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Liptovský Mikuláš vs Spišská Nová Ves Result & Analysis

Date: 17/05/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 5-0
Liptovský Mikuláš
Liptovský Mikuláš
Vs
66%
19%
14%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Spišská Nová Ves
Spišská Nová Ves
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liptovský Mikuláš win✓ Hit
66.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
19.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Spišská Nová Ves win✗ Miss
14.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-552W31W11D21W12L13L12L24L21W10WH·POH16/03H·SLO24/03H·SPA30/03H·ŠAM07/04H·POV13/04H·PÚC20/04H·SLA24/04H·PET28/04H·DOL03/05H·HUM10/05
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.632.001.731.331.53
vs Stronger (11)1.271.731.501.831.001.60
vs Similar (17)2.001.532.501.881.561.22
vs Weaker (2)1.002.001.000.001.004.00
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Spišská Nová Ves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Spišská Nová VesSpišská Nová Ves

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D03L20W02L30W02L11D12L30WA·SLO15/03H·SPA23/03A·ŠAM30/03H·POV06/04A·PÚC13/04H·SLA20/04A·PET24/04H·DOL27/04A·HUM04/05H·MAL10/05
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.761.720.871.070.642.43
vs Stronger (8)0.381.880.251.000.502.75
vs Similar (19)0.841.581.000.900.672.33
vs Weaker (2)1.502.502.003.001.002.00
Clean sheet %17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Liptovský Mikuláš) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.7%
Under 1.5
13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.0%
Under 2.5
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
45.3%
Under 3.5
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.0%
No
40.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.1%
1-1
8.8%
3-1
7.7%
3-0
7.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
5.0%
4-1
4.6%
Liptovský Mikuláš goals ↓
Spišská Nová Ves goals →
01234
04.0%2.5%1.7%0.6%0.2%
16.8%8.8%4.2%1.5%0.4%
29.1%9.6%5.0%1.8%0.5%
37.3%7.7%4.0%1.4%0.4%
44.4%4.6%2.4%0.9%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Liptovský Mikuláš goals (down), columns = Spišská Nová Ves goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Komárno
2.23
Petržalka
2.13
Tatran Prešov
2.00
Humenné
1.67
Púchov
1.57
Považská Bystrica
1.57
Spartak Myjava
1.47
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.40
Žilina II
1.33
Pohronie
1.30
Šamorín
1.27
Slovan Bratislava II
1.20
Slavoj Trebišov
1.17
Malženice
0.93
Dolný Kubín
0.67
Spišská Nová Ves
0.43
Liptovský Mikuláš is 0.97 points better than Spišská Nová Ves in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 0.43).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Komárno
2.13
Petržalka
2.13
Žilina II
1.90
Púchov
1.80
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.77
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Šamorín
1.63
Považská Bystrica
1.60
Slovan Bratislava II
1.53
Pohronie
1.47
Humenné
1.43
Spartak Myjava
1.40
Malženice
1.20
Slavoj Trebišov
1.13
Dolný Kubín
0.90
Spišská Nová Ves
0.73
Liptovský Mikuláš is 1.03 goals better than Spišská Nová Ves in terms of goals scored per game (1.77 vs 0.73).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tatran Prešov
0.77
Komárno
0.93
Petržalka
0.97
Humenné
1.07
Považská Bystrica
1.27
Spartak Myjava
1.40
Malženice
1.60
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.60
Púchov
1.63
Pohronie
1.67
Slavoj Trebišov
1.67
Slovan Bratislava II
1.83
Spišská Nová Ves
1.83
Šamorín
1.87
Žilina II
2.07
Dolný Kubín
2.27
Liptovský Mikuláš is 0.23 goals better than Spišská Nová Ves in terms of goals conceded per game (1.60 vs 1.83).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W10W11D10W01L12L00D12L21W00DH·POH16/03H·SLO24/03H·SPA30/03H·ŠAM07/04H·POV13/04H·PÚC20/04H·SLA24/04H·PET28/04H·DOL03/05H·HUM10/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.871.200.930.800.80
vs Stronger (11)0.821.181.171.330.401.00
vs Similar (17)1.240.711.380.751.110.67
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Spišská Nová Ves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Spišská Nová VesSpišská Nová Ves

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D00D10W01L20W02L10W11D10WA·SLO15/03H·SPA23/03A·ŠAM30/03H·POV06/04A·PÚC13/04H·SLA20/04A·PET24/04H·DOL27/04A·HUM04/05H·MAL10/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.341.000.400.470.291.57
vs Stronger (8)0.250.750.250.250.251.25
vs Similar (19)0.371.050.500.400.221.78
vs Weaker (2)0.501.500.002.001.001.00
Clean sheet %45% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Liptovský Mikuláš) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spišská Nová Ves over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spišská Nová Ves over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spišská Nová Ves over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W21W00D11D11D01L12L12L00D10WH·POH16/03H·SLO24/03H·SPA30/03H·ŠAM07/04H·POV13/04H·PÚC20/04H·SLA24/04H·PET28/04H·DOL03/05H·HUM10/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.770.800.800.530.73
vs Stronger (11)0.450.550.330.500.600.60
vs Similar (17)0.760.821.121.120.440.56
vs Weaker (2)1.001.501.000.001.003.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Spišská Nová Ves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Spišská Nová VesSpišská Nová Ves

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D03L10W01L10W00D01L01L20WA·SLO15/03H·SPA23/03A·ŠAM30/03H·POV06/04A·PÚC13/04H·SLA20/04A·PET24/04H·DOL27/04A·HUM04/05H·MAL10/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.410.720.470.600.360.86
vs Stronger (8)0.121.120.000.750.251.50
vs Similar (19)0.470.530.500.500.440.56
vs Weaker (2)1.001.002.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %45% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Liptovský Mikuláš) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spišská Nová Ves over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spišská Nová Ves over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spišská Nová Ves over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.586.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (24)
€3m
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (10)
€1m
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (5)
€1m
ŠAM (6)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (9)
€1m
PET (8)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
LM wins
0
Draws
0
SNV wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Liptovský Mikuláš vs Spišská Nová Ves · H/A from LM
DateH/AGameScore
04/11/23ASpišská Nová Ves Vs LM1-2

Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/24HLM Vs Humenné1-0
03/05/24HLM Vs Dolný Kubín2-1
28/04/24HLM Vs Petržalka2-4
24/04/24HLM Vs Slavoj Trebišov1-2
20/04/24HLM Vs Púchov1-3
13/04/24HLM Vs Považská Bystrica1-2
07/04/24HLM Vs Šamorín2-1
30/03/24HLM Vs Spartak Myjava1-1
24/03/24HLM Vs Slovan Bratislava II3-1
16/03/24HLM Vs Pohronie5-2

Spišská Nová VesSpišská Nová Ves

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/24HSNV Vs Malženice3-0
04/05/24AHumenné Vs SNV2-1
27/04/24HSNV Vs Dolný Kubín1-1
24/04/24APetržalka Vs SNV2-0
20/04/24HSNV Vs Slavoj Trebišov3-0
13/04/24APúchov Vs SNV2-0
06/04/24HSNV Vs Považská Bystrica2-0
30/03/24AŠamorín Vs SNV3-0
23/03/24HSNV Vs Spartak Myjava0-0
15/03/24ASlovan Bratislava II Vs SNV3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Liptovský Mikuláš
Liptovský Mikuláš
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWW1.06
HomeLLLWW1.12
AwayLLDLW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%33%27%
AVG goals2.923.292.58
Over 1.5 %82%92%73%
Over 2.5 %58%67%50%
Over 3.5 %28%29%27%
Scored1.241.501.00
Conceded1.681.791.58
BTTS58%75%42%
Clean Sheet14%4%23%
Corners10.3811.009.75
Cards3.753.623.88
Spišská Nová Ves
Spišská Nová Ves
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLW0.45
HomeDWWDW0.80
AwayLLLLL0.07
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %10%20%0%
AVG goals2.481.933.07
Over 1.5 %76%60%93%
Over 2.5 %45%33%57%
Over 3.5 %14%7%21%
Scored0.760.870.64
Conceded1.721.072.43
BTTS38%27%50%
Clean Sheet17%33%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KomárnoKomárno3067
70%
2.2
6428+36
3.1
80%
43%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.10.9
-
2PetržalkaPetržalka3064
63%
2.1
6429+35
3.1
80%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.11.0
-
3Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov3060
60%
2.0
5023+27
2.4
73%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.70.8
-
4HumennéHumenné3050
47%
1.7
4332+11
2.5
63%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
5Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica3047
40%
1.6
4838+10
2.9
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.3
-
6PúchovPúchov3047
47%
1.6
5449+5
3.4
77%
60%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
7Spartak MyjavaSpartak Myjava3044
40%
1.5
4242+0
2.8
87%
67%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
8Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš3042
43%
1.4
5348+5
3.4
87%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.81.6
-
9Žilina IIŽilina II3040
40%
1.3
5762-5
4.0
83%
73%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.92.1
-
10PohroniePohronie3039
37%
1.3
4450-6
3.1
87%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.51.7
-
11ŠamorínŠamorín3038
33%
1.3
4956-7
3.5
87%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.61.9
-
12Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II3036
33%
1.2
4655-9
3.4
77%
67%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.8
-
13Slavoj TrebišovSlavoj Trebišov3035
33%
1.2
3450-16
2.8
80%
60%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
14MalženiceMalženice3028
23%
0.9
3648-12
2.8
80%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.6
-
15Dolný KubínDolný Kubín3020
13%
0.7
2768-41
3.2
87%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.3
-
16Spišská Nová VesSpišská Nová Ves3013
10%
0.4
2255-33
2.6
77%
47%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.8
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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