This opponent (Huesca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Huesca
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.00
1.67
0.73
1.40
1.27
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
1.50
1.33
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (24)
1.71
1.00
1.75
0.67
1.67
1.33
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
-
-
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Lugo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.6%
Under 1.5
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.3%
Under 2.5
56.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.3%
Under 3.5
77.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.2%
No
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.3%
1-0
10.0%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
0-2 ✓
6.0%
Lugo goals ↓
Huesca goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
9.1%
6.0%
2.3%
0.7%
1
10.0%
14%
7.5%
2.9%
0.8%
2
7.1%
8.2%
4.7%
1.8%
0.5%
3
2.9%
3.4%
2.0%
0.8%
0.2%
4
0.9%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lugo goals (down), columns = Huesca goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Rayo Vallecano
1.81
Huesca
1.79
Sporting Gijon
1.69
Zaragoza
1.69
Valladolid
1.60
Numancia
1.55
Oviedo
1.55
Cadiz
1.52
Osasuna
1.52
Granada CF
1.45
Tenerife
1.40
Lugo
1.31
Reus Deportiu
1.24
Alcorcon
1.24
Gimnastic
1.24
Cordoba
1.21
Albacete
1.17
Almeria
1.14
Cultural Leonesa
1.14
Barcelona B
1.05
Mallorca
0.79
Sevilla B
0.76
Lugo is 0.48 points worse than Huesca in terms of average points per game (1.31 vs 1.79).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Valladolid
1.64
Rayo Vallecano
1.60
Huesca
1.45
Sporting Gijon
1.43
Tenerife
1.38
Cordoba
1.36
Zaragoza
1.36
Granada CF
1.31
Oviedo
1.29
Cultural Leonesa
1.29
Numancia
1.24
Barcelona B
1.10
Gimnastic
1.05
Osasuna
1.05
Cadiz
1.00
Lugo
0.93
Almeria
0.90
Alcorcon
0.88
Mallorca
0.88
Albacete
0.83
Reus Deportiu
0.74
Sevilla B
0.69
Lugo is 0.52 goals worse than Huesca in terms of goals scored per game (0.93 vs 1.45).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cadiz
0.69
Osasuna
0.81
Sporting Gijon
0.95
Huesca
0.95
Numancia
0.98
Reus Deportiu
1.00
Alcorcon
1.00
Zaragoza
1.05
Almeria
1.07
Albacete
1.10
Rayo Vallecano
1.14
Lugo
1.14
Oviedo
1.14
Tenerife
1.19
Granada CF
1.19
Gimnastic
1.19
Barcelona B
1.29
Valladolid
1.31
Sevilla B
1.43
Cordoba
1.55
Cultural Leonesa
1.60
Mallorca
1.62
Lugo is 0.19 goals worse than Huesca in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 0.95).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Lugo
For 4.5 · Against 6.9 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.9 · Total 6.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.3 · Against 14.9 · Total 31.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Huesca
For 4.2 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 3.6 · Total 5.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 13.6 · Total 26.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lugo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
10.9
10.9
4.5
4.4
4.5
31.3
30.5
32.1
vs Stronger (23)
10.4
10.3
10.6
4.8
4.7
4.9
29.9
29.0
30.9
vs Similar (27)
11.3
11.5
11.2
4.2
4.1
4.3
32.5
31.8
33.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
64%
68%
60%
68%
62%
73%
97%
100%
95%
% under line
36%
32%
40%
32%
38%
27%
3%
0%
5%
This opponent (Huesca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Huesca
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.7
9.9
4.4
4.3
4.6
28.8
29.1
28.6
vs Stronger (12)
11.0
11.0
11.0
3.7
4.3
3.0
31.6
32.8
30.0
vs Similar (33)
10.1
10.6
9.5
4.9
4.4
5.5
28.1
28.4
27.9
vs Weaker (5)
10.8
10.5
11.0
3.4
3.0
3.7
29.0
26.5
31.5
% over line
59%
60%
58%
62%
69%
54%
87%
85%
89%
% under line
41%
40%
42%
38%
31%
46%
13%
15%
11%
This opponent (Lugo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lugo
10.9
Zaragoza
10.8
Almeria
10.8
Valladolid
10.4
Huesca
10.3
Alcorcon
10.3
Numancia
10.2
Granada CF
10.2
Sporting Gijon
10.2
Rayo Vallecano
10.1
Barcelona B
10.1
Tenerife
9.9
Cadiz
9.9
Sevilla B
9.9
Mallorca
9.8
Cordoba
9.7
Cultural Leonesa
9.5
Gimnastic
9.4
Albacete
9.2
Osasuna
8.9
Reus Deportiu
8.8
Oviedo
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Oviedo
6.1
Gimnastic
6.1
Osasuna
6.0
Valladolid
5.9
Tenerife
5.9
Sevilla B
5.8
Lugo
5.7
Almeria
5.7
Huesca
5.7
Cordoba
5.6
Cultural Leonesa
5.6
Albacete
5.3
Barcelona B
5.2
Alcorcon
5.1
Mallorca
5.0
Cadiz
5.0
Numancia
5.0
Zaragoza
5.0
Rayo Vallecano
4.9
Granada CF
4.9
Sporting Gijon
4.5
Reus Deportiu
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Alcorcon
32.5
Gimnastic
32.2
Cordoba
32.0
Oviedo
32.0
Lugo
31.3
Albacete
30.9
Tenerife
30.6
Sevilla B
30.5
Almeria
30.5
Valladolid
30.0
Osasuna
30.0
Cultural Leonesa
29.9
Mallorca
29.2
Huesca
28.8
Sporting Gijon
28.7
Cadiz
28.6
Zaragoza
28.4
Barcelona B
28.3
Granada CF
28.0
Reus Deportiu
27.5
Rayo Vallecano
27.3
Numancia
26.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.3%
Under 9.5
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
83.5%
Under 3.5
16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
92.7%
Under 21.5
7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lugo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.43
0.36
0.29
0.38
0.56
vs Stronger (14)
0.43
0.29
0.29
0.29
0.57
0.29
vs Similar (16)
0.31
0.56
0.43
0.29
0.22
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Huesca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Huesca
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.53
0.87
0.27
0.47
0.80
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.00
1.00
0.33
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (24)
0.71
0.50
0.83
0.25
0.58
0.75
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Lugo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lugo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lugo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lugo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huesca over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huesca over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huesca over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lugo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.80
0.86
0.57
0.44
1.00
vs Stronger (14)
0.71
0.93
0.86
0.57
0.57
1.29
vs Similar (16)
0.56
0.69
0.86
0.57
0.33
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Huesca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Huesca
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.47
0.80
0.47
0.93
0.47
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.50
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
1.00
0.50
0.92
0.42
1.08
0.58
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
-
-
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Lugo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lugo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lugo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lugo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huesca over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huesca over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huesca over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
93.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Lugo · 2022/23
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chris Ramos25%
Sebas Moyano12%
Alberto Rodríguez8%
Manu Barreiro6%
Javier Avilés6%
Xavi Torres6%
Josep Señé6%
Jaume Cuéllar5%
Juanpe4%
Ángel Baena3%
Miguel Loureiro2%
Marko Šćepović0%
El Hacen0%
Bruno Pirri0%
Óscar Whalley0%
Aleksandar Pantić0%
Álex Pérez0%
Andoni López0%
Neyder Lozano0%
Orest Lebedenko0%
Jordi Calavera0%
Pablo Clavería0%
Marc Carbo0%
Jose Ricardo0%
Patrick Sequeira0%
Idrissa Thiam0%
Dani Vidal0%
Cesar Rodriguez0%
Jesús Fernández0%
Gui0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Castrín0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Neyder Lozano56%
Patrick Sequeira50%
Jose Ricardo40%
Bruno Pirri38%
Aleksandar Pantić30%
Juanpe26%
Miguel Loureiro25%
Cesar Rodriguez25%
Xavi Torres24%
Pablo Clavería24%
Gui23%
El Hacen19%
Josep Señé18%
Jaume Cuéllar16%
Jordi Calavera15%
Castrín14%
Alberto Rodríguez14%
Andoni López12%
Chris Ramos12%
Marc Carbo10%
Manu Barreiro9%
Javier Avilés6%
Ángel Baena3%
Óscar Whalley3%
Sebas Moyano2%
Marko Šćepović0%
Álex Pérez0%
Orest Lebedenko0%
Idrissa Thiam0%
Dani Vidal0%
Jesús Fernández0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Idrissa Thiam17%
Jaume Cuéllar11%
Jose Ricardo10%
Juanpe9%
Gui8%
Manu Barreiro6%
Ángel Baena6%
Pablo Clavería3%
Miguel Loureiro2%
Marko Šćepović0%
El Hacen0%
Bruno Pirri0%
Óscar Whalley0%
Aleksandar Pantić0%
Álex Pérez0%
Andoni López0%
Neyder Lozano0%
Xavi Torres0%
Orest Lebedenko0%
Jordi Calavera0%
Javier Avilés0%
Chris Ramos0%
Josep Señé0%
Sebas Moyano0%
Marc Carbo0%
Patrick Sequeira0%
Alberto Rodríguez0%
Dani Vidal0%
Cesar Rodriguez0%
Jesús Fernández0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Castrín0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Chris Ramos46%
Sebas Moyano15%
Javier Avilés12%
Juanpe9%
Manu Barreiro6%
Pablo Clavería3%
Ángel Baena3%
Marko Šćepović0%
El Hacen0%
Bruno Pirri0%
Óscar Whalley0%
Aleksandar Pantić0%
Álex Pérez0%
Andoni López0%
Neyder Lozano0%
Xavi Torres0%
Orest Lebedenko0%
Miguel Loureiro0%
Jordi Calavera0%
Josep Señé0%
Marc Carbo0%
Jose Ricardo0%
Patrick Sequeira0%
Alberto Rodríguez0%
Idrissa Thiam0%
Dani Vidal0%
Cesar Rodriguez0%
Jesús Fernández0%
Jaume Cuéllar0%
Gui0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Castrín0%
Huesca · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jordi Escobar25%
Oscar Sielva17%
Samuel Ntamack Ndimba17%
Enol Rodríguez14%
Iker Kortajarena12%
Sergi Enrich11%
Álvaro Carrillo9%
Daniel Luna9%
Jorge Pulido8%
Javi Mier8%
Liberto Beltrán7%
Daniel Ojeda7%
Ángel Pérez5%
Francisco Portillo2%
Jaime Seoane0%
Julio Alonso0%
Dani Jiménez0%
Ignacio Laquintana0%
Jesús Álvarez0%
Jordi Martín0%
Iñigo Sebastián Magana0%
Toni Abad0%
Álejandro Cantero0%
Sergio Arribas0%
Hugo Perez0%
Michael Agbekpornu0%
Rodrigo Abajas0%
Manu Rico0%
Daní Martin0%
Efe Ugiagbe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Javi Mier31%
Sergio Arribas31%
Jordi Martín28%
Jorge Pulido27%
Iñigo Sebastián Magana26%
Oscar Sielva25%
Hugo Perez25%
Julio Alonso23%
Daní Martin20%
Jesús Álvarez19%
Jordi Escobar19%
Rodrigo Abajas18%
Daniel Ojeda17%
Jaime Seoane17%
Ángel Pérez16%
Álvaro Carrillo15%
Liberto Beltrán15%
Ignacio Laquintana14%
Daniel Luna12%
Sergi Enrich11%
Manu Rico11%
Toni Abad11%
Francisco Portillo10%
Michael Agbekpornu10%
Iker Kortajarena8%
Dani Jiménez5%
Enol Rodríguez3%
Álejandro Cantero0%
Samuel Ntamack Ndimba0%
Efe Ugiagbe0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jaime Seoane17%
Oscar Sielva14%
Iker Kortajarena12%
Ángel Pérez11%
Álvaro Carrillo9%
Sergio Arribas8%
Francisco Portillo8%
Daniel Ojeda7%
Jordi Martín6%
Jorge Pulido5%
Toni Abad4%
Iñigo Sebastián Magana3%
Enol Rodríguez3%
Julio Alonso0%
Javi Mier0%
Dani Jiménez0%
Sergi Enrich0%
Ignacio Laquintana0%
Jesús Álvarez0%
Liberto Beltrán0%
Jordi Escobar0%
Álejandro Cantero0%
Samuel Ntamack Ndimba0%
Hugo Perez0%
Daniel Luna0%
Michael Agbekpornu0%
Rodrigo Abajas0%
Manu Rico0%
Daní Martin0%
Efe Ugiagbe0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jordi Escobar12%
Enol Rodríguez9%
Liberto Beltrán7%
Daniel Ojeda7%
Ángel Pérez5%
Francisco Portillo5%
Iker Kortajarena4%
Daniel Luna3%
Sergi Enrich3%
Oscar Sielva3%
Jorge Pulido3%
Jaime Seoane0%
Julio Alonso0%
Javi Mier0%
Dani Jiménez0%
Ignacio Laquintana0%
Jesús Álvarez0%
Jordi Martín0%
Iñigo Sebastián Magana0%
Toni Abad0%
Álejandro Cantero0%
Samuel Ntamack Ndimba0%
Álvaro Carrillo0%
Sergio Arribas0%
Hugo Perez0%
Michael Agbekpornu0%
Rodrigo Abajas0%
Manu Rico0%
Daní Martin0%
Efe Ugiagbe0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2017/18 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
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Rayo Vallecano
Sporting Gijon
Zaragoza
Valladolid
Numancia
Oviedo
Cadiz
Osasuna
Granada CF
Tenerife
Alcorcon
Gimnastic
Cordoba
Albacete
Almeria
Cultural Leonesa
Mallorca