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Liverpool vs West Ham Result & Analysis

Date: 25/09/2024
Time: 19:00
Final 5-1
Liverpool
Liverpool
Vs
65%
22%
13%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
West Ham
West Ham
England: League Cup
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Liverpool’s recent draw against Nottingham Forest leaves them eager for a decisive home victory, and the model’s 65% home win probability confirms that edge. The Cup fixture sees Liverpool exploiting a weaker opponent at home, with an average of 2.64 goals scored and only 0.82 conceded, while West Ham, playing away against a stronger side, averages just one goal scored and 2.67 conceded. This imbalance drives the 2.9 expected goals and the 2-goal total that the model deems most likely, with a 11.7% chance of a 2-0 scoreline. The model’s pick is a home win, and the match outcome probabilities read 65% for Liverpool, 22% for a draw, and 13% for West Ham. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99%), Away under 3.5 goals (99%), Under 6.5 (97%), Home +2 handicap (95.8%), Away under 2.5 goals (94.7%), Under 5.5 (92.3%), Home over 0.5 goals (87.6%) and Home or Draw (87%). Each selection carries its stated probability, and no other outcomes are assigned win chances.

Results analysis

Liverpool’s recent form, still coming off a draw, continued to build on their strong home run, while West Ham, also fresh from a draw, struggled away. The model’s favourite, a home win at 65%, proved correct as Liverpool triumphed 5-1, matching the predicted outcome. The most likely scoreline of 2-0, with a 24% chance, did not materialise, but the 5-1 result still fell within the model’s high-confidence selections. Every suggested pick was addressed: Under 7.5 (99%) hit, Away under 3.5 goals (99%) hit, Under 6.5 (97%) hit, Home +2 handicap (95.8%) hit, Away under 2.5 goals (94.7%) hit, Under 5.5 (92.3%) missed, Home over 0.5 goals (87.6%) hit, and Home or Draw (87%) hit. The model’s predictions largely came through, underscoring its reliability.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liverpool win✓ Hit
65.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
West Ham win✗ Miss
13.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LiverpoolLiverpool

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D42W33D20W20W20W30W01L31W30WA·WES27/04H·TOT05/05A·AST13/05H·WOL19/05A·IPS17/08H·BRE25/08A·MAN01/09H·NOT14/09A·AC 17/09H·BOU21/09← Premier LeagueLeague Cup →
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.471.072.531.072.401.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)2.201.602.251.752.171.50
vs Weaker (20)2.600.802.640.822.560.78
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

West HamWest Ham

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D05L31W13L12L20W10W13L11D03LH·LIV27/04A·CHE05/05H·LUT11/05A·MAN19/05H·AST17/08A·CRY24/08H·BOU28/08H·MAN31/08A·FUL14/09H·CHE21/09← Premier LeagueLeague Cup →
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.901.441.691.292.14
vs Stronger (7)0.863.140.753.501.002.67
vs Similar (22)1.451.551.551.091.362.00
vs Weaker (1)3.001.003.001.00--
Clean sheet %17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%014%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.9%
Under 1.5
20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.0%
Under 2.5
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
33.6%
Under 3.5
66.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.6%
No
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.7%
1-1
10.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
6.3%
4-0
4.3%
Liverpool goals ↓
West Ham goals →
01234
06.3%3.5%1.9%0.5%0.1%
110%10%3.9%1.1%0.2%
212%9.8%4.1%1.1%0.2%
38.2%6.8%2.8%0.8%0.2%
44.3%3.6%1.5%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Liverpool goals (down), columns = West Ham goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Newcastle
2.71
Sheffield Weds
2.50
Tottenham
2.40
Fleetwood Town
2.33
Crystal Palace
2.25
Blackpool
2.00
Leyton Orient
2.00
Everton
2.00
Fulham
2.00
Brighton
2.00
Coventry
2.00
Derby
2.00
Wycombe
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Watford
2.00
Liverpool
2.00
Arsenal
1.80
Stoke
1.75
Brentford
1.75
Southampton
1.75
Preston
1.75
Walsall
1.67
Birmingham
1.50
Tranmere
1.50
Swansea
1.50
Cardiff
1.50
Sheffield United
1.50
Doncaster
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Wolves
1.50
Oxford
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Crawley Town
1.50
Harrogate
1.50
Chelsea
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.50
West Ham
1.50
Huddersfield
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Millwall
1.50
Norwich
1.50
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Leicester
1.33
Barrow
1.33
Bolton
1.33
Barnsley
1.33
Notts County
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Luton
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Reading
1.00
Grimsby
0.50
Shrewsbury
0.50
Colchester
0.50
Bournemouth
0.00
Swindon
0.00
Leeds
0.00
Salford
0.00
Stockport
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Burton
0.00
Stevenage
0.00
Crewe
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Bristol City
0.00
Charlton
0.00
Lincoln
0.00
West Brom
0.00
Wrexham
0.00
Carlisle
0.00
Gillingham
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Cambridge
0.00
Port Vale
0.00
Chesterfield
0.00
Burnley
0.00
Hull
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Bromley
0.00
Sunderland
0.00
Cheltenham
0.00
Newport County
0.00
Morecambe
0.00
Accrington
0.00
Liverpool is 0.50 points better than West Ham in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester United
5.00
Blackburn
3.50
Notts County
3.00
Stevenage
3.00
Brighton
3.00
Watford
2.67
Stoke
2.50
Cardiff
2.50
Crystal Palace
2.50
Southampton
2.50
Chelsea
2.50
Huddersfield
2.50
Liverpool
2.50
Sheffield Weds
2.25
Arsenal
2.20
Swindon
2.00
Blackpool
2.00
Leyton Orient
2.00
Leicester
2.00
Sheffield United
2.00
Everton
2.00
Wrexham
2.00
Wolves
2.00
Ipswich
2.00
Port Vale
2.00
Crawley Town
2.00
Reading
2.00
Norwich
2.00
Preston
2.00
Newcastle
1.86
Tottenham
1.80
Fleetwood Town
1.67
Tranmere
1.50
Swansea
1.50
Fulham
1.50
Brentford
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Shrewsbury
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.50
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Wycombe
1.33
Bolton
1.33
Walsall
1.33
Stockport
1.00
Crewe
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Lincoln
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Doncaster
1.00
Grimsby
1.00
Coventry
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Oxford
1.00
Cambridge
1.00
Chesterfield
1.00
Barrow
1.00
Hull
1.00
Derby
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Luton
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Newport County
1.00
Harrogate
1.00
Colchester
1.00
West Ham
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Barnsley
0.67
Birmingham
0.50
Millwall
0.50
Bournemouth
0.00
Leeds
0.00
Salford
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Burton
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Bristol City
0.00
Charlton
0.00
Carlisle
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Burnley
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Sunderland
0.00
Cheltenham
0.00
Morecambe
0.00
Accrington
0.00
Liverpool is 1.50 goals better than West Ham in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.43
Everton
0.50
Fulham
0.50
Oxford
0.50
Derby
0.50
Millwall
0.50
Blackpool
0.67
Coventry
0.67
Wycombe
0.67
Watford
0.67
Sheffield Weds
0.75
Bournemouth
1.00
Birmingham
1.00
Portsmouth
1.00
Stoke
1.00
Fleetwood Town
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Bristol City
1.00
Swansea
1.00
Charlton
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Plymouth
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Luton
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Chelsea
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Preston
1.00
Walsall
1.00
Liverpool
1.17
Brentford
1.25
Crystal Palace
1.25
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Leyton Orient
1.33
Arsenal
1.40
Sheffield United
1.50
Doncaster
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Wolves
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Colchester
1.50
Huddersfield
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Leicester
1.67
Brighton
1.67
Tottenham
1.80
Tranmere
2.00
Salford
2.00
Crewe
2.00
Peterboro
2.00
Lincoln
2.00
West Brom
2.00
Carlisle
2.00
Ipswich
2.00
Northampton
2.00
Cambridge
2.00
Chesterfield
2.00
Burnley
2.00
Hull
2.00
Bristol Rvs
2.00
Bromley
2.00
Sunderland
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Southampton
2.00
Bolton
2.00
Reading
2.00
Barrow
2.33
Cardiff
2.50
Shrewsbury
2.50
Middlesbrough
2.50
West Ham
2.50
Barnsley
2.67
Leeds
3.00
Notts County
3.00
Grimsby
3.00
Gillingham
3.00
Port Vale
3.00
Cheltenham
3.00
Crawley Town
3.00
Harrogate
3.00
Morecambe
3.00
Accrington
3.00
Norwich
3.50
Swindon
4.00
Burton
4.00
Stevenage
4.00
Wrexham
4.00
Newport County
4.00
Milton Keynes Dons
5.00
Stockport
6.00
Liverpool is 1.33 goals better than West Ham in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 2.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

LiverpoolLiverpool

For 6.6 · Against 3.9 · Total 10.5

🚩 Corners

13039527225941021024583851279713121291113H·BOUA·AC H·NOTA·MANH·BREA·IPSH·WOLA·ASTH·TOTA·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

8014224414231312111425485543252H·BOUA·AC H·NOTA·MANH·BREA·IPSH·WOLA·ASTH·TOTA·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 9.2 · Total 21.7

⚠️ Fouls

27010121291567710718914111511141210822212114172725262618H·BOUA·AC H·NOTA·MANH·BREA·IPSH·WOLA·ASTH·TOTA·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

West HamWest Ham

For 3.9 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.1

🚩 Corners

1406523311335321176685841151468131314134H·CHEA·FULH·MANA·CRYH·ASTA·MANH·LUTA·CHEH·LIVA·CRY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.8

🟨 Cards

705232321112113312237552314425H·CHEA·FULH·MANA·CRYH·ASTA·MANH·LUTA·CHEH·LIVA·CRY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 9.6 · Total 22.4

⚠️ Fouls

3301791815103179181112391510128109926331326291524221818H·CHEA·FULH·MANA·CRYH·ASTA·MANH·LUTA·CHEH·LIVA·CRY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LiverpoolLiverpool

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.111.610.64.13.84.422.021.822.3
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (14)9.99.710.15.45.05.622.724.021.8
vs Weaker (36)11.612.210.83.63.53.821.821.122.6
% over line64%76%52%50%48%52%52%56%48%
% under line36%24%48%50%52%48%48%44%52%
This opponent (West Ham) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

West HamWest Ham

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.89.23.94.03.921.221.620.8
vs Stronger (9)12.412.212.83.64.62.220.120.619.5
vs Similar (38)8.68.78.44.13.94.221.422.120.7
vs Weaker (3)12.714.59.03.33.04.022.019.028.0
% over line43%50%35%54%59%48%47%50%43%
% under line57%50%65%46%41%52%53%50%57%
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.6
Manchester United
12.4
Plymouth
12.3
Exeter
11.9
Bournemouth
11.7
Coventry
11.7
Southampton
11.5
Fleetwood Town
11.5
Tranmere
11.5
Derby
11.3
Everton
11.2
Wrexham
11.2
Harrogate
11.2
Luton
11.1
Huddersfield
11.1
Blackburn
11.1
Port Vale
11.1
Liverpool
11.1
QPR
11.1
Grimsby
11.0
Crawley Town
10.9
Middlesbrough
10.9
Peterboro
10.9
West Brom
10.9
Stoke
10.9
Bromley
10.9
Sheffield Weds
10.8
Sheffield United
10.8
Notts County
10.8
Crewe
10.7
Bolton
10.7
Barnsley
10.7
Bristol City
10.7
Charlton
10.7
Hull
10.7
Morecambe
10.7
Manchester City
10.7
Newcastle
10.6
Brentford
10.6
Rotherham
10.6
Birmingham
10.6
Wycombe
10.6
Walsall
10.5
Ipswich
10.5
Burnley
10.5
Swindon
10.5
Mansfield
10.4
Reading
10.4
Leeds
10.4
Fulham
10.4
Oxford
10.4
Bristol Rvs
10.3
Wolves
10.3
Swansea
10.3
Leyton Orient
10.3
Doncaster
10.3
Shrewsbury
10.3
Millwall
10.2
Nottingham Forest
10.2
Chelsea
10.2
Norwich
10.2
Crystal Palace
10.2
Colchester
10.1
Accrington
10.1
Sunderland
10.0
Bradford
10.0
Stevenage
10.0
Carlisle
10.0
Gillingham
10.0
Cheltenham
10.0
Portsmouth
9.9
Newport County
9.9
Salford
9.9
Aston Villa
9.8
Watford
9.8
Barrow
9.8
West Ham
9.6
Leicester
9.6
Cambridge
9.6
Brighton
9.6
AFC Wimbledon
9.6
Blackpool
9.5
Lincoln
9.4
Preston
9.3
Stockport
9.2
Cardiff
9.1
Wigan
9.1
Arsenal
9.0
Milton Keynes Dons
9.0
Northampton
8.7
Burton
8.6
Chesterfield
8.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aston Villa
5.2
Chelsea
5.2
Brighton
5.1
Wigan
5.1
Portsmouth
5.0
Wolves
5.0
Tottenham
4.9
Sunderland
4.9
Southampton
4.9
Newcastle
4.7
Stevenage
4.7
Lincoln
4.7
Colchester
4.6
Bradford
4.5
Exeter
4.5
Burnley
4.4
Morecambe
4.4
Bolton
4.4
QPR
4.4
Watford
4.4
Crawley Town
4.4
Coventry
4.4
Notts County
4.3
Blackpool
4.3
Doncaster
4.3
Crewe
4.3
Salford
4.3
Leicester
4.3
Leeds
4.3
Manchester United
4.3
Bristol Rvs
4.3
Plymouth
4.3
Bournemouth
4.3
Blackburn
4.3
Oxford
4.3
Fleetwood Town
4.3
Milton Keynes Dons
4.2
Nottingham Forest
4.2
AFC Wimbledon
4.2
Cheltenham
4.2
Liverpool
4.2
Brentford
4.2
Hull
4.2
Barrow
4.2
Chesterfield
4.2
Tranmere
4.1
Stoke
4.1
Millwall
4.1
Charlton
4.1
Cambridge
4.1
Swansea
4.1
Sheffield Weds
4.1
Gillingham
4.1
Ipswich
4.1
West Ham
4.0
Port Vale
4.0
Barnsley
4.0
Norwich
4.0
Crystal Palace
4.0
Birmingham
4.0
Sheffield United
4.0
Wycombe
3.9
Burton
3.9
Huddersfield
3.9
Shrewsbury
3.9
Luton
3.9
Accrington
3.9
Preston
3.9
Mansfield
3.9
Middlesbrough
3.9
Walsall
3.9
Arsenal
3.9
Wrexham
3.8
Fulham
3.8
Leyton Orient
3.8
Manchester City
3.7
Everton
3.7
Reading
3.7
Derby
3.7
Bromley
3.6
Cardiff
3.6
Grimsby
3.5
Swindon
3.5
West Brom
3.5
Newport County
3.5
Northampton
3.5
Stockport
3.5
Carlisle
3.4
Harrogate
3.4
Bristol City
3.3
Peterboro
3.2
Rotherham
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Stevenage
25.8
Portsmouth
24.9
Wigan
24.9
Accrington
24.7
Wolves
24.3
Tottenham
24.3
Bromley
24.1
Cheltenham
24.0
Luton
23.9
Doncaster
23.8
Birmingham
23.7
Aston Villa
23.7
Bolton
23.6
Crystal Palace
23.6
Chesterfield
23.6
Blackpool
23.4
Sunderland
23.4
Ipswich
23.4
Newcastle
23.4
Chelsea
23.3
Watford
23.2
Cambridge
23.2
Leeds
23.2
Grimsby
23.1
Salford
23.1
Milton Keynes Dons
23.1
Preston
23.0
Bradford
23.0
Swansea
23.0
Huddersfield
22.9
Bournemouth
22.8
Coventry
22.8
Stockport
22.8
Bristol Rvs
22.8
Millwall
22.8
Brighton
22.8
AFC Wimbledon
22.7
QPR
22.6
Hull
22.6
Southampton
22.6
Lincoln
22.5
Sheffield Weds
22.5
Shrewsbury
22.4
Exeter
22.3
Barrow
22.3
Crewe
22.2
Plymouth
22.2
Stoke
22.1
Middlesbrough
22.1
Liverpool
22.0
Arsenal
22.0
Fleetwood Town
21.9
Reading
21.9
Newport County
21.9
Nottingham Forest
21.9
Morecambe
21.9
Burton
21.9
Colchester
21.8
Walsall
21.7
Oxford
21.7
Leicester
21.6
Derby
21.6
Everton
21.5
Burnley
21.5
Fulham
21.4
Wycombe
21.3
West Ham
21.2
Charlton
21.2
Norwich
21.1
Mansfield
21.1
Gillingham
21.0
Rotherham
20.9
Leyton Orient
20.9
Brentford
20.8
Bristol City
20.8
Port Vale
20.8
Wrexham
20.8
Crawley Town
20.5
Blackburn
20.4
Peterboro
20.3
Cardiff
20.3
Northampton
20.2
Swindon
20.1
Harrogate
20.1
Tranmere
20.1
Manchester United
20.1
Barnsley
20.1
Carlisle
19.9
Sheffield United
19.8
Notts County
19.7
West Brom
18.9
Manchester City
18.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
53.3%
Under 9.5
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
60.7%
Under 3.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
64.7%
Under 21.5
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Liverpool or Draw✓ Hit
87.0%
Avg Implied -
65%
22%
13%
covers Liverpool + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Liverpool or West Ham✓ Hit
78.4%
Avg Implied -
65%
22%
13%
covers Liverpool + West Ham
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or West Ham✗ Miss
34.5%
Avg Implied -
65%
22%
13%
covers Draw + West Ham
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Liverpool over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
87.6%
Under
12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
61.8%
Under
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
34.8%
Under
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
16.0%
Under
84.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
56.6%
Under
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
20.4%
Under
79.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.3%
Under
94.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Liverpool, so a minus line means Liverpool give that many goals of a start and West Ham receive them. At -1, Liverpool must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Liverpool win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Liverpool)Actual: Liverpool
Liverpool -2
21.9%
Draw -2
20.2%
West Ham +2
57.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Liverpool)Actual: Liverpool
Liverpool -1
42.1%
Draw -1
23.4%
West Ham +1
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Liverpool)Actual: Liverpool
Liverpool +1
87.0%
Draw +1
8.8%
West Ham -1
4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Liverpool)Actual: Liverpool
Liverpool +2
95.8%
Draw +2
3.2%
West Ham -2
1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LiverpoolLiverpool

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L20W21W20W00D10W20W00D21W30WA·WES27/04H·TOT05/05A·AST13/05H·WOL19/05A·IPS17/08H·BRE25/08A·MAN01/09H·NOT14/09A·AC 17/09H·BOU21/09← Premier LeagueLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.431.130.471.000.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.300.501.000.501.500.50
vs Weaker (20)0.950.401.180.450.670.33
Clean sheet %57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

West HamWest Ham

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W03L01L12L11D00D00D12L01L02LH·LIV27/04A·CHE05/05H·LUT11/05A·MAN19/05H·AST17/08A·CRY24/08H·BOU28/08H·MAN31/08A·FUL14/09H·CHE21/09← Premier LeagueLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.030.621.000.431.07
vs Stronger (7)0.571.860.502.000.671.67
vs Similar (22)0.550.770.730.640.360.91
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LiverpoolLiverpool

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W22D12L00D20W10W10W01L10W00DA·WES27/04H·TOT05/05A·AST13/05H·WOL19/05A·IPS17/08H·BRE25/08A·MAN01/09H·NOT14/09A·AC 17/09H·BOU21/09← Premier LeagueLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.400.631.400.601.400.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.901.101.251.250.671.00
vs Weaker (20)1.650.401.450.361.890.44
Clean sheet %57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

West HamWest Ham

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L02L30W01L01L20W10W01L10W01LH·LIV27/04A·CHE05/05H·LUT11/05A·MAN19/05H·AST17/08A·CRY24/08H·BOU28/08H·MAN31/08A·FUL14/09H·CHE21/09← Premier LeagueLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.870.810.690.861.07
vs Stronger (7)0.291.290.251.500.331.00
vs Similar (22)0.910.770.820.451.001.09
vs Weaker (1)3.000.003.000.00--
Clean sheet %37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals99.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.597.0%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap95.8%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals94.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.592.3%-------✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals87.6%-------✓ Hit
Home or Draw87.0%-------✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap87.0%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals84.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.582.8%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.579.9%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals79.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards79.1%--------
Over 19.5 fouls79.1%--------
Home or Away78.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards75.1%--------
Under 11.5 corners70.5%--------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Liverpool
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Salah56%
Cody Gakpo31%
Jayden Danns25%
Luis Díaz24%
Diogo Jota22%
Harvey Elliott18%
Dominik Szoboszlai16%
Alexis Mac Allister14%
Federico Chiesa14%
Darwin Núñez13%
Virgil van Dijk10%
Trent Alexander-Arnold9%
Curtis Jones7%
Ibrahima Konaté5%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Ryan Gravenberch0%
Konstantinos Tsimikas0%
Wataru Endo0%
Jarell Quansah0%
Tyler Morton0%
Conor Bradley0%
James McConnell0%
Trey Nyoni0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
James McConnell25%
Alexis Mac Allister22%
Tyler Morton20%
Trey Nyoni20%
Darwin Núñez19%
Ibrahima Konaté19%
Virgil van Dijk14%
Ryan Gravenberch14%
Harvey Elliott14%
Conor Bradley14%
Dominik Szoboszlai12%
Jarell Quansah12%
Joe Gomez12%
Trent Alexander-Arnold11%
Andrew Robertson11%
Konstantinos Tsimikas10%
Cody Gakpo10%
Federico Chiesa7%
Luis Díaz6%
Diogo Jota5%
Curtis Jones4%
Wataru Endo3%
Mohamed Salah2%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Jayden Danns0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Salah37%
Tyler Morton20%
Trey Nyoni20%
Dominik Szoboszlai14%
Conor Bradley14%
Trent Alexander-Arnold14%
Curtis Jones13%
Cody Gakpo12%
Harvey Elliott11%
Darwin Núñez11%
Alexis Mac Allister10%
Luis Díaz10%
Ryan Gravenberch8%
Diogo Jota8%
Federico Chiesa7%
Konstantinos Tsimikas7%
Ibrahima Konaté5%
Andrew Robertson4%
Virgil van Dijk2%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joe Gomez0%
Wataru Endo0%
Jarell Quansah0%
James McConnell0%
Jayden Danns0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Salah52%
Cody Gakpo24%
Darwin Núñez21%
Luis Díaz18%
Diogo Jota16%
Harvey Elliott11%
Dominik Szoboszlai10%
Federico Chiesa7%
Curtis Jones4%
Virgil van Dijk4%
Alexis Mac Allister4%
Konstantinos Tsimikas3%
Ibrahima Konaté2%
Trent Alexander-Arnold2%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Ryan Gravenberch0%
Wataru Endo0%
Jarell Quansah0%
Tyler Morton0%
Conor Bradley0%
James McConnell0%
Jayden Danns0%
Trey Nyoni0%
West Ham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jarrod Bowen39%
Tomáš Souček24%
Niclas Füllkrug15%
Mohammed Kudus14%
Lucas Paquetá14%
Michail Antonio7%
Emerson Palmieri6%
James Ward-Prowse6%
Danny Ings6%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka5%
Crysencio Summerville5%
Carlos Soler3%
Jean-Clair Todibo0%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Vladimír Coufal0%
Konstantinos Mavropanos0%
Guido Rodríguez0%
Edson Álvarez0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Max Kilman0%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Andy Irving0%
Evan Ferguson0%
Oliver Scarles0%
Luis Guilherme0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lucas Paquetá31%
Edson Álvarez29%
Guido Rodríguez25%
Tomáš Souček21%
Vladimír Coufal20%
Carlos Soler18%
Andy Irving18%
Łukasz Fabiański18%
Emerson Palmieri16%
Aaron Cresswell15%
Konstantinos Mavropanos14%
Jean-Clair Todibo14%
James Ward-Prowse12%
Max Kilman12%
Niclas Füllkrug10%
Crysencio Summerville9%
Mohammed Kudus9%
Michail Antonio7%
Oliver Scarles6%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka5%
Jarrod Bowen3%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Danny Ings0%
Evan Ferguson0%
Luis Guilherme0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jarrod Bowen19%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka13%
Danny Ings12%
Mohammed Kudus11%
Niclas Füllkrug10%
Crysencio Summerville9%
Michail Antonio7%
James Ward-Prowse6%
Guido Rodríguez4%
Edson Álvarez3%
Emerson Palmieri3%
Carlos Soler3%
Tomáš Souček3%
Max Kilman2%
Jean-Clair Todibo0%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Vladimír Coufal0%
Konstantinos Mavropanos0%
Lucas Paquetá0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Andy Irving0%
Evan Ferguson0%
Oliver Scarles0%
Luis Guilherme0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jarrod Bowen31%
Tomáš Souček13%
Mohammed Kudus9%
Lucas Paquetá8%
Michail Antonio7%
Carlos Soler3%
Konstantinos Mavropanos3%
Jean-Clair Todibo0%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Vladimír Coufal0%
Emerson Palmieri0%
Guido Rodríguez0%
Edson Álvarez0%
James Ward-Prowse0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Max Kilman0%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Danny Ings0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Crysencio Summerville0%
Andy Irving0%
Evan Ferguson0%
Oliver Scarles0%
Luis Guilherme0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
SAL (26)
€8m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
CHE (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
BRO (19)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
SHR (17)
€3m
CT (19)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
CAR (1)
€0m
MOR (1)
€0m
Liverpool's squad is €706m more valuable than West Ham's (€980m vs €274m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
CHE (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (3)
€0m
SHR (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Liverpool's attack is €434m more valuable than West Ham's (€518m vs €84m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
FUL (3)
€28m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
MKD (6)
€7m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
SAL (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
BAR (5)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
BR (4)
€0m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
MOR (1)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
Liverpool's midfield is €153m more valuable than West Ham's (€201m vs €48m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
SAL (12)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
CHE (10)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Liverpool's defence is €119m more valuable than West Ham's (€260m vs €141m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
6
LIV wins
1
Draws
1
WHU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Liverpool vs West Ham · H/A from LIV
DateH/AGameScore
27/04/24AWest Ham Vs LIV2-2
24/09/23HLIV Vs West Ham3-1
26/04/23AWest Ham Vs LIV1-2
19/10/22HLIV Vs West Ham1-0
05/03/22HLIV Vs West Ham1-0
07/11/21AWest Ham Vs LIV3-2
31/01/21AWest Ham Vs LIV1-3
31/10/20HLIV Vs West Ham2-1

LiverpoolLiverpool

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/24HLIV Vs Bournemouth3-0
17/09/24AAC Milan Vs LIV1-3
14/09/24HLIV Vs Nottingham Forest0-1
01/09/24AManchester United Vs LIV0-3
25/08/24HLIV Vs Brentford2-0
17/08/24AIpswich Vs LIV0-2
19/05/24HLIV Vs Wolves2-0
13/05/24AAston Villa Vs LIV3-3
05/05/24HLIV Vs Tottenham4-2
27/04/24AWest Ham Vs LIV2-2

West HamWest Ham

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/24HWHU Vs Chelsea0-3
14/09/24AFulham Vs WHU1-1
31/08/24HWHU Vs Manchester City1-3
28/08/24HWHU Vs Bournemouth1-0
24/08/24ACrystal Palace Vs WHU0-2
17/08/24HWHU Vs Aston Villa1-2
19/05/24AManchester City Vs WHU3-1
11/05/24HWHU Vs Luton3-1
05/05/24AChelsea Vs WHU5-0
27/04/24HWHU Vs Liverpool2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Liverpool
Liverpool
England: League Cup
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW2.16
HomeWWWLW2.40
AwayDDWWW1.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %66%76%56%
AVG goals3.423.483.36
Over 1.5 %90%88%92%
Over 2.5 %66%64%68%
Over 3.5 %48%44%52%
Scored2.382.602.16
Conceded1.040.881.20
BTTS60%52%68%
Clean Sheet32%36%28%
Corners11.1011.6010.60
Cards4.184.004.36
West Ham
West Ham
England: League Cup
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDL1.36
HomeWLWLL1.56
AwayLLLWD1.13
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%41%35%
AVG goals3.202.963.48
Over 1.5 %88%85%91%
Over 2.5 %60%52%70%
Over 3.5 %42%41%43%
Scored1.461.591.30
Conceded1.741.372.17
BTTS58%56%61%
Clean Sheet22%30%13%
Corners9.539.819.22
Cards4.084.283.87

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LiverpoolLiverpool3884
66%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
89%
63%
45%
10.4
58%
3.9
55%
21.1
47%
980
5182012602.31.1
58%
2ArsenalArsenal3874
53%
1.9
6934+35
2.7
76%
45%
32%
9.7
55%
4.0
58%
21.2
47%
1406
6082905081.80.9
57%
3Manchester CityManchester City3871
55%
1.9
7244+28
3.1
84%
61%
39%
9.9
55%
3.9
58%
17.7
18%
1326
6351605311.91.2
61%
4ChelseaChelsea3869
53%
1.8
6443+21
2.8
76%
55%
26%
9.9
55%
5.2
79%
23.5
68%
1407
6142785141.71.1
57%
5NewcastleNewcastle3866
53%
1.7
6847+21
3.0
82%
61%
34%
11.1
66%
4.4
61%
22.6
61%
568
2341242101.81.2
51%
6Aston VillaAston Villa3866
50%
1.7
5851+7
2.9
84%
63%
32%
10.6
61%
4.7
79%
24.1
66%
536
2201601561.51.3
50%
7Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3865
50%
1.7
5846+12
2.7
71%
50%
26%
10.6
55%
5.0
76%
21.7
55%
551
263522361.51.2
41%
8BrightonBrighton3861
42%
1.6
6659+7
3.3
89%
71%
45%
9.8
63%
4.3
66%
22.8
55%
620
1901802491.71.6
53%
9BournemouthBournemouth3856
39%
1.5
5846+12
2.7
76%
55%
32%
10.9
63%
5.1
74%
24.3
82%
573
2851061821.51.2
49%
10BrentfordBrentford3856
42%
1.5
6657+9
3.2
84%
61%
39%
11.1
68%
3.8
53%
18.0
18%
565
2281282091.71.5
48%
11FulhamFulham3854
39%
1.4
5454+0
2.8
84%
58%
32%
9.9
55%
3.9
61%
21.1
50%
329
178281231.41.4
53%
12Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3853
34%
1.4
5151+0
2.7
79%
45%
29%
10.2
55%
4.2
61%
22.0
58%
505
229931821.31.3
43%
13EvertonEverton3848
29%
1.3
4244-2
2.3
66%
37%
29%
10.2
58%
3.4
42%
21.4
50%
459
1741621231.11.2
41%
14West HamWest Ham3843
29%
1.1
4662-16
2.8
84%
50%
29%
9.6
53%
3.6
50%
22.4
53%
274
84481411.21.6
48%
15Manchester UnitedManchester United3842
29%
1.1
4454-10
2.6
76%
50%
24%
10.0
53%
4.2
66%
21.0
50%
929
4322362611.21.4
54%
16WolvesWolves3842
32%
1.1
5469-15
3.2
87%
66%
32%
9.7
58%
4.2
61%
24.3
76%
273
79791161.41.8
-
17TottenhamTottenham3838
29%
1.0
6465-1
3.4
82%
63%
45%
11.8
76%
4.2
55%
24.7
82%
920
2502823881.71.7
55%
18LeicesterLeicester3825
16%
0.7
3380-47
3.0
92%
61%
34%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.7
47%
69
2013360.92.1
45%
19IpswichIpswich3822
11%
0.6
3682-46
3.1
84%
58%
39%
10.4
71%
4.1
55%
22.2
50%
280
13066850.92.2
40%
20SouthamptonSouthampton3812
5%
0.3
2686-60
2.9
79%
61%
42%
10.5
66%
3.9
53%
23.5
61%
205
7253790.72.3
48%
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches