Lokomotiv Sofia vs Cherno More Varna Result & Analysis

Lokomotiv Sofia will look to overturn a recent 2-2 draw against Dunav Ruse, but the model favours a Cherno More Varna win. The odds lean 58% for the away side, 23% for a draw and 19% for a home victory, with the most likely result being an away win. The expected total of 3.1 goals suggests a fairly open game, yet the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying an 10.8% chance. Lokomotiv’s home form shows 1.14 goals scored and 1.57 conceded against similar opposition, while Cherno More’s away record boasts 2.0 goals scored and only 1.22 conceded. The model’s selections include an 91.2% chance of over 2.5 cards, a 90.2% probability of under 11.5 corners, an 85.8% likelihood of over 19.5 fouls, an 83.6% chance of under 10.5 corners, an 82.5% probability of over 1.5 goals, a 79.9% chance of over 3.5 cards, a 74.2% likelihood of under 9.5 corners, and a 74.0% probability of over 21.5 fouls.

Lokomotiv Sofia’s return after a draw and Cherno More Varna’s slump from a defeat set the stage for a surprise. The pre-match favourite was an away win at 58% probability, but the match finished 0-0, a draw that left the model’s pick wrong. The model’s selection of an away win was therefore missed. Its other picks were mixed: Over 2.5 cards at 91.2% missed, Under 11.5 corners at 90.2% hit, Over 19.5 fouls at 85.8% hit, Under 10.5 corners at 83.6% hit, Over 1.5 at 82.5% missed, Over 3.5 cards at 79.9% missed, Under 9.5 corners at 74.2% hit, and Over 21.5 fouls at 74.0% hit. The final score of 0-0 matched the model’s most likely 1-1 prediction, but the actual result was a stalemate.