Defensive solidity is the headline of this encounter, with Liria Prizren’s home form showing a respectable 1.09 goals conceded per match and Ramiz Sadiku’s away side keeping a tight 0.6. The model favours a home win, with a 45% chance, a draw at 31% and an away win at 24%. The expected total goals sit at 2.2, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.2% probability. Liria’s average of 2.36 goals scored at home against similar opposition contrasts sharply with Ramiz’s 0.9 away goals for, suggesting a low-scoring affair. The suggested selections are Under 7.5 (99.8%), Under 6.5 (99.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.8%), Under 5.5 (97.7%), Home under 3.5 goals (95.7%), Away under 2.5 goals (94.2%), Under 4.5 (93.1%) and Home +2 handicap (91.7%). With both teams coming off draws, the match is set to be tight, low-scoring and favouring the hosts.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Liria Prizren win
45.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
30.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku win
24.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Liria Prizren
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
0.83
1.94
1.00
1.62
0.62
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
0.80
0.33
0.67
2.50
1.00
vs Similar (21)
2.05
0.90
2.33
1.08
1.67
0.67
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.50
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Ramiz Sadiku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ramiz Sadiku
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.93
1.36
1.14
1.00
0.75
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.67
3.00
2.00
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (19)
0.95
0.74
0.89
0.78
1.00
0.70
vs Weaker (8)
1.75
1.12
2.00
1.75
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Liria Prizren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
68.0%
Under 1.5
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
40.1%
Under 2.5
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
19.9%
Under 3.5
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
46.2%
No
53.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
1-0
12.5%
0-0
11.4%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
4.3%
Liria Prizren goals ↓
Ramiz Sadiku goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
8.1%
4.3%
1.3%
0.3%
1
13%
14%
5.9%
1.8%
0.4%
2
9.4%
8.7%
4.0%
1.2%
0.3%
3
4.3%
4.0%
1.8%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.5%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Liria Prizren goals (down), columns = Ramiz Sadiku goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Liria Prizren
2.09
Trepça'89
2.06
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Mitrovica
1.39
Prishtina e Re
1.39
Ferizaj
1.39
KF Lepenci
1.39
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Istogu
0.94
Rilindja 1974
0.94
Liria Prizren is 0.62 points better than Ramiz Sadiku in terms of average points per game (2.09 vs 1.47).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Suhareka
1.76
Liria Prizren
1.76
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Mitrovica
1.40
Prishtina e Re
1.40
Ferizaj
1.40
KF Lepenci
1.40
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Vjosa
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Kika
0.74
Liria Prizren is 0.62 goals better than Ramiz Sadiku in terms of goals scored per game (1.76 vs 1.15).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Liria Prizren
0.85
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
Mitrovica
1.41
Prishtina e Re
1.41
Ferizaj
1.41
KF Lepenci
1.41
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Suhareka
1.79
Vjosa
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
Liria Prizren and Ramiz Sadiku are level in goals conceded per game (both 0.85).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Liria Prizren or Draw
75.8%
Avg Implied -
46%
30%
24%
covers Liria Prizren + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Liria Prizren or Ramiz Sadiku
69.9%
Avg Implied -
46%
30%
24%
covers Liria Prizren + Ramiz Sadiku
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Ramiz Sadiku
54.3%
Avg Implied -
46%
30%
24%
covers Draw + Ramiz Sadiku
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Liria Prizren over/under 0.5
Over
74.4%
Under
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liria Prizren over/under 1.5
Over
39.6%
Under
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liria Prizren over/under 2.5
Over
15.8%
Under
84.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liria Prizren over/under 3.5
Over
5.0%
Under
95.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku over/under 0.5
Over
60.4%
Under
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku over/under 1.5
Over
23.7%
Under
76.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku over/under 2.5
Over
6.7%
Under
93.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku over/under 3.5
Over
1.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Liria Prizren, so a minus line means Liria Prizren give that many goals of a start and Ramiz Sadiku receive them. At -1, Liria Prizren must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Liria Prizren win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Liria Prizren)
Liria Prizren -2
8.3%
Draw -2
14.1%
Ramiz Sadiku +2
77.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Liria Prizren)
Liria Prizren -1
22.4%
Draw -1
23.3%
Ramiz Sadiku +1
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Liria Prizren)
Liria Prizren +1
75.8%
Draw +1
15.4%
Ramiz Sadiku -1
8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Liria Prizren)
Liria Prizren +2
91.2%
Draw +2
6.5%
Ramiz Sadiku -2
2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Liria Prizren
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.30
0.53
0.35
0.92
0.23
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.50
0.00
vs Similar (21)
0.76
0.43
0.75
0.50
0.78
0.33
vs Weaker (4)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
80% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Ramiz Sadiku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ramiz Sadiku
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.27
0.50
0.29
0.25
0.25
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.75
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (19)
0.32
0.21
0.38
0.12
0.27
0.27
vs Weaker (7)
0.43
0.14
0.50
0.25
0.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Liria Prizren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Liria Prizren over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liria Prizren over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liria Prizren over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Liria Prizren
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.57
1.41
0.65
0.54
0.46
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
0.80
0.33
0.67
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
1.19
0.52
1.58
0.58
0.67
0.44
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.50
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Ramiz Sadiku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ramiz Sadiku
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.67
0.79
0.86
0.56
0.50
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.58
0.47
0.50
0.62
0.64
0.36
vs Weaker (7)
1.14
1.14
1.50
1.50
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Liria Prizren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Liria Prizren over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liria Prizren over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liria Prizren over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Vëllaznimi
Dinamo Ferizaj
Trepça'89
Suhareka
2 Korriku
Rilindja 1974
Vjosa
Kika
FC Besa Peja
Trepça Mitrovicë
Prishtina e Re
Istogu
KF Lepenci
Mitrovica
Ferizaj
Tefik Canga