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Lokomotiv Gomel vs Osipovichy Result & Analysis

Date: 24/07/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 2-2
Lokomotiv Gomel
Lokomotiv Gomel
Vs
80%
12%
8%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Osipovichy
Osipovichy
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Lokomotiv Gomel win✗ Miss
79.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
12.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Osipovichy win✗ Miss
8.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Lokomotiv GomelLokomotiv Gomel

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-541W00D33D00D12L00D50W03L21W23LH·SMO15/04A·ML 22/04H·OST30/04A·MOL08/05H·VOL15/05A·SLO22/05H·BAR12/06A·SHA03/07H·LID10/07A·NAF17/07
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.182.831.170.401.20
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (3)1.671.005.000.000.001.50
vs Weaker (7)2.001.432.401.401.001.50
Clean sheet %45% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Osipovichy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OsipovichyOsipovichy

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-824L11D04L00D01L03L13L41W18L02LA·SHA17/04H·LID22/04A·NAF30/04H·ORS14/05A·SMO21/05H·ML 04/06A·OST11/06H·MOL03/07A·VOL09/07H·SLO16/07
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.822.730.831.670.804.00
vs Stronger (9)1.003.111.252.000.804.00
vs Similar (2)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %9% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv Gomel) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%15%22%29%2%04%112%217%319%417%529%6+
The model estimates around 4.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (29%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
94.4%
Under 1.5
5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
82.8%
Under 2.5
17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
65.9%
Under 3.5
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.4%
No
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
3-1
8.1%
3-0
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
4-1
6.8%
2-0
6.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
4.7%
1-1
4.6%
Lokomotiv Gomel goals ↓
Osipovichy goals →
01234
01.5%0.8%0.7%0.3%0.1%
13.3%4.6%2.3%0.9%0.2%
26.4%7.1%4.0%1.5%0.4%
37.2%8.1%4.5%1.7%0.5%
46.1%6.8%3.8%1.4%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lokomotiv Gomel goals (down), columns = Osipovichy goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Naftan
2.21
Smorgon
2.17
Shakhtyor Petrikov
1.88
ML Vitebsk
1.71
Ostrovets FC
1.67
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.62
Volna
1.50
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.21
Orsha
1.12
Lida
1.08
Slonim
0.75
Osipovichy
0.54
Baranovichi
0.50
Lokomotiv Gomel is 1.08 points better than Osipovichy in terms of average points per game (1.62 vs 0.54).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Shakhtyor Petrikov
2.88
Naftan
2.29
Smorgon
1.92
ML Vitebsk
1.88
Volna
1.83
Ostrovets FC
1.75
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.62
Lida
1.46
Orsha
1.38
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.25
Baranovichi
1.04
Slonim
1.00
Osipovichy
0.88
Lokomotiv Gomel is 0.75 goals better than Osipovichy in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 0.88).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Naftan
0.79
Shakhtyor Petrikov
0.83
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.00
Smorgon
1.12
ML Vitebsk
1.42
Ostrovets FC
1.42
Volna
1.46
Lida
1.79
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.88
Orsha
2.17
Slonim
2.21
Osipovichy
2.21
Baranovichi
2.88
Lokomotiv Gomel is 1.21 goals better than Osipovichy in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 2.21).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Lokomotiv GomelLokomotiv Gomel

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W00D31W00D11D00D30W02L11D00DH·SMO15/04A·ML 22/04H·OST30/04A·MOL08/05H·VOL15/05A·SLO22/05H·BAR12/06A·SHA03/07H·LID10/07A·NAF17/07
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.090.452.000.500.000.40
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (3)1.000.673.000.000.001.00
vs Weaker (7)1.290.431.800.600.000.00
Clean sheet %64% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Osipovichy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OsipovichyOsipovichy

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D11D00D00D00D01L00D20W05L01LA·SHA17/04H·LID22/04A·NAF30/04H·ORS14/05A·SMO21/05H·ML 04/06A·OST11/06H·MOL03/07A·VOL09/07H·SLO16/07
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.360.910.500.670.201.20
vs Stronger (9)0.441.000.750.750.201.20
vs Similar (2)0.000.500.000.50--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %45% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv Gomel) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lokomotiv Gomel over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv Gomel over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv Gomel over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osipovichy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osipovichy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osipovichy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Lokomotiv GomelLokomotiv Gomel

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D02L00D01L00D20W01L10W23LH·SMO15/04A·ML 22/04H·OST30/04A·MOL08/05H·VOL15/05A·SLO22/05H·BAR12/06A·SHA03/07H·LID10/07A·NAF17/07
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.640.730.830.670.400.80
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (3)0.670.332.000.000.000.50
vs Weaker (7)0.711.000.600.801.001.50
Clean sheet %55% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Osipovichy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OsipovichyOsipovichy

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L00D04L00D01L02L13L21W13L01LA·SHA17/04H·LID22/04A·NAF30/04H·ORS14/05A·SMO21/05H·ML 04/06A·OST11/06H·MOL03/07A·VOL09/07H·SLO16/07
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.451.820.331.000.602.80
vs Stronger (9)0.562.110.501.250.602.80
vs Similar (2)0.000.500.000.50--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %18% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv Gomel) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lokomotiv Gomel over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv Gomel over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv Gomel over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osipovichy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osipovichy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osipovichy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.594.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.582.8%-------✓ Hit
Home win79.8%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
BAR (21)
€2m
NAF (21)
€2m
SMO (25)
€2m
M4 (22)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
OSI (20)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
BAR (8)
€1m
SMO (9)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
NAF (4)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
M4 (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
OSI (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
NAF (9)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
BAR (4)
€0m
M4 (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
SMO (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
BAR (9)
€1m
SMO (9)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
M4 (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
LG wins
0
Draws
0
OSI wins

Head-to-head

Lokomotiv Gomel vs Osipovichy · H/A from LG
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Lokomotiv GomelLokomotiv Gomel

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/07/22ANaftan Vs LG3-2
10/07/22HLG Vs Lida2-1
03/07/22AShakhtyor Petrikov Vs LG3-0
12/06/22HLG Vs Baranovichi5-0
22/05/22ASlonim Vs LG0-0
15/05/22HLG Vs Volna1-2
08/05/22AMolodechno-DYuSSh 4 Vs LG0-0
30/04/22HLG Vs Ostrovets FC3-3
22/04/22AML Vitebsk Vs LG0-0
15/04/22HLG Vs Smorgon4-1

OsipovichyOsipovichy

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/07/22HOSI Vs Slonim0-2
09/07/22AVolna Vs OSI8-1
03/07/22HOSI Vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 44-1
11/06/22AOstrovets FC Vs OSI3-1
04/06/22HOSI Vs ML Vitebsk0-3
21/05/22ASmorgon Vs OSI1-0
14/05/22HOSI Vs Orsha0-0
30/04/22ANaftan Vs OSI4-0
22/04/22HOSI Vs Lida1-1
17/04/22AShakhtyor Petrikov Vs OSI4-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lokomotiv Gomel
Lokomotiv Gomel
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWL1.45
HomeWDLWW2.17
AwayDDDLL0.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%67%0%
AVG goals2.914.001.60
Over 1.5 %73%100%40%
Over 2.5 %64%83%40%
Over 3.5 %36%50%20%
Scored1.732.830.40
Conceded1.181.171.20
BTTS45%67%20%
Clean Sheet45%33%60%
Corners---
Cards---
Osipovichy
Osipovichy
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL0.45
HomeDDLWL0.83
AwayLLLLL0.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %9%17%0%
AVG goals3.552.504.80
Over 1.5 %82%83%80%
Over 2.5 %64%50%80%
Over 3.5 %45%17%80%
Scored0.820.830.80
Conceded2.731.674.00
BTTS45%33%60%
Clean Sheet9%17%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1NaftanNaftan2453
67%
2.2
5519+36
3.1
79%
62%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.30.8
-
2SmorgonSmorgon2452
67%
2.2
4627+19
3.0
83%
58%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.91.1
-
3Shakhtyor PetrikovShakhtyor Petrikov2445
54%
1.9
6920+49
3.7
79%
71%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.90.8
-
4ML VitebskML Vitebsk2441
50%
1.7
4534+11
3.3
71%
67%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
6351.91.4
-
5Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC2440
46%
1.7
4234+8
3.2
83%
67%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.81.4
-
6Lokomotiv GomelLokomotiv Gomel2439
42%
1.6
3924+15
2.6
71%
54%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.0
-
7VolnaVolna2436
42%
1.5
4435+9
3.3
88%
62%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.81.5
-
8Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 42429
29%
1.2
3045-15
3.1
88%
62%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.9
-
9OrshaOrsha2427
29%
1.1
3352-19
3.5
83%
71%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.2
-
10LidaLida2426
25%
1.1
3543-8
3.2
83%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.51.8
-
11SlonimSlonim2418
21%
0.8
2453-29
3.2
83%
58%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.2
-
12OsipovichyOsipovichy2413
12%
0.5
2153-32
3.1
79%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.2
-
13BaranovichiBaranovichi2412
12%
0.5
2569-44
3.9
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.02.9
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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