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Lokomotíva Zvolen vs Tatran Prešov Result & Analysis

Date: 01/08/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
Lokomotíva Zvolen
Lokomotíva Zvolen
Vs
37%
27%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Tatran Prešov
Tatran Prešov
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Squad value14 Games History15 Overall Statistics16 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Lokomotiva Zvolen, coming off two straight defeats, host Tatran Presov in a crucial match. The visitors are coming off a draw, but their away form has been underwhelming, scoring just 0.67 goals per game against similar opponents. Lokomotiva Zvolen's home form has been slightly better, scoring 1.75 goals per game at home against similar opponents.

The model predicts a home win, with a 37% chance of Lokomotiva Zvolen taking the three points. The most likely score is a 1-1 draw, but the expected total goals is 2.9. Lokomotiva Zvolen's home scoring and conceding rates suggest they may struggle to break down Presov's defense.

The model's most significant selection is Over 1.5 goals, with a 79% probability. This selection has an 8% edge, suggesting the model believes this match will be more open than the market expects. The model's other selection is Lokomotiva Zvolen to win, with a 37% probability. The probabilities for home win, draw, and away win are 37%, 27%, and 35% respectively.

Results analysis

A stunning upset in Slovakia's 2. liga as Lokomotiva Zvolen's recent woes continued, with the team falling to a 0-1 defeat against Tatran Presov. This loss extends their run of two straight defeats, following a 0-1 loss to Humenne. The pre-match favourite, Lokomotiva Zvolen, was predicted to win by the model, but unfortunately, its call was incorrect.

The model's selection, Home win, had a 37% probability of occurring, but it was Tatran Presov who came out on top. The model's Over 1.5 pick also missed, with a probability of 78.9%. The actual result was an Away win, with the final score being 0-1.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lokomotíva Zvolen win✗ Miss
37.5%
Avg Implied 30.1% · @ 3.01
Edge
+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.16
Dafabet
3.15
Marathonbet
3.10
Betfair
3.10
Bet365
3.00
Draw✗ Miss
27.4%
Avg Implied 27.7% · @ 3.27
Edge
-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.50
Pinnacle
3.48
Betano
3.45
Dafabet
3.35
10Bet
3.30
Tatran Prešov win✓ Hit
35.2%
Avg Implied 42.3% · @ 2.14
Edge
-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.22
Pinnacle
2.21
BetVictor
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.18

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W20W12L00D21W52W13L10W03L11DH·LIP11/04A·POV18/04H·SLO22/04A·MAL26/04H·SLÁ02/05H·ŽIL08/05A·ŠAM15/05H·KOM19/05A·KOM23/05A·GAL25/07
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.201.501.361.311.06
vs Stronger (6)2.001.502.671.331.331.67
vs Similar (24)1.251.121.181.361.310.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Tatran Prešov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L00D01L12L21W01L11D30W01L21WA·FK 21/03H·RUŽ04/04A·AS 11/04A·FK 15/04H·FK 19/04H·AS 26/04A·RUŽ02/05H·SKA09/05A·KOM16/05A·HUM25/07
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.171.291.431.190.94
vs Stronger (2)0.500.00--0.500.00
vs Similar (21)1.101.381.001.601.181.18
vs Weaker (7)1.860.862.001.001.670.67
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotíva Zvolen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.9%
@ 1.28+8.0%
Under 1.5
21.1%
@ 3.12-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Under
10Bet
3.25
1xBet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.20
Superbet
3.20
Betano
3.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.3%
@ 1.94+6.4%
Under 2.5
45.7%
@ 1.78-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.99
SBO
1.98
Bet365
1.95
10Bet
1.93
Under
Bet365
1.85
Pinnacle
1.84
Betano
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Superbet
1.78
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.0%
@ 3.27+4.2%
Under 3.5
68.0%
@ 1.26-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.55
10Bet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.28
1xBet
3.28
Superbet
3.15
Under
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.9%
@ 1.73+6.0%
No
41.1%
@ 1.94-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.76
Superbet
1.75
William Hil
1.73
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
No
BetVictor
2.00
Superbet
1.97
1xBet
1.96
10Bet
1.95
William Hil
1.95

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%@ 5.75+5.7%
2-1
8.5%@ 9.79+4.3%
1-2
8.2%@ 7.84+2.9%
1-0
7.2%@ 8.62+2.4%
0-0
6.9%@ 8.87+2.3%
0-1 ✓
6.9%@ 6.81+0.8%
2-0
6.1%@ 13.92+3.1%
2-2
6.0%@ 12.14+2.5%
Lokomotíva Zvolen goals ↓
Tatran Prešov goals →
01234
06.9%6.9%5.7%2.6%0.9%
17.2%13%8.2%3.8%1.3%
26.1%8.5%6.0%2.8%1.0%
32.9%4.1%2.9%1.3%0.5%
41.1%1.5%1.0%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lokomotíva Zvolen goals (down), columns = Tatran Prešov goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Petržalka
3.00
Šamorín
2.40
Žilina II
2.00
Tatran Prešov
2.00
Považská Bystrica
1.80
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.60
Pohronie
1.40
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.40
Humenné
1.20
Inter Bratislava
1.20
Zlaté Moravce
1.00
Malženice
0.80
Slovan Bratislava II
0.80
Galanta
0.80
MFK Bytča
0.60
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.40
Lokomotíva Zvolen is 1.60 points worse than Tatran Prešov in terms of average points per game (0.40 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Petržalka
2.80
Šamorín
2.20
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
2.00
Liptovský Mikuláš
2.00
Považská Bystrica
1.80
Pohronie
1.80
Inter Bratislava
1.60
Tatran Prešov
1.60
Slovan Bratislava II
1.60
Malženice
1.40
Zlaté Moravce
1.00
Žilina II
1.00
Humenné
0.80
MFK Bytča
0.60
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.60
Galanta
0.60
Lokomotíva Zvolen is 1.00 goals worse than Tatran Prešov in terms of goals scored per game (0.60 vs 1.60).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Petržalka
0.40
Žilina II
0.80
Liptovský Mikuláš
0.80
Šamorín
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
1.20
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.20
Inter Bratislava
1.20
Tatran Prešov
1.40
Humenné
1.60
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.60
Považská Bystrica
1.80
Malženice
1.80
Pohronie
1.80
Slovan Bratislava II
1.80
Galanta
1.80
MFK Bytča
3.20
Lokomotíva Zvolen is 0.20 goals better than Tatran Prešov in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 1.40).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W00D11D00D10W10W11D10W01L10WH·LIP11/04A·POV18/04H·SLO22/04A·MAL26/04H·SLÁ02/05H·ŽIL08/05A·ŠAM15/05H·KOM19/05A·KOM23/05A·GAL25/07
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.470.570.500.620.44
vs Stronger (6)0.830.330.670.331.000.33
vs Similar (24)0.540.500.550.550.540.46
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Tatran Prešov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D11D20W01L01L20W01L00DA·FK 21/03H·RUŽ04/04A·AS 11/04A·FK 15/04H·FK 19/04H·AS 26/04A·RUŽ02/05H·SKA09/05A·KOM16/05A·HUM25/07
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.600.860.640.500.56
vs Stronger (2)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (21)0.670.710.700.700.640.73
vs Weaker (7)0.860.431.250.500.330.33
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotíva Zvolen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lokomotíva Zvolen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotíva Zvolen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotíva Zvolen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tatran Prešov over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tatran Prešov over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tatran Prešov over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D20W01L00D11D42W02L00D02L01LH·LIP11/04A·POV18/04H·SLO22/04A·MAL26/04H·SLÁ02/05H·ŽIL08/05A·ŠAM15/05H·KOM19/05A·KOM23/05A·GAL25/07
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.730.930.860.690.62
vs Stronger (6)1.171.172.001.000.331.33
vs Similar (24)0.710.620.640.820.770.46
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Tatran Prešov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D01L01L01L00D10W10W00D21WA·FK 21/03H·RUŽ04/04A·AS 11/04A·FK 15/04H·FK 19/04H·AS 26/04A·RUŽ02/05H·SKA09/05A·KOM16/05A·HUM25/07
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.570.430.790.690.38
vs Stronger (2)0.500.00--0.500.00
vs Similar (21)0.430.670.300.900.550.45
vs Weaker (7)1.000.430.750.501.330.33
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotíva Zvolen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lokomotíva Zvolen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotíva Zvolen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotíva Zvolen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tatran Prešov over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tatran Prešov over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tatran Prešov over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.9%1.28
Unibet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
+8.0%✗ Miss

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (33)
€4m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (13)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (13)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
LZ wins
0
Draws
2
TP wins

Head-to-head

Lokomotíva Zvolen vs Tatran Prešov · H/A from LZ
DateH/AGameScore
01/03/25HLZ Vs Tatran Prešov0-1
02/08/24ATatran Prešov Vs LZ3-0

Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/07/26AGalanta Vs LZ1-1
23/05/26AKomárno Vs LZ3-0
19/05/26HLZ Vs Komárno1-0
15/05/26AŠamorín Vs LZ3-1
08/05/26HLZ Vs Žilina II5-2
02/05/26HLZ Vs Slávia TU Košice2-1
26/04/26AMalženice Vs LZ0-0
22/04/26HLZ Vs Slovan Bratislava II1-2
18/04/26APovažská Bystrica Vs LZ0-2
11/04/26HLZ Vs Liptovský Mikuláš2-1

Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/07/26AHumenné Vs TP1-2
16/05/26AKomárno Vs TP1-0
09/05/26HTP Vs Skalica3-0
02/05/26ARužomberok Vs TP1-1
26/04/26HTP Vs AS Trencin0-1
19/04/26HTP Vs FK Košice2-1
15/04/26AFK Košice Vs TP2-1
11/04/26AAS Trencin Vs TP1-0
04/04/26HTP Vs Ružomberok0-0
21/03/26AFK Košice Vs TP2-1

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Lokomotíva Zvolen
Lokomotíva Zvolen
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLD1.62
HomeWLWWW1.61
AwayWDLLD1.63
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%48%44%
AVG goals2.622.652.59
Over 1.5 %68%61%74%
Over 2.5 %48%52%44%
Over 3.5 %30%35%26%
Scored1.461.431.48
Conceded1.161.221.11
BTTS56%61%52%
Clean Sheet26%22%30%
Corners---
Cards---
Tatran Prešov
Tatran Prešov
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLW1.46
HomeDDWLW1.61
AwayLLDLW1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%43%37%
AVG goals2.642.782.52
Over 1.5 %62%70%56%
Over 2.5 %58%65%52%
Over 3.5 %30%39%22%
Scored1.481.481.48
Conceded1.161.301.04
BTTS52%57%48%
Clean Sheet28%30%26%
Corners10.0011.448.56
Cards4.725.004.44

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PetržalkaPetržalka515
100%
3.0
142+12
3.2
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.4
-
2ŠamorínŠamorín512
80%
2.4
115+6
3.2
100%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
3Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov510
60%
2.0
87+1
3.0
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.61.4
-
4Žilina IIŽilina II510
60%
2.0
54+1
1.8
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.8
-
5Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica59
60%
1.8
99+0
3.6
100%
100%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
6Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš58
40%
1.6
104+6
2.8
80%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.8
-
7Baník Lehota p.VtáčnikomBaník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom57
20%
1.4
108+2
3.6
100%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.6
-
8PohroniePohronie57
40%
1.4
99+0
3.6
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
9Inter BratislavaInter Bratislava56
40%
1.2
86+2
2.8
80%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
10HumennéHumenné56
40%
1.2
48-4
2.4
60%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
-
11Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce55
20%
1.0
56-1
2.2
60%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
12Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II54
20%
0.8
89-1
3.4
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.8
-
13MalženiceMalženice54
20%
0.8
79-2
3.2
100%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
14GalantaGalanta54
20%
0.8
39-6
2.4
100%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.8
-
15MFK BytčaMFK Bytča53
20%
0.6
316-13
3.8
100%
100%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.63.2
-
16Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen52
0%
0.4
36-3
1.8
40%
20%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.2
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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