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Liptovský Mikuláš vs Petržalka Result & Analysis

Date: 28/04/2024
Time: 12:00
Final 2-4
Liptovský Mikuláš
Liptovský Mikuláš
Vs
32%
24%
44%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Petržalka
Petržalka
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liptovský Mikuláš win✗ Miss
32.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Petržalka win✓ Hit
43.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L02L52W52W31W11D21W12L13L12LH·TAT19/11H·KOM02/03H·ŽIL09/03H·POH16/03H·SLO24/03H·SPA30/03H·ŠAM07/04H·POV13/04H·PÚC20/04H·SLA24/04
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.702.001.691.291.71
vs Stronger (12)1.331.751.501.831.171.67
vs Similar (17)1.821.532.431.571.401.50
vs Weaker (1)1.004.00--1.004.00
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Petržalka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetržalkaPetržalka

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-551W22D00D12L42W21W21W40W20W20WH·SLO19/11A·SPA01/03H·ŠAM10/03A·POV16/03H·PÚC24/03A·SLA29/03A·MAL07/04H·DOL14/04A·HUM20/04H·SPI24/04
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.072.071.001.801.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.931.112.071.001.791.21
vs Weaker (2)2.000.502.001.002.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Liptovský Mikuláš) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%119%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.4%
Under 1.5
12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
68.1%
Under 2.5
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
46.5%
Under 3.5
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
69.0%
No
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
7.0%
1-3
5.5%
0-2
5.4%
0-1
4.8%
2-3
4.4%
Liptovský Mikuláš goals ↓
Petržalka goals →
01234
03.9%4.8%5.4%3.4%1.6%
13.9%10%8.7%5.5%2.6%
23.9%7.4%7.0%4.4%2.1%
32.1%4.0%3.8%2.4%1.1%
40.9%1.6%1.5%1.0%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Liptovský Mikuláš goals (down), columns = Petržalka goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Komárno
2.23
Petržalka
2.13
Tatran Prešov
2.00
Humenné
1.67
Púchov
1.57
Považská Bystrica
1.57
Spartak Myjava
1.47
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.40
Žilina II
1.33
Pohronie
1.30
Šamorín
1.27
Slovan Bratislava II
1.20
Slavoj Trebišov
1.17
Malženice
0.93
Dolný Kubín
0.67
Spišská Nová Ves
0.43
Liptovský Mikuláš is 0.73 points worse than Petržalka in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 2.13).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Komárno
2.13
Petržalka
2.13
Žilina II
1.90
Púchov
1.80
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.77
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Šamorín
1.63
Považská Bystrica
1.60
Slovan Bratislava II
1.53
Pohronie
1.47
Humenné
1.43
Spartak Myjava
1.40
Malženice
1.20
Slavoj Trebišov
1.13
Dolný Kubín
0.90
Spišská Nová Ves
0.73
Liptovský Mikuláš is 0.37 goals worse than Petržalka in terms of goals scored per game (1.77 vs 2.13).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tatran Prešov
0.77
Komárno
0.93
Petržalka
0.97
Humenné
1.07
Považská Bystrica
1.27
Spartak Myjava
1.40
Malženice
1.60
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.60
Púchov
1.63
Pohronie
1.67
Slavoj Trebišov
1.67
Slovan Bratislava II
1.83
Spišská Nová Ves
1.83
Šamorín
1.87
Žilina II
2.07
Dolný Kubín
2.27
Liptovský Mikuláš is 0.63 goals worse than Petržalka in terms of goals conceded per game (1.60 vs 0.97).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L02L41W31W10W11D10W01L12L00DH·TAT19/11H·KOM02/03H·ŽIL09/03H·POH16/03H·SLO24/03H·SPA30/03H·ŠAM07/04H·POV13/04H·PÚC20/04H·SLA24/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.831.230.920.820.76
vs Stronger (12)0.921.081.171.330.670.83
vs Similar (17)1.120.651.290.571.000.70
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Petržalka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetržalkaPetržalka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W01L00D02L21W11D11D30W10W20WH·SLO19/11A·SPA01/03H·ŠAM10/03A·POV16/03H·PÚC24/03A·SLA29/03A·MAL07/04H·DOL14/04A·HUM20/04H·SPI24/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.571.200.470.870.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.070.611.290.500.860.71
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Liptovský Mikuláš) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D11D21W21W00D11D11D01L12LH·TAT19/11H·KOM02/03H·ŽIL09/03H·POH16/03H·SLO24/03H·SPA30/03H·ŠAM07/04H·POV13/04H·PÚC20/04H·SLA24/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.870.770.770.470.94
vs Stronger (12)0.420.670.330.500.500.83
vs Similar (17)0.710.881.141.000.400.80
vs Weaker (1)1.003.00--1.003.00
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Petržalka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetržalkaPetržalka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W21W00D10W21W10W10W10W10W00DH·SLO19/11A·SPA01/03H·ŠAM10/03A·POV16/03H·PÚC24/03A·SLA29/03A·MAL07/04H·DOL14/04A·HUM20/04H·SPI24/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.500.870.530.930.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.860.500.790.500.930.50
vs Weaker (2)1.500.502.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Liptovský Mikuláš) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (24)
€3m
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
Liptovský Mikuláš and Petržalka have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (10)
€1m
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
Liptovský Mikuláš and Petržalka have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (5)
€1m
ŠAM (6)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Liptovský Mikuláš and Petržalka have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (9)
€1m
PET (8)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Liptovský Mikuláš and Petržalka have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
LM wins
0
Draws
1
PET wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Liptovský Mikuláš vs Petržalka · H/A from LM
DateH/AGameScore
15/10/23APetržalka Vs LM2-1

Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/04/24HLM Vs Slavoj Trebišov1-2
20/04/24HLM Vs Púchov1-3
13/04/24HLM Vs Považská Bystrica1-2
07/04/24HLM Vs Šamorín2-1
30/03/24HLM Vs Spartak Myjava1-1
24/03/24HLM Vs Slovan Bratislava II3-1
16/03/24HLM Vs Pohronie5-2
09/03/24HLM Vs Žilina II5-2
02/03/24HLM Vs Komárno0-2
19/11/23HLM Vs Tatran Prešov0-2

PetržalkaPetržalka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/04/24HPET Vs Spišská Nová Ves2-0
20/04/24AHumenné Vs PET0-2
14/04/24HPET Vs Dolný Kubín4-0
07/04/24AMalženice Vs PET1-2
29/03/24ASlavoj Trebišov Vs PET1-2
24/03/24HPET Vs Púchov4-2
16/03/24APovažská Bystrica Vs PET2-1
10/03/24HPET Vs Šamorín0-0
01/03/24ASpartak Myjava Vs PET2-2
19/11/23HPET Vs Slovan Bratislava II5-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Liptovský Mikuláš
Liptovský Mikuláš
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLL0.96
HomeDWLLL0.96
AwayLLDLW0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%26%26%
AVG goals2.903.132.70
Over 1.5 %82%91%74%
Over 2.5 %58%65%52%
Over 3.5 %28%26%30%
Scored1.201.391.04
Conceded1.701.741.67
BTTS58%74%44%
Clean Sheet14%4%22%
Corners10.3811.009.75
Cards3.753.623.88
Petržalka
Petržalka
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.62
HomeWDWWW1.77
AwayDLWWW1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%50%38%
AVG goals2.842.922.75
Over 1.5 %78%77%79%
Over 2.5 %50%54%46%
Over 3.5 %32%35%29%
Scored1.681.961.38
Conceded1.160.961.38
BTTS48%54%42%
Clean Sheet34%35%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KomárnoKomárno3067
70%
2.2
6428+36
3.1
80%
43%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.10.9
-
2PetržalkaPetržalka3064
63%
2.1
6429+35
3.1
80%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.11.0
-
3Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov3060
60%
2.0
5023+27
2.4
73%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.70.8
-
4HumennéHumenné3050
47%
1.7
4332+11
2.5
63%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
5Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica3047
40%
1.6
4838+10
2.9
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.3
-
6PúchovPúchov3047
47%
1.6
5449+5
3.4
77%
60%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
7Spartak MyjavaSpartak Myjava3044
40%
1.5
4242+0
2.8
87%
67%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
8Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš3042
43%
1.4
5348+5
3.4
87%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.81.6
-
9Žilina IIŽilina II3040
40%
1.3
5762-5
4.0
83%
73%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.92.1
-
10PohroniePohronie3039
37%
1.3
4450-6
3.1
87%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.51.7
-
11ŠamorínŠamorín3038
33%
1.3
4956-7
3.5
87%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.61.9
-
12Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II3036
33%
1.2
4655-9
3.4
77%
67%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.8
-
13Slavoj TrebišovSlavoj Trebišov3035
33%
1.2
3450-16
2.8
80%
60%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
14MalženiceMalženice3028
23%
0.9
3648-12
2.8
80%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.6
-
15Dolný KubínDolný Kubín3020
13%
0.7
2768-41
3.2
87%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.3
-
16Spišská Nová VesSpišská Nová Ves3013
10%
0.4
2255-33
2.6
77%
47%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.8
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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