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Lokomotíva Zvolen vs Šamorín Result & Analysis

Date: 11/04/2025
Time: 14:30
Final 1-0
Lokomotíva Zvolen
Lokomotíva Zvolen
Vs
39%
28%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Šamorín
Šamorín
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lokomotíva Zvolen win✓ Hit
38.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Šamorín win✗ Miss
33.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D03L10W02L01L21W01L11D12L30WH·PÚC19/10H·STA26/10A·ZLA01/11A·PET09/11H·TAT01/03A·HUM08/03H·POV18/03A·LIP22/03H·ŽIL29/03A·POH04/04
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.951.621.101.600.821.64
vs Stronger (6)0.331.330.671.330.001.33
vs Similar (13)1.081.851.171.831.001.86
vs Weaker (2)2.001.002.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %19% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Šamorín) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ŠamorínŠamorín

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L12L34L13L21W13L02L10W10W11DA·TAT19/10H·HUM27/10A·POV02/11A·LIP09/11H·ŽIL02/03A·POH07/03H·SLO23/03H·MAL30/03A·STA02/04H·PÚC06/04
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.471.471.071.401.87
vs Stronger (7)1.001.571.671.000.502.00
vs Similar (22)1.591.411.451.001.731.82
vs Weaker (1)1.002.001.002.00--
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotíva Zvolen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
76.5%
Under 1.5
23.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.8%
Under 2.5
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.8%
Under 3.5
71.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.2%
No
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
2-1
8.6%
1-0 ✓
8.2%
0-0
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
0-1
7.4%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
5.6%
Lokomotíva Zvolen goals ↓
Šamorín goals →
01234
07.9%7.4%5.6%2.4%0.8%
18.2%13%7.9%3.4%1.1%
26.7%8.6%5.6%2.4%0.8%
33.1%4.1%2.6%1.1%0.4%
41.1%1.4%0.9%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lokomotíva Zvolen goals (down), columns = Šamorín goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Tatran Prešov
2.42
Zlaté Moravce
2.00
Považská Bystrica
1.69
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.65
Púchov
1.50
Petržalka
1.42
Malženice
1.31
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.31
Žilina II
1.19
Šamorín
1.15
Pohronie
1.12
Slovan Bratislava II
1.08
Stará Ľubovňa
0.92
Humenné
0.88
Lokomotíva Zvolen is 0.15 points better than Šamorín in terms of average points per game (1.31 vs 1.15).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Tatran Prešov
1.96
Púchov
1.62
Považská Bystrica
1.62
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.62
Zlaté Moravce
1.58
Pohronie
1.42
Malženice
1.27
Slovan Bratislava II
1.27
Petržalka
1.23
Žilina II
1.23
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.15
Šamorín
1.12
Stará Ľubovňa
0.92
Humenné
0.77
Lokomotíva Zvolen is 0.04 goals better than Šamorín in terms of goals scored per game (1.15 vs 1.12).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zlaté Moravce
0.69
Tatran Prešov
0.73
Petržalka
1.00
Stará Ľubovňa
1.15
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.19
Považská Bystrica
1.35
Púchov
1.38
Humenné
1.50
Žilina II
1.50
Šamorín
1.54
Malženice
1.54
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.58
Slovan Bratislava II
1.65
Pohronie
1.96
Lokomotíva Zvolen is 0.04 goals worse than Šamorín in terms of goals conceded per game (1.58 vs 1.54).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L00D02L01L11D01L01L01L00DH·PÚC19/10H·STA26/10A·ZLA01/11A·PET09/11H·TAT01/03A·HUM08/03H·POV18/03A·LIP22/03H·ŽIL29/03A·POH04/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.291.000.400.900.181.09
vs Stronger (6)0.170.830.331.000.000.67
vs Similar (13)0.231.080.330.830.141.29
vs Weaker (2)1.001.001.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %24% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Šamorín) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ŠamorínŠamorín

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W22D01L01L12L00D10W00D01LA·TAT19/10H·HUM27/10A·POV02/11A·LIP09/11H·ŽIL02/03A·POH07/03H·SLO23/03H·MAL30/03A·STA02/04H·PÚC06/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.670.600.530.670.80
vs Stronger (7)0.430.570.670.670.250.50
vs Similar (22)0.680.730.550.550.820.91
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotíva Zvolen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lokomotíva Zvolen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotíva Zvolen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotíva Zvolen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L10W00D00D10W00D10W11D30WH·PÚC19/10H·STA26/10A·ZLA01/11A·PET09/11H·TAT01/03A·HUM08/03H·POV18/03A·LIP22/03H·ŽIL29/03A·POH04/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.620.700.700.640.55
vs Stronger (6)0.170.500.330.330.000.67
vs Similar (13)0.850.770.831.000.860.57
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Šamorín) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ŠamorínŠamorín

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L02L12L12L20W01L02L00D10W10WA·TAT19/10H·HUM27/10A·POV02/11A·LIP09/11H·ŽIL02/03A·POH07/03H·SLO23/03H·MAL30/03A·STA02/04H·PÚC06/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.800.870.530.731.07
vs Stronger (7)0.571.001.000.330.251.50
vs Similar (22)0.910.680.910.450.910.91
vs Weaker (1)0.002.000.002.00--
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotíva Zvolen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lokomotíva Zvolen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotíva Zvolen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotíva Zvolen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.576.5%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.571.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LZ (16)
€1m
ZM (14)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
Lokomotíva Zvolen and Šamorín have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
LZ (3)
€0m
Lokomotíva Zvolen and Šamorín have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŠAM (6)
€1m
LZ (3)
€0m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Lokomotíva Zvolen and Šamorín have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
LZ (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Lokomotíva Zvolen and Šamorín have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
LZ wins
0
Draws
1
ŠAM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lokomotíva Zvolen vs Šamorín · H/A from LZ
DateH/AGameScore
22/09/24AŠamorín Vs LZ3-1

Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/04/25APohronie Vs LZ0-3
29/03/25HLZ Vs Žilina II1-2
22/03/25ALiptovský Mikuláš Vs LZ1-1
18/03/25HLZ Vs Považská Bystrica0-1
08/03/25AHumenné Vs LZ1-2
01/03/25HLZ Vs Tatran Prešov0-1
09/11/24APetržalka Vs LZ2-0
01/11/24AZlaté Moravce Vs LZ0-1
26/10/24HLZ Vs Stará Ľubovňa0-3
19/10/24HLZ Vs Púchov1-1

ŠamorínŠamorín

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/04/25HŠAM Vs Púchov1-1
02/04/25AStará Ľubovňa Vs ŠAM0-1
30/03/25HŠAM Vs Malženice1-0
23/03/25HŠAM Vs Slovan Bratislava II0-2
07/03/25APohronie Vs ŠAM3-1
02/03/25HŠAM Vs Žilina II2-1
09/11/24ALiptovský Mikuláš Vs ŠAM3-1
02/11/24APovažská Bystrica Vs ŠAM4-3
27/10/24HŠAM Vs Humenné1-2
19/10/24ATatran Prešov Vs ŠAM3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lokomotíva Zvolen
Lokomotíva Zvolen
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLW1.05
HomeDLLLL1.10
AwayWLWDW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%30%27%
AVG goals2.572.702.45
Over 1.5 %71%70%73%
Over 2.5 %57%60%55%
Over 3.5 %24%20%27%
Scored0.951.100.82
Conceded1.621.601.64
BTTS43%50%36%
Clean Sheet19%10%27%
Corners---
Cards---
Šamorín
Šamorín
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWD1.28
HomeLWLWD1.68
AwayLLLLW0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%48%24%
AVG goals3.203.442.96
Over 1.5 %86%92%80%
Over 2.5 %62%68%56%
Over 3.5 %38%44%32%
Scored1.541.841.24
Conceded1.661.601.72
BTTS54%68%40%
Clean Sheet24%24%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov2663
77%
2.4
5119+32
2.7
69%
58%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.00.7
-
2Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce2652
62%
2.0
4118+23
2.3
62%
35%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.60.7
-
3Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica2644
50%
1.7
4235+7
3.0
81%
58%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.3
-
4Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš2643
46%
1.7
4231+11
2.8
81%
54%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.61.2
-
5PúchovPúchov2639
42%
1.5
4236+6
3.0
85%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.4
-
6PetržalkaPetržalka2637
38%
1.4
3226+6
2.2
65%
38%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.0
-
7MalženiceMalženice2634
38%
1.3
3340-7
2.8
81%
54%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.5
-
8Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen2634
38%
1.3
3041-11
2.7
73%
62%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.6
-
9Žilina IIŽilina II2631
35%
1.2
3239-7
2.7
69%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.5
-
10ŠamorínŠamorín2630
35%
1.2
2940-11
2.7
81%
54%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.5
-
11PohroniePohronie2629
31%
1.1
3751-14
3.4
88%
65%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.42.0
-
12Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II2628
31%
1.1
3343-10
2.9
85%
58%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.7
-
13Stará ĽubovňaStará Ľubovňa2624
23%
0.9
2430-6
2.1
62%
42%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
14HumennéHumenné2623
19%
0.9
2039-19
2.3
73%
42%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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