Loughgall vs Glenavon FC Result & Analysis

Loughgall are tipped to edge Glenavon FC, the model picking a home win as the most likely outcome. The game is expected to see 2.7 goals on average, with a 25% chance of a 2-goal total. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.2% probability. Loughgall, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, average 1.78 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Glenavon, on the road, average 1.12 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 1.5 with a 77.1% probability and Under 3.5 at 70.5%. Home win probability is 42%, draw 28%, and away win 30%. The team’s recent form shows Loughgall unbeaten in five matches, and Glenavon come off a win. The match should be competitive, with the home side slightly favoured.

The match finished 2-2, a draw that left the pre-match favourite - a home win - disappointed. The model had given Loughgall a 42% chance to triumph, but the outcome proved otherwise. The model’s selection of Over 1.5 goals hit, with a 77.1% probability, while its choice of Under 3.5 missed at 70.5%. Loughgall, unbeaten in their last five games, extended that run with a 3-3 draw at home, whereas Glenavon, fresh from a win, finished level after a 3-1 victory at home. The final score of 2-2 matched the most likely score of 1-1, yet the model’s prediction of a home win was wrong.