Livyi Bereh vs Chornomorets Result & Analysis

The contest between Livyi Bereh and Chornomorets is finely balanced, with the model favouring an away win. Home odds sit at 32%, a draw at 30%, and the away side at 38%. The expected total goals is 2.5, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 27%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.2% probability. Livyi Bereh, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.11 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Chornomorets on the road averages 1.18 scored and 1.27 conceded. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 89.4%, Over 21.5 fouls at 79.5%, Over 2.5 cards at 79.2%, Under 3.5 at 76.7% (hit), Under 5.5 cards at 75.1%, Under 11.5 corners at 74.0%, and Over 1.5 at 71.6% (hit). These selections reflect the model’s view of the match’s dynamics.

The match ended in a 1-1 draw, a shock that left the pre-match favourite, Chornomorets, on the wrong side of the outcome. The model had tipped an away win with a 38% probability, but the result proved otherwise. The under 3.5 goals selection hit, with a 76.7% chance, while the over 1.5 goals pick also succeeded, backed by a 71.6% probability. Livyi Bereh, unbeaten in their last five with a 1-1 draw against Karpaty, and Chornomorets, coming off a 1-0 victory over Kryvbas KR, both struggled to break the deadlock. The final score of 1-1 confirmed the draw, leaving the model’s favourite call incorrect.