Liria Prizren vs Vjosa Result & Analysis

Liria Prizren are the clear favourites, with the model assigning a 64 % chance of a home win, 22 % for a draw and 14 % for a Vjosa victory. The prediction reflects Liria’s solid home form, averaging 2.36 goals scored and conceding just 1.09 against teams of similar strength, while Vjosa struggles away, netting only 0.73 on average and conceding 1.09. The expected total is 2.9 goals, and the most likely scoreline is 2-0 for Liria, a 11.4 % probability. The match is expected to feature 2 goals, with a 24 % chance of that exact total. The model’s selections include an Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.2 %, Under 7.5 at 99.0 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.8 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.5 %, Under 6.5 at 97.2 %, Home +2 handicap at 95.3 %, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 94.6 %, and Away under 2.5 goals at 94.3 %. Liria’s recent draw against Trepça’89 and Vjosa’s win over Prishtina e Re add context, but the home side’s dominance at home remains decisive.

The win extends Liria Prizren’s recent run, while Vjosa returns from a defeat. The model predicted a home win with a 64% probability, and that call proved correct as Liria secured a 2-1 victory. The expected total of 2.9 goals materialised with a 2-1 scoreline, matching the most likely 2-0 outcome. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 (99%) hit, Away under 3.5 goals (98.8%) hit, Under 6.5 (97.2%) hit, Home +2 handicap (95.3%) hit, and Away under 2.5 goals (94.3%) hit. Overall, the predictions aligned closely with the match’s reality.