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Lillestrom vs Sarpsborg 08 FF Result & Analysis

Date: 06/12/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 3-1
Lillestrom
Lillestrom
Vs
21%
19%
60%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Norway: NM Cupen
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lillestrom win✓ Hit
20.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
19.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sarpsborg 08 FF win✗ Miss
60.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LillestromLillestrom

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-751W41W21W51W40W51W71W21W20W30WA·SOG13/09H·MJO20/09A·SAN24/09A·MOS29/09H·HOD04/10H·LYN17/10A·ODD22/10H·RAN25/10A·KON01/11H·STA08/11← 1. DivisionNM Cupen →
Avg total
4.6
Avg scored
3.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game3.000.672.560.563.500.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)2.640.272.750.382.330.00
vs Weaker (19)3.210.892.380.753.821.00
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Sarpsborg 08 FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L44D33D32W25L21W04L02L30W10WA·STR21/09A·KJE24/09H·VIK27/09A·ROS05/10H·BOD18/10H·KFU25/10A·TRO02/11H·FRE08/11A·BRY23/11H·MOL30/11← EliteserienNM Cupen →
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.731.671.531.801.93
vs Stronger (7)1.712.141.602.402.001.50
vs Similar (21)1.671.571.561.111.751.92
vs Weaker (2)2.502.003.001.002.003.00
Clean sheet %17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Lillestrom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%2%05%114%219%320%416%523%6+
The model estimates around 4.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
92.3%
Under 1.5
7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
77.9%
Under 2.5
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
59.0%
Under 3.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
73.0%
No
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
8.4%
1-3
7.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.4%
2-3
5.5%
0-2
5.5%
2-1
4.9%
0-3
4.7%
Lillestrom goals ↓
Sarpsborg 08 FF goals →
01234
02.3%3.6%5.5%4.7%3.1%
11.8%7.1%8.4%7.2%4.7%
21.9%4.9%6.4%5.5%3.6%
31.0%2.5%3.2%2.8%1.8%
40.4%0.9%1.2%1.1%0.7%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lillestrom goals (down), columns = Sarpsborg 08 FF goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Molde
2.71
Lysekloster
2.50
Ham-Kam
2.50
Stromsgodset
2.50
Viking
2.50
Sandnes ULF
2.50
Stabaek
2.40
Tromso
2.33
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.25
Eidsvold
2.25
Raufoss
2.25
Bryne
2.25
Fredrikstad
2.14
Lillestrom
2.00
KFUM Oslo
2.00
Tromsdalen Uil
2.00
Levanger
2.00
Brann
2.00
Arendal
2.00
Alta
2.00
Råde
2.00
Kjelsås
2.00
Bodo/Glimt
2.00
Kristiansund BK
2.00
Ranheim
2.00
Rosenborg
2.00
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Asane
2.00
Egersund
2.00
hodd
2.00
Valerenga
1.80
Sogndal
1.67
Træff
1.50
Bjarg
1.50
Junkeren
1.50
Pors Grenland
1.50
Skjervøy
1.50
Vard
1.50
Fram
1.50
Oppsal
1.50
Melhus
1.50
Mjondalen
1.50
jerv
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Frigg
1.50
Fløya
1.50
Strindheim
1.50
Hønefoss
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Elverum
1.50
Bærum
1.50
Flekkerøy
1.50
Ull/Kisa
1.50
Eik-Tønsberg
1.50
Aalesund
1.50
Lyn
1.50
Moss
1.50
Kongsvinger
1.50
Strommen
1.50
Djerv
1.00
Sotra
1.00
Start
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Innstranden
0.91
Varegg
0.91
Harstad
0.91
Nord
0.91
Våg
0.91
Eiger
0.91
Hana
0.91
Rindal
0.91
Teie
0.91
Hamna
0.91
Skedsmo
0.91
Verdal
0.91
Skjetten
0.91
Lillehammer
0.91
Melbo IL
0.91
Gneist
0.91
Vindbjart
0.91
SF Grei
0.91
Elnesvågen
0.91
IF Ready
0.91
Åssiden IF
0.91
Brumunddal
0.91
Ulfstind
0.91
Bjørnevatn
0.91
Kvik Trondheim
0.91
Konnerud
0.91
Rollon
0.91
NHHI
0.91
Askøy
0.50
Torvastad
0.50
Kvik Halden
0.00
Ørn Horten
0.00
Gjøvik-Lyn
0.00
Varhaug
0.00
Rana
0.00
Sortland
0.00
Asker
0.00
Trygg/Lade
0.00
Sverresborg
0.00
Lørenskog
0.00
Vidar
0.00
Mosjøen
0.00
Gamle Oslo
0.00
Bjørkelangen
0.00
Grorud
0.00
Brattvåg
0.00
Notodden
0.00
Brodd
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
Sarpsborg
0.00
Nardo
0.00
Union Carl Berner
0.00
Ridabu
0.00
Sprint-Jeløy
0.00
Fjøra
0.00
Sandviken (Norway)
0.00
Flint
0.00
Volda
0.00
Follo
0.00
Nordstrand
0.00
Os
0.00
Sandefjord
0.00
Byåsen
0.00
Fana
0.00
Ullern
0.00
Lillestrom is 0.25 points worse than Sarpsborg 08 FF in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 2.25).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Alta
5.00
Kongsvinger
5.00
Bryne
4.75
Stromsgodset
4.25
Lillestrom
4.00
Djerv
4.00
Brann
4.00
Sotra
4.00
Sandviken (Norway)
4.00
Eik-Tønsberg
4.00
Tromso
4.00
Strommen
4.00
Viking
3.75
Stabaek
3.60
Ham-Kam
3.50
Raufoss
3.50
Bodo/Glimt
3.33
Sandnes ULF
3.17
Træff
3.00
Bjarg
3.00
Tromsdalen Uil
3.00
Hønefoss
3.00
Askøy
3.00
Ranheim
3.00
Rosenborg
3.00
Asane
3.00
Sogndal
3.00
Fredrikstad
2.71
ODD Ballklubb
2.67
hodd
2.67
Molde
2.57
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.50
Vard
2.50
Strindheim
2.50
Elverum
2.50
Lysekloster
2.50
Trygg/Lade
2.00
Eidsvold
2.00
Nardo
2.00
Fjøra
2.00
Torvastad
2.00
Moss
2.00
KFUM Oslo
1.83
Valerenga
1.80
Arendal
1.67
Kjelsås
1.67
Levanger
1.60
Innstranden
1.53
Varegg
1.53
Harstad
1.53
Nord
1.53
Våg
1.53
Eiger
1.53
Hana
1.53
Rindal
1.53
Teie
1.53
Hamna
1.53
Skedsmo
1.53
Verdal
1.53
Skjetten
1.53
Lillehammer
1.53
Melbo IL
1.53
Gneist
1.53
Vindbjart
1.53
SF Grei
1.53
Elnesvågen
1.53
IF Ready
1.53
Åssiden IF
1.53
Brumunddal
1.53
Ulfstind
1.53
Bjørnevatn
1.53
Kvik Trondheim
1.53
Konnerud
1.53
Rollon
1.53
NHHI
1.53
Junkeren
1.50
Skjervøy
1.50
Oppsal
1.50
Mjondalen
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Frigg
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Ull/Kisa
1.50
Lyn
1.50
Råde
1.33
Kristiansund BK
1.33
Lørenskog
1.00
Fram
1.00
Melhus
1.00
Grorud
1.00
Brattvåg
1.00
jerv
1.00
Notodden
1.00
Fløya
1.00
Brodd
1.00
Sarpsborg
1.00
Bærum
1.00
Volda
1.00
Follo
1.00
Aalesund
1.00
Start
1.00
Egersund
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Pors Grenland
0.50
Flekkerøy
0.50
Kvik Halden
0.00
Ørn Horten
0.00
Gjøvik-Lyn
0.00
Varhaug
0.00
Rana
0.00
Sortland
0.00
Asker
0.00
Sverresborg
0.00
Vidar
0.00
Mosjøen
0.00
Gamle Oslo
0.00
Bjørkelangen
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
Union Carl Berner
0.00
Ridabu
0.00
Sprint-Jeløy
0.00
Flint
0.00
Nordstrand
0.00
Os
0.00
Sandefjord
0.00
Byåsen
0.00
Fana
0.00
Ullern
0.00
Lillestrom is 1.50 goals better than Sarpsborg 08 FF in terms of goals scored per game (4.00 vs 2.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tromso
0.00
Valerenga
0.40
Pors Grenland
0.50
Mjondalen
0.50
Flekkerøy
0.50
Aalesund
0.50
Fredrikstad
0.57
Arendal
0.67
Råde
0.67
Rosenborg
0.67
Molde
0.71
Lysekloster
0.75
Stromsgodset
0.75
Levanger
0.80
KFUM Oslo
0.83
Junkeren
1.00
Skjervøy
1.00
Vidar
1.00
Hønefoss
1.00
Skeid
1.00
Nordstrand
1.00
Sandefjord
1.00
Ranheim
1.00
Start
1.00
Moss
1.00
Egersund
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Byåsen
1.00
Ham-Kam
1.25
Viking
1.25
Raufoss
1.25
Bryne
1.25
Brann
1.33
Alta
1.33
Kjelsås
1.33
Bodo/Glimt
1.33
Asane
1.33
hodd
1.33
Stabaek
1.40
Træff
1.50
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.50
jerv
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Eidsvold
1.50
Lyn
1.50
Kongsvinger
1.50
Sogndal
1.67
Sandnes ULF
1.67
Kvik Halden
2.00
Asker
2.00
Lørenskog
2.00
Fram
2.00
Gamle Oslo
2.00
Tromsdalen Uil
2.00
Brattvåg
2.00
Frigg
2.00
Notodden
2.00
Spjelkavik
2.00
Strindheim
2.00
Ull/Kisa
2.00
Os
2.00
Kristiansund BK
2.00
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Fana
2.00
Ullern
2.00
Lillestrom
2.20
Oppsal
2.50
Melhus
2.50
Elverum
2.50
Bærum
2.50
Torvastad
2.50
Eik-Tønsberg
2.50
Innstranden
2.76
Varegg
2.76
Harstad
2.76
Nord
2.76
Våg
2.76
Eiger
2.76
Hana
2.76
Rindal
2.76
Teie
2.76
Hamna
2.76
Skedsmo
2.76
Verdal
2.76
Skjetten
2.76
Lillehammer
2.76
Melbo IL
2.76
Gneist
2.76
Vindbjart
2.76
SF Grei
2.76
Elnesvågen
2.76
IF Ready
2.76
Åssiden IF
2.76
Brumunddal
2.76
Ulfstind
2.76
Bjørnevatn
2.76
Kvik Trondheim
2.76
Konnerud
2.76
Rollon
2.76
NHHI
2.76
Ørn Horten
3.00
Rana
3.00
Trygg/Lade
3.00
Grorud
3.00
Brodd
3.00
Union Carl Berner
3.00
Sprint-Jeløy
3.00
Follo
3.00
Bjarg
3.50
Vard
3.50
Fløya
3.50
Strommen
3.50
Djerv
4.00
Mosjøen
4.00
Sotra
4.00
Nardo
4.00
Askøy
4.50
Gjøvik-Lyn
5.00
Varhaug
5.00
Sarpsborg
5.00
Ridabu
5.00
Fjøra
5.00
Sortland
6.00
Sverresborg
6.00
Sandviken (Norway)
6.00
Flint
6.00
Volda
6.00
Bjørkelangen
7.00
Lillestrom is 0.70 goals worse than Sarpsborg 08 FF in terms of goals conceded per game (2.20 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Lillestrom or Draw✓ Hit
39.9%
Avg Implied -
21%
19%
60%
covers Lillestrom + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lillestrom or Sarpsborg 08 FF✓ Hit
80.7%
Avg Implied -
21%
19%
60%
covers Lillestrom + Sarpsborg 08 FF
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Sarpsborg 08 FF✗ Miss
79.4%
Avg Implied -
21%
19%
60%
covers Draw + Sarpsborg 08 FF
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Lillestrom over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.2%
Under
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lillestrom over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
45.0%
Under
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lillestrom over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
19.7%
Under
80.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lillestrom over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.9%
Under
93.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sarpsborg 08 FF over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
92.6%
Under
7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sarpsborg 08 FF over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
73.2%
Under
26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sarpsborg 08 FF over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
48.1%
Under
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sarpsborg 08 FF over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
26.3%
Under
73.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Lillestrom, so a minus line means Lillestrom give that many goals of a start and Sarpsborg 08 FF receive them. At -1, Lillestrom must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Lillestrom win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Lillestrom)Actual: Draw
Lillestrom -2
3.4%
Draw -2
6.0%
Sarpsborg 08 FF +2
90.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Lillestrom)Actual: Lillestrom
Lillestrom -1
9.4%
Draw -1
11.3%
Sarpsborg 08 FF +1
79.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Lillestrom)Actual: Lillestrom
Lillestrom +1
39.9%
Draw +1
19.6%
Sarpsborg 08 FF -1
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Lillestrom)Actual: Lillestrom
Lillestrom +2
59.6%
Draw +2
17.4%
Sarpsborg 08 FF -2
23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LillestromLillestrom

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D10W11D30W10W21W50W10W20W10WA·SOG13/09H·MJO20/09A·SAN24/09A·MOS29/09H·HOD04/10H·LYN17/10A·ODD22/10H·RAN25/10A·KON01/11H·STA08/11← 1. DivisionNM Cupen →
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.301.060.191.710.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.180.091.120.121.330.00
vs Weaker (19)1.470.421.000.251.820.55
Clean sheet %73% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Sarpsborg 08 FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D31W13L10W12L20W03L00D10W10WA·STR21/09A·KJE24/09H·VIK27/09A·ROS05/10H·BOD18/10H·KFU25/10A·TRO02/11H·FRE08/11A·BRY23/11H·MOL30/11← EliteserienNM Cupen →
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.770.800.730.800.80
vs Stronger (7)0.711.140.601.201.001.00
vs Similar (21)0.900.671.000.440.830.83
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Lillestrom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lillestrom over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lillestrom over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lillestrom over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sarpsborg 08 FF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sarpsborg 08 FF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sarpsborg 08 FF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LillestromLillestrom

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W31W10W21W30W30W21W11D00D20WA·SOG13/09H·MJO20/09A·SAN24/09A·MOS29/09H·HOD04/10H·LYN17/10A·ODD22/10H·RAN25/10A·KON01/11H·STA08/11← 1. DivisionNM Cupen →
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.630.371.500.381.790.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.450.181.620.251.000.00
vs Weaker (19)1.740.471.380.502.000.45
Clean sheet %67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Sarpsborg 08 FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L13L20W22D13L01L01L02L20W00DA·STR21/09A·KJE24/09H·VIK27/09A·ROS05/10H·BOD18/10H·KFU25/10A·TRO02/11H·FRE08/11A·BRY23/11H·MOL30/11← EliteserienNM Cupen →
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.970.870.801.001.13
vs Stronger (7)1.001.001.001.201.000.50
vs Similar (21)0.760.900.560.670.921.08
vs Weaker (2)2.501.503.000.002.003.00
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Lillestrom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lillestrom over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lillestrom over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lillestrom over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sarpsborg 08 FF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sarpsborg 08 FF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sarpsborg 08 FF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.594.1%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals93.1%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals92.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.592.3%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap90.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 6.587.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls85.8%--------
Over 2.5 cards84.0%--------
Home or Away80.7%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals80.3%-------✗ Miss
Draw or Away79.4%-------✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap79.4%-------✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals78.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.577.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.576.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls74.1%--------
Away under 3.5 goals73.7%-------✓ Hit
Away over 1.5 goals73.2%-------✗ Miss
BTTS Yes73.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Lillestrom · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Thomas Lehne Olsen25%
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim24%
Felix Vá22%
Markus Karlsbakk20%
Fredrik Gulbrandsen17%
Salieu Drammeh17%
Lars Ranger12%
Camil Jebara9%
Karl Linus Alperud9%
Kparobo Arierhi9%
Ulrik Jenssen0%
Pontus Dahlberg0%
Ruben Gabrielsen0%
Ylldren Ibrahimaj0%
Kevin Martin Krygard0%
Sander Moen Foss0%
Espen Bjørnsen Garnås0%
Eric Kitolano0%
Sturla Ottesen0%
Yaw Paintsil0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Frederik Elkær0%
Stian Kristiansen0%
Harald Woxen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ylldren Ibrahimaj35%
Harald Woxen27%
Stian Kristiansen25%
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim24%
Frederik Elkær20%
Fredrik Gulbrandsen17%
Markus Karlsbakk13%
Kevin Martin Krygard12%
Lars Ranger12%
Pontus Dahlberg11%
Sander Moen Foss11%
Ulrik Jenssen10%
Camil Jebara9%
Yaw Paintsil8%
Ruben Gabrielsen7%
Felix Vá6%
Thomas Lehne Olsen0%
Espen Bjørnsen Garnås0%
Eric Kitolano0%
Sturla Ottesen0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Salieu Drammeh0%
Karl Linus Alperud0%
Kparobo Arierhi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Felix Vá22%
Fredrik Gulbrandsen17%
Ylldren Ibrahimaj12%
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim12%
Frederik Elkær10%
Thomas Lehne Olsen8%
Yaw Paintsil8%
Salieu Drammeh8%
Lars Ranger6%
Ulrik Jenssen0%
Pontus Dahlberg0%
Ruben Gabrielsen0%
Kevin Martin Krygard0%
Markus Karlsbakk0%
Sander Moen Foss0%
Espen Bjørnsen Garnås0%
Eric Kitolano0%
Sturla Ottesen0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Camil Jebara0%
Stian Kristiansen0%
Karl Linus Alperud0%
Harald Woxen0%
Kparobo Arierhi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Thomas Lehne Olsen33%
Salieu Drammeh17%
Markus Karlsbakk13%
Lars Ranger6%
Felix Vá6%
Fredrik Gulbrandsen0%
Ulrik Jenssen0%
Pontus Dahlberg0%
Ruben Gabrielsen0%
Ylldren Ibrahimaj0%
Kevin Martin Krygard0%
Sander Moen Foss0%
Espen Bjørnsen Garnås0%
Eric Kitolano0%
Sturla Ottesen0%
Yaw Paintsil0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Frederik Elkær0%
Camil Jebara0%
Stian Kristiansen0%
Karl Linus Alperud0%
Harald Woxen0%
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim0%
Kparobo Arierhi0%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Daniel Karlsbakk46%
Frederik Carstensen44%
Jo Inge Berget23%
Sondre Sörli21%
Sveinn Aron Guðjohnsen16%
Sondre Ørjasæter14%
Harald Tangen10%
Michael Opoku9%
Daniel Job9%
Peter Reinhardsen9%
Franklin Tebo6%
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen4%
Sander Christiansen4%
Anders Trondsen0%
Bjorn Utvik0%
Menno Koch0%
Niklas Sandberg0%
Mohanad Jeahze0%
Aimar Sher0%
Magnar Odegaard0%
Eirik Wichne0%
Alagie Sanyang0%
Mike Vestergård0%
Heine Gikling Bruseth0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Anders Hiim0%
Martin Haheim-Elveseter0%
Nikolai Skuseth0%
Mamour Ndiaye0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Niklas Sandberg27%
Heine Gikling Bruseth25%
Menno Koch21%
Martin Haheim-Elveseter17%
Eirik Wichne14%
Daniel Karlsbakk14%
Jo Inge Berget14%
Peter Reinhardsen13%
Mike Vestergård12%
Franklin Tebo12%
Andreas Hansen12%
Sander Christiansen11%
Mohanad Jeahze11%
Alagie Sanyang11%
Bjorn Utvik8%
Magnar Odegaard7%
Sondre Ørjasæter7%
Mamour Ndiaye7%
Harald Tangen5%
Anders Trondsen0%
Sondre Sörli0%
Aimar Sher0%
Sveinn Aron Guðjohnsen0%
Frederik Carstensen0%
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen0%
Anders Hiim0%
Nikolai Skuseth0%
Michael Opoku0%
Daniel Job0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Niklas Sandberg27%
Anders Trondsen14%
Sondre Sörli14%
Sondre Ørjasæter14%
Eirik Wichne11%
Michael Opoku9%
Daniel Job9%
Menno Koch7%
Mohanad Jeahze5%
Aimar Sher5%
Alagie Sanyang5%
Harald Tangen5%
Jo Inge Berget5%
Peter Reinhardsen4%
Daniel Karlsbakk4%
Bjorn Utvik0%
Magnar Odegaard0%
Sveinn Aron Guðjohnsen0%
Mike Vestergård0%
Sander Christiansen0%
Frederik Carstensen0%
Franklin Tebo0%
Heine Gikling Bruseth0%
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Anders Hiim0%
Martin Haheim-Elveseter0%
Nikolai Skuseth0%
Mamour Ndiaye0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Daniel Karlsbakk39%
Sondre Ørjasæter36%
Aimar Sher11%
Alagie Sanyang11%
Jo Inge Berget9%
Michael Opoku9%
Sondre Sörli7%
Harald Tangen5%
Eirik Wichne4%
Anders Trondsen0%
Bjorn Utvik0%
Menno Koch0%
Niklas Sandberg0%
Mohanad Jeahze0%
Magnar Odegaard0%
Sveinn Aron Guðjohnsen0%
Peter Reinhardsen0%
Mike Vestergård0%
Sander Christiansen0%
Frederik Carstensen0%
Franklin Tebo0%
Heine Gikling Bruseth0%
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Anders Hiim0%
Martin Haheim-Elveseter0%
Nikolai Skuseth0%
Mamour Ndiaye0%
Daniel Job0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (24)
€75m
VIK (27)
€47m
MOL (26)
€35m
BRA (25)
€27m
ROS (23)
€23m
S0F (24)
€16m
VAL (22)
€16m
FRE (25)
€15m
TRO (22)
€15m
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
KB (21)
€13m
SAN (23)
€12m
HAM (24)
€10m
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
HAU (24)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
STR (22)
€7m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
STR (19)
€2m
Lillestrom's squad is €2m less valuable than Sarpsborg 08 FF's (€14m vs €16m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€22m
VIK (10)
€21m
MOL (7)
€13m
BRA (10)
€11m
ROS (8)
€10m
S0F (10)
€9m
LIL (9)
€6m
VAL (7)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
SAN (8)
€4m
TRO (6)
€4m
HAM (10)
€4m
STR (9)
€3m
HAU (8)
€3m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
KO (8)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
STR (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Lillestrom's attack is €3m less valuable than Sarpsborg 08 FF's (€6m vs €9m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€27m
VIK (5)
€12m
MOL (8)
€7m
BRA (4)
€7m
VAL (6)
€5m
KB (6)
€4m
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
ROS (4)
€3m
S0F (5)
€3m
STA (8)
€3m
HAM (6)
€3m
TRO (5)
€3m
OB (7)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
SAN (4)
€2m
KO (5)
€2m
HAU (6)
€2m
STR (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
STR (4)
€0m
Lillestrom and Sarpsborg 08 FF have a similar midfield value (both €4m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (10)
€26m
VIK (12)
€15m
MOL (11)
€15m
ROS (11)
€9m
BRA (11)
€9m
TRO (11)
€8m
FRE (16)
€8m
VAL (9)
€5m
SAN (11)
€5m
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
S0F (9)
€4m
HAM (8)
€4m
KO (11)
€4m
HAU (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
STR (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
STR (10)
€1m
Lillestrom's defence is €1m more valuable than Sarpsborg 08 FF's (€5m vs €4m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
2
LIL wins
1
Draws
3
S0F wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lillestrom vs Sarpsborg 08 FF · H/A from LIL
DateH/AGameScore
28/07/24HLIL Vs Sarpsborg 08 FF2-2
05/05/24ASarpsborg 08 FF Vs LIL1-0
17/09/23ASarpsborg 08 FF Vs LIL3-1
16/05/23HLIL Vs Sarpsborg 08 FF1-2
31/07/22ASarpsborg 08 FF Vs LIL0-2
16/05/22HLIL Vs Sarpsborg 08 FF1-0

LillestromLillestrom

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/11/25HLIL Vs Stabaek3-0
01/11/25AKongsvinger Vs LIL0-2
25/10/25HLIL Vs Ranheim2-1
22/10/25AODD Ballklubb Vs LIL1-7
17/10/25HLIL Vs Lyn5-1
04/10/25HLIL Vs hodd4-0
29/09/25AMoss Vs LIL1-5
24/09/25ASandnes ULF Vs LIL1-2
20/09/25HLIL Vs Mjondalen4-1
13/09/25ASogndal Vs LIL1-5

Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/11/25HS0F Vs Molde1-0
23/11/25ABryne Vs S0F0-3
08/11/25HS0F Vs Fredrikstad0-2
02/11/25ATromso Vs S0F4-0
25/10/25HS0F Vs KFUM Oslo2-1
18/10/25HS0F Vs Bodo/Glimt2-5
05/10/25ARosenborg Vs S0F2-3
27/09/25HS0F Vs Viking3-3
24/09/25AKjelsås Vs S0F4-4
21/09/25AStromsgodset Vs S0F2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lillestrom
Lillestrom
Norway: NM Cupen
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW2.14
HomeWWWWW2.17
AwayWWWWW2.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %66%67%65%
AVG goals3.402.963.81
Over 1.5 %90%83%96%
Over 2.5 %68%62%73%
Over 3.5 %38%29%46%
Scored2.382.122.62
Conceded1.020.831.19
BTTS52%46%58%
Clean Sheet40%46%35%
Corners8.709.408.00
Cards4.004.004.00
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Norway: NM Cupen
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWW1.48
HomeDLWLW1.30
AwayLDWLW1.63
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%35%44%
AVG goals3.343.133.52
Over 1.5 %86%78%93%
Over 2.5 %66%61%70%
Over 3.5 %48%43%52%
Scored1.741.521.93
Conceded1.601.611.59
BTTS66%65%67%
Clean Sheet18%13%22%
Corners11.5611.0012.09
Cards3.443.373.50

🏆 17. League Table

Lillestrom plays in Norway - 1. Division
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LillestromLillestrom3080
83%
2.7
8718+69
3.5
87%
73%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
6452.90.6
-
2EgersundEgersund3256
50%
1.8
5541+14
3.0
81%
47%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.71.3
-
3StartStart3055
53%
1.8
5835+23
3.1
90%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.91.2
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3155
48%
1.8
6546+19
3.6
94%
74%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.11.5
-
5AalesundAalesund3254
44%
1.7
6140+21
3.2
81%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5441.91.2
-
6RanheimRanheim3148
45%
1.5
5051-1
3.3
87%
71%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.6
-
7LynLyn3047
47%
1.6
4837+11
2.8
77%
60%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.61.2
-
8SogndalSogndal3043
40%
1.4
4948+1
3.2
87%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.6
-
9ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb3033
27%
1.1
3750-13
2.9
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.21.7
-
10hoddhodd3033
27%
1.1
3452-18
2.9
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.7
-
11StabaekStabaek3031
23%
1.0
4553-8
3.3
90%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5231.51.8
-
12AsaneAsane3031
23%
1.0
3853-15
3.0
90%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.31.8
-
13MossMoss3231
25%
1.0
4468-24
3.5
97%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.42.1
-
14RaufossRaufoss3030
23%
1.0
4356-13
3.3
83%
67%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.41.9
-
15MjondalenMjondalen3025
20%
0.8
3671-35
3.6
87%
67%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
16SkeidSkeid3015
7%
0.5
3566-31
3.4
93%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.2
-
17BrattvågBrattvåg49
75%
2.2
74+3
2.8
100%
75%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
18GrorudGrorud20
0%
0.0
14-3
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.0
-
Norway: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →
Sarpsborg 08 FF plays in Norway - Eliteserien
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VikingViking3071
73%
2.4
7736+41
3.8
80%
77%
57%
11.9
63%
3.9
55%
24.4
60%
47
2112152.61.2
51%
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt3070
73%
2.3
8528+57
3.8
90%
73%
47%
10.9
66%
2.7
31%
18.0
23%
75
2227262.80.9
64%
3TromsoTromso3057
60%
1.9
5036+14
2.9
67%
53%
43%
8.5
37%
3.7
57%
23.8
63%
15
4381.71.2
50%
4BrannBrann3056
57%
1.9
5546+9
3.4
90%
77%
43%
11.0
73%
4.4
59%
24.3
67%
27
11791.81.5
62%
5SandefjordSandefjord3048
50%
1.6
5542+13
3.2
83%
67%
43%
10.6
57%
3.8
52%
26.0
73%
12
4251.81.4
53%
6RosenborgRosenborg3042
37%
1.4
4542+3
2.9
80%
50%
37%
10.6
60%
4.2
57%
24.0
67%
23
10391.51.4
53%
7FredrikstadFredrikstad3042
37%
1.4
3835+3
2.4
67%
40%
23%
10.1
67%
3.0
31%
20.7
37%
15
5381.31.2
46%
8Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF3041
37%
1.4
4850-2
3.3
83%
67%
50%
11.8
63%
3.2
46%
22.9
53%
16
9341.61.7
48%
9ValerengaValerenga2940
41%
1.4
4650-4
3.3
86%
59%
38%
11.2
69%
4.3
67%
25.6
79%
16
6551.61.7
48%
10MoldeMolde3039
40%
1.3
4642+4
2.9
73%
60%
37%
10.1
53%
4.1
55%
22.0
57%
35
137151.51.4
55%
11Ham-KamHam-Kam3037
33%
1.2
4247-5
3.0
87%
63%
37%
11.0
60%
2.8
33%
22.4
50%
10
4341.41.6
42%
12KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo3035
27%
1.2
4241+1
2.8
83%
50%
37%
8.9
38%
3.6
48%
21.7
57%
8
3241.41.4
50%
13BryneBryne3234
28%
1.1
3860-22
3.1
81%
56%
41%
9.7
41%
3.1
39%
23.1
53%
6
2121.21.9
46%
14Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2934
31%
1.2
3456-22
3.1
79%
59%
41%
10.1
59%
3.6
52%
20.9
45%
13
5431.21.9
43%
15StromsgodsetStromsgodset3020
20%
0.7
3772-35
3.6
93%
80%
43%
12.8
67%
3.1
30%
20.3
40%
7
3221.22.4
46%
16HaugesundHaugesund309
7%
0.3
2280-58
3.4
87%
67%
53%
11.0
60%
3.1
41%
23.1
60%
9
3240.72.7
44%
17AalesundAalesund23
50%
1.5
41+3
2.5
50%
50%
50%
8.0
0%
2.5
50%
25.0
50%
13
5442.00.5
36%
Norway: Eliteserien 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: Eliteserien stats & trends →

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