This opponent (Karpaty) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Karpaty
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
0.77
1.82
0.76
1.46
0.77
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
1.20
1.60
1.33
1.33
1.00
2.00
vs Weaker (25)
1.76
0.60
1.93
0.64
1.55
0.55
Clean sheet %
50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Livyi Bereh) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
73.9%
Under 1.5
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.5%
Under 2.5
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.9%
Under 3.5
74.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.7%
No
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.8%
3-0
5.8%
0-1 ✓
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
Livyi Bereh goals ↓
Karpaty goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.8%
5.8%
3.2%
1.0%
0.2%
1
12%
13%
5.3%
1.6%
0.4%
2
11%
9.6%
4.4%
1.3%
0.3%
3
5.8%
5.3%
2.4%
0.7%
0.2%
4
2.4%
2.2%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Livyi Bereh goals (down), columns = Karpaty goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
UCSA
3.00
Inhulets
2.39
Karpaty
2.32
Zvyahel
2.00
Livyi Bereh
1.93
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.57
Bukovyna
1.46
Nyva Buzova
1.43
Prykarpattia
1.43
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1.39
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1.39
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.36
SK Poltava
1.32
Yarud Mariupol'
1.32
Nyva Ternopil
1.29
Metal Kharkiv
1.07
Dinaz Vyshhorod
1.07
Khust City
1.00
Metalurh Zaporizhya
0.93
Kremin'
0.89
Hirnyk-Sport
0.82
Chernihiv
0.82
Livyi Bereh is 0.39 points worse than Karpaty in terms of average points per game (1.93 vs 2.32).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
UCSA
3.50
Inhulets
2.14
Livyi Bereh
2.11
SK Poltava
1.75
Karpaty
1.75
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.39
Bukovyna
1.36
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1.29
Prykarpattia
1.25
Chernihiv
1.21
Khust City
1.17
Nyva Buzova
1.14
Dinaz Vyshhorod
1.11
Yarud Mariupol'
1.04
Nyva Ternopil
1.04
Zvyahel
1.00
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
0.96
Metal Kharkiv
0.96
Metalurh Zaporizhya
0.93
Hirnyk-Sport
0.86
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0.82
Kremin'
0.71
Livyi Bereh is 0.36 goals better than Karpaty in terms of goals scored per game (2.11 vs 1.75).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Zvyahel
0.50
UCSA
0.50
Inhulets
0.61
Karpaty
0.71
Livyi Bereh
0.75
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
0.93
Yarud Mariupol'
0.93
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0.96
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.04
Bukovyna
1.04
Nyva Ternopil
1.04
Prykarpattia
1.07
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.18
Nyva Buzova
1.21
Metal Kharkiv
1.21
Dinaz Vyshhorod
1.36
SK Poltava
1.61
Kremin'
1.71
Hirnyk-Sport
1.75
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.83
Khust City
1.83
Chernihiv
2.36
Livyi Bereh is 0.04 goals worse than Karpaty in terms of goals conceded per game (0.75 vs 0.71).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Livyi Bereh
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.19
1.70
0.10
0.55
0.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.00
0.40
1.40
0.20
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (11)
1.18
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
81% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Karpaty) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Karpaty
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.37
0.88
0.41
0.62
0.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.20
0.80
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (25)
0.88
0.28
1.00
0.29
0.73
0.27
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Livyi Bereh) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Livyi Bereh over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livyi Bereh over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livyi Bereh over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karpaty over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karpaty over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karpaty over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Livyi Bereh
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.24
0.38
1.60
0.40
0.91
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.10
0.60
1.20
0.40
1.00
0.80
vs Weaker (11)
1.36
0.18
2.00
0.40
0.83
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Karpaty) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Karpaty
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.40
0.94
0.35
0.85
0.46
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
1.00
0.80
1.00
0.33
1.00
1.50
vs Weaker (25)
0.88
0.32
0.93
0.36
0.82
0.27
Clean sheet %
70% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Livyi Bereh) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Livyi Bereh over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livyi Bereh over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livyi Bereh over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karpaty over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karpaty over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karpaty over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Livyi Bereh · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sidnney Silva Santos33%
Oleg Synytsia13%
Dmytro Shastal11%
Dmytro Semenov9%
Mykola Kohut9%
Andriy Yakimiv8%
Danyil Sukhoruchko7%
Yevhen Banada0%
Vladyslav Shapoval0%
Serhii Kosovskyi0%
Vladislav Voytsekhovskiy0%
Ivan Kogut0%
Oleg Sokolov0%
Ernest Astakhov0%
Ruslan Dedukh0%
Klim Prykhodko0%
Maksym Mekhaniv0%
Andriy Riznyk0%
Bohdan Kobzar0%
Valerii Samar0%
Andriy Spivakov0%
Taras Galas0%
Diego Henrique0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ruslan Dedukh40%
Andriy Spivakov40%
Ernest Astakhov33%
Valerii Samar29%
Klim Prykhodko25%
Yevhen Banada23%
Andriy Riznyk20%
Ivan Kogut17%
Oleg Sokolov17%
Andriy Yakimiv15%
Diego Henrique14%
Maksym Mekhaniv12%
Dmytro Shastal11%
Dmytro Semenov9%
Vladyslav Shapoval8%
Oleg Synytsia7%
Danyil Sukhoruchko0%
Serhii Kosovskyi0%
Vladislav Voytsekhovskiy0%
Sidnney Silva Santos0%
Mykola Kohut0%
Bohdan Kobzar0%
Taras Galas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Serhii Kosovskyi14%
Diego Henrique14%
Danyil Sukhoruchko13%
Dmytro Shastal11%
Mykola Kohut9%
Oleg Synytsia7%
Dmytro Semenov0%
Yevhen Banada0%
Andriy Yakimiv0%
Vladyslav Shapoval0%
Vladislav Voytsekhovskiy0%
Sidnney Silva Santos0%
Ivan Kogut0%
Oleg Sokolov0%
Ernest Astakhov0%
Ruslan Dedukh0%
Klim Prykhodko0%
Maksym Mekhaniv0%
Andriy Riznyk0%
Bohdan Kobzar0%
Valerii Samar0%
Andriy Spivakov0%
Taras Galas0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dmytro Shastal33%
Sidnney Silva Santos11%
Danyil Sukhoruchko7%
Oleg Synytsia7%
Dmytro Semenov0%
Yevhen Banada0%
Andriy Yakimiv0%
Vladyslav Shapoval0%
Serhii Kosovskyi0%
Vladislav Voytsekhovskiy0%
Ivan Kogut0%
Mykola Kohut0%
Oleg Sokolov0%
Ernest Astakhov0%
Ruslan Dedukh0%
Klim Prykhodko0%
Maksym Mekhaniv0%
Andriy Riznyk0%
Bohdan Kobzar0%
Valerii Samar0%
Andriy Spivakov0%
Taras Galas0%
Diego Henrique0%
Karpaty · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bruninho33%
Igor Krasnopir33%
Baboucarr Faal33%
Xeber Alkain29%
Yan Kostenko25%
Ambrosiy Chachua12%
Igor Neves12%
Jean Pedroso9%
Shakh Artur8%
Vladyslav Babohlo7%
Pavlo Polehenko0%
Volodymyr Adamyuk0%
Denys Miroshnichenko0%
Rostyslav Liakh0%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi0%
Edson Fernando0%
Paulo Vitor0%
Vladiylav Klymenko0%
Pablo Alvarez0%
Oleksiy Sych0%
Yaroslav Karabin0%
Stênio Zanetti0%
Patricio Tanda0%
Marko Sapuga0%
Ilya Kvasnytsya0%
Vitaliy Kholod0%
Oleg Fedor0%
Fabiano Rodrigues Pereira0%
Nazar Domchak0%
Paulo Vitor0%
Eriki0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vladyslav Babohlo50%
Pablo Alvarez33%
Rostyslav Liakh29%
Bruninho27%
Denys Miroshnichenko25%
Marko Sapuga25%
Vitaliy Kholod25%
Patricio Tanda22%
Igor Krasnopir22%
Edson Fernando20%
Yan Kostenko17%
Nazar Domchak12%
Jean Pedroso9%
Ambrosiy Chachua6%
Pavlo Polehenko0%
Volodymyr Adamyuk0%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi0%
Paulo Vitor0%
Vladiylav Klymenko0%
Xeber Alkain0%
Oleksiy Sych0%
Yaroslav Karabin0%
Stênio Zanetti0%
Igor Neves0%
Ilya Kvasnytsya0%
Shakh Artur0%
Oleg Fedor0%
Baboucarr Faal0%
Fabiano Rodrigues Pereira0%
Paulo Vitor0%
Eriki0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Baboucarr Faal33%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi25%
Vladyslav Babohlo14%
Ambrosiy Chachua12%
Yaroslav Karabin12%
Jean Pedroso9%
Bruninho7%
Pavlo Polehenko0%
Volodymyr Adamyuk0%
Denys Miroshnichenko0%
Rostyslav Liakh0%
Edson Fernando0%
Paulo Vitor0%
Vladiylav Klymenko0%
Xeber Alkain0%
Pablo Alvarez0%
Oleksiy Sych0%
Yan Kostenko0%
Stênio Zanetti0%
Igor Neves0%
Patricio Tanda0%
Marko Sapuga0%
Ilya Kvasnytsya0%
Vitaliy Kholod0%
Igor Krasnopir0%
Shakh Artur0%
Oleg Fedor0%
Fabiano Rodrigues Pereira0%
Nazar Domchak0%
Paulo Vitor0%
Eriki0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ambrosiy Chachua19%
Denys Miroshnichenko17%
Baboucarr Faal17%
Xeber Alkain14%
Paulo Vitor12%
Igor Neves12%
Jean Pedroso9%
Yan Kostenko8%
Bruninho7%
Vladyslav Babohlo0%
Pavlo Polehenko0%
Volodymyr Adamyuk0%
Rostyslav Liakh0%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi0%
Edson Fernando0%
Vladiylav Klymenko0%
Pablo Alvarez0%
Oleksiy Sych0%
Yaroslav Karabin0%
Stênio Zanetti0%
Patricio Tanda0%
Marko Sapuga0%
Ilya Kvasnytsya0%
Vitaliy Kholod0%
Igor Krasnopir0%
Shakh Artur0%
Oleg Fedor0%
Fabiano Rodrigues Pereira0%
Nazar Domchak0%
Paulo Vitor0%
Eriki0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (28)
€13m
BUK (25)
€9m
ED (23)
€6m
LB (25)
€5m
SP (22)
€4m
YM (21)
€3m
NT (23)
€3m
MK (17)
€3m
UCS (23)
€2m
AV (18)
€2m
CHE (22)
€2m
VM (19)
€2m
PRY (18)
€2m
INH (15)
€1m
Livyi Bereh's squad is €8m less valuable than Karpaty's (€5m vs €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (8)
€4m
BUK (10)
€4m
LB (7)
€2m
ED (6)
€1m
YM (6)
€1m
SP (5)
€1m
UCS (8)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
VM (5)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
MK (4)
€0m
AV (3)
€0m
CHE (4)
€0m
INH (6)
€0m
Livyi Bereh's attack is €2m less valuable than Karpaty's (€2m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (5)
€2m
BUK (5)
€2m
ED (6)
€2m
YM (7)
€1m
LB (6)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SP (7)
€1m
NT (5)
€1m
VM (8)
€1m
AV (4)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
MK (5)
€1m
UCS (5)
€1m
INH (5)
€0m
Livyi Bereh's midfield is €1m less valuable than Karpaty's (€1m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (15)
€7m
BUK (10)
€3m
ED (11)
€3m
LB (12)
€2m
SP (10)
€2m
MK (8)
€2m
AV (11)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
UCS (10)
€1m
CHE (10)
€1m
INH (4)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
YM (8)
€1m
VM (6)
€1m
Livyi Bereh's defence is €4m less valuable than Karpaty's (€2m vs €7m).
Ukraine: Persha Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Persha Liga stats & trends →