Lyn vs Sogndal Result & Analysis

Date: 02/08/2026

Time: 15:00

Final 3-2

Lyn

37%

27%

35%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Sogndal

Norway: 1. Division

Referee: -

Match preview & prediction

Lyn and Sogndal face off in Norway's 1. Division, with both teams coming off recent setbacks. Lyn's last match was a 3-4 loss to Stabaek, while Sogndal suffered a 0-2 defeat to Bryne. This encounter is finely balanced, with Lyn's home win probability at 37%, Sogndal's away win probability at 35%, and a 27% chance of a draw.

The model predicts a home win as the most likely outcome, with an expected total of 2.9 goals. A 1-1 scoreline is the most likely, with a 12.7% probability. At home, Lyn averages 1.12 goals scored and 1.12 conceded against similar opponents, while Sogndal averages 1.64 goals scored and 1.45 conceded away from home against similar opponents.

The model's selection is Over 1.5, with a 79.6% probability. Other suggested picks include Home win (37%), Draw (27%), and Away win (35%). The home win percentage is 37%, the draw percentage is 27%, and the away win percentage is 35%.

Results analysis

The win extends Lyn's run, but this victory was a much-needed response to their recent defeat. The final score was 3-2 in favour of Lyn, confirming the actual result of a home win. The model correctly predicted this outcome, backing the home win with a pre-match probability of 37%.

The model's selection largely came in, with the 'Over 1.5' goals prediction hitting at 79.6%. The model's call was correct, and it's clear that its assessment of the match was accurate.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lyn win✓ Hit

37.4%

Avg Implied 39.2% · @ 2.34

Edge

-1.8%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

2.44

Unibet

2.40

Dafabet

2.39

Marathonbet

2.38

1xBet

2.38

Draw✗ Miss

27.1%

Avg Implied 24.2% · @ 3.79

Edge

+2.9%

Best 5 market prices

BetVictor

4.00

Pinnacle

3.95

Dafabet

3.90

Bet365

3.90

Betfair

3.90

Sogndal win✗ Miss

35.5%

Avg Implied 36.6% · @ 2.51

Edge

-1.1%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

2.60

Betano

2.55

Dafabet

2.55

1xBet

2.54

Marathonbet

2.54

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Lyn

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.0

Avg scored

1.6

Avg conceded

1.4

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.53	1.27	1.20	1.27	1.87	1.27
vs Stronger (2)	0.50	3.00	0.00	1.00	1.00	5.00
vs Similar (17)	1.59	1.24	1.22	1.11	2.00	1.38
vs Weaker (11)	1.64	1.00	1.40	1.60	1.83	0.50
Clean sheet %	23% (+1pp vs league)

This opponent (Sogndal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sogndal

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.3

Avg scored

1.4

Avg conceded

1.9

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.70	1.60	1.56	1.69	1.86	1.50
vs Stronger (4)	1.25	2.75	1.50	3.50	1.00	2.00
vs Similar (22)	1.64	1.45	1.58	1.42	1.70	1.50
vs Weaker (4)	2.50	1.25	1.50	1.50	3.50	1.00
Clean sheet %	17% (-5pp vs league)

This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

79.6%

@ 1.08-6.7%

Under 1.5

20.4%

@ 6.79+6.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Unibet

1.10

Betano

1.10

Pinnacle

1.10

Superbet

1.08

888Sport

1.08

Under

Bet365

8.00

BetVictor

7.50

Betfair

7.50

888Sport

7.50

Pinnacle

7.22

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

55.3%

@ 1.32-14.9%

Under 2.5

44.7%

@ 3.11+14.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Unibet

1.37

Pinnacle

1.35

Betano

1.34

10Bet

1.33

Bet365

1.33

Under

Bet365

3.40

Betfair

3.30

BetVictor

3.25

Pinnacle

3.21

888Sport

3.20

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over

Over 3.5

33.0%

@ 1.82-18.2%

Under 3.5

67.0%

@ 1.91+18.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Unibet

1.94

10Bet

1.85

Pinnacle

1.85

Betano

1.83

Marathonbet

1.83

Under

SBO

2.01

Pinnacle

1.98

888Sport

1.95

Marathonbet

1.93

1xBet

1.93

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

59.7%

@ 1.30-11.2%

40.3%

@ 3.18+11.2%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Unibet

1.33

Betano

1.31

Superbet

1.31

William Hil

1.30

10Bet

1.30

Bet365

3.40

Betfair

3.30

BetVictor

3.30

1xBet

3.21

888Sport

3.20

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

12.7%@ 8.32+7.4%

2-1

8.5%@ 9.21+3.7%

1-2

8.3%@ 9.36+3.5%

1-0

7.0%@ 15.31+4.1%

0-1

6.7%@ 15.41+3.8%

0-0

6.7%@ 21.31+4.6%

2-2

6.1%@ 9.16+1.2%

2-0

6.0%@ 16.39+3.3%

Lyn goals ↓

	Sogndal goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.7%	6.7%	5.6%	2.7%	1.0%
1	7.0%	13%	8.3%	3.9%	1.4%
2	6.0%	8.5%	6.1%	2.9%	1.0%
3	2.9%	4.2%	3.0%	1.4%	0.5%
4	1.1%	1.5%	1.1%	0.5%	0.2%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lyn goals (down), columns = Sogndal goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Kongsvinger

1.74

Egersund

1.72

Lyn

1.57

Ranheim

1.55

Haugesund

1.54

Stromsgodset

1.48

Sogndal

1.43

Bryne

1.42

Sandnes ULF

1.23

Strommen

1.11

ODD Ballklubb

1.10

hodd

1.10

Asane

1.03

Stabaek

1.03

Raufoss

1.00

Moss

0.97

Lyn is 0.13 points better than Sogndal in terms of average points per game (1.57 vs 1.43).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Kongsvinger

2.10

Haugesund

1.79

Egersund

1.72

Stromsgodset

1.72

Bryne

1.65

Sogndal

1.63

Ranheim

1.61

Lyn

1.60

Stabaek

1.50

Sandnes ULF

1.43

Raufoss

1.43

Moss

1.38

Strommen

1.29

Asane

1.27

ODD Ballklubb

1.23

hodd

1.13

Lyn is 0.03 goals worse than Sogndal in terms of goals scored per game (1.60 vs 1.63).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Lyn

1.23

Egersund

1.34

Haugesund

1.40

Stromsgodset

1.46

Bryne

1.51

Kongsvinger

1.52

Sogndal

1.60

Ranheim

1.65

ODD Ballklubb

1.67

hodd

1.73

Sandnes ULF

1.74

Asane

1.77

Stabaek

1.77

Raufoss

1.87

Strommen

1.93

Moss

2.12

Lyn is 0.37 goals better than Sogndal in terms of goals conceded per game (1.23 vs 1.60).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔥 6. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Over 1.5	79.6%	1.08	Unibet 1.10	Betano 1.10	Pinnacle 1.10	Superbet 1.08	888Sport 1.08	-6.7%	✓ Hit

💰 7. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

STA (27)

€9m

OB (25)

€9m

HAU (25)

€9m

STR (23)

€7m

BRY (23)

€6m

KON (26)

€6m

EGE (25)

€5m

SOG (21)

€4m

MOS (24)

€4m

LYN (25)

€4m

RAN (23)

€4m

HOD (21)

€3m

ASA (24)

€3m

SU (22)

€3m

RAU (21)

€2m

STR (24)

€2m

Lyn and Sogndal have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

ASA (0)

€0m

BRY (0)

€0m

EGE (0)

€0m

HAU (0)

€0m

HOD (0)

€0m

KON (0)

€0m

LYN (0)

€0m

MOS (0)

€0m

OB (0)

€0m

RAN (0)

€0m

RAU (0)

€0m

SU (0)

€0m

SOG (0)

€0m

STA (0)

€0m

STR (0)

€0m

STR (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

ASA (0)

€0m

BRY (0)

€0m

EGE (0)

€0m

HAU (0)

€0m

HOD (0)

€0m

KON (0)

€0m

LYN (0)

€0m

MOS (0)

€0m

OB (0)

€0m

RAN (0)

€0m

RAU (0)

€0m

SU (0)

€0m

SOG (0)

€0m

STA (0)

€0m

STR (0)

€0m

STR (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

ASA (0)

€0m

BRY (0)

€0m

EGE (0)

€0m

HAU (0)

€0m

HOD (0)

€0m

KON (0)

€0m

LYN (0)

€0m

MOS (0)

€0m

OB (0)

€0m

RAN (0)

€0m

RAU (0)

€0m

SU (0)

€0m

SOG (0)

€0m

STA (0)

€0m

STR (0)

€0m

STR (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 8. Games History

Head-to-head

Lyn vs Sogndal · H/A from LYN

Date	H/A	Game	Score
21/09/25	H	LYN Vs Sogndal	2-1
22/06/25	A	Sogndal Vs LYN	1-2
15/09/24	A	Sogndal Vs LYN	0-1
16/06/24	H	LYN Vs Sogndal	1-2

Lyn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
25/07/26	A	Stromsgodset Vs LYN	1-1
08/11/25	H	LYN Vs Start	0-3
02/11/25	A	Stabaek Vs LYN	1-5
25/10/25	H	LYN Vs Kongsvinger	0-1
22/10/25	A	Aalesund Vs LYN	2-1
17/10/25	A	Lillestrom Vs LYN	5-1
05/10/25	H	LYN Vs Moss	4-0
29/09/25	A	hodd Vs LYN	0-1
21/09/25	H	LYN Vs Sogndal	2-1
14/09/25	A	Mjondalen Vs LYN	0-1

Sogndal

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
26/07/26	H	SOG Vs Ranheim	3-2
08/11/25	H	SOG Vs Ranheim	0-3
01/11/25	A	ODD Ballklubb Vs SOG	1-4
25/10/25	H	SOG Vs Egersund	0-1
22/10/25	A	Raufoss Vs SOG	1-3
18/10/25	H	SOG Vs Start	0-0
04/10/25	A	Aalesund Vs SOG	2-0
28/09/25	H	SOG Vs Kongsvinger	2-2
21/09/25	A	Lyn Vs SOG	2-1
13/09/25	H	SOG Vs Lillestrom	1-5

📊 9. Overall Statistics

Lyn

Norway: 1. Division

Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LLWLD	1.52
Home	DWWLL	1.32
Away	WLLWD	1.72

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	44%	36%	52%
AVG goals	3.02	2.76	3.28
Over 1.5 %	78%	72%	84%
Over 2.5 %	62%	64%	60%
Over 3.5 %	30%	28%	32%
Scored	1.68	1.48	1.88
Conceded	1.34	1.28	1.40
BTTS	64%	64%	64%
Clean Sheet	24%	16%	32%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Sogndal

Norway: 1. Division

Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WLWLW	1.28
Home	DDLLW	1.19
Away	DLLWW	1.38

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	36%	31%	42%
AVG goals	2.96	3.00	2.92
Over 1.5 %	82%	81%	83%
Over 2.5 %	58%	54%	62%
Over 3.5 %	34%	38%	29%
Scored	1.38	1.38	1.38
Conceded	1.58	1.62	1.54
BTTS	56%	54%	58%
Clean Sheet	20%	19%	21%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 10. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Egersund	4	10	75%	2.5	10	3	+7	3.2	100%	50%	25%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	0	0	0	2.5	0.8	-
2	Bryne	5	10	60%	2.0	7	5	+2	2.4	100%	40%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	0	0	0	1.4	1.0	-
3	Stabaek	3	9	100%	3.0	12	3	+9	5.0	100%	67%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	9	0	0	0	4.0	1.0	-
4	Haugesund	4	9	75%	2.2	15	8	+7	5.8	100%	100%	75%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	9	0	0	0	3.8	2.0	-
5	hodd	4	9	75%	2.2	10	13	-3	5.8	100%	100%	75%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	0	0	0	2.5	3.2	-
6	Lyn	4	7	50%	1.8	12	8	+4	5.0	100%	75%	75%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	0	0	0	3.0	2.0	-
7	Stromsgodset	5	7	40%	1.4	9	8	+1	3.4	100%	40%	40%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	7	0	0	0	1.8	1.6	-
8	Kongsvinger	3	6	67%	2.0	9	5	+4	4.7	100%	100%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	0	0	0	3.0	1.7	-
9	ODD Ballklubb	5	5	20%	1.0	9	12	-3	4.2	80%	80%	80%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	9	0	0	0	1.8	2.4	-
10	Strommen	3	4	33%	1.3	4	5	-1	3.0	67%	67%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	0	0	0	1.3	1.7	-
11	Ranheim	4	3	25%	0.8	10	11	-1	5.2	100%	100%	100%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	0	0	0	2.5	2.8	-
12	Sogndal	3	3	33%	1.0	5	7	-2	4.0	100%	67%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	0	0	0	1.7	2.3	-
13	Raufoss	3	3	33%	1.0	4	10	-6	4.7	100%	67%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	0	0	0	1.3	3.3	-
14	Asane	3	1	0%	0.3	5	9	-4	4.7	100%	100%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	0	0	0	1.7	3.0	-
15	Moss	5	1	0%	0.2	6	12	-6	3.6	100%	100%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	0	0	0	1.2	2.4	-
16	Sandnes ULF	4	1	0%	0.2	5	13	-8	4.5	100%	50%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	0	0	0	1.2	3.2	-

Norway: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

← all matches

Lyn vs Sogndal Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Lyn

Sogndal

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🔥 6. Top picks for this game

💰 7. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 8. Games History

Head-to-head

Lyn

Sogndal

📊 9. Overall Statistics

🏆 10. League Table

A Pro feature