Linfield vs Coleraine FC Result & Analysis

The contest between Linfield and Coleraine FC is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win. Home and away win probabilities sit at 35% and 36%, respectively, while a draw is 29%. The expected total of 2.6 goals points to a modestly open game, with the most likely total being two goals at 27%. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, carrying a 13.9% chance. Linfield, at home against a similarly-strengthened opponent, averages 0.67 goals scored and 1.5 conceded, whereas Coleraine, on the road, averages 1.8 scored and 0.6 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 3.5 with a 74.3% probability and Over 1.5 with a 73.9% probability. The match remains finely balanced, with both sides capable of breaking the deadlock.

The 0-0 draw stunned the pre-match favourite, the model’s pick of an away win at 36% probability, which proved wrong. Linfield, riding a three-game winning streak, could not break the deadlock, while Coleraine FC, on a two-game winning run, failed to secure the win. The model’s suggested Under 3.5, at 74.3%, hit, whereas Over 1.5, at 73.9%, missed. The final score of 0-0 produced a draw, matching the actual result. The most likely scoreline of 1-1, with a 13.9% chance, was not reached, and the expected total of 2.6 goals was not achieved. The model’s call was incorrect.