lillestrom's squad is €2m more valuable than Kristiansund BK's (€14m vs €13m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€22m
VIK (10)
€21m
MOL (7)
€13m
BRA (10)
€11m
ROS (8)
€10m
S0F (10)
€9m
LIL (9)
€6m
VAL (7)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
SAN (8)
€4m
TRO (6)
€4m
HAM (10)
€4m
STR (9)
€3m
HAU (8)
€3m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
KO (8)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
STR (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Lillestrom and Kristiansund BK have a similar attack value (both €6m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€27m
VIK (5)
€12m
MOL (8)
€7m
BRA (4)
€7m
VAL (6)
€5m
KB (6)
€4m
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
ROS (4)
€3m
S0F (5)
€3m
STA (8)
€3m
HAM (6)
€3m
TRO (5)
€3m
OB (7)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
SAN (4)
€2m
KO (5)
€2m
HAU (6)
€2m
STR (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
STR (4)
€0m
Lillestrom and Kristiansund BK have a similar midfield value (both €4m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (10)
€26m
VIK (12)
€15m
MOL (11)
€15m
ROS (11)
€9m
BRA (11)
€9m
TRO (11)
€8m
FRE (16)
€8m
VAL (9)
€5m
SAN (11)
€5m
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
S0F (9)
€4m
HAM (8)
€4m
KO (11)
€4m
HAU (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
STR (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
STR (10)
€1m
Lillestrom's defence is €2m more valuable than Kristiansund BK's (€5m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
LIL wins
1
Draws
2
KB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lillestrom vs Kristiansund BK · H/A from LIL
DateH/AGameScore
04/08/24AKristiansund BK Vs LIL2-1
01/04/24HLIL Vs Kristiansund BK2-3
28/08/22HLIL Vs Kristiansund BK1-1
03/07/22AKristiansund BK Vs LIL1-3

LillestromLillestrom

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/06/25HLIL Vs Sogndal0-0
25/06/25HLIL Vs KFUM Oslo2-0
21/06/25ARanheim Vs LIL0-4
18/06/25HLIL Vs Asane2-2
14/06/25Ahodd Vs LIL2-2
31/05/25HLIL Vs Egersund1-0
24/05/25AMjondalen Vs LIL0-6
21/05/25HLIL Vs Fredrikstad1-1
16/05/25HLIL Vs Kongsvinger2-0
12/05/25ASkeid Vs LIL1-1

Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/07/25HKB Vs Bodo/Glimt1-1
29/06/25AHaugesund Vs KB0-0
25/06/25AStabaek Vs KB2-2
22/06/25HKB Vs Rosenborg4-1
01/06/25ABrann Vs KB4-2
25/05/25HKB Vs Viking0-1
21/05/25AMolde Vs KB2-2
16/05/25AMolde Vs KB0-1
11/05/25HKB Vs Fredrikstad0-1
07/05/25AAlta Vs KB0-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lillestrom
Lillestrom
Norway: NM Cupen
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWD1.36
HomeDWDWD1.30
AwayDDWDW1.41
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%35%41%
AVG goals3.222.573.78
Over 1.5 %84%78%89%
Over 2.5 %64%52%74%
Over 3.5 %36%22%48%
Scored1.621.172.00
Conceded1.601.391.78
BTTS50%43%56%
Clean Sheet28%30%26%
Corners10.299.8610.71
Cards3.894.433.36
Kristiansund BK
Kristiansund BK
Norway: NM Cupen
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDDD1.30
HomeLLLWD1.35
AwayWDLDD1.27
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%35%33%
AVG goals2.822.702.90
Over 1.5 %76%70%80%
Over 2.5 %58%55%60%
Over 3.5 %38%40%37%
Scored1.341.251.40
Conceded1.481.451.50
BTTS58%55%60%
Clean Sheet16%15%17%
Corners11.0010.1511.77
Cards3.413.703.14

🏆 17. League Table

Lillestrom plays in Norway - 1. Division
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LillestromLillestrom3080
83%
2.7
8718+69
3.5
87%
73%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
6452.90.6
-
2EgersundEgersund3256
50%
1.8
5541+14
3.0
81%
47%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.71.3
-
3StartStart3055
53%
1.8
5835+23
3.1
90%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.91.2
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3155
48%
1.8
6546+19
3.6
94%
74%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.11.5
-
5AalesundAalesund3254
44%
1.7
6140+21
3.2
81%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5441.91.2
-
6RanheimRanheim3148
45%
1.5
5051-1
3.3
87%
71%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.6
-
7LynLyn3047
47%
1.6
4837+11
2.8
77%
60%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.61.2
-
8SogndalSogndal3043
40%
1.4
4948+1
3.2
87%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.6
-
9ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb3033
27%
1.1
3750-13
2.9
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.21.7
-
10hoddhodd3033
27%
1.1
3452-18
2.9
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.7
-
11StabaekStabaek3031
23%
1.0
4553-8
3.3
90%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5231.51.8
-
12AsaneAsane3031
23%
1.0
3853-15
3.0
90%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.31.8
-
13MossMoss3231
25%
1.0
4468-24
3.5
97%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.42.1
-
14RaufossRaufoss3030
23%
1.0
4356-13
3.3
83%
67%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.41.9
-
15MjondalenMjondalen3025
20%
0.8
3671-35
3.6
87%
67%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
16SkeidSkeid3015
7%
0.5
3566-31
3.4
93%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.2
-
17BrattvågBrattvåg49
75%
2.2
74+3
2.8
100%
75%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
18GrorudGrorud20
0%
0.0
14-3
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.0
-
Norway: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →
Kristiansund BK plays in Norway - Eliteserien
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VikingViking3071
73%
2.4
7736+41
3.8
80%
77%
57%
11.9
63%
3.9
55%
24.4
60%
47
2112152.61.2
51%
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt3070
73%
2.3
8528+57
3.8
90%
73%
47%
10.9
66%
2.7
31%
18.0
23%
75
2227262.80.9
64%
3TromsoTromso3057
60%
1.9
5036+14
2.9
67%
53%
43%
8.5
37%
3.7
57%
23.8
63%
15
4381.71.2
50%
4BrannBrann3056
57%
1.9
5546+9
3.4
90%
77%
43%
11.0
73%
4.4
59%
24.3
67%
27
11791.81.5
62%
5SandefjordSandefjord3048
50%
1.6
5542+13
3.2
83%
67%
43%
10.6
57%
3.8
52%
26.0
73%
12
4251.81.4
53%
6RosenborgRosenborg3042
37%
1.4
4542+3
2.9
80%
50%
37%
10.6
60%
4.2
57%
24.0
67%
23
10391.51.4
53%
7FredrikstadFredrikstad3042
37%
1.4
3835+3
2.4
67%
40%
23%
10.1
67%
3.0
31%
20.7
37%
15
5381.31.2
46%
8Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF3041
37%
1.4
4850-2
3.3
83%
67%
50%
11.8
63%
3.2
46%
22.9
53%
16
9341.61.7
48%
9ValerengaValerenga2940
41%
1.4
4650-4
3.3
86%
59%
38%
11.2
69%
4.3
67%
25.6
79%
16
6551.61.7
48%
10MoldeMolde3039
40%
1.3
4642+4
2.9
73%
60%
37%
10.1
53%
4.1
55%
22.0
57%
35
137151.51.4
55%
11Ham-KamHam-Kam3037
33%
1.2
4247-5
3.0
87%
63%
37%
11.0
60%
2.8
33%
22.4
50%
10
4341.41.6
42%
12KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo3035
27%
1.2
4241+1
2.8
83%
50%
37%
8.9
38%
3.6
48%
21.7
57%
8
3241.41.4
50%
13BryneBryne3234
28%
1.1
3860-22
3.1
81%
56%
41%
9.7
41%
3.1
39%
23.1
53%
6
2121.21.9
46%
14Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2934
31%
1.2
3456-22
3.1
79%
59%
41%
10.1
59%
3.6
52%
20.9
45%
13
5431.21.9
43%
15StromsgodsetStromsgodset3020
20%
0.7
3772-35
3.6
93%
80%
43%
12.8
67%
3.1
30%
20.3
40%
7
3221.22.4
46%
16HaugesundHaugesund309
7%
0.3
2280-58
3.4
87%
67%
53%
11.0
60%
3.1
41%
23.1
60%
9
3240.72.7
44%
17AalesundAalesund23
50%
1.5
41+3
2.5
50%
50%
50%
8.0
0%
2.5
50%
25.0
50%
13
5442.00.5
36%
Norway: Eliteserien 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: Eliteserien stats & trends →

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