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Livingston vs Forfar Result & Analysis

Date: 21/07/2026
Time: 18:45
Final 8-0
Livingston
Livingston
Vs
89%
9%
3%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Forfar
Forfar
Scotland: League Cup
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Livingston win✓ Hit
88.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
8.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Forfar win✗ Miss
2.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LivingstonLivingston

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L22D23L20W22D03L00D14L20W11DA·KIL21/03H·HEA05/04A·DUN11/04A·ST 25/04H·ABE01/05A·DUN09/05A·DUN12/05H·KIL17/05A·BRE14/07H·PAR18/07← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.831.201.930.871.73
vs Stronger (10)1.202.201.602.200.802.20
vs Similar (20)0.951.651.001.800.901.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ForfarForfar

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D21W10W10W40W11D13L12L02L04LA·DUM28/03H·ELG04/04H·EAS11/04A·STR18/04H·EDI25/04A·ANN02/05H·HAM05/05A·HAM09/05A·STE11/07H·PAR14/07← League OneLeague Cup →
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.431.441.561.361.29
vs Stronger (13)0.921.921.111.890.502.00
vs Similar (15)1.871.072.001.171.781.00
vs Weaker (2)1.001.001.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Livingston) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%20%2%07%116%220%320%415%520%6+
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.6%
Under 1.5
9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
74.9%
Under 2.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
54.9%
Under 3.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
41.4%
No
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
3-0
12.7%
2-0
11.4%
4-0
10.7%
5-0
7.2%
3-1
7.0%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.3%
4-1
5.9%
Livingston goals ↓
Forfar goals →
01234
02.4%0.7%0.3%0.1%0.0%
16.4%4.1%1.0%0.2%0.0%
211%6.3%1.7%0.3%0.0%
313%7.0%1.9%0.4%0.0%
411%5.9%1.6%0.3%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Livingston goals (down), columns = Forfar goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Heart Of Midlothian
2.60
ST Johnstone
2.60
Partick
2.50
Alloa Athletic
2.40
Rangers
2.33
ST Mirren
2.25
Airdrie United
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Kilmarnock
2.20
Motherwell
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Ayr Utd
1.80
Morton
1.80
Celtic
1.75
Ross County
1.75
Cove Rangers
1.75
Inverness CT
1.50
Hibernian
1.50
Dumbarton
1.50
Spartans
1.50
Dundee
1.50
Aberdeen
1.50
Livingston
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Raith Rovers
1.50
East Kilbride
1.50
Stranraer
1.25
Clyde
1.25
Arbroath
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.00
East Fife
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Montrose
0.75
Queen of the South
0.75
Kelty Hearts
0.33
Annan Athletic
0.25
Edinburgh City
0.25
Dundee Utd
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Peterhead
0.00
Stirling
0.00
Elgin
0.00
Livingston is 0.50 points better than Forfar in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Heart Of Midlothian
3.40
Raith Rovers
3.25
ST Johnstone
3.00
Falkirk
3.00
Ayr Utd
2.80
ST Mirren
2.75
Ross County
2.75
East Kilbride
2.75
Celtic
2.50
Rangers
2.33
Inverness CT
2.25
Queen's Park
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Partick
2.17
Airdrie United
2.00
Dundee
2.00
Livingston
2.00
Morton
2.00
Kilmarnock
1.80
Alloa Athletic
1.80
Aberdeen
1.50
Arbroath
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Motherwell
1.43
Cove Rangers
1.25
Dundee Utd
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Spartans
1.00
Peterhead
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
Annan Athletic
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Forfar
0.75
East Fife
0.67
Dumbarton
0.50
Stranraer
0.50
Elgin
0.50
Edinburgh City
0.25
Brechin
0.00
Kelty Hearts
0.00
Stirling
0.00
Livingston is 1.25 goals better than Forfar in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 0.75).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Heart Of Midlothian
0.40
ST Johnstone
0.40
Aberdeen
0.50
Cove Rangers
0.50
Kilmarnock
0.60
Dundee
0.75
Stranraer
0.75
Airdrie United
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Motherwell
1.00
Falkirk
1.00
Rangers
1.00
Livingston
1.00
Ayr Utd
1.00
Partick
1.00
Ross County
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
ST Mirren
1.12
Celtic
1.25
Arbroath
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Alloa Athletic
1.40
Spartans
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Forfar
1.50
Morton
1.60
Hamilton Academical
1.75
Dundee Utd
2.00
Inverness CT
2.00
Dumbarton
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Clyde
2.00
Raith Rovers
2.25
Peterhead
2.25
Stirling
2.25
Kelty Hearts
2.33
Montrose
2.50
East Kilbride
3.00
Edinburgh City
4.00
Brechin
4.25
Elgin
4.75
Annan Athletic
5.25
Livingston is 0.50 goals better than Forfar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
63%
ST Mirren
37%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

LivingstonLivingston

For 5.1 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.3

🚩 Corners

15061875763783455431272715129157107129H·KILA·DUNA·DUNH·ABEA·ST A·DUNH·HEAA·KILA·HIBH·ST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

6012421131222221212423624442336H·KILA·DUNA·DUNH·ABEA·ST H·HEAA·KILA·HIBH·ST H·RAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.1 · Against 10.9 · Total 20.0

⚠️ Fouls

2801010121453101510139710107147611172026825231620211328H·KILA·DUNA·DUNH·ABEA·ST A·DUNH·HEAA·KILA·HIBH·ST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ForfarForfar

For 4.8 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.0

🚩 Corners

13085821543642615267591131067108681210A·ANNH·EDIA·STRH·EASH·ELGA·DUMA·ELGH·SPAA·SPAA·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.1

🟨 Cards

7025214421211121112075613232A·ANNH·EDIA·STRH·EASH·ELGA·DUMA·ELGH·SPAA·SPAA·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 12.8 · Total 23.2

⚠️ Fouls

350131081391151718179129161010141091223212022352125202421A·ANNH·EDIA·STRH·EASH·ELGA·DUMA·ELGH·SPAA·SPAA·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LivingstonLivingston

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.210.73.33.53.125.227.623.1
vs Stronger (17)11.712.011.44.84.94.625.426.923.9
vs Similar (33)9.58.710.22.52.82.425.128.122.6
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line58%50%65%50%56%44%71%83%60%
% under line42%50%35%50%44%56%29%17%40%
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ForfarForfar

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.29.58.83.33.23.324.123.824.6
vs Stronger (21)9.29.48.82.82.82.825.223.727.0
vs Similar (24)8.79.48.03.33.43.224.024.323.7
vs Weaker (5)11.410.512.05.04.55.322.021.022.7
% over line48%50%45%48%48%48%70%65%75%
% under line52%50%55%52%52%52%30%35%25%
This opponent (Livingston) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Queen's Park
12.0
ST Mirren
11.2
Morton
11.0
Stirling
11.0
Ross County
10.9
Hibernian
10.8
Celtic
10.7
Dumbarton
10.5
Dundee Utd
10.4
Partick
10.4
East Kilbride
10.4
Rangers
10.4
ST Johnstone
10.4
Stranraer
10.4
Elgin
10.3
Airdrie United
10.1
Aberdeen
10.1
Livingston
10.1
Brechin
10.0
Heart Of Midlothian
10.0
Annan Athletic
9.9
Falkirk
9.9
Dundee
9.9
Clyde
9.7
East Fife
9.7
Arbroath
9.6
Kilmarnock
9.5
Cove Rangers
9.4
Kelty Hearts
9.4
Inverness CT
9.2
Edinburgh City
9.2
Dunfermline
9.1
Spartans
9.1
Peterhead
9.0
Forfar
8.9
Stenhousemuir
8.6
Montrose
8.4
Motherwell
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Edinburgh City
5.1
Peterhead
5.0
Hamilton Academical
5.0
Stenhousemuir
4.9
Aberdeen
4.8
Ayr Utd
4.8
Motherwell
4.7
Hibernian
4.7
Morton
4.6
Heart Of Midlothian
4.4
Partick
4.4
Elgin
4.3
Forfar
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.3
Clyde
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.3
Livingston
4.3
Spartans
4.2
Rangers
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
ST Johnstone
4.2
Falkirk
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Dundee Utd
4.0
Celtic
4.0
Dunfermline
3.9
Montrose
3.7
Arbroath
3.6
Dundee
3.6
East Fife
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Dumbarton
3.5
ST Mirren
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Airdrie United
3.4
Inverness CT
3.2
Cove Rangers
3.2
Raith Rovers
3.0
Queen's Park
2.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.4
East Kilbride
26.4
Motherwell
25.9
Rangers
25.8
Aberdeen
25.7
Stenhousemuir
25.2
Livingston
25.0
Kilmarnock
24.7
Falkirk
24.5
Forfar
24.1
Edinburgh City
23.9
Heart Of Midlothian
23.5
East Fife
22.8
Elgin
22.7
Hibernian
22.6
ST Johnstone
22.6
Kelty Hearts
22.5
Montrose
22.3
Dundee
22.2
Annan Athletic
22.2
Stranraer
22.1
Clyde
22.0
ST Mirren
22.0
Dundee Utd
21.8
Morton
21.8
Inverness CT
21.8
Celtic
21.7
Ross County
21.5
Dunfermline
21.3
Cove Rangers
20.9
Arbroath
20.8
Stirling
20.8
Spartans
20.5
Dumbarton
20.4
Brechin
20.4
Airdrie United
20.0
Partick
19.9
Queen's Park
18.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
39.4%
Under 9.5
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
53.9%
Under 3.5
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
1.9%
Under 21.5
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Livingston or Draw✓ Hit
97.2%
Avg Implied -
89%
9%
3%
covers Livingston + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Livingston or Forfar✓ Hit
91.4%
Avg Implied -
89%
9%
3%
covers Livingston + Forfar
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Forfar✗ Miss
11.4%
Avg Implied -
89%
9%
3%
covers Draw + Forfar
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Livingston over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
96.5%
Under
3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livingston over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
84.8%
Under
15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livingston over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
65.2%
Under
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livingston over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
43.2%
Under
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
42.5%
Under
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
10.7%
Under
89.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
1.9%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.3%
Under
99.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Livingston, so a minus line means Livingston give that many goals of a start and Forfar receive them. At -1, Livingston must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Livingston win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Livingston)Actual: Livingston
Livingston -2
53.7%
Draw -2
20.1%
Forfar +2
26.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Livingston)Actual: Livingston
Livingston -1
73.8%
Draw -1
14.9%
Forfar +1
11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Livingston)Actual: Livingston
Livingston +1
97.2%
Draw +1
2.1%
Forfar -1
0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Livingston)Actual: Livingston
Livingston +2
99.4%
Draw +2
0.5%
Forfar -2
0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LivingstonLivingston

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D01L00D01L01L00D12L20W00DA·KIL21/03H·HEA05/04A·DUN11/04A·ST 25/04H·ABE01/05A·DUN09/05A·DUN12/05H·KIL17/05A·BRE14/07H·PAR18/07← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.000.471.130.470.87
vs Stronger (10)0.701.200.801.200.601.20
vs Similar (20)0.350.900.301.100.400.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ForfarForfar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W21W10W00D20W11D01L00D00D03LA·DUM28/03H·ELG04/04H·EAS11/04A·STR18/04H·EDI25/04A·ANN02/05H·HAM05/05A·HAM09/05A·STE11/07H·PAR14/07← League OneLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.600.750.810.930.36
vs Stronger (13)0.541.080.781.220.000.75
vs Similar (15)1.130.270.830.331.330.22
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Livingston) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Livingston over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livingston over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livingston over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LivingstonLivingston

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D22D20W21W02L00D02L00D11DA·KIL21/03H·HEA05/04A·DUN11/04A·ST 25/04H·ABE01/05A·DUN09/05A·DUN12/05H·KIL17/05A·BRE14/07H·PAR18/07← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.830.730.800.400.87
vs Stronger (10)0.501.000.801.000.201.00
vs Similar (20)0.600.750.700.700.500.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ForfarForfar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D00D10W20W00D12L12L02L01LA·DUM28/03H·ELG04/04H·EAS11/04A·STR18/04H·EDI25/04A·ANN02/05H·HAM05/05A·HAM09/05A·STE11/07H·PAR14/07← League OneLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.830.690.750.430.93
vs Stronger (13)0.380.850.330.670.501.25
vs Similar (15)0.730.801.170.830.440.78
vs Weaker (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Livingston) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Livingston over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livingston over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livingston over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls99.9%--------
Away under 3.5 goals99.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls99.4%--------
Home +2 handicap99.4%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals98.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 21.5 fouls98.1%--------
Home or Draw97.2%-------✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap97.2%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals96.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 7.595.5%-------✗ Miss
Under 19.5 fouls94.6%--------
Home or Away91.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.590.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.589.9%-------✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 goals89.3%-------✓ Hit
Home win88.6%-------✓ Hit
Home over 1.5 goals84.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners81.6%--------
Under 5.5 cards80.6%--------
Under 5.579.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.574.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards74.1%--------
Home -1 handicap73.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners72.2%--------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Livingston · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jeremy Bokila22%
Connor McLennan19%
Lewis Smith17%
Robbie Muirhead15%
Graham Carey14%
Scott Pittman14%
Brooklyn Kabongolo12%
Tete Yengi11%
Jon Nouble10%
Stevie May6%
Mahamadou Susoho6%
Cristian Montaño4%
Mohammad Sylla3%
Danny Wilson3%
Joshua Brenet0%
Scott Arfield0%
Barrie McKay0%
Andrew Shinnie0%
Shane Blaney0%
Andy Winter0%
Cammy Kerr0%
Ryan McGowan0%
Alex Matthias Tamm0%
Jérôme Prior0%
Danny Finlayson0%
Joshua Zimmerman0%
Emmanuel Danso0%
Babacar Fati0%
Adam Montgomery0%
Macaulay Tait0%
Samson Lawal0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Connor McLennan38%
Mahamadou Susoho33%
Cristian Montaño27%
Adam Montgomery25%
Macaulay Tait24%
Emmanuel Danso23%
Danny Finlayson23%
Jeremy Bokila22%
Robbie Muirhead21%
Brooklyn Kabongolo19%
Stevie May18%
Ryan McGowan17%
Babacar Fati17%
Mohammad Sylla16%
Graham Carey14%
Scott Pittman14%
Joshua Zimmerman14%
Samson Lawal13%
Scott Arfield12%
Jérôme Prior11%
Cammy Kerr9%
Lewis Smith6%
Tete Yengi5%
Danny Wilson3%
Joshua Brenet0%
Barrie McKay0%
Andrew Shinnie0%
Shane Blaney0%
Andy Winter0%
Alex Matthias Tamm0%
Jon Nouble0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Barrie McKay29%
Jon Nouble20%
Graham Carey14%
Adam Montgomery12%
Cristian Montaño12%
Macaulay Tait9%
Emmanuel Danso8%
Joshua Brenet7%
Robbie Muirhead6%
Stevie May6%
Scott Pittman6%
Lewis Smith6%
Ryan McGowan4%
Danny Finlayson3%
Jérôme Prior3%
Scott Arfield0%
Jeremy Bokila0%
Mohammad Sylla0%
Andrew Shinnie0%
Shane Blaney0%
Connor McLennan0%
Andy Winter0%
Cammy Kerr0%
Danny Wilson0%
Alex Matthias Tamm0%
Joshua Zimmerman0%
Babacar Fati0%
Tete Yengi0%
Mahamadou Susoho0%
Samson Lawal0%
Brooklyn Kabongolo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tete Yengi11%
Jon Nouble10%
Robbie Muirhead9%
Stevie May9%
Connor McLennan6%
Brooklyn Kabongolo6%
Lewis Smith6%
Cristian Montaño4%
Joshua Brenet0%
Scott Arfield0%
Jeremy Bokila0%
Mohammad Sylla0%
Barrie McKay0%
Andrew Shinnie0%
Shane Blaney0%
Graham Carey0%
Scott Pittman0%
Andy Winter0%
Cammy Kerr0%
Ryan McGowan0%
Danny Wilson0%
Alex Matthias Tamm0%
Jérôme Prior0%
Danny Finlayson0%
Joshua Zimmerman0%
Emmanuel Danso0%
Babacar Fati0%
Adam Montgomery0%
Mahamadou Susoho0%
Macaulay Tait0%
Samson Lawal0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Livingston's squad is €4m more valuable than Forfar's (€4m vs €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Livingston's attack is €1m more valuable than Forfar's (€1m vs €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Livingston's midfield is €1m more valuable than Forfar's (€1m vs €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Livingston's defence is €1m more valuable than Forfar's (€1m vs €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
LIV wins
0
Draws
0
FOR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Livingston vs Forfar · H/A from LIV
DateH/AGameScore
13/07/24AForfar Vs LIV0-2

LivingstonLivingston

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/07/26HLIV Vs Partick1-1
14/07/26ABrechin Vs LIV0-2
17/05/26HLIV Vs Kilmarnock1-4
12/05/26ADundee Utd Vs LIV0-0
09/05/26ADundee Vs LIV3-0
01/05/26HLIV Vs Aberdeen2-2
25/04/26AST Mirren Vs LIV0-2
11/04/26ADundee Utd Vs LIV3-2
05/04/26HLIV Vs Heart Of Midlothian2-2
21/03/26AKilmarnock Vs LIV2-0

ForfarForfar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/07/26HFOR Vs Partick0-4
11/07/26AStenhousemuir Vs FOR2-0
09/05/26AHamilton Academical Vs FOR2-1
05/05/26HFOR Vs Hamilton Academical1-3
02/05/26AAnnan Athletic Vs FOR1-1
25/04/26HFOR Vs Edinburgh City4-0
18/04/26AStranraer Vs FOR0-1
11/04/26HFOR Vs East Kilbride1-0
04/04/26HFOR Vs Elgin2-1
28/03/26ADumbarton Vs FOR2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Livingston
Livingston
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWD0.84
HomeDDDLD0.80
AwayLWLDW0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %16%12%20%
AVG goals2.923.082.76
Over 1.5 %84%92%76%
Over 2.5 %54%56%52%
Over 3.5 %34%40%28%
Scored1.221.401.04
Conceded1.701.681.72
BTTS60%76%44%
Clean Sheet16%8%24%
Corners10.4510.1710.70
Cards4.124.403.85
Forfar
Forfar
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLL1.20
HomeWWWLL1.44
AwayDWDLL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%40%20%
AVG goals2.582.682.48
Over 1.5 %74%72%76%
Over 2.5 %48%48%48%
Over 3.5 %30%32%28%
Scored1.181.321.04
Conceded1.401.361.44
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet28%32%24%
Corners9.189.508.85
Cards4.084.004.15

🏆 17. League Table

Livingston plays in Scotland - Championship
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir410
75%
2.5
82+6
2.5
100%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.5
-
2PartickPartick48
50%
2.0
41+3
1.2
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.00.2
-
3Raith RoversRaith Rovers47
50%
1.8
53+2
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.20.8
-
4ArbroathArbroath47
50%
1.8
33+0
1.5
50%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.80.8
-
5LivingstonLivingston46
50%
1.5
43+1
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.00.8
-
6Ayr UtdAyr Utd45
25%
1.2
44+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.0
-
7DunfermlineDunfermline45
25%
1.2
23-1
1.2
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2020.50.8
-
8Inverness CTInverness CT43
0%
0.8
24-2
1.5
50%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.51.0
-
9MortonMorton41
0%
0.2
26-4
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.51.5
-
10QueenQueen's Park41
0%
0.2
16-5
1.8
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.21.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →
Forfar plays in Scotland - League Two
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ElginElgin511
60%
2.2
175+12
4.4
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.41.0
-
2ClydeClyde510
60%
2.0
116+5
3.4
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
3ForfarForfar58
40%
1.6
65+1
2.2
80%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
4Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City58
40%
1.6
78-1
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
5StranraerStranraer57
40%
1.4
66+0
2.4
60%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
6SpartansSpartans56
20%
1.2
1211+1
4.6
80%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.42.2
-
7Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic56
40%
1.2
67-1
2.6
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
8Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts56
40%
1.2
710-3
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.42.0
-
9StirlingStirling54
20%
0.8
612-6
3.6
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
10DumbartonDumbarton53
20%
0.6
210-8
2.4
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.42.0
-
Scotland: League Two 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

← all matches