Liptovský Mikuláš is expected to emerge victorious in this match against Lokomotíva Zvolen, with a 52% chance of winning. The overall shape of the match is likely to be a closely contested draw, with a 28% probability of a draw. Lokomotíva Zvolen's chances of winning are relatively low at 20%. The expected total number of goals in this match is 2.4, suggesting a relatively low-scoring game.
The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, occurring 13.1% of the time. Liptovský Mikuláš has been scoring an average of 1.9 goals per game at home, while conceding 1.2 goals. Lokomotíva Zvolen, on the other hand, has been scoring 0.92 goals away from home, while conceding 1.08 goals.
The model's selection is Home win, with the suggested picks including Under 3.5 (76.9%), Over 1.5 (71.4%), and no other selections. Liptovský Mikuláš has a 52% chance of winning, a 28% chance of drawing, and a 20% chance of losing.
Results analysis
The draw between Liptovský Mikuláš and Lokomotíva Zvolen has extended the home team's run of consecutive draws to four. This result is a surprise, given that the home win was the pre-match favourite, with a 54% probability of occurring. Unfortunately for the model, this selection was wrong. The model's selection, Liptovský Mikuláš to win, was not the correct outcome. However, the model did correctly predict that the game would be a draw or a low-scoring affair, as the suggested pick "Over 1.5" hit, with a 72.2% probability. Another suggested pick, "Under 3.5", missed, with a 76% probability. The final score was 2-2, a score that was among the model's most likely outcomes, with a 12.9% probability.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Liptovský Mikuláš win✗ Miss
53.8%
Avg Implied 56.3% · @ 1.61
Edge
-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.80
Unibet
1.73
Bet365
1.65
Dafabet
1.62
Betano
1.62
Draw✓ Hit
27.2%
Avg Implied 24.5% · @ 3.70
Edge
+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.95
Pinnacle
3.93
Bet365
3.90
Betfair
3.80
BetVictor
3.80
Lokomotíva Zvolen win✗ Miss
19.0%
Avg Implied 19.3% · @ 4.70
Edge
-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
5.07
Dafabet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
5.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Liptovský Mikuláš
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
1.37
1.92
0.83
1.78
1.72
vs Stronger (11)
2.27
0.91
2.00
0.00
2.43
1.43
vs Similar (19)
1.58
1.63
1.88
1.25
1.36
1.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotíva Zvolen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotíva Zvolen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.20
1.43
1.36
1.25
1.06
vs Stronger (8)
1.50
1.38
1.60
1.20
1.33
1.67
vs Similar (21)
1.33
1.14
1.33
1.44
1.33
0.92
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Liptovský Mikuláš) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.2%
@ 1.22-2.9%
Under 1.5
27.8%
@ 3.67+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Betano
1.24
Betfair
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Under
Betfair
4.10
1xBet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.90
10Bet
3.70
Superbet
3.55
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.3%
@ 1.74-7.9%
Under 2.5
54.7%
@ 1.98+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.82
10Bet
1.77
Superbet
1.75
Betano
1.75
Bet365
1.75
Under
Pinnacle
2.09
BetVictor
2.05
Bet365
2.05
1xBet
2.01
Marathonbet
2.01
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.0%
@ 2.80-8.7%
Under 3.5
76.0%
@ 1.36+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.00
10Bet
2.95
Betfair
2.88
Superbet
2.77
Pinnacle
2.74
Under
Pinnacle
1.41
Betfair
1.40
10Bet
1.36
Betano
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.8%
@ 1.72-5.4%
No
52.2%
@ 1.95+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.80
10Bet
1.75
Betano
1.72
Unibet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
No
Superbet
2.02
BetVictor
2.00
William Hil
2.00
1xBet
1.98
Betfair
1.95
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%@ 6.44+6.4%
1-0
12.3%@ 6.69+6.0%
2-0
10.9%@ 7.21+5.1%
0-0
9.5%@ 10.79+5.6%
2-1
9.5%@ 7.14+3.6%
0-1
6.1%@ 11.97+2.6%
3-0
5.9%@ 10.94+2.0%
3-1
5.1%@ 11.30+1.4%
Liptovský Mikuláš goals ↓
Lokomotíva Zvolen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.5%
6.1%
3.1%
0.9%
0.2%
1
12%
13%
5.1%
1.5%
0.3%
2
11%
9.5%
4.1%
1.2%
0.3%
3
5.9%
5.1%
2.2%
0.6%
0.1%
4
2.4%
2.1%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Liptovský Mikuláš goals (down), columns = Lokomotíva Zvolen goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Petržalka
3.00
Šamorín
2.50
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Žilina II
1.67
Pohronie
1.67
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.67
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.33
Malženice
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Galanta
1.17
Humenné
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
0.83
Slovan Bratislava II
0.83
MFK Bytča
0.50
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.50
Liptovský Mikuláš is 0.83 points better than Lokomotíva Zvolen in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 0.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Petržalka
2.67
Šamorín
2.17
Pohronie
2.00
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.83
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Malženice
1.67
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.67
Inter Bratislava
1.50
Tatran Prešov
1.50
Slovan Bratislava II
1.50
Žilina II
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
0.83
MFK Bytča
0.67
Humenné
0.67
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.67
Galanta
0.67
Liptovský Mikuláš is 1.00 goals better than Lokomotíva Zvolen in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 0.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Petržalka
0.33
Šamorín
1.00
Žilina II
1.00
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
1.17
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.33
Humenné
1.50
Galanta
1.50
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Malženice
1.67
Pohronie
1.67
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Slovan Bratislava II
1.67
MFK Bytča
3.17
Liptovský Mikuláš is 0.17 goals better than Lokomotíva Zvolen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.17).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Liptovský Mikuláš
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.57
0.58
0.33
0.83
0.72
vs Stronger (11)
0.91
0.45
0.75
0.00
1.00
0.71
vs Similar (19)
0.63
0.63
0.50
0.50
0.73
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotíva Zvolen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotíva Zvolen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.43
0.57
0.43
0.62
0.44
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
0.25
0.40
0.20
1.00
0.33
vs Similar (21)
0.62
0.48
0.67
0.56
0.58
0.42
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Liptovský Mikuláš) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotíva Zvolen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotíva Zvolen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotíva Zvolen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Liptovský Mikuláš
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.80
1.33
0.50
0.94
1.00
vs Stronger (11)
1.36
0.45
1.25
0.00
1.43
0.71
vs Similar (19)
0.95
1.00
1.38
0.75
0.64
1.18
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotíva Zvolen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotíva Zvolen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.77
0.86
0.93
0.62
0.62
vs Stronger (8)
0.88
1.12
1.20
1.00
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (21)
0.71
0.67
0.67
0.89
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Liptovský Mikuláš) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotíva Zvolen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotíva Zvolen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotíva Zvolen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
76.0%
1.36
Pinnacle
1.41
Betfair
1.40
10Bet
1.36
Betano
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
+8.7%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
72.2%
1.22
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Betano
1.24
Betfair
1.22
Superbet
1.21
-2.9%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LZ (16)
€1m
ZM (14)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
BLP (20)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
IB (18)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
Liptovský Mikuláš and Lokomotíva Zvolen have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
BLP (6)
€0m
IB (5)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
LZ (3)
€0m
Liptovský Mikuláš and Lokomotíva Zvolen have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŠAM (6)
€1m
LZ (3)
€0m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
BLP (3)
€0m
IB (4)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Liptovský Mikuláš and Lokomotíva Zvolen have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
LZ (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
BLP (11)
€0m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
IB (9)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Liptovský Mikuláš and Lokomotíva Zvolen have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Slovakia: 2. liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Petržalka
Šamorín
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Pohronie
Považská Bystrica
Žilina II
Tatran Prešov
Inter Bratislava
Malženice
Galanta
Humenné
Slovan Bratislava II
Zlaté Moravce
MFK Bytča