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Lyn vs Ranheim Prediction & Stats

Date: 20/09/2026
Time: 15:00
Lyn
Lyn
Vs
48%
22%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ranheim
Ranheim
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Lyn’s recent win and a solid home attack suggest a high-scoring affair, with the model predicting a 44 % chance of a home victory, a 23 % draw, and a 33 % away win. The expected total of 3.7 goals points to a lively match, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 9.4 % probability. Lyn averages 1.83 goals scored and 1.33 conceded at home against similar opposition, while Ranheim, playing away, averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (96.7 %), Under 6.5 (92.2 %), Away under 3.5 goals (90.9 %), Over 1.5 (88.9 %), Home under 3.5 goals (86.2 %), Home over 0.5 goals (86.1 %), Under 5.5 (83.6 %), and Home +2 handicap (83.4 %). These picks reflect the expected flow and the probability that Lyn will secure the win.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lyn win
47.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
22.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ranheim win
30.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LynLyn

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L51W03L23L11D32W34L51W21W44DH·KON25/10A·STA02/11H·STA08/11A·EGE15/11A·STR25/07H·SOG02/08A·STA08/08H·ODD15/08A·ASA26/08A·KON30/08
Avg total
4.6
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.201.372.001.252.331.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)2.081.381.911.182.201.53
vs Weaker (4)3.001.253.002.003.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Ranheim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RanheimRanheim

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L42W30W23L23L34L41W13L24L35LA·LIL25/10H·SKE01/11A·SOG08/11A·EGE22/11A·SOG26/07H·HAU03/08A·STR09/08H·STR15/08A·STA26/08H·ODD30/08
Avg total
5.2
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
2.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.872.031.932.071.812.00
vs Stronger (2)0.503.000.004.001.002.00
vs Similar (28)1.961.962.081.921.872.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%20%3%07%117%220%319%415%519%6+
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
90.4%
Under 1.5
9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73.7%
Under 2.5
26.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
53.5%
Under 3.5
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
72.9%
No
27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
3-1
6.0%
3-2
5.1%
2-0
4.9%
2-3
4.0%
Lyn goals ↓
Ranheim goals →
01234
02.9%2.9%3.1%1.8%0.7%
13.8%8.6%6.6%3.8%1.6%
24.9%8.4%7.1%4.0%1.7%
33.5%6.0%5.1%2.9%1.2%
41.9%3.2%2.7%1.5%0.7%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lyn goals (down), columns = Ranheim goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stabaek
2.50
Kongsvinger
2.17
hodd
2.14
Haugesund
2.14
Stromsgodset
1.86
Bryne
1.86
Lyn
1.83
Strommen
1.67
Egersund
1.57
Sogndal
1.17
ODD Ballklubb
1.14
Asane
0.83
Sandnes ULF
0.57
Raufoss
0.50
Ranheim
0.50
Moss
0.29
Lyn is 1.33 points better than Ranheim in terms of average points per game (1.83 vs 0.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Stabaek
3.50
Haugesund
3.14
Lyn
3.00
Kongsvinger
2.83
Ranheim
2.50
hodd
2.43
Stromsgodset
2.14
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Strommen
2.00
Sogndal
1.83
Egersund
1.71
Asane
1.67
Moss
1.29
Bryne
1.14
Sandnes ULF
1.14
Raufoss
1.00
Lyn is 0.50 goals better than Ranheim in terms of goals scored per game (3.00 vs 2.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Bryne
1.00
Stabaek
1.17
Haugesund
1.57
Stromsgodset
1.57
Egersund
1.71
Kongsvinger
1.83
Strommen
1.83
Sogndal
2.00
Lyn
2.17
Moss
2.29
ODD Ballklubb
2.29
Sandnes ULF
2.29
Asane
2.33
hodd
2.86
Raufoss
3.00
Ranheim
3.33
Lyn is 1.17 goals better than Ranheim in terms of goals conceded per game (2.17 vs 3.33).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Lyn or Draw
69.8%
Avg Implied -
48%
22%
30%
covers Lyn + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lyn or Ranheim
77.7%
Avg Implied -
48%
22%
30%
covers Lyn + Ranheim
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Ranheim
52.5%
Avg Implied -
48%
22%
30%
covers Draw + Ranheim
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Lyn over/under 0.5
Over
88.2%
Under
11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 1.5
Over
63.1%
Under
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 2.5
Over
36.1%
Under
63.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 3.5
Over
16.9%
Under
83.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 0.5
Over
81.7%
Under
18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 1.5
Over
50.6%
Under
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 2.5
Over
24.2%
Under
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 3.5
Over
9.3%
Under
90.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Lyn, so a minus line means Lyn give that many goals of a start and Ranheim receive them. At -1, Lyn must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Lyn win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Lyn)
Lyn -2
14.0%
Draw -2
14.4%
Ranheim +2
71.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Lyn)
Lyn -1
28.4%
Draw -1
19.1%
Ranheim +1
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Lyn)
Lyn +1
69.8%
Draw +1
15.0%
Ranheim -1
15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Lyn)
Lyn +2
84.8%
Draw +2
9.1%
Ranheim -2
6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LynLyn

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D20W02L21W00D30W21W40W20W22DH·KON25/10A·STA02/11H·STA08/11A·EGE15/11A·STR25/07H·SOG02/08A·STA08/08H·ODD15/08A·ASA26/08A·KON30/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.631.170.671.060.61
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.150.581.270.641.070.53
vs Weaker (4)0.751.000.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Ranheim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RanheimRanheim

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D00D11D01L12L30W01L22D24LA·LIL25/10H·SKE01/11A·SOG08/11A·EGE22/11A·SOG26/07H·HAU03/08A·STR09/08H·STR15/08A·STA26/08H·ODD30/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.930.791.000.690.88
vs Stronger (2)0.002.000.003.000.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.790.860.850.850.730.87
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lyn over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LynLyn

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L31W01L02L11D02L13L11D01L22DH·KON25/10A·STA02/11H·STA08/11A·EGE15/11A·STR25/07H·SOG02/08A·STA08/08H·ODD15/08A·ASA26/08A·KON30/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.730.830.581.280.83
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.920.810.640.551.131.00
vs Weaker (4)2.250.253.001.002.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Ranheim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RanheimRanheim

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D42W30W12L22D22D11D12L02L11DA·LIL25/10H·SKE01/11A·SOG08/11A·EGE22/11A·SOG26/07H·HAU03/08A·STR09/08H·STR15/08A·STA26/08H·ODD30/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.101.141.071.121.12
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (28)1.181.111.231.081.131.13
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lyn over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.595.8%-------
Away under 3.5 goals90.7%-------
Under 6.590.5%-------
Over 1.590.4%-------
Home over 0.5 goals88.2%-------
Home +2 handicap84.8%-------
Home under 3.5 goals83.1%-------
Away over 0.5 goals81.7%-------
Under 5.581.0%-------
Home or Away77.7%-------
Away under 2.5 goals75.8%-------
Over 2.573.7%-------
BTTS Yes72.9%-------
Away +2 handicap71.6%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
HAU (24)
€9m
STR (22)
€7m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
STR (19)
€2m
Lyn and Ranheim have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (9)
€5m
STR (9)
€3m
HAU (8)
€3m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
STR (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Lyn and Ranheim have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (7)
€3m
HAU (6)
€2m
STR (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
STR (4)
€0m
Lyn and Ranheim have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAU (10)
€4m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
STR (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
STR (10)
€1m
Lyn and Ranheim have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
LYN wins
2
Draws
0
RAN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lyn vs Ranheim · H/A from LYN
DateH/AGameScore
10/08/25HLYN Vs Ranheim2-1
31/03/25ARanheim Vs LYN0-3
06/10/24ARanheim Vs LYN1-1
28/04/24HLYN Vs Ranheim1-1

LynLyn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26AKongsvinger Vs LYN4-4
26/08/26AAsane Vs LYN1-2
15/08/26HLYN Vs ODD Ballklubb5-1
08/08/26AStabaek Vs LYN4-3
02/08/26HLYN Vs Sogndal3-2
25/07/26AStromsgodset Vs LYN1-1
15/11/25AEgersund Vs LYN3-2
08/11/25HLYN Vs Start0-3
02/11/25AStabaek Vs LYN1-5
25/10/25HLYN Vs Kongsvinger0-1

RanheimRanheim

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HRAN Vs ODD Ballklubb3-5
26/08/26AStabaek Vs RAN4-2
15/08/26HRAN Vs Stromsgodset1-3
09/08/26AStrommen Vs RAN1-4
03/08/26HRAN Vs Haugesund3-4
26/07/26ASogndal Vs RAN3-2
22/11/25AEgersund Vs RAN3-2
08/11/25ASogndal Vs RAN0-3
01/11/25HRAN Vs Skeid4-2
25/10/25ALillestrom Vs RAN2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lyn
Lyn
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWD1.62
HomeWLLWW1.39
AwayLDLWD1.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%39%56%
AVG goals3.102.703.44
Over 1.5 %82%74%89%
Over 2.5 %62%57%67%
Over 3.5 %30%26%33%
Scored1.761.392.07
Conceded1.341.301.37
BTTS62%61%63%
Clean Sheet24%13%33%
Corners---
Cards---
Ranheim
Ranheim
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL1.46
HomeWWLLL1.25
AwayWLLWL1.65
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%33%50%
AVG goals3.563.423.69
Over 1.5 %88%83%92%
Over 2.5 %70%67%73%
Over 3.5 %40%42%38%
Scored1.781.542.00
Conceded1.781.881.69
BTTS72%67%77%
Clean Sheet14%12%15%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StabaekStabaek615
83%
2.5
217+14
4.7
100%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5233.51.2
-
2HaugesundHaugesund715
71%
2.1
2211+11
4.7
100%
86%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3243.11.6
-
3hoddhodd715
71%
2.1
1720-3
5.3
100%
100%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.42.9
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger613
67%
2.2
1711+6
4.7
83%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.81.8
-
5StromsgodsetStromsgodset713
57%
1.9
1511+4
3.7
100%
57%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3222.11.6
-
6BryneBryne713
57%
1.9
87+1
2.1
86%
29%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.11.0
-
7LynLyn611
50%
1.8
1813+5
5.2
100%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1213.02.2
-
8EgersundEgersund711
43%
1.6
1212+0
3.4
100%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.71.7
-
9StrommenStrommen610
50%
1.7
1211+1
3.8
83%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.01.8
-
10ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb78
29%
1.1
1416-2
4.3
71%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3332.02.3
-
11SogndalSogndal67
33%
1.2
1112-1
3.8
100%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.82.0
-
12AsaneAsane65
17%
0.8
1014-4
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.72.3
-
13Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF74
14%
0.6
816-8
3.4
86%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.12.3
-
14RanheimRanheim63
17%
0.5
1520-5
5.8
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1122.53.3
-
15RaufossRaufoss63
17%
0.5
618-12
4.0
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.03.0
-
16MossMoss72
0%
0.3
916-7
3.6
100%
100%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.32.3
-
Norway: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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