This match between Lyn and ODD Ballklubb is finely balanced, with Lyn coming off a defeat and ODD Ballklubb seeking to build momentum after a draw. Lyn has a recent form note of coming off a defeat, having lost to Stabaek 3-4 in their last outing. ODD Ballklubb, on the other hand, drew with Moss 3-3 in their last match. The home win percentage is 39%, the draw percentage is 26%, and the away win percentage is 35%. The model's selection is a Home win. The expected total number of goals is 3.0, with a most likely total of 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 12.3%. Lyn's home form is strong, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded against similar opponents. ODD Ballklubb's away form is weaker, with an average of 1.08 goals scored and 1.5 conceded against similar opponents. The model's suggested picks include Over 1.5, with a probability of 81.4%.
Results analysis
Lyn extended their winning streak to three matches, coming off a convincing 5-1 victory over ODD Ballklubb. The final scoreline was a resounding home win, as the model predicted, with a pre-match probability of 39%. The model's selection of a home win proved correct. The model's suggested picks largely came in, with the Over 1.5 goals margin hitting at 81.4%. The most likely score was a 2-1 win for Lyn, but the actual result was a 5-1 triumph.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Lyn win✓ Hit
38.6%
Avg Implied 33.1% · @ 2.77
Edge
+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.00
Pinnacle
2.88
Marathonbet
2.82
Dafabet
2.80
10Bet
2.80
Draw✗ Miss
26.4%
Avg Implied 24.6% · @ 3.72
Edge
+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
3.90
Betfair
3.90
Pinnacle
3.89
Marathonbet
3.82
1xBet
3.82
ODD Ballklubb win✗ Miss
34.9%
Avg Implied 42.3% · @ 2.17
Edge
-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.25
Pinnacle
2.23
1xBet
2.22
Betano
2.22
BetVictor
2.20
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Lyn
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.93
1.37
1.62
1.38
2.18
1.35
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.80
1.40
1.55
1.36
2.00
1.43
vs Weaker (5)
2.60
1.20
2.00
1.50
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (ODD Ballklubb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ODD Ballklubb
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.83
1.36
2.00
1.25
1.69
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
5.00
1.00
5.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.32
1.61
1.42
1.50
1.25
1.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.4%
@ 1.10-2.8%
Under 1.5
18.6%
@ 5.88+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.13
Pinnacle
1.13
Unibet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
888Sport
1.11
Under
BetVictor
7.00
Betfair
6.50
888Sport
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.80
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.0%
@ 1.40-8.3%
Under 2.5
42.0%
@ 2.75+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.48
Pinnacle
1.46
Unibet
1.44
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Under
Betfair
3.00
BetVictor
3.00
1xBet
2.78
Marathonbet
2.78
888Sport
2.75
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
35.6%
@ 2.00-11.1%
Under 3.5
64.4%
@ 1.75+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.12
Bet365
2.10
Unibet
2.08
10Bet
2.05
Betano
2.00
Under
Betfair
1.87
Marathonbet
1.82
1xBet
1.81
BetVictor
1.78
888Sport
1.75
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.7%
@ 1.36-6.1%
No
38.3%
@ 2.87+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.40
William Hil
1.40
888Sport
1.40
Betano
1.38
Unibet
1.38
No
Betfair
3.10
BetVictor
3.10
1xBet
2.99
Marathonbet
2.93
Betano
2.82
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%@ 7.51+6.4%
2-1
8.6%@ 9.79+4.1%
1-2
8.2%@ 8.36+2.9%
1-0
6.5%@ 14.15+3.4%
2-2
6.3%@ 9.49+1.6%
0-1
6.1%@ 12.35+2.5%
0-0
6.0%@ 18.48+3.6%
2-0
5.9%@ 17.34+3.3%
Lyn goals ↓
ODD Ballklubb goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.0%
6.1%
5.3%
2.6%
0.9%
1
6.5%
12%
8.2%
4.0%
1.5%
2
5.9%
8.6%
6.3%
3.1%
1.1%
3
3.0%
4.5%
3.3%
1.6%
0.6%
4
1.2%
1.7%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lyn goals (down), columns = ODD Ballklubb goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stabaek
2.50
Kongsvinger
2.17
hodd
2.14
Haugesund
2.14
Stromsgodset
1.86
Bryne
1.86
Lyn
1.83
Strommen
1.67
Egersund
1.57
Sogndal
1.17
ODD Ballklubb
1.14
Asane
0.83
Sandnes ULF
0.57
Raufoss
0.50
Ranheim
0.50
Moss
0.29
Lyn is 0.69 points better than ODD Ballklubb in terms of average points per game (1.83 vs 1.14).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Stabaek
3.50
Haugesund
3.14
Lyn
3.00
Kongsvinger
2.83
Ranheim
2.50
hodd
2.43
Stromsgodset
2.14
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Strommen
2.00
Sogndal
1.83
Egersund
1.71
Asane
1.67
Moss
1.29
Bryne
1.14
Sandnes ULF
1.14
Raufoss
1.00
Lyn is 1.00 goals better than ODD Ballklubb in terms of goals scored per game (3.00 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Bryne
1.00
Stabaek
1.17
Haugesund
1.57
Stromsgodset
1.57
Egersund
1.71
Kongsvinger
1.83
Strommen
1.83
Sogndal
2.00
Lyn
2.17
Moss
2.29
ODD Ballklubb
2.29
Sandnes ULF
2.29
Asane
2.33
hodd
2.86
Raufoss
3.00
Ranheim
3.33
Lyn is 0.12 goals better than ODD Ballklubb in terms of goals conceded per game (2.17 vs 2.29).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lyn
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.67
0.85
0.85
0.88
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.88
0.64
0.91
0.91
0.86
0.43
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.80
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (ODD Ballklubb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ODD Ballklubb
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.90
0.50
1.14
0.50
0.69
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.50
0.00
2.50
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.54
0.79
0.58
0.92
0.50
0.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lyn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ODD Ballklubb over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ODD Ballklubb over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ODD Ballklubb over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lyn
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.70
0.77
0.54
1.29
0.82
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.92
0.76
0.64
0.45
1.14
1.00
vs Weaker (5)
1.80
0.40
1.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (ODD Ballklubb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ODD Ballklubb
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.93
0.86
0.86
0.75
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.50
1.00
2.50
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.79
0.82
0.83
0.58
0.75
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lyn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ODD Ballklubb over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ODD Ballklubb over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ODD Ballklubb over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
81.4%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Pinnacle
1.13
Unibet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
888Sport
1.11
-2.8%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
ODD Ballklubb · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Faniel Temesgen Tewelde21%
Mikael Ingebrigtsen19%
Torgeir Børven15%
Bork Bang-Kittilsen13%
Bilal Njie8%
Sheriff Sinyan8%
Tobias Hammer Svendsen7%
Steffen Hagen6%
Tony Miettinen6%
Samuel Skree Skjeldal5%
Syver Aas5%
Ole Erik Midtskogen4%
Filip Rønningen Jørgensen3%
André Hansen0%
Etzaz Hussain0%
Espen Ruud0%
Kjetil Haug0%
Sondre Solholm Johansen0%
Josef Baccay0%
Alexander Fransson0%
Solomon Owusu0%
Mihajlo Ivančević0%
Leon Hien0%
Ishaq Abdulrazak0%
Jesper Svenungsen Skau0%
Peder Nygaard Klausen0%
Casper Andersen0%
Oliver Jordan Hagen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Espen Ruud29%
Leon Hien29%
Tony Miettinen28%
Etzaz Hussain25%
Mihajlo Ivančević23%
Sondre Solholm Johansen20%
Solomon Owusu16%
Josef Baccay14%
Jesper Svenungsen Skau14%
Filip Rønningen Jørgensen14%
Mikael Ingebrigtsen11%
Alexander Fransson11%
Syver Aas10%
Kjetil Haug9%
Tobias Hammer Svendsen7%
Ole Erik Midtskogen7%
Bork Bang-Kittilsen4%
Bilal Njie4%
André Hansen0%
Steffen Hagen0%
Torgeir Børven0%
Sheriff Sinyan0%
Ishaq Abdulrazak0%
Samuel Skree Skjeldal0%
Peder Nygaard Klausen0%
Faniel Temesgen Tewelde0%
Casper Andersen0%
Oliver Jordan Hagen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Samuel Skree Skjeldal15%
Espen Ruud14%
Mikael Ingebrigtsen11%
Filip Rønningen Jørgensen10%
Sondre Solholm Johansen10%
Bilal Njie8%
Ole Erik Midtskogen4%
Etzaz Hussain4%
André Hansen0%
Steffen Hagen0%
Torgeir Børven0%
Kjetil Haug0%
Josef Baccay0%
Sheriff Sinyan0%
Alexander Fransson0%
Tony Miettinen0%
Tobias Hammer Svendsen0%
Solomon Owusu0%
Mihajlo Ivančević0%
Leon Hien0%
Syver Aas0%
Ishaq Abdulrazak0%
Jesper Svenungsen Skau0%
Peder Nygaard Klausen0%
Faniel Temesgen Tewelde0%
Bork Bang-Kittilsen0%
Casper Andersen0%
Oliver Jordan Hagen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Faniel Temesgen Tewelde29%
Oliver Jordan Hagen14%
Mikael Ingebrigtsen11%
Ole Erik Midtskogen11%
Torgeir Børven8%
Tony Miettinen6%
Syver Aas5%
André Hansen0%
Etzaz Hussain0%
Steffen Hagen0%
Espen Ruud0%
Bilal Njie0%
Kjetil Haug0%
Sondre Solholm Johansen0%
Josef Baccay0%
Sheriff Sinyan0%
Alexander Fransson0%
Tobias Hammer Svendsen0%
Solomon Owusu0%
Mihajlo Ivančević0%
Filip Rønningen Jørgensen0%
Leon Hien0%
Ishaq Abdulrazak0%
Samuel Skree Skjeldal0%
Jesper Svenungsen Skau0%
Peder Nygaard Klausen0%
Bork Bang-Kittilsen0%
Casper Andersen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
HAU (24)
€9m
STR (22)
€7m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
STR (19)
€2m
Lyn's squad is €5m less valuable than ODD Ballklubb's (€4m vs €9m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (9)
€5m
STR (9)
€3m
HAU (8)
€3m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
STR (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Lyn's attack is €2m less valuable than ODD Ballklubb's (€1m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (7)
€3m
HAU (6)
€2m
STR (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
STR (4)
€0m
Lyn's midfield is €1m less valuable than ODD Ballklubb's (€2m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAU (10)
€4m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
STR (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
STR (10)
€1m
Lyn's defence is €2m less valuable than ODD Ballklubb's (€1m vs €3m).
Norway: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →