This opponent (AC Horsens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AC Horsens
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.19
1.71
1.73
1.73
0.60
1.70
vs Stronger (10)
1.10
2.10
1.40
2.00
0.80
2.20
vs Similar (11)
1.27
1.36
2.00
1.50
0.40
1.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
24% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyngby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.2%
Under 1.5
29.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.7%
Under 2.5
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.8%
Under 3.5
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.3%
No
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 â
14.2%
1-0
11.0%
0-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.4%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.1%
Lyngby goals ↓
AC Horsens goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
8.4%
5.1%
1.8%
0.5%
1
11%
14%
6.8%
2.4%
0.6%
2
8.2%
8.6%
4.5%
1.6%
0.4%
3
3.6%
3.8%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.2%
1.3%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lyngby goals (down), columns = AC Horsens goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
1.84
FC Nordsjaelland
1.72
FC Midtjylland
1.64
Aarhus
1.59
Viborg
1.55
Odense
1.44
Brondby
1.38
Silkeborg
1.28
Randers FC
1.28
Lyngby
0.88
AC Horsens
0.88
Aalborg
0.84
Lyngby and AC Horsens are level in average points per game (both 0.88).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Copenhagen
1.91
FC Midtjylland
1.70
FC Nordsjaelland
1.56
Brondby
1.50
Odense
1.47
Silkeborg
1.38
Viborg
1.33
Aarhus
1.31
Randers FC
1.25
Aalborg
1.06
AC Horsens
1.03
Lyngby
0.94
Lyngby is 0.09 goals worse than AC Horsens in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 1.03).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Aarhus
0.97
Viborg
1.09
FC Nordsjaelland
1.09
FC Copenhagen
1.09
FC Midtjylland
1.18
Aalborg
1.41
Randers FC
1.47
Silkeborg
1.53
Lyngby
1.53
Brondby
1.62
Odense
1.66
AC Horsens
1.81
Lyngby is 0.28 goals better than AC Horsens in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.81).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Silkeborg
56%
FC Copenhagen
56%
FC Nordsjaelland
54%
Brondby
51%
Odense
50%
FC Midtjylland
50%
Randers FC
49%
Viborg
49%
Aalborg
49%
Aarhus
48%
Lyngby
45%
AC Horsens
42%
Lyngby is 2.8 percentage points better than AC Horsens in terms of average possession (45% vs 42%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Lyngby
For 4.4 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.6
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.9
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 11.4 · Total 24.1
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AC Horsens
For 3.8 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.0
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.8
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 7.0 · Total 18.2
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lyngby
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (21)
10.2
10.4
10.1
4.4
4.4
4.5
21.9
22.5
21.3
vs Stronger (12)
9.7
9.3
10.0
4.5
4.7
4.3
21.9
23.2
20.7
vs Similar (9)
11.0
12.0
10.2
4.3
4.0
4.6
21.8
21.5
22.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
62%
70%
55%
67%
70%
64%
52%
50%
55%
% under line
38%
30%
45%
33%
30%
36%
48%
50%
45%
This opponent (AC Horsens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AC Horsens
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (21)
9.9
9.5
10.2
3.6
3.5
3.7
18.0
17.3
18.8
vs Stronger (10)
10.5
10.8
10.2
2.7
2.2
3.2
18.2
16.6
19.8
vs Similar (11)
9.3
8.5
10.2
4.5
4.7
4.2
17.8
17.8
17.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
57%
55%
60%
48%
36%
60%
19%
9%
30%
% under line
43%
45%
40%
52%
64%
40%
81%
91%
70%
This opponent (Lyngby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brondby
11.4
Randers FC
10.6
Lyngby
10.2
FC Midtjylland
10.2
Odense
10.1
AC Horsens
9.9
Aarhus
9.7
FC Copenhagen
9.4
FC Nordsjaelland
9.4
Aalborg
9.4
Viborg
9.0
Silkeborg
8.9
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Midtjylland
5.0
FC Copenhagen
5.0
Brondby
4.6
FC Nordsjaelland
4.5
Lyngby
4.4
Odense
4.1
AC Horsens
4.0
Randers FC
4.0
Aarhus
3.8
Viborg
3.8
Aalborg
3.7
Silkeborg
3.0
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Aarhus
22.9
FC Midtjylland
22.4
Lyngby
21.9
FC Nordsjaelland
21.5
Odense
20.4
Aalborg
20.3
Randers FC
19.8
FC Copenhagen
19.5
Viborg
19.5
Brondby
19.3
AC Horsens
18.0
Silkeborg
14.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.1%
Under 9.5
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
66.8%
Under 3.5
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
51.6%
Under 21.5
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lyngby
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.29
0.76
0.30
0.70
0.27
0.82
vs Stronger (12)
0.33
0.83
0.33
0.83
0.33
0.83
vs Similar (9)
0.22
0.67
0.25
0.50
0.20
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
48% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Horsens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AC Horsens
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.52
0.90
0.73
1.00
0.30
0.80
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
0.80
0.40
0.80
0.60
0.80
vs Similar (11)
0.55
1.00
1.00
1.17
0.00
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
38% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyngby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lyngby over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyngby over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyngby over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Horsens over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Horsens over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Horsens over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lyngby
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.90
0.50
1.00
0.82
0.82
vs Stronger (12)
0.83
0.92
0.67
0.67
1.00
1.17
vs Similar (9)
0.44
0.89
0.25
1.50
0.60
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Horsens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AC Horsens
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.81
1.00
0.73
0.30
0.90
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
1.30
1.00
1.20
0.20
1.40
vs Similar (11)
0.73
0.36
1.00
0.33
0.40
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
52% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyngby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lyngby over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyngby over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyngby over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Horsens over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Horsens over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Horsens over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 3.5
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Over 1.5
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Lyngby
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Petur Knudsen25%
Kasper JÃļrgensen24%
Frederik GytkjÃĶr23%
Emil Nielsen22%
SÃĶvar Atli MagnÚsson19%
Alfreð Finnbogason17%
Kristian Riis11%
Mathias Kristensen8%
Rezan Corlu8%
Kolbeinn Finnsson7%
Tochi Chukwuani5%
Marcel RÃļmer3%
Frederik Ibsen0%
Andreas Bjelland0%
Magnus Kaastrup0%
Rasmus Thellufsen0%
Adam SÃļrensen0%
Magnus Westergaard0%
Sebastian Koch0%
Pascal Gregor0%
Brian Hamalainen0%
Timo Letschert0%
Parfait Bizoza0%
Mads Juhl Kikkenborg0%
Casper Winther0%
Gustav Mortensen0%
Lucas Hey0%
Sanders Ngabo0%
Tobias Storm0%
Willy Kumado0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Timo Letschert40%
Andreas Bjelland35%
Gustav Mortensen33%
Tochi Chukwuani27%
Magnus Westergaard27%
Marcel RÃļmer23%
Casper Winther23%
Frederik GytkjÃĶr23%
Emil Nielsen22%
SÃĶvar Atli MagnÚsson22%
Lucas Hey17%
Mathias Kristensen17%
Petur Knudsen12%
Rezan Corlu12%
Kristian Riis11%
Pascal Gregor11%
Magnus Kaastrup11%
Alfreð Finnbogason8%
Brian Hamalainen8%
Kolbeinn Finnsson7%
Adam SÃļrensen6%
Kasper JÃļrgensen6%
Mads Juhl Kikkenborg4%
Frederik Ibsen0%
Rasmus Thellufsen0%
Sebastian Koch0%
Parfait Bizoza0%
Sanders Ngabo0%
Tobias Storm0%
Willy Kumado0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alfreð Finnbogason25%
Brian Hamalainen24%
Kolbeinn Finnsson21%
Sanders Ngabo12%
Willy Kumado12%
Rasmus Thellufsen11%
Lucas Hey9%
SÃĶvar Atli MagnÚsson7%
Adam SÃļrensen6%
Magnus Kaastrup5%
Mathias Kristensen4%
Pascal Gregor4%
Marcel RÃļmer3%
Frederik Ibsen0%
Andreas Bjelland0%
Kristian Riis0%
Kasper JÃļrgensen0%
Rezan Corlu0%
Frederik GytkjÃĶr0%
Magnus Westergaard0%
Sebastian Koch0%
Emil Nielsen0%
Timo Letschert0%
Parfait Bizoza0%
Mads Juhl Kikkenborg0%
Petur Knudsen0%
Tochi Chukwuani0%
Casper Winther0%
Gustav Mortensen0%
Tobias Storm0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mathias Kristensen25%
Kristian Riis22%
Kasper JÃļrgensen18%
Petur Knudsen12%
Rezan Corlu12%
Emil Nielsen11%
Magnus Kaastrup11%
Magnus Westergaard7%
Frederik GytkjÃĶr5%
SÃĶvar Atli MagnÚsson4%
Frederik Ibsen0%
Andreas Bjelland0%
Alfreð Finnbogason0%
Marcel RÃļmer0%
Rasmus Thellufsen0%
Adam SÃļrensen0%
Sebastian Koch0%
Pascal Gregor0%
Brian Hamalainen0%
Kolbeinn Finnsson0%
Timo Letschert0%
Parfait Bizoza0%
Mads Juhl Kikkenborg0%
Tochi Chukwuani0%
Casper Winther0%
Gustav Mortensen0%
Lucas Hey0%
Sanders Ngabo0%
Tobias Storm0%
Willy Kumado0%
AC Horsens
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anders Jacobsen23%
Aron Sigurðarson20%
Magnus Jensen17%
Lubambo Musonda10%
Thomas Santos10%
Moses Opondo7%
Mikkel Lassen5%
Jonas Gemmer4%
James Gomez4%
Matej DelaÄ0%
Alexander Ludwig0%
Janus Drachmann0%
Samson Iyede0%
Jacob Buus0%
Malte Kiilerich0%
Lirim Qamili0%
Simon Makienok0%
Elijah Just0%
Samuel Brolin0%
Marcus Bobjerg0%
Casper Tengstedt0%
Marcus Hannesbo0%
David Kruse0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Casper Tengstedt33%
Magnus Jensen25%
Malte Kiilerich21%
Mikkel Lassen18%
James Gomez18%
Lubambo Musonda17%
Aron Sigurðarson17%
Jonas Gemmer14%
Moses Opondo13%
David Kruse13%
Janus Drachmann12%
Matej DelaÄ12%
Samson Iyede11%
Anders Jacobsen10%
Jacob Buus10%
Marcus Hannesbo10%
Alexander Ludwig8%
Elijah Just8%
Thomas Santos7%
Lirim Qamili0%
Simon Makienok0%
Samuel Brolin0%
Marcus Bobjerg0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Casper Tengstedt33%
Lubambo Musonda10%
Anders Jacobsen10%
David Kruse10%
Elijah Just8%
Simon Makienok7%
Moses Opondo7%
Thomas Santos7%
Matej DelaÄ0%
Mikkel Lassen0%
Alexander Ludwig0%
Janus Drachmann0%
Jonas Gemmer0%
Samson Iyede0%
Jacob Buus0%
Malte Kiilerich0%
Lirim Qamili0%
Aron Sigurðarson0%
Magnus Jensen0%
Samuel Brolin0%
Marcus Bobjerg0%
James Gomez0%
Marcus Hannesbo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Casper Tengstedt67%
Aron Sigurðarson20%
Magnus Jensen17%
Anders Jacobsen10%
Elijah Just4%
Jonas Gemmer4%
Lubambo Musonda3%
Thomas Santos3%
Matej DelaÄ0%
Mikkel Lassen0%
Moses Opondo0%
Alexander Ludwig0%
Janus Drachmann0%
Samson Iyede0%
Jacob Buus0%
Malte Kiilerich0%
Lirim Qamili0%
Simon Makienok0%
Samuel Brolin0%
Marcus Bobjerg0%
James Gomez0%
Marcus Hannesbo0%
David Kruse0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
AAL (24)
€10m
Lyngby's squad is €3m more valuable than AC Horsens's (€13m vs €10m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
AH (9)
€4m
LYN (5)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
Lyngby and AC Horsens have a similar attack value (both €3m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
RF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
AH (6)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
Lyngby's midfield is €3m more valuable than AC Horsens's (€5m vs €2m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
RF (10)
€6m
AAL (12)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
Lyngby and AC Horsens have a similar defence value (both €5m).
Denmark: Superliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
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FC Copenhagen
FC Nordsjaelland
FC Midtjylland
Aarhus
Viborg
Odense
Brondby
Silkeborg
Randers FC
Aalborg