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Linfield vs Glentoran Result & Analysis

Date: 04/10/2024
Time: 18:45
Final 1-3
Linfield
Linfield
Vs
57%
25%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Glentoran
Glentoran
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Linfield win✗ Miss
56.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Glentoran win✓ Hit
18.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

LinfieldLinfield

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-532W20W31W30W51W22D01L00D10W30WH·STJ18/07A·BAL10/08H·DUN17/08A·GLE20/08H·LOU24/08A·POR30/08H·LAR14/09A·CLI17/09H·CAR21/09A·COL28/09
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.870.872.140.861.620.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.291.001.571.141.000.86
vs Weaker (16)2.380.752.710.572.110.89
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Glentoran) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GlentoranGlentoran

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L21W00D32W10W01L01L20W02L00DH·CRU09/08A·POR17/08H·COL20/08A·CAR23/08H·CLI31/08A·DUN07/09A·BAL14/09H·LOU17/09A·LAR20/09H·GLE28/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.171.940.941.071.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.191.381.560.890.712.00
vs Weaker (14)1.930.932.431.001.430.86
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Linfield) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.0%
Under 1.5
23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.7%
Under 2.5
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.5%
Under 3.5
70.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.8%
No
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
1-0
10.6%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.5%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
Linfield goals ↓
Glentoran goals →
01234
07.5%4.9%2.8%0.9%0.2%
111%12%5.1%1.6%0.4%
211%9.8%4.6%1.4%0.3%
36.4%5.9%2.8%0.9%0.2%
42.9%2.7%1.3%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Linfield goals (down), columns = Glentoran goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Linfield
2.24
Larne
1.66
Cliftonville FC
1.60
Glentoran
1.56
Dungannon Swifts
1.50
Portadown
1.47
Coleraine FC
1.45
Crusaders FC
1.38
Ballymena United
1.24
Glenavon FC
1.21
Carrick Rangers
0.95
Loughgall
0.58
Annagh United
0.00
Linfield is 0.67 points better than Glentoran in terms of average points per game (2.24 vs 1.56).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Linfield
1.82
Cliftonville FC
1.55
Annagh United
1.50
Coleraine FC
1.40
Dungannon Swifts
1.34
Portadown
1.26
Glentoran
1.26
Ballymena United
1.24
Larne
1.21
Crusaders FC
1.21
Glenavon FC
1.11
Carrick Rangers
1.00
Loughgall
0.95
Linfield is 0.56 goals better than Glentoran in terms of goals scored per game (1.82 vs 1.26).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Linfield
0.74
Larne
0.87
Glentoran
1.00
Cliftonville FC
1.02
Portadown
1.18
Glenavon FC
1.24
Dungannon Swifts
1.26
Coleraine FC
1.30
Crusaders FC
1.38
Ballymena United
1.42
Carrick Rangers
1.55
Loughgall
2.24
Annagh United
4.00
Linfield is 0.26 goals better than Glentoran in terms of goals conceded per game (0.74 vs 1.00).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LinfieldLinfield

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D30W30W40W11D00D00D00D30WH·STJ18/07A·BAL10/08H·DUN17/08A·GLE20/08H·LOU24/08A·POR30/08H·LAR14/09A·CLI17/09H·CAR21/09A·COL28/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.231.070.140.810.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.500.290.430.290.570.29
vs Weaker (16)1.310.191.710.001.000.33
Clean sheet %77% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Glentoran) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GlentoranGlentoran

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W00D21W10W01L00D10W01L00DH·CRU09/08A·POR17/08H·COL20/08A·CAR23/08H·CLI31/08A·DUN07/09A·BAL14/09H·LOU17/09A·LAR20/09H·GLE28/09
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.501.000.440.500.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.500.560.670.440.290.71
vs Weaker (14)1.070.431.430.430.710.43
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Linfield) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Linfield over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Linfield over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Linfield over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glentoran over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glentoran over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glentoran over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LinfieldLinfield

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D20W01L00D11D11D01L00D10W00DH·STJ18/07A·BAL10/08H·DUN17/08A·GLE20/08H·LOU24/08A·POR30/08H·LAR14/09A·CLI17/09H·CAR21/09A·COL28/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.631.070.710.810.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.790.711.140.860.430.57
vs Weaker (16)1.060.561.000.571.110.56
Clean sheet %50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Glentoran) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GlentoranGlentoran

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D11D00D11D00D00D01L10W01L00DH·CRU09/08A·POR17/08H·COL20/08A·CAR23/08H·CLI31/08A·DUN07/09A·BAL14/09H·LOU17/09A·LAR20/09H·GLE28/09
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.670.940.500.570.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.690.810.890.440.431.29
vs Weaker (14)0.860.501.000.570.710.43
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Linfield) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Linfield over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Linfield over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Linfield over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glentoran over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glentoran over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glentoran over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.570.5%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (23)
€4m
CF (23)
€3m
GLE (24)
€3m
DS (21)
€3m
LIN (17)
€2m
CF (23)
€2m
BU (20)
€2m
CR (20)
€2m
POR (16)
€1m
CF (18)
€1m
GF (13)
€1m
LOU (3)
€0m
Linfield and Glentoran have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (6)
€1m
CF (8)
€1m
CF (10)
€1m
GLE (10)
€1m
CF (5)
€1m
POR (6)
€1m
BU (3)
€1m
DS (6)
€0m
LIN (4)
€0m
CR (6)
€0m
GF (3)
€0m
LOU (1)
€0m
Linfield and Glentoran have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (7)
€1m
DS (7)
€1m
BU (8)
€1m
CF (5)
€1m
GLE (5)
€1m
LIN (6)
€1m
CR (6)
€1m
CF (4)
€1m
CF (6)
€0m
POR (3)
€0m
GF (1)
€0m
LOU (0)
€0m
Linfield and Glentoran have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (10)
€2m
DS (8)
€1m
GLE (9)
€1m
LIN (7)
€1m
CF (10)
€1m
BU (9)
€1m
CF (9)
€1m
POR (7)
€1m
CR (8)
€1m
GF (9)
€1m
CF (7)
€1m
LOU (2)
€0m
Linfield and Glentoran have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
LIN wins
2
Draws
3
GLE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Linfield vs Glentoran · H/A from LIN
DateH/AGameScore
06/04/24AGlentoran Vs LIN0-0
26/12/23HLIN Vs Glentoran2-0
01/12/23AGlentoran Vs LIN4-0
06/10/23HLIN Vs Glentoran2-0
12/04/23HLIN Vs Glentoran1-1
14/02/23AGlentoran Vs LIN3-0
26/12/22AGlentoran Vs LIN1-2
14/10/22HLIN Vs Glentoran0-3

LinfieldLinfield

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/24AColeraine FC Vs LIN0-3
21/09/24HLIN Vs Carrick Rangers1-0
17/09/24ACliftonville FC Vs LIN0-0
14/09/24HLIN Vs Larne0-1
30/08/24APortadown Vs LIN2-2
24/08/24HLIN Vs Loughgall5-1
20/08/24AGlenavon FC Vs LIN0-3
17/08/24HLIN Vs Dungannon Swifts3-1
10/08/24ABallymena United Vs LIN0-2
18/07/24HLIN Vs Stjarnan3-2

GlentoranGlentoran

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/24HGLE Vs Glenavon FC0-0
20/09/24ALarne Vs GLE2-0
17/09/24HGLE Vs Loughgall2-0
14/09/24ABallymena United Vs GLE1-0
07/09/24ADungannon Swifts Vs GLE1-0
31/08/24HGLE Vs Cliftonville FC1-0
23/08/24ACarrick Rangers Vs GLE2-3
20/08/24HGLE Vs Coleraine FC0-0
17/08/24APortadown Vs GLE1-2
09/08/24HGLE Vs Crusaders FC0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Linfield
Linfield
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDWW2.16
HomeWWWLW2.29
AwayWWDDW2.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %66%71%62%
AVG goals3.163.672.69
Over 1.5 %84%88%81%
Over 2.5 %60%62%58%
Over 3.5 %36%46%27%
Scored2.122.621.65
Conceded1.041.041.04
BTTS50%62%38%
Clean Sheet40%33%46%
Corners13.00-13.00
Cards---
Glentoran
Glentoran
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLD1.50
HomeLDWWD1.63
AwayWWLLL1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%44%39%
AVG goals2.763.072.39
Over 1.5 %72%70%74%
Over 2.5 %56%63%48%
Over 3.5 %30%44%13%
Scored1.662.111.13
Conceded1.100.961.26
BTTS40%37%43%
Clean Sheet40%52%26%
Corners---
Cards7.007.00-

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LinfieldLinfield3885
71%
2.2
6928+41
2.6
71%
55%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.80.7
-
2Cliftonville FCCliftonville FC4064
48%
1.6
6241+21
2.6
78%
45%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.61.0
-
3LarneLarne3863
45%
1.7
4633+13
2.1
66%
34%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.20.9
-
4GlentoranGlentoran3961
44%
1.6
4939+10
2.3
67%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.0
-
5Coleraine FCColeraine FC4058
40%
1.4
5652+4
2.7
80%
55%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.3
-
6Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts3857
45%
1.5
5148+3
2.6
71%
42%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0111.31.3
-
7PortadownPortadown3856
42%
1.5
4845+3
2.4
76%
42%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.31.2
-
8Crusaders FCCrusaders FC3954
41%
1.4
4754-7
2.6
67%
51%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.21.4
-
9Ballymena UnitedBallymena United3847
37%
1.2
4754-7
2.7
66%
47%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.4
-
10Glenavon FCGlenavon FC3846
32%
1.2
4247-5
2.3
71%
37%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.2
-
11Carrick RangersCarrick Rangers4038
22%
0.9
4062-22
2.5
70%
55%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.6
-
12LoughgallLoughgall3822
13%
0.6
3685-49
3.2
82%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.2
-
13Annagh UnitedAnnagh United20
0%
0.0
38-5
5.5
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.54.0
-
Northern-Ireland: Premiership 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Premiership stats & trends →

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