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Longford Town vs Wexford Result & Analysis

Date: 20/08/2022
Time: 18:30
Final 1-0
Longford Town
Longford Town
Vs
34%
29%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Wexford
Wexford
Ireland: First Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Longford Town win✓ Hit
33.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Wexford win✗ Miss
36.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Longford TownLongford Town

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-442W11D11D12L20W03L13L21W20W30WA·COB27/05H·BRA10/06H·COR18/06A·WEX24/06H·GAL27/06A·TRE08/07H·ATH16/07A·WAT22/07H·COB06/08A·BRA12/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.161.230.921.581.42
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.251.331.171.001.331.67
vs Weaker (13)1.541.001.290.861.831.17
Clean sheet %36% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Wexford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WexfordWexford

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D30W21W22D31W31W01L22D22DA·COR20/05H·TRE10/06A·COB17/06H·LON24/06A·BRA27/06H·ATH01/07A·WAT08/07H·COR22/07A·GAL05/08H·COB12/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.481.601.231.921.751.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.921.750.332.001.501.50
vs Weaker (13)2.001.462.001.862.001.00
Clean sheet %12% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Longford Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%017%127%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
73.4%
Under 1.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.8%
Under 2.5
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.2%
Under 3.5
74.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.1%
No
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
0-0
9.1%
0-1
9.0%
1-0 ✓
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.0%
Longford Town goals ↓
Wexford goals →
01234
09.1%9.0%6.7%2.9%0.9%
18.5%14%8.3%3.6%1.2%
26.0%7.9%5.1%2.2%0.7%
32.5%3.3%2.1%0.9%0.3%
40.8%1.0%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Longford Town goals (down), columns = Wexford goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Cork City
2.12
Waterford
2.03
Galway United
1.83
Longford Town
1.56
Treaty United
1.32
Wexford
1.28
Bray Wanderers
0.84
Athlone Town
0.75
Cobh Ramblers
0.53
Longford Town is 0.28 points better than Wexford in terms of average points per game (1.56 vs 1.28).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Waterford
2.29
Cork City
1.97
Galway United
1.74
Longford Town
1.50
Wexford
1.41
Athlone Town
1.38
Treaty United
1.21
Cobh Ramblers
1.16
Bray Wanderers
0.94
Longford Town is 0.09 goals better than Wexford in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.41).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cork City
0.69
Galway United
0.97
Waterford
1.09
Longford Town
1.35
Wexford
1.47
Treaty United
1.47
Bray Wanderers
1.94
Athlone Town
2.34
Cobh Ramblers
2.44
Longford Town is 0.12 goals better than Wexford in terms of goals conceded per game (1.35 vs 1.47).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Longford TownLongford Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D01L00D00D00D01L01L10W20WA·COB27/05H·BRA10/06H·COR18/06A·WEX24/06H·GAL27/06A·TRE08/07H·ATH16/07A·WAT22/07H·COB06/08A·BRA12/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.480.460.620.750.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.500.500.330.670.670.33
vs Weaker (13)0.690.460.570.570.830.33
Clean sheet %56% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Wexford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WexfordWexford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D00D00D01L10W00D01L21W00DA·COR20/05H·TRE10/06A·COB17/06H·LON24/06A·BRA27/06H·ATH01/07A·WAT08/07H·COR22/07A·GAL05/08H·COB12/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.520.840.541.000.500.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.421.080.001.330.830.83
vs Weaker (13)0.620.621.000.710.170.50
Clean sheet %36% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Longford Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Longford Town over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Longford TownLongford Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W00D10W12L20W03L12L20W10W10WA·COB27/05H·BRA10/06H·COR18/06A·WEX24/06H·GAL27/06A·TRE08/07H·ATH16/07A·WAT22/07H·COB06/08A·BRA12/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.680.770.310.831.08
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.750.830.830.330.671.33
vs Weaker (13)0.850.540.710.291.000.83
Clean sheet %64% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Wexford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WexfordWexford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D30W21W21W21W31W00D01L22DA·COR20/05H·TRE10/06A·COB17/06H·LON24/06A·BRA27/06H·ATH01/07A·WAT08/07H·COR22/07A·GAL05/08H·COB12/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.960.760.690.921.250.58
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.500.670.330.670.670.67
vs Weaker (13)1.380.851.001.141.830.50
Clean sheet %36% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Longford Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Longford Town over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.574.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.4%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GU (21)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
CR (2)
€0m
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WAT (6)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
BW (1)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
CR (2)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
2
LT wins
0
Draws
1
WEX wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Longford Town vs Wexford · H/A from LT
DateH/AGameScore
24/06/22AWexford Vs LT2-1
07/05/22HLT Vs Wexford2-1
18/03/22AWexford Vs LT0-3

Longford TownLongford Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/08/22ABray Wanderers Vs LT0-3
06/08/22HLT Vs Cobh Ramblers2-0
22/07/22AWaterford Vs LT1-2
16/07/22HLT Vs Athlone Town1-3
08/07/22ATreaty United Vs LT3-0
27/06/22HLT Vs Galway United2-0
24/06/22AWexford Vs LT2-1
18/06/22HLT Vs Cork City1-1
10/06/22HLT Vs Bray Wanderers1-1
27/05/22ACobh Ramblers Vs LT2-4

WexfordWexford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/08/22HWEX Vs Cobh Ramblers2-2
05/08/22AGalway United Vs WEX2-2
22/07/22HWEX Vs Cork City0-1
08/07/22AWaterford Vs WEX1-3
01/07/22HWEX Vs Athlone Town3-1
27/06/22ABray Wanderers Vs WEX2-2
24/06/22HWEX Vs Longford Town2-1
17/06/22ACobh Ramblers Vs WEX0-3
10/06/22HWEX Vs Treaty United1-1
20/05/22ACork City Vs WEX1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Longford Town
Longford Town
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWW1.68
HomeDDWLW1.69
AwayWLLWW1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%46%50%
AVG goals2.562.153.00
Over 1.5 %88%85%92%
Over 2.5 %56%38%75%
Over 3.5 %12%8%17%
Scored1.401.231.58
Conceded1.160.921.42
BTTS52%46%58%
Clean Sheet36%46%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Wexford
Wexford
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDD1.28
HomeDWWLD1.15
AwayDWDWD1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%31%33%
AVG goals3.083.153.00
Over 1.5 %88%85%92%
Over 2.5 %68%62%75%
Over 3.5 %36%38%33%
Scored1.481.231.75
Conceded1.601.921.25
BTTS68%62%75%
Clean Sheet12%0%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1WaterfordWaterford3571
63%
2.0
8038+42
3.4
83%
74%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.31.1
-
2Cork CityCork City3268
62%
2.1
6322+41
2.7
69%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.7
-
3Galway UnitedGalway United3564
51%
1.8
6134+27
2.7
77%
60%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.0
-
4Longford TownLongford Town3453
41%
1.6
5146+5
2.9
88%
62%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.4
-
5Treaty UnitedTreaty United3445
32%
1.3
4150-9
2.7
82%
53%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
6WexfordWexford3241
31%
1.3
4547-2
2.9
81%
59%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
7Bray WanderersBray Wanderers3227
19%
0.8
3062-32
2.9
81%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.9
-
8Athlone TownAthlone Town3224
22%
0.8
4475-31
3.7
97%
75%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.3
-
9Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers3217
12%
0.5
3778-41
3.6
84%
66%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
Ireland: First Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: First Division stats & trends →

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