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Lillestrom vs Molde Result & Analysis

Date: 06/10/2024
Time: 15:15
Final 1-2
Lillestrom
Lillestrom
Vs
25%
26%
49%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Molde
Molde
Norway: NM Cupen
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lillestrom win✗ Miss
25.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Molde win✓ Hit
48.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LillestromLillestrom

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D12L12L23L04L01L02L11D05L14LH·SAR28/07A·KRI04/08H·MOL11/08A·STR17/08A·ROS21/08H·TRO25/08A·KFU30/08H·ROS15/09A·HAM21/09H·VIK29/09
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.632.131.312.311.882.00
vs Stronger (4)2.253.000.504.504.001.50
vs Similar (12)0.671.920.861.710.402.20
vs Weaker (14)2.292.072.502.252.202.00
Clean sheet %10% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Molde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MoldeMolde

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L01L30W10W12L61W40W11D53W30WA·CER15/08H·IF 22/08H·HAM25/08A·IF 29/08A·ROS01/09H·FRE14/09A·KRI18/09A·KFU23/09H·TRO28/09H·LAR03/10
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.231.202.861.431.691.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)2.001.113.001.251.201.00
vs Weaker (12)2.581.332.671.672.501.00
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Lillestrom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.2%
Under 1.5
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.8%
Under 2.5
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.4%
Under 3.5
67.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.6%
No
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
1-2 ✓
9.6%
0-1
8.5%
0-2
8.2%
0-0
6.8%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
5.6%
1-0
5.5%
Lillestrom goals ↓
Molde goals →
01234
06.8%8.5%8.2%4.6%2.0%
15.5%12%9.6%5.4%2.3%
23.9%6.6%5.6%3.2%1.4%
31.5%2.6%2.2%1.2%0.5%
40.4%0.8%0.6%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lillestrom goals (down), columns = Molde goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Molde
2.71
Viking
2.50
Ham-Kam
2.50
Stromsgodset
2.50
Lysekloster
2.50
Sandnes ULF
2.50
Stabaek
2.40
Tromso
2.33
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.25
Raufoss
2.25
Bryne
2.25
Eidsvold
2.25
Fredrikstad
2.14
Bodo/Glimt
2.00
hodd
2.00
KFUM Oslo
2.00
Tromsdalen Uil
2.00
Alta
2.00
Lillestrom
2.00
Egersund
2.00
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Råde
2.00
Kjelsås
2.00
Ranheim
2.00
Levanger
2.00
Arendal
2.00
Frøya
2.00
Kristiansund BK
2.00
Brann
2.00
Rosenborg
2.00
Asane
2.00
Valerenga
1.80
Sogndal
1.67
Elverum
1.50
Skjervøy
1.50
Hønefoss
1.50
Moss
1.50
Flekkerøy
1.50
Lyn
1.50
Frigg
1.50
Aalesund
1.50
jerv
1.50
Kongsvinger
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Fram
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Ull/Kisa
1.50
Pors Grenland
1.50
Træff
1.50
Melhus
1.50
Mjondalen
1.50
Vard
1.50
Strindheim
1.50
Eik-Tønsberg
1.50
Oppsal
1.50
Bjarg
1.50
Strommen
1.50
Fløya
1.50
Bærum
1.50
Junkeren
1.50
Start
1.00
Sotra
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Djerv
1.00
Torvastad
0.50
Askøy
0.50
Mandalskameratene
0.50
Stord
0.50
Sprint-Jeløy
0.00
Ullern
0.00
Flint
0.00
Trygg/Lade
0.00
Asker
0.00
Mosjøen
0.00
Sverresborg
0.00
Nordstrand
0.00
Lørenskog
0.00
Varhaug
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
Volda
0.00
Gamle Oslo
0.00
Express
0.00
Kvik Halden
0.00
Brodd
0.00
Nybergsund
0.00
Skreia
0.00
Førde
0.00
Tiller
0.00
Toten
0.00
Follo
0.00
Ridabu
0.00
Fana
0.00
Mjølner
0.00
Gjelleråsen
0.00
Sandviken (Norway)
0.00
Ørn Horten
0.00
Sandefjord
0.00
Lyngbø
0.00
Os
0.00
Grorud
0.00
Hei
0.00
Nardo
0.00
Sortland
0.00
Notodden
0.00
Drøbak / Frogn
0.00
Funnefoss / Vormsund
0.00
Byåsen
0.00
Randesund
0.00
Heming
0.00
Hallingdal
0.00
Gjøvik-Lyn
0.00
Årvoll
0.00
Madla
0.00
Surnadal
0.00
Union Carl Berner
0.00
Sarpsborg
0.00
Bjørkelangen
0.00
Rana
0.00
Senja
0.00
Bossekop
0.00
Kirkenes
0.00
Åskollen
0.00
Brønnøysund
0.00
Fjøra
0.00
Brattvåg
0.00
Forus og Gausel
0.00
Eide
0.00
Vidar
0.00
Lillestrom is 0.71 points worse than Molde in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 2.71).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Alta
5.00
Kongsvinger
5.00
Bryne
4.75
Stromsgodset
4.25
Lillestrom
4.00
Sandviken (Norway)
4.00
Sotra
4.00
Tromso
4.00
Eik-Tønsberg
4.00
Brann
4.00
Strommen
4.00
Djerv
4.00
Viking
3.75
Stabaek
3.60
Ham-Kam
3.50
Raufoss
3.50
Bodo/Glimt
3.33
Sandnes ULF
3.17
Sogndal
3.00
Hønefoss
3.00
Tromsdalen Uil
3.00
Askøy
3.00
Træff
3.00
Ranheim
3.00
Madla
3.00
Bjarg
3.00
Rosenborg
3.00
Asane
3.00
Fredrikstad
2.71
hodd
2.67
ODD Ballklubb
2.67
Molde
2.57
Elverum
2.50
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.50
Vard
2.50
Strindheim
2.50
Lysekloster
2.50
Trygg/Lade
2.00
Moss
2.00
Torvastad
2.00
Førde
2.00
Gjelleråsen
2.00
Nardo
2.00
Frøya
2.00
Eidsvold
2.00
Fjøra
2.00
Stord
2.00
KFUM Oslo
1.83
Valerenga
1.80
Kjelsås
1.67
Arendal
1.67
Levanger
1.60
Skjervøy
1.50
Lyn
1.50
Frigg
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Ull/Kisa
1.50
Mjondalen
1.50
Oppsal
1.50
Junkeren
1.50
Råde
1.33
Kristiansund BK
1.33
Lørenskog
1.00
Volda
1.00
Start
1.00
Express
1.00
Brodd
1.00
Egersund
1.00
Aalesund
1.00
jerv
1.00
Toten
1.00
Follo
1.00
Mjølner
1.00
Fram
1.00
Lyngbø
1.00
Grorud
1.00
Melhus
1.00
Notodden
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Surnadal
1.00
Sarpsborg
1.00
Fløya
1.00
Senja
1.00
Bærum
1.00
Bossekop
1.00
Åskollen
1.00
Brattvåg
1.00
Flekkerøy
0.50
Pors Grenland
0.50
Mandalskameratene
0.50
Sprint-Jeløy
0.00
Ullern
0.00
Flint
0.00
Asker
0.00
Mosjøen
0.00
Sverresborg
0.00
Nordstrand
0.00
Varhaug
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
Gamle Oslo
0.00
Kvik Halden
0.00
Nybergsund
0.00
Skreia
0.00
Tiller
0.00
Ridabu
0.00
Fana
0.00
Ørn Horten
0.00
Sandefjord
0.00
Os
0.00
Hei
0.00
Sortland
0.00
Drøbak / Frogn
0.00
Funnefoss / Vormsund
0.00
Byåsen
0.00
Randesund
0.00
Heming
0.00
Hallingdal
0.00
Gjøvik-Lyn
0.00
Årvoll
0.00
Union Carl Berner
0.00
Bjørkelangen
0.00
Rana
0.00
Kirkenes
0.00
Brønnøysund
0.00
Forus og Gausel
0.00
Eide
0.00
Vidar
0.00
Lillestrom is 1.43 goals better than Molde in terms of goals scored per game (4.00 vs 2.57).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tromso
0.00
Valerenga
0.40
Flekkerøy
0.50
Aalesund
0.50
Pors Grenland
0.50
Mjondalen
0.50
Fredrikstad
0.57
Råde
0.67
Arendal
0.67
Rosenborg
0.67
Molde
0.71
Stromsgodset
0.75
Lysekloster
0.75
Levanger
0.80
KFUM Oslo
0.83
Skjervøy
1.00
Nordstrand
1.00
Hønefoss
1.00
Start
1.00
Moss
1.00
Egersund
1.00
Skeid
1.00
Sandefjord
1.00
Ranheim
1.00
Hei
1.00
Frøya
1.00
Byåsen
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Junkeren
1.00
Vidar
1.00
Viking
1.25
Ham-Kam
1.25
Raufoss
1.25
Bryne
1.25
Bodo/Glimt
1.33
hodd
1.33
Alta
1.33
Kjelsås
1.33
Brann
1.33
Asane
1.33
Stabaek
1.40
Lyn
1.50
jerv
1.50
Kongsvinger
1.50
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Træff
1.50
Eidsvold
1.50
Sogndal
1.67
Sandnes ULF
1.67
Ullern
2.00
Asker
2.00
Tromsdalen Uil
2.00
Lørenskog
2.00
Spjelkavik
2.00
Gamle Oslo
2.00
Express
2.00
Kvik Halden
2.00
Frigg
2.00
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Fana
2.00
Mjølner
2.00
Fram
2.00
Ull/Kisa
2.00
Os
2.00
Notodden
2.00
Funnefoss / Vormsund
2.00
Randesund
2.00
Heming
2.00
Strindheim
2.00
Kristiansund BK
2.00
Årvoll
2.00
Brattvåg
2.00
Lillestrom
2.20
Elverum
2.50
Torvastad
2.50
Melhus
2.50
Eik-Tønsberg
2.50
Oppsal
2.50
Bærum
2.50
Sprint-Jeløy
3.00
Trygg/Lade
3.00
Brodd
3.00
Tiller
3.00
Toten
3.00
Follo
3.00
Ørn Horten
3.00
Grorud
3.00
Union Carl Berner
3.00
Rana
3.00
Bossekop
3.00
Åskollen
3.00
Vard
3.50
Bjarg
3.50
Strommen
3.50
Fløya
3.50
Mosjøen
4.00
Gjelleråsen
4.00
Sotra
4.00
Nardo
4.00
Mandalskameratene
4.00
Djerv
4.00
Stord
4.00
Askøy
4.50
Varhaug
5.00
Ridabu
5.00
Gjøvik-Lyn
5.00
Madla
5.00
Surnadal
5.00
Sarpsborg
5.00
Fjøra
5.00
Eide
5.00
Flint
6.00
Sverresborg
6.00
Volda
6.00
Førde
6.00
Sandviken (Norway)
6.00
Sortland
6.00
Senja
6.00
Brønnøysund
6.00
Lyngbø
7.00
Hallingdal
7.00
Bjørkelangen
7.00
Nybergsund
8.00
Skreia
8.00
Drøbak / Frogn
10.00
Forus og Gausel
10.00
Kirkenes
11.00
Lillestrom is 1.49 goals worse than Molde in terms of goals conceded per game (2.20 vs 0.71).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Lillestrom or Draw✗ Miss
51.4%
Avg Implied -
25%
26%
49%
covers Lillestrom + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lillestrom or Molde✓ Hit
73.8%
Avg Implied -
25%
26%
49%
covers Lillestrom + Molde
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Molde✓ Hit
74.8%
Avg Implied -
25%
26%
49%
covers Draw + Molde
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Lillestrom over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
69.1%
Under
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lillestrom over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
32.8%
Under
67.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lillestrom over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.5%
Under
88.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lillestrom over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molde over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
81.7%
Under
18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molde over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
50.7%
Under
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molde over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
24.3%
Under
75.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molde over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.3%
Under
90.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Lillestrom, so a minus line means Lillestrom give that many goals of a start and Molde receive them. At -1, Lillestrom must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Lillestrom win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Lillestrom)Actual: Molde
Lillestrom -2
3.3%
Draw -2
7.2%
Molde +2
89.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Lillestrom)Actual: Molde
Lillestrom -1
10.5%
Draw -1
14.7%
Molde +1
74.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Lillestrom)Actual: Draw
Lillestrom +1
51.4%
Draw +1
21.8%
Molde -1
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Lillestrom)Actual: Lillestrom
Lillestrom +2
73.3%
Draw +2
15.1%
Molde -2
11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LillestromLillestrom

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L11D11D21W02L01L00D11D04L01LH·SAR28/07A·KRI04/08H·MOL11/08A·STR17/08A·ROS21/08H·TRO25/08A·KFU30/08H·ROS15/09A·HAM21/09H·VIK29/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.930.541.001.240.88
vs Stronger (4)1.251.000.001.002.501.00
vs Similar (12)0.330.830.430.860.200.80
vs Weaker (14)1.361.001.001.251.500.90
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Molde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MoldeMolde

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L10W00D10W31W20W00D20W00DA·CER15/08H·IF 22/08H·HAM25/08A·IF 29/08A·ROS01/09H·FRE14/09A·KRI18/09A·KFU23/09H·TRO28/09H·LAR03/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.471.360.640.690.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.000.501.750.500.400.50
vs Weaker (12)1.000.420.830.831.170.00
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Lillestrom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lillestrom over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lillestrom over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lillestrom over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LillestromLillestrom

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L01L02L02L00D02L00D01L13LH·SAR28/07A·KRI04/08H·MOL11/08A·STR17/08A·ROS21/08H·TRO25/08A·KFU30/08H·ROS15/09A·HAM21/09H·VIK29/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.200.771.310.651.12
vs Stronger (4)1.002.000.503.501.500.50
vs Similar (12)0.331.080.430.860.201.40
vs Weaker (14)0.931.071.501.000.701.10
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Molde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MoldeMolde

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D20W10W02L30W20W11D33D30WA·CER15/08H·IF 22/08H·HAM25/08A·IF 29/08A·ROS01/09H·FRE14/09A·KRI18/09A·KFU23/09H·TRO28/09H·LAR03/10
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.731.500.791.000.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.000.611.250.750.800.50
vs Weaker (12)1.580.921.830.831.331.00
Clean sheet %53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Lillestrom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lillestrom over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lillestrom over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lillestrom over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.597.3%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals96.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.592.8%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals90.7%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap89.5%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals88.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards87.3%--------
Under 4.583.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls83.2%--------
Away over 0.5 goals81.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.579.2%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals75.7%-------✓ Hit
Draw or Away74.8%-------✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap74.8%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away73.8%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap73.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards73.1%--------
Under 11.5 corners72.8%--------
Over 21.5 fouls70.4%--------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Lillestrom
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Thomas Lehne Olsen32%
Espen Bjørnsen Garnås14%
Eric Kitolano12%
Vá12%
Ruben Gabrielsen10%
Marius Lundemo10%
Erling Knudtzon9%
Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit9%
Frederik Elkær8%
Sander Moen Foss7%
Eric Larsson7%
Markus Karlsbakk6%
Ylldren Ibrahimaj4%
Gjermund Åsen4%
Mathis Bolly0%
Vebjørn Hoff0%
Kevin Martin Krygard0%
Mads Christiansen0%
Mohanad Jeahze0%
Stephan Hagerup0%
Kristoffer Tønnessen0%
Martin Owe Roseth0%
Jabir Abdihakim Ali0%
Uba Charles0%
Henrik Skogvold0%
August Karlin0%
El Schaddai Furaha0%
Moctar Diop0%
Lucky Efe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mohanad Jeahze57%
Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit36%
Lucky Efe25%
Espen Bjørnsen Garnås23%
Uba Charles21%
Marius Lundemo20%
Vá20%
Erling Knudtzon18%
Ruben Gabrielsen17%
Ylldren Ibrahimaj17%
Moctar Diop17%
Frederik Elkær15%
Kevin Martin Krygard14%
Stephan Hagerup14%
Martin Owe Roseth13%
Eric Kitolano12%
Sander Moen Foss7%
Eric Larsson7%
Kristoffer Tønnessen7%
Vebjørn Hoff5%
Mads Christiansen4%
Thomas Lehne Olsen4%
Gjermund Åsen0%
Mathis Bolly0%
Markus Karlsbakk0%
Jabir Abdihakim Ali0%
Henrik Skogvold0%
August Karlin0%
El Schaddai Furaha0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Frederik Elkær23%
Marius Lundemo15%
Mohanad Jeahze14%
Gjermund Åsen11%
Vebjørn Hoff11%
Uba Charles11%
Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit9%
Kevin Martin Krygard7%
Kristoffer Tønnessen7%
Eric Kitolano4%
Thomas Lehne Olsen4%
Ruben Gabrielsen3%
Eric Larsson0%
Vá0%
Mathis Bolly0%
Erling Knudtzon0%
Ylldren Ibrahimaj0%
Mads Christiansen0%
Markus Karlsbakk0%
Sander Moen Foss0%
Stephan Hagerup0%
Espen Bjørnsen Garnås0%
Martin Owe Roseth0%
Jabir Abdihakim Ali0%
Henrik Skogvold0%
August Karlin0%
El Schaddai Furaha0%
Moctar Diop0%
Lucky Efe0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Thomas Lehne Olsen43%
Moctar Diop17%
Vá8%
Ylldren Ibrahimaj4%
Gjermund Åsen4%
Ruben Gabrielsen3%
Marius Lundemo0%
Eric Larsson0%
Mathis Bolly0%
Erling Knudtzon0%
Vebjørn Hoff0%
Kevin Martin Krygard0%
Mads Christiansen0%
Mohanad Jeahze0%
Markus Karlsbakk0%
Sander Moen Foss0%
Stephan Hagerup0%
Espen Bjørnsen Garnås0%
Eric Kitolano0%
Kristoffer Tønnessen0%
Martin Owe Roseth0%
Frederik Elkær0%
Jabir Abdihakim Ali0%
Uba Charles0%
Henrik Skogvold0%
August Karlin0%
El Schaddai Furaha0%
Lucky Efe0%
Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit0%
Molde
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ola Brynhildsen60%
Magnus Wolff Eikrem41%
Kristian Eriksen37%
Frederik Ihler25%
Fredrik Gulbrandsen21%
Eirik Hestad15%
Eirik Haugan15%
Mathias Fjortoft Lovik14%
Marcus Andre Kaasa12%
Halldor Stenevik11%
Kristoffer Haugen8%
Martin Bjørnbak8%
Aaron Olanare8%
Anders Hagelskjær4%
Martin Linnes4%
Mats Møller Dæhli3%
Emil Breivik3%
Casper Öyvann0%
Jakob Karlstrom0%
Albert Posiadała0%
Johan Johanessen Bakke0%
Isak Helstad Amundsen0%
Mads Enggård0%
Valdemar Lund0%
Niklas Odegard0%
Alwande Roaldsoy0%
Sondre Milian Granaas0%
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Valdemar Lund29%
Isak Helstad Amundsen23%
Fredrik Gulbrandsen21%
Kristian Eriksen21%
Martin Bjørnbak15%
Eirik Haugan15%
Mathias Fjortoft Lovik14%
Ola Brynhildsen13%
Emil Breivik13%
Kristoffer Haugen12%
Magnus Wolff Eikrem10%
Mats Møller Dæhli10%
Mads Enggård10%
Anders Hagelskjær9%
Halldor Stenevik9%
Jakob Karlstrom8%
Albert Posiadała8%
Marcus Andre Kaasa4%
Eirik Hestad4%
Martin Linnes4%
Casper Öyvann0%
Aaron Olanare0%
Johan Johanessen Bakke0%
Frederik Ihler0%
Niklas Odegard0%
Alwande Roaldsoy0%
Sondre Milian Granaas0%
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Magnus Wolff Eikrem17%
Kristoffer Haugen16%
Emil Breivik16%
Kristian Eriksen16%
Martin Linnes14%
Fredrik Gulbrandsen14%
Halldor Stenevik14%
Johan Johanessen Bakke14%
Mads Enggård14%
Ola Brynhildsen13%
Casper Öyvann12%
Mats Møller Dæhli10%
Marcus Andre Kaasa8%
Eirik Hestad8%
Aaron Olanare8%
Sondre Milian Granaas7%
Isak Helstad Amundsen6%
Frederik Ihler5%
Valdemar Lund4%
Mathias Fjortoft Lovik3%
Anders Hagelskjær0%
Martin Bjørnbak0%
Jakob Karlstrom0%
Eirik Haugan0%
Albert Posiadała0%
Niklas Odegard0%
Alwande Roaldsoy0%
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Magnus Wolff Eikrem34%
Kristian Eriksen32%
Ola Brynhildsen27%
Fredrik Gulbrandsen21%
Mats Møller Dæhli6%
Frederik Ihler5%
Mads Enggård5%
Anders Hagelskjær4%
Marcus Andre Kaasa4%
Eirik Hestad4%
Martin Linnes4%
Halldor Stenevik3%
Emil Breivik3%
Martin Bjørnbak0%
Kristoffer Haugen0%
Casper Öyvann0%
Jakob Karlstrom0%
Eirik Haugan0%
Aaron Olanare0%
Albert Posiadała0%
Johan Johanessen Bakke0%
Isak Helstad Amundsen0%
Valdemar Lund0%
Mathias Fjortoft Lovik0%
Niklas Odegard0%
Alwande Roaldsoy0%
Sondre Milian Granaas0%
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (24)
€75m
VIK (27)
€47m
MOL (26)
€35m
BRA (25)
€27m
ROS (23)
€23m
S0F (24)
€16m
VAL (22)
€16m
FRE (25)
€15m
TRO (22)
€15m
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
KB (21)
€13m
SAN (23)
€12m
HAM (24)
€10m
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
HAU (24)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
STR (22)
€7m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
STR (19)
€2m
Lillestrom's squad is €20m less valuable than Molde's (€14m vs €35m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€22m
VIK (10)
€21m
MOL (7)
€13m
BRA (10)
€11m
ROS (8)
€10m
S0F (10)
€9m
LIL (9)
€6m
VAL (7)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
SAN (8)
€4m
TRO (6)
€4m
HAM (10)
€4m
STR (9)
€3m
HAU (8)
€3m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
KO (8)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
STR (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Lillestrom's attack is €7m less valuable than Molde's (€6m vs €13m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€27m
VIK (5)
€12m
MOL (8)
€7m
BRA (4)
€7m
VAL (6)
€5m
KB (6)
€4m
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
ROS (4)
€3m
S0F (5)
€3m
STA (8)
€3m
HAM (6)
€3m
TRO (5)
€3m
OB (7)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
SAN (4)
€2m
KO (5)
€2m
HAU (6)
€2m
STR (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
STR (4)
€0m
Lillestrom's midfield is €4m less valuable than Molde's (€4m vs €7m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (10)
€26m
VIK (12)
€15m
MOL (11)
€15m
ROS (11)
€9m
BRA (11)
€9m
TRO (11)
€8m
FRE (16)
€8m
VAL (9)
€5m
SAN (11)
€5m
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
S0F (9)
€4m
HAM (8)
€4m
KO (11)
€4m
HAU (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
STR (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
STR (10)
€1m
Lillestrom's defence is €10m less valuable than Molde's (€5m vs €15m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
2
LIL wins
0
Draws
4
MOL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lillestrom vs Molde · H/A from LIL
DateH/AGameScore
11/08/24HLIL Vs Molde1-2
07/07/24AMolde Vs LIL3-0
12/11/23AMolde Vs LIL4-0
23/04/23HLIL Vs Molde2-1
16/10/22HLIL Vs Molde0-1
18/04/22AMolde Vs LIL1-2

LillestromLillestrom

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/09/24HLIL Vs Viking1-4
21/09/24AHam-Kam Vs LIL5-0
15/09/24HLIL Vs Rosenborg1-1
30/08/24AKFUM Oslo Vs LIL2-0
25/08/24HLIL Vs Tromso0-1
21/08/24ARosenborg Vs LIL4-0
17/08/24AStromsgodset Vs LIL3-2
11/08/24HLIL Vs Molde1-2
04/08/24AKristiansund BK Vs LIL2-1
28/07/24HLIL Vs Sarpsborg 08 FF2-2

MoldeMolde

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/10/24HMOL Vs Larne3-0
28/09/24HMOL Vs Tromso5-3
23/09/24AKFUM Oslo Vs MOL1-1
18/09/24AKristiansund BK Vs MOL0-4
14/09/24HMOL Vs Fredrikstad6-1
01/09/24ARosenborg Vs MOL2-1
29/08/24AIF Elfsborg Vs MOL0-1
25/08/24HMOL Vs Ham-Kam3-0
22/08/24HMOL Vs IF Elfsborg0-1
15/08/24ACercle Brugge Vs MOL1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lillestrom
Lillestrom
Norway: NM Cupen
Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLL1.22
HomeDLLDL1.35
AwayLLLLL1.11
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%39%33%
AVG goals3.523.483.56
Over 1.5 %84%87%81%
Over 2.5 %68%65%70%
Over 3.5 %48%48%48%
Scored1.621.701.56
Conceded1.901.782.00
BTTS58%61%56%
Clean Sheet12%13%11%
Corners10.339.6511.00
Cards3.493.913.05
Molde
Molde
Norway: NM Cupen
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW1.82
HomeLWWWW1.96
AwayLWLWD1.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%60%52%
AVG goals3.604.083.12
Over 1.5 %88%96%80%
Over 2.5 %78%88%68%
Over 3.5 %54%60%48%
Scored2.242.641.84
Conceded1.361.441.28
BTTS62%68%56%
Clean Sheet30%28%32%
Corners9.939.7110.15
Cards3.733.224.29

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt3062
60%
2.1
7131+40
3.4
80%
60%
50%
10.6
53%
2.8
34%
17.3
10%
75
2227262.41.0
62%
2BrannBrann3059
57%
2.0
5533+22
2.9
87%
60%
33%
11.0
57%
3.7
53%
25.0
80%
27
11791.81.1
63%
3VikingViking3057
53%
1.9
6139+22
3.3
77%
60%
40%
11.3
70%
4.3
60%
23.1
47%
47
2112152.01.3
54%
4RosenborgRosenborg3053
53%
1.8
5239+13
3.0
80%
63%
43%
9.6
47%
4.0
57%
22.6
57%
23
10391.71.3
55%
5MoldeMolde3052
50%
1.7
6436+28
3.3
83%
70%
43%
9.8
40%
3.4
46%
19.5
33%
35
137152.11.2
52%
6FredrikstadFredrikstad3051
47%
1.7
3935+4
2.5
67%
40%
30%
9.2
40%
2.9
34%
18.1
23%
15
5381.31.2
42%
7StromsgodsetStromsgodset3038
33%
1.3
3240-8
2.4
60%
37%
33%
11.8
73%
3.1
38%
19.3
30%
7
3221.11.3
45%
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo3037
30%
1.2
3536-1
2.4
70%
43%
23%
8.2
23%
3.5
45%
21.8
43%
8
3241.21.2
49%
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF3037
33%
1.2
4355-12
3.3
87%
67%
40%
10.5
63%
3.8
53%
23.0
57%
16
9341.41.8
51%
10HaugesundHaugesund3237
31%
1.2
3146-15
2.4
59%
44%
25%
10.9
62%
4.0
60%
20.5
44%
9
3241.01.4
49%
11SandefjordSandefjord3034
30%
1.1
4146-5
2.9
77%
63%
27%
9.5
50%
3.2
34%
22.1
53%
12
4251.41.5
52%
12Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK3034
27%
1.1
3245-13
2.6
73%
50%
33%
11.0
57%
3.2
41%
22.7
57%
13
5431.11.5
43%
13Ham-KamHam-Kam3033
27%
1.1
3439-5
2.4
63%
37%
17%
12.1
77%
3.2
33%
19.7
43%
10
4341.11.3
41%
14TromsoTromso3033
30%
1.1
3444-10
2.6
63%
53%
27%
10.3
57%
3.4
37%
19.3
40%
15
4381.11.5
47%
15LillestromLillestrom3024
23%
0.8
3363-30
3.2
87%
70%
33%
10.3
60%
3.8
43%
21.0
50%
14
6451.12.1
52%
16ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb3023
17%
0.8
2654-28
2.7
80%
53%
27%
9.6
40%
3.4
31%
23.1
60%
9
3330.91.8
43%
17MossMoss21
0%
0.5
02-2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
7.0
0%
4.5
100%
21.0
50%
4
2120.01.0
50%
Norway: Eliteserien 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: Eliteserien stats & trends →

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