PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Liria Prizren vs Suhareka Result & Analysis

Date: 16/05/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 4-2
Liria Prizren
Liria Prizren
Vs
58%
22%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Suhareka
Suhareka
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Liria Prizren’s recent draw against Trepça’89 suggests a cautious start, but the model favours a home win, with a 58% chance of victory, 22% for a draw, and 19% for Suhareka. The expected total of 3.3 goals points to a lively encounter, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 10% probability. Liria’s home form shows they average 2.0 goals scored and 0.82 conceded against similar opposition, while Suhareka, on the road, averages 1.55 goals scored and 1.91 conceded. The model’s selection of Over 1.5 goals carries an 85.5% probability, reflecting the high attacking output projected. With Liria’s stronger defensive record at home and Suhareka’s recent defeat, the odds tilt toward a decisive Liria victory. The model’s picks remain focused on the match outcome and total goals, offering a clear picture of the expected high-scoring, home-side dominated game.

Results analysis

The updated form storyline shows Liria Prizren coming off a draw, while Suhareka returns after a defeat, setting the stage for a competitive match. The final score was 4-2, a home win that matched the model’s pick of a home victory with a 58 % probability, confirming the model’s prediction. The model’s selection of Over 1.5 goals, with an 85.5 % probability, hit as the match produced six goals. Every suggested pick was settled: Over 1.5 hit. The model’s favourite result landed, and the selections largely came in, underscoring the accuracy of the prediction.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liria Prizren win✓ Hit
58.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Suhareka win✗ Miss
19.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L00D31W22D41W52W21W01L10W10WH·VUS08/03A·FER15/03H·2 K22/03A·IST28/03H·PRI05/04A·TRE12/04H·RAM19/04A·VËL25/04H·FC 03/05A·KIK09/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.570.771.810.691.290.86
vs Stronger (3)0.330.330.500.000.001.00
vs Similar (21)1.810.902.000.821.601.00
vs Weaker (6)1.330.502.000.670.670.33
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Suhareka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SuharekaSuhareka

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L42W21W21W13L01L31W35L23L31WH·IST08/03A·PRI15/03H·TRE22/03A·RAM29/03H·VËL05/04A·FC 12/04H·KIK19/04A·TRE26/04A·DIN03/05H·RIL09/05
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.701.471.401.672.00
vs Stronger (4)1.252.250.502.002.002.50
vs Similar (21)1.671.621.801.301.551.91
vs Weaker (5)1.401.601.001.332.002.00
Clean sheet %13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Liria Prizren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%4%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.5%
Under 1.5
14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.9%
Under 2.5
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
42.8%
Under 3.5
57.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.3%
No
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.0%
1-0
6.7%
3-0
5.9%
2-2
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
Liria Prizren goals ↓
Suhareka goals →
01234
04.5%3.3%2.5%1.0%0.3%
16.7%10.0%5.4%2.1%0.6%
28.2%9.8%5.8%2.3%0.7%
35.9%7.0%4.2%1.6%0.5%
43.2%3.8%2.2%0.9%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Liria Prizren goals (down), columns = Suhareka goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vushtrria
2.21
Feronikeli
2.18
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Liria Prizren
2.09
Trepça'89
2.06
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Rilindja 1974
0.94
Istogu
0.94
KEK-u
0.64
Prizreni
0.59
Liria Prizren is 0.79 points better than Suhareka in terms of average points per game (2.09 vs 1.29).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Vushtrria
1.82
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Suhareka
1.76
Liria Prizren
1.76
Feronikeli
1.74
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Vjosa
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Prizreni
0.82
KEK-u
0.76
Kika
0.74
Liria Prizren and Suhareka are level in goals scored per game (both 1.76).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Feronikeli
0.65
Vushtrria
0.76
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Liria Prizren
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Suhareka
1.79
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Vjosa
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
KEK-u
1.91
Prizreni
1.94
Liria Prizren is 0.94 goals better than Suhareka in terms of goals conceded per game (0.85 vs 1.79).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D00D11D00D31W10W00D00D10WA·KEK28/02H·VUS08/03A·FER15/03H·2 K22/03H·PRI05/04A·TRE12/04H·RAM19/04A·VËL25/04H·FC 03/05A·KIK09/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.370.560.310.640.43
vs Stronger (3)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (21)0.810.480.730.450.900.50
vs Weaker (6)0.170.170.330.000.000.33
Clean sheet %73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Suhareka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SuharekaSuhareka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L03L20W10W11D01L10W02L11D00DH·FER22/02A·2 K28/02A·PRI15/03H·TRE22/03H·VËL05/04A·FC 12/04H·KIK19/04A·TRE26/04A·DIN03/05H·RIL09/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.600.690.380.570.86
vs Stronger (5)0.800.800.670.671.001.00
vs Similar (20)0.550.650.700.300.401.00
vs Weaker (5)0.800.200.670.331.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Liria Prizren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Liria Prizren over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liria Prizren over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liria Prizren over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L00D20W41W21W11D01L10W00DA·KEK28/02H·VUS08/03A·FER15/03H·2 K22/03H·PRI05/04A·TRE12/04H·RAM19/04A·VËL25/04H·FC 03/05A·KIK09/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.371.250.380.710.36
vs Stronger (3)0.330.330.500.000.001.00
vs Similar (21)1.050.381.270.360.800.40
vs Weaker (6)1.170.331.670.670.670.00
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Suhareka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SuharekaSuhareka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W20W22D11D02L00D21W33D12L31WH·FER22/02A·2 K28/02A·PRI15/03H·TRE22/03H·VËL05/04A·FC 12/04H·KIK19/04A·TRE26/04A·DIN03/05H·RIL09/05
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.071.001.001.211.14
vs Stronger (5)0.601.400.331.331.001.50
vs Similar (20)1.350.901.400.901.300.90
vs Weaker (5)0.601.400.331.001.002.00
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Liria Prizren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Liria Prizren over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liria Prizren over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liria Prizren over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FER (27)
€2m
VUS (19)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VUS (0)
€0m
FER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VUS (0)
€0m
FER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VUS (0)
€0m
FER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
LP wins
0
Draws
0
SUH wins

Head-to-head

Liria Prizren vs Suhareka · H/A from LP
DateH/AGameScore
08/11/25ASuhareka Vs LP1-2

Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/26AKika Vs LP0-1
03/05/26HLP Vs FC Besa Peja1-0
25/04/26AVëllaznimi Vs LP1-0
19/04/26HLP Vs Ramiz Sadiku2-1
12/04/26ATrepça Mitrovicë Vs LP2-5
05/04/26HLP Vs Prizreni4-1
28/03/26AIstogu Vs LP2-2
22/03/26HLP Vs 2 Korriku3-1
15/03/26AFeronikeli Vs LP0-0
08/03/26HLP Vs Vushtrria0-1

SuharekaSuhareka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/26HSUH Vs Rilindja 19743-1
03/05/26ADinamo Ferizaj Vs SUH3-2
26/04/26ATrepça'89 Vs SUH5-3
19/04/26HSUH Vs Kika3-1
12/04/26AFC Besa Peja Vs SUH1-0
05/04/26HSUH Vs Vëllaznimi1-3
29/03/26ARamiz Sadiku Vs SUH1-2
22/03/26HSUH Vs Trepça Mitrovicë2-1
15/03/26APrizreni Vs SUH2-4
08/03/26HSUH Vs Istogu1-3

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Liria Prizren
Liria Prizren
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW1.40
HomeLWWWW1.52
AwayDDWLW1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%44%36%
AVG goals2.722.403.04
Over 1.5 %68%64%72%
Over 2.5 %52%48%56%
Over 3.5 %30%28%32%
Scored1.281.241.32
Conceded1.441.161.72
BTTS42%32%52%
Clean Sheet36%44%28%
Corners---
Cards---
Suhareka
Suhareka
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLW1.18
HomeLWLWW1.40
AwayWWLLL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%40%28%
AVG goals3.323.243.40
Over 1.5 %88%84%92%
Over 2.5 %72%80%64%
Over 3.5 %44%44%44%
Scored1.521.641.40
Conceded1.801.602.00
BTTS70%76%64%
Clean Sheet8%12%4%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VushtrriaVushtrria3475
65%
2.2
6226+36
2.6
74%
50%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.8
-
2FeronikeliFeronikeli3474
65%
2.2
5922+37
2.4
71%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.70.6
-
3Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren3471
62%
2.1
6029+31
2.6
65%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.9
-
4Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj3471
65%
2.1
6139+22
2.9
74%
53%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.1
-
5TrepçaTrepça'893470
59%
2.1
7233+39
3.1
82%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.0
-
6VëllaznimiVëllaznimi3470
62%
2.1
5832+26
2.6
71%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.9
-
7Ramiz SadikuRamiz Sadiku3450
41%
1.5
3929+10
2.0
59%
32%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.10.9
-
8SuharekaSuhareka3444
38%
1.3
6061-1
3.6
82%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
9Tefik CangaTefik Canga3440
35%
1.2
4854-6
3.0
79%
56%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
102 Korriku2 Korriku3439
32%
1.1
5264-12
3.4
91%
68%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.9
-
11FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja3335
27%
1.1
3952-13
2.8
70%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
12VjosaVjosa3435
26%
1.0
3961-22
2.9
76%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
13Trepça MitrovicëTrepça Mitrovicë3434
26%
1.0
4962-13
3.3
85%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
14KikaKika3433
26%
1.0
2543-18
2.0
59%
29%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
15IstoguIstogu3432
21%
0.9
4760-13
3.1
74%
50%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
16Rilindja 1974Rilindja 19743432
24%
0.9
3461-27
2.8
82%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
17KEK-uKEK-u3321
12%
0.6
2563-38
2.7
79%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
18PrizreniPrizreni3420
9%
0.6
2866-38
2.8
79%
53%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →

← all matches