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Liptovský Mikuláš vs Šamorín Result & Analysis

Date: 09/11/2024
Time: 12:00
Final 3-1
Liptovský Mikuláš
Liptovský Mikuláš
Vs
53%
24%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Šamorín
Šamorín
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liptovský Mikuláš win✓ Hit
53.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Šamorín win✗ Miss
22.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W10W12L12L11D10W10W22D32W02LA·BEL28/08H·ZLA31/08H·TAT21/09A·MFK25/09A·HUM28/09H·POV05/10A·PET12/10A·STA19/10A·ŽIL27/10H·POH02/11
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.901.471.901.431.891.56
vs Stronger (9)1.561.781.431.712.002.00
vs Similar (19)2.161.422.231.382.001.50
vs Weaker (2)1.000.501.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Šamorín) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ŠamorínŠamorín

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L31W21W11D12L13L12L03L12L34LA·MAL01/09H·LOK22/09A·ZLA27/09A·NOV02/10H·PET06/10A·PÚC12/10H·ZEM16/10A·TAT19/10H·HUM27/10A·POV02/11
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.331.931.001.561.62
vs Stronger (6)0.831.671.501.000.502.00
vs Similar (22)2.091.232.090.912.091.55
vs Weaker (2)0.501.501.002.000.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Liptovský Mikuláš) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%317%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.9%
Under 1.5
17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.5%
Under 2.5
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
38.1%
Under 3.5
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.7%
No
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.1%
1-0
7.4%
3-1 ✓
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.4%
Liptovský Mikuláš goals ↓
Šamorín goals →
01234
05.4%4.2%3.2%1.3%0.4%
17.4%11%6.1%2.4%0.7%
28.1%9.8%5.9%2.3%0.7%
35.2%6.3%3.8%1.5%0.5%
42.5%3.0%1.8%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Liptovský Mikuláš goals (down), columns = Šamorín goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Tatran Prešov
2.42
Zlaté Moravce
2.00
Považská Bystrica
1.69
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.65
Púchov
1.50
Petržalka
1.42
Malženice
1.31
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.31
Žilina II
1.19
Šamorín
1.15
Pohronie
1.12
Slovan Bratislava II
1.08
Stará Ľubovňa
0.92
Humenné
0.88
Liptovský Mikuláš is 0.50 points better than Šamorín in terms of average points per game (1.65 vs 1.15).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Tatran Prešov
1.96
Púchov
1.62
Považská Bystrica
1.62
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.62
Zlaté Moravce
1.58
Pohronie
1.42
Malženice
1.27
Slovan Bratislava II
1.27
Petržalka
1.23
Žilina II
1.23
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.15
Šamorín
1.12
Stará Ľubovňa
0.92
Humenné
0.77
Liptovský Mikuláš is 0.50 goals better than Šamorín in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 1.12).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zlaté Moravce
0.69
Tatran Prešov
0.73
Petržalka
1.00
Stará Ľubovňa
1.15
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.19
Považská Bystrica
1.35
Púchov
1.38
Humenné
1.50
Žilina II
1.50
Šamorín
1.54
Malženice
1.54
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.58
Slovan Bratislava II
1.65
Pohronie
1.96
Liptovský Mikuláš is 0.35 goals better than Šamorín in terms of goals conceded per game (1.19 vs 1.54).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W12L01L00D10W10W20W21W00DA·BEL28/08H·ZLA31/08H·TAT21/09A·MFK25/09A·HUM28/09H·POV05/10A·PET12/10A·STA19/10A·ŽIL27/10H·POH02/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.701.240.760.890.56
vs Stronger (9)1.111.221.141.291.001.00
vs Similar (19)1.260.531.380.541.000.50
vs Weaker (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Šamorín) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ŠamorínŠamorín

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D11D10W02L12L01L01L10W22DA·MAL01/09H·LOK22/09A·ZLA27/09A·NOV02/10H·PET06/10A·PÚC12/10H·ZEM16/10A·TAT19/10H·HUM27/10A·POV02/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.570.710.500.810.62
vs Stronger (6)0.500.501.000.500.250.50
vs Similar (22)0.860.640.640.551.090.73
vs Weaker (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Liptovský Mikuláš) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D00D11D11D00D00D02L11D02LA·BEL28/08H·ZLA31/08H·TAT21/09A·MFK25/09A·HUM28/09H·POV05/10A·PET12/10A·STA19/10A·ŽIL27/10H·POH02/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.770.670.671.001.00
vs Stronger (9)0.440.560.290.431.001.00
vs Similar (19)0.890.890.850.851.001.00
vs Weaker (2)1.000.501.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Šamorín) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ŠamorínŠamorín

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L20W10W01L10W01L11D02L02L12LA·MAL01/09H·LOK22/09A·ZLA27/09A·NOV02/10H·PET06/10A·PÚC12/10H·ZEM16/10A·TAT19/10H·HUM27/10A·POV02/11
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.771.210.500.751.00
vs Stronger (6)0.331.170.500.500.251.50
vs Similar (22)1.230.591.450.361.000.82
vs Weaker (2)0.001.500.002.000.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Liptovský Mikuláš) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LZ (16)
€1m
ZM (14)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
Liptovský Mikuláš and Šamorín have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
LZ (3)
€0m
Liptovský Mikuláš and Šamorín have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŠAM (6)
€1m
LZ (3)
€0m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Liptovský Mikuláš and Šamorín have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
LZ (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Liptovský Mikuláš and Šamorín have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
LM wins
1
Draws
1
ŠAM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Liptovský Mikuláš vs Šamorín · H/A from LM
DateH/AGameScore
28/07/24AŠamorín Vs LM1-1
07/04/24HLM Vs Šamorín2-1
17/09/23AŠamorín Vs LM3-1

Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/11/24HLM Vs Pohronie0-2
27/10/24AŽilina II Vs LM2-3
19/10/24AStará Ľubovňa Vs LM2-2
12/10/24APetržalka Vs LM0-1
05/10/24HLM Vs Považská Bystrica1-0
28/09/24AHumenné Vs LM1-1
25/09/24AMFK Bytča Vs LM2-1
21/09/24HLM Vs Tatran Prešov1-2
31/08/24HLM Vs Zlaté Moravce1-0
28/08/24ABelá Vs LM2-3

ŠamorínŠamorín

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/11/24APovažská Bystrica Vs ŠAM4-3
27/10/24HŠAM Vs Humenné1-2
19/10/24ATatran Prešov Vs ŠAM3-0
16/10/24HŠAM Vs Zemplín Michalovce1-2
12/10/24APúchov Vs ŠAM3-1
06/10/24HŠAM Vs Petržalka1-2
02/10/24ANové Zámky Vs ŠAM1-1
27/09/24AZlaté Moravce Vs ŠAM1-2
22/09/24HŠAM Vs Lokomotíva Zvolen3-1
01/09/24AMalženice Vs ŠAM2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Liptovský Mikuláš
Liptovský Mikuláš
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWL1.48
HomeWWLWL1.71
AwayLDWDW1.27
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%54%35%
AVG goals3.223.293.15
Over 1.5 %86%88%85%
Over 2.5 %62%62%62%
Over 3.5 %40%33%46%
Scored1.661.831.50
Conceded1.561.461.65
BTTS66%67%65%
Clean Sheet20%21%19%
Corners9.6010.338.50
Cards4.003.335.00
Šamorín
Šamorín
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL1.28
HomeWWLLL1.58
AwayWDLLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%46%27%
AVG goals3.403.882.96
Over 1.5 %90%96%85%
Over 2.5 %68%79%58%
Over 3.5 %40%54%27%
Scored1.642.001.31
Conceded1.761.881.65
BTTS58%75%42%
Clean Sheet20%21%19%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov2663
77%
2.4
5119+32
2.7
69%
58%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.00.7
-
2Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce2652
62%
2.0
4118+23
2.3
62%
35%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.60.7
-
3Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica2644
50%
1.7
4235+7
3.0
81%
58%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.3
-
4Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš2643
46%
1.7
4231+11
2.8
81%
54%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.61.2
-
5PúchovPúchov2639
42%
1.5
4236+6
3.0
85%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.4
-
6PetržalkaPetržalka2637
38%
1.4
3226+6
2.2
65%
38%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.0
-
7MalženiceMalženice2634
38%
1.3
3340-7
2.8
81%
54%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.5
-
8Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen2634
38%
1.3
3041-11
2.7
73%
62%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.6
-
9Žilina IIŽilina II2631
35%
1.2
3239-7
2.7
69%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.5
-
10ŠamorínŠamorín2630
35%
1.2
2940-11
2.7
81%
54%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.5
-
11PohroniePohronie2629
31%
1.1
3751-14
3.4
88%
65%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.42.0
-
12Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II2628
31%
1.1
3343-10
2.9
85%
58%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.7
-
13Stará ĽubovňaStará Ľubovňa2624
23%
0.9
2430-6
2.1
62%
42%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
14HumennéHumenné2623
19%
0.9
2039-19
2.3
73%
42%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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